lessthanjake wrote:I think he was bad in every one of the games in the second half of the series. Sure, Game 5 was a different level of bad so it stands alone in a certain sense, but LeBron had a 48% TS% and 7 turnovers in Game 4, and a 51% TS% and 9 turnovers in Game 6. One can look at the rebounds and assists numbers in Game 6 and decide it wasn’t bad, or talk about defense on Paul Pierce, but that’s the kind of retconning I’m talking about. People who watched it at the time were so shocked by how badly LeBron was playing that there were popular conspiracy theories about what might’ve caused him to be so bad.
Is it retconning? Or are you only focusing on one side of the floor here? If you are talking strictly from an offensive standpoint, then you're absolutely correct and LeBron was poor in games 4 and 5 (I think he was fine in game 6, but the 9 turnovers is pretty bad). But if we're including both ends of the floor, then that's an entirely different discussion.
lessthanjake wrote:I think the bolded means you agree with me. The Cavaliers were not expected to beat the Spurs, so in a sense it was expected that LeBron wouldn’t dominate the series. But he was genuinely bad, to a level that was not expected and that was disappointing.
Well again, no not really. Again, the expectation from a lot of us at the time is that LeBron wouldn't have played well in that series. There was no clear outline for what our expectations would be in terms of how he played... just that he wasn't going to be his dominant self. I guess it just comes down to what you were expecting out of him. Me? I wasn't really expecting much at all from him. I'm not going to pretend like what we got was exactly what I predicted. But with that in mind, I just can't call it disappointing when I wasn't expecting much of anything to begin with.
lessthanjake wrote:I think this just gets us into a “What era was tougher” discussion, which is a huge rabbit hole. FWIW, I personally think defenses are always getting better because players’ knowledge of the game and their conditioning gets better as the years go by. But that goes both ways—with players also having better knowledge of the game on offense too. So I don’t think it’s fair to talk about schemes being more complicated decades later as if that must be harder for a player, when we know that knowledge of how to deal with such schemes was also better.
But this doesn't just come down to schemes. Personal and effort come into play too. The only game from that 1986 series that I haven't seen is game 4, but I'm willing to bet that the kind of defense Michael received in that game is similar to what he got in the first three: barely any real effort being given to stop him and when people do, they don't really have the capabilities to do so, which in large part is a credit to the greatness of Jordan.
But on the flip side of things, it begs the question: who on that Celtics team is really comparable as a defender to the likes of Bowen and Duncan? I mean... these are two all time great defenders for their positions. And when we are talking about effort, we have a guy in Bowen who is out there looking like he's fighting for his life on every position to try to stay in front of and contain LeBron, and when he fails, he usually has Duncan waiting in the paint.
lessthanjake wrote:Same with things like player conditioning. In the context of the league at the time and the knowledge of players and their conditioning at the time, the 1986 Celtics were the league’s #1 defense. And, in absolute terms, their DRTG was not that far off the 2007 Spurs. The 2007 Spurs were a little better as a defense both in absolute and relative terms, but the difference in performance of these guys at age 22 against such a great defense was just an enormous chasm. If you want to believe that, while he didn’t struggle at all against the best defense the NBA had to offer in 1986, Jordan would’ve nevertheless struggled at age 22 against a great defense in 2007, I guess you can believe that. It’s an unfalsifiable concept, since we’ll never know the answer. But I’m just pointing out that I think it’s an odd assertion, given how well Jordan did at that age against the best defense in the NBA.
Again, look at the difference between the defensive intensity between the two teams. Look at how players were being defended, especially out at the perimeter. You are right about one thing: I have no way of being able to truly determine how good of a job Michael Jordan would have done against a defense like this, but I can say this: Jordan got his way against Boston with his athleticism and his incredible mid range game. In isolation situations, there was almost no one that could stop Jordan. Bowen feasted on players like this. And with different defensive rules, zone being allowed (something Jordan himself said he would have struggled against if he played against it) and the type of defensive personal San Antonio had, I have no reason not to believe that, at the very least, Jordan would have played well below his typical standards. Whether he'd be as bad as LeBron is something we will never be able to determine.
lessthanjake wrote:LeBron had a pretty average amount of spacing for that era. The team was right in the middle of the league in terms of 3PA, 3PM, and 3P%. Not good, but not bad either. And it was arguably above-average by playoff time, since they had Wally, who was a good shooter but had barely played for them in the regular season. If LeBron needed well above-average spacing to not be woefully inefficient against good teams in the playoffs, then that reflects real flaws in his game.
FWIW, I think you’re actually right and it exposes his weak jump shooting. From other discussions with you, I think you like to take LeBron’s flaws as given and say a performance wasn’t disappointing or unexpected because LeBron’s weak performances flowed from flaws we knew he had. But I think that just begs the question. The performances were disappointing because his flaws got exposed and resulted in him playing badly, and saying they weren’t disappointing because people should’ve known he could be forced to play badly isn’t a meaningful response IMO. The point here is that that happened several times in the relatively early years of LeBron’s career, and a lot of younger people just never saw that. Instead, what they saw were LeBron’s playoff failures largely being situations where he actually played well. That makes their perspective on him very different than people who actually saw the entire career—they don’t really understand or acknowledge his flaws and the fact that they got exploited.
Pretty much, yes. LeBron's mid range and three point shooting during the early portions of his career were always a great concern of mine, but more importantly, I was always concerned about his mentality when attacking defenses. He was almost always able to get his way, until he came up against teams where he couldn't. And even then, sometimes he'd have games where it felt like he could do no wrong offensively and got whatever he wanted. The problem is that in a seven game series, that was an easy way for you to get exposed. And more often than that, that's exactly what happened. This, among other reasons, is why I thought LeBron was going to lose in 2011 to Dallas.
One thing I was asked before I joined this site was who was the better player in their first seven years before their first championship, and my answer was and always will be Jordan. Jordan came into the league with a much more NBA friendly game and a more polished skillset. While LeBron was outright dominant in his own way, it limited him and what he could do. Now mind you, he made up for this by being a terrific passer and playmaker, thus making double and triple teaming him almost worthless. But that's where not having an all star caliber player alongside him often led to him coming up short in the postseason. But when he went to Miami, he thought things would be easier. He thought "well, I have my all star teammates now, time for the championships to role in". In reality, the problem never really got solved. He still thought he could get by doing his usual thing, not understanding that in order for him to truly experience the success he wanted, he needed to change how he played and improve on his flaws. And it took him experiencing what is without question his greatest failure (losing in 2011) to realize he was part of the problem.
That's why I ultimately think LeBron is the GOAT, because the player he became once he realized he had to truly develop his offensive game was, at least in my opinion, greater than Jordan ever was.
lessthanjake wrote:As for Ben Wallace and Varejao, I assume that you’d come to the same conclusion about any inefficient shooting games or series Jordan might have with Rodman? Jordan won a three-peat basically playing 4-on-5 basketball on offense. And, to be fair, his playoff scoring was less efficient in those years than it was prior to that. Some of that is probably that he was older, but Rodman’s definitely also a factor. But Jordan was also upping his scoring volume in those years, so it was just wasn’t like that 2008 series where LeBron’s scoring efficiency was really bad *and* his scoring volume went down.
Okay, now let me ask you this: at what point during their time playing with LeBron did Ben and/or Varejao come anywhere close to having the same kind of impact that Rodman did? Yeah sure, Rodman was a black hole on offense, but he was also an offensive rebounding machine that put opposing players in foul trouble. He was an all defensive team member in two of the three seasons he played with them, and still gave Karl Malone fits in both 97 and 98. Hell, he got FMVP votes in 96. Now granted, if this were Detroit Pistons Ben Wallace that LeBron James was playing with, I probably wouldn't even mention the fact that he was ineffective on offense because his defensive impact was just that insane. But the fact of the matter is... that isn't what he got. This was a Ben Wallace who was affected by past injuries, out of his prime, and all he could really do was play, at best, very very good one on one post defense. And... I don't know, I guess he played very good defense against Kevin Garnett, which was his main defensive assignment, but that doesn't make up for him being a non factor offensively.
lessthanjake wrote:And Jordan also barely turned the ball over in the playoffs in those years, while LeBron turned it over a ton in the series we’re talking about.
Fair.
lessthanjake wrote:It’s definitely by no means expected to just have a bad offensive performance—with bad scoring efficiency, reducing scoring volume, and tons of turnovers—when facing a great opponent and having a weak offensive player playing. You may be identifying some of the reason that it happened, but it reflects flaws in LeBron’s game and was disappointing.
I mean I don't disagree with any of these, but again, I think it comes down to the following things, breaking down each series one by one...
The 2007 series just can't be used against him. Yes he had flaws in his game at this point that were exploited but the man was 22 years old. A lot of players at that age have very unpolished games that need work. It's not out of the question to say that what he was at this point wasn't a reflection of what he'd be at his best.
2008 as I mentioned before is a series I often forget just how bad he actually was, but at the same time we can't ignore the factors that led to this. Yeah, it paints a picture that severe flaws still existed, but again, dude was only 23 years old at the time.
And with 2010, I just don't think he he was as bad in that series as people think. I believe that game 5 of that series was the only truly awful game he had. The only way we can really call this a bad series is if we just ignore all the other contributions, most notably the fact that he locked up Boston's best scorer in that series.
There is a reason 2011 will always be known as LeBron's greatest failure. It's something that should have never happened, but it did, and LeBron has no one really to blame but himself for it. Dallas did a terrific job game planning for LeBron, had the better team, and Miami had several exploitable flaws, but it's on him for allowing these kinds of personal flaws to still exist so many years later after the fact. I can excuse those flaws for still existing when he's 22, 23, and hell even 24. But when you're at age 27, and you still haven't improved on those things, that's on you. LeBron was arrogant and thought he didn't need to make any improvements on his end. In a way, it makes me kind of happy that 2011 happened, because that was his wake up call that he wasn't as good as he thought he was, and that he needed to make changes in order to reach the level he wanted to be at.