bledredwine wrote:bledredwine wrote:nikster wrote:I'll just push back on the easy statistical era argument against Lebron. The league wide average ppg is actually lower overall during his career than is for MJ. Sure it's higher scoring now but this is the tail end of his career, he started his career in the lowest scoring era in NBA history.
Lebrons longevity makes it hard to grasp the changing eras he gone through (and people tend to forget how high scoring 80s were). Westbrook joined the league 5 years later and Luka is basically a new generation who's rookies season started a whole new jump in ppg.
League wide ppg during their careers
Lebron: 103.3
MJ: 104.3 (Chicago years only)
Westbrook 105.3
Luka: 112.5
https://www.basketball-reference.com/leagues/NBA_stats_per_game.html
League wide PPG was definitely higher in the 10's than the 90's and has been significantly peaking as Lebron ages, which would explain how good he looks in older age (statistically)
Jordan's entire 2 3-peats and finals appearances were spent with PPG in the 90's. Lebron's last two were at 105 and 108 ppg league wide. But that's not even the important trait.
The importances of the statistical blow up is how easy it is for the stars to drive/kick in the game, and sure enough, stars now control far more possession than those of the 90s. I forgot the stat but we discussed it in another thread (it was 13 players now have X possession or above and in the 90s it was like 1 or 2. I'll have to look it up again).
As a result - In terms of PER, it isn’t even close how inflated it is among the stars now compared to those of the 90s.
In the 90s, a 30 PER was unheard of and this was done without the help of three pointers as well. Stats have definitely been inflated. Westbrook averaged nearly a 30 point triple double across three seasons. There’s no chance he pulls that off in the 90s. You also had Isiah Thomas leading the league in points with a vastly inferior skill set- no chance in the 90s that he’d do that.
You’ve had years, even in Lebron’s prime where a player had a higher PER (Steph for example). In Jordan’s career, he was far ahead of the rest. Even Hakeem had a PER of 25. Are you telling me Embiid is better than Hakeem Olajuwon?
PER is inflated now and Jokic is continuing to expose that, as I predicted players would all the way back in the 2010’s. I can post the lists later and you’ll see what I’m talking about.
Take a look at this list. Look at that anomaly. (PER leap)
2023-24 NBA Nikola Jokić 30.97 DEN
2022-23 NBA Nikola Jokić 31.51 DEN
2021-22 NBA Nikola Jokić 32.85 DEN
2020-21 NBA Nikola Jokić 31.28 DEN
2019-20 NBA Giannis Antetokounmpo 31.86 MIL
2018-19 NBA Giannis Antetokounmpo 30.88 MIL
2017-18 NBA James Harden 29.83 HOU
2016-17 NBA Russell Westbrook 30.63 OKC
2015-16 NBA Stephen Curry 31.46 GSW
2014-15 NBA Anthony Davis 30.81 NOP
2013-14 NBA Kevin Durant 29.82 OKC
2012-13 NBA LeBron James 31.59 MIA
2011-12 NBA LeBron James 30.74 MIA
2010-11 NBA LeBron James 27.27 MIA
2009-10 NBA LeBron James 31.10 CLE
2008-09 NBA LeBron James 31.67 CLE
2007-08 NBA LeBron James 29.14 CLE
2006-07 NBA Dwyane Wade* 28.91 MIA
2005-06 NBA Dirk Nowitzki* 28.06 DAL
2004-05 NBA Kevin Garnett* 28.20 MIN
2003-04 NBA Kevin Garnett* 29.44 MIN
2002-03 NBA Tracy McGrady* 30.27 ORL
2001-02 NBA Shaquille O'Neal* 29.68 LAL
2000-01 NBA Shaquille O'Neal* 30.23 LAL
1999-00 NBA Shaquille O'Neal* 30.65 LAL
1998-99 NBA Shaquille O'Neal* 30.55 LAL
1997-98 NBA Shaquille O'Neal* 28.79 LAL
1996-97 NBA Karl Malone* 28.90 UTA
1995-96 NBA David Robinson* 29.41 SAS
1994-95 NBA David Robinson* 29.13 SAS
1993-94 NBA David Robinson* 30.66 SAS
1992-93 NBA Michael Jordan* 29.70 CHI
1991-92 NBA Michael Jordan* 27.75 CHI
1990-91 NBA Michael Jordan* 31.63 CHI
1989-90 NBA Michael Jordan* 31.18 CHI
1988-89 NBA Michael Jordan* 31.14 CHI
1987-88 NBA Michael Jordan* 31.71 CHI
1986-87 NBA Michael Jordan* 29.78 CHI
1985-86 NBA Larry Bird* 25.61 BOS
1984-85 NBA Larry Bird* 26.54 BOS
1983-84 NBA Adrian Dantley* 24.64 UTA
1982-83 NBA Moses Malone* 25.12 PHI
1981-82 NBA
Now look at how many players in the 10's and 20's you have with 30 PER... Anthony Davis? James Harden? Giannis, Jokic, WESTBROOK?
PER has been heavily inflated ever since it the court became open, threes expanded the game and made it easier for players to drive and kick and remember,
All of Jokic, Giannis and Luka have confirmed the game to be easier for them, Jokic specifically singling out the 3-second rule, stating that he takes advantage of that and it makes the game "so easy"
Now, what do we notice about that PER list? Among the top are bigs or players who rebound/block a lot, and point scorers exclusively. And that's because PER favors raw stats, not necessarily how great a player is. Of course it won't favor shooting guards. It'll make Kobe look worse than he actually was, because he definitely was better than Lebron for the first six years of Lebron's career. The league knew it, the GM voting knew it, the media knew it, and they even knew it as late as the olympics. But that's when their careers were beginning to intersect and Lebron was taking over.
Jordan, however, was an anomaly. He was automatic. He got that high of a PER without the rebounds/assists playing shooting guard in a system. The only other player to somewhat replicate that dominance (scoring at will) was Steph during his freakish year when he was lights out. But once again, PER has been inflated since and he couldn't replicate it in the playoffs.
Lot to unpack here. "Jordan's entire 2 3-peats and finals appearances were spent with PPG in the 90's. Lebron's last two were at 105 and 108 ppg league wide" Straight up not true. League average ppg was over 105.3 for Jordan's first 3 peat.
Really confused as to why your so focused on PER? It's only one catch all stat with significant flaws. Like you said it's just raw stats so what does it matter Lebron didn't always lead the league? And once again it's a matter of the different eras of Lebrons career. Lebrons 6 highest PER seasons came before the guys you are complaining about, and before he started making a high volume of 3s.
And the archetypes it benefits don't really apply to Lebron. Harden, Westbrook and Luka really dominate the ball Significantly more than Lebron ever did. Westbrook and Harden had had a time of possesion average above 9.2 seconds in 16-17, Luka was 9.1 his career PER year. The stat isn't available for Lebrons top 4 PERs but his 5th highest PER his time of possession was 5.5
Then like you said it benefits guys with rebounds/blocks, and in that sense Lebron is not on the level of racking up those kind of stats with guys like AD, Giannis and Jokic. While Jordan was an anomaly in terms of leading the league in PER with out very high rebounds and assists, his shooting volume was an anomaly. He took almost 5 more shots a game than Lebron during their respective stretches of leading the league in PER












