How good do you see Andrew wiggins being?

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Re: How good do you see Andrew wiggins being? 

Post#121 » by Rapcity_11 » Sun Jun 22, 2014 5:29 pm

noobcake wrote:
snomeister wrote:I love how people talk of Wiggins like he's some kind of scrub with hops on offence. You don't get named a 2nd team All-American as a freshman if you don't have skills


No, he really has no offensive moves. Mickey mouse that work in college won't work in the NBA. Oven his supporters usually realize that his offensive game is at least 2 years+ from coming online given normal development path.

Let me list Wiggins' offensive moves for you
1. Spin right into floater
2. Jab step, step back jumper, mid range
3. ????


Shawn Marion's list of offensive moves:

1. ???

And yet here he is with 17K career points.
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Re: How good do you see Andrew wiggins being? 

Post#122 » by Steven1562 » Sun Jun 22, 2014 5:42 pm

Rapcity_11 wrote:
noobcake wrote:
snomeister wrote:I love how people talk of Wiggins like he's some kind of scrub with hops on offence. You don't get named a 2nd team All-American as a freshman if you don't have skills


No, he really has no offensive moves. Mickey mouse that work in college won't work in the NBA. Oven his supporters usually realize that his offensive game is at least 2 years+ from coming online given normal development path.

Let me list Wiggins' offensive moves for you
1. Spin right into floater
2. Jab step, step back jumper, mid range
3. ????


Shawn Marion's list of offensive moves:

1. ???

And yet here he is with 17K career points.


Not to mention one of the worst looking jumpshots ever [youtube]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8aajorJBru4&feature=kp[/youtube]

at least Wiggins isn't shooting like that :lol:
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Re: How good do you see Andrew wiggins being? 

Post#123 » by og15 » Sun Jun 22, 2014 5:44 pm

Prokorov wrote:
Rapcity_11 wrote:
110 Ortg isn't innefficient FYI.

53 TS% is slightly below average.


offensive rating is more of a team stat then an indivdual stat and is heavily influence by the other 9 players on the floor. its a poor way to determine how efficeint a player is offensively. i mean, hell reggie evans had a 108 offensive rating last year, and as bad as it gets offensively.

PER and TS are much better for individual players. he is below average in both areas

No, that's Drtg, offensive rating is also an individual stat actually. Offensive rating always has to be compared with usage.

Also, you quoted Reggie's numbers wrong. Reggie had a 108 Ortg with the Kings, don't get it confused, that's not what he had for the year (102). That's because in his 24 games there he had a .556 TS% when he's usually about 5% lower. With Brooklyn he had a 94 Ortg, combine that with his very low usage and that represents a TERRIBLE offensive player.

Reggie for his career has a 103 Ortg, which is below average, then when you add his low usage, it confirms that yes, Reggie is a bad offensive player. Offensive rating has to be compared with usage, that's part of how the stat works.

Reggie Evans is generally saved from being terrible with his Ortg because he's a great offensive rebounder and offensive rebounds extend possessions and are therefore positive to offense. The problem is that he does too many negative things on offense (poor finishing, turnovers) that offensive rebounds can't save him. The best rebounder/finisher guys usually have Ortg's in the high teens, but Reggie can't finish and turns it over too much (offensive fouls on screens, etc). So even then, his 108 Ortg in Sacramento with low usage is still not anything special.

Lastly, Ortg like any other stat needs context and interpretation, there's noise there too. First you have to compare to usage (or just know player roles), DeAndre Jordan will have a great Ortg, so will Tyson Chandler, doesn't mean they are great offensive players, but it means they are very good to great offensive role players. You want your role players to be efficient, make your shots, don't turn it over. After comparing to usage/role then you also have to take the players skills into account. Reggie is a poor finisher, can't shoot, so he crowds the floor, isn't much of a passer. So he can hurt your offense in a lot of ways, but 5 offensive rebs/36 help, but not enough and Ortg still says he's a bad offensive player which is what we see.
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Re: How good do you see Andrew wiggins being? 

Post#124 » by bushybrah_ » Sun Jun 22, 2014 6:41 pm

I say Rudy Gay is his floor. At most he can be LBJ lite.
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Re: How good do you see Andrew wiggins being? 

Post#125 » by codigoman » Sun Jun 22, 2014 8:03 pm

Rich man Iguodala
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Re: How good do you see Andrew wiggins being? 

Post#126 » by noobcake » Sun Jun 22, 2014 9:57 pm

Rapcity_11 wrote:
noobcake wrote:
snomeister wrote:I love how people talk of Wiggins like he's some kind of scrub with hops on offence. You don't get named a 2nd team All-American as a freshman if you don't have skills


No, he really has no offensive moves. Mickey mouse that work in college won't work in the NBA. Oven his supporters usually realize that his offensive game is at least 2 years+ from coming online given normal development path.

Let me list Wiggins' offensive moves for you
1. Spin right into floater
2. Jab step, step back jumper, mid range
3. ????


Shawn Marion's list of offensive moves:

1. ???

And yet here he is with 17K career points.


I thought Wiggins was a Jordan, TMac, LeBron.

Wouldn't most Wiggins fans think that Marion is kinda low?
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Re: How good do you see Andrew wiggins being? 

Post#127 » by High0ctane21 » Sun Jun 22, 2014 10:00 pm

Man, some of you people are REALLY high on Wiggins. Rudy Gay as a floor?

IMO,
floor is a slightly better Corey Brewer.
ceiling is a slightly better Vince Carter
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Re: How good do you see Andrew wiggins being? 

Post#128 » by Rapcity_11 » Sun Jun 22, 2014 10:29 pm

noobcake wrote:
Rapcity_11 wrote:
noobcake wrote:
No, he really has no offensive moves. Mickey mouse that work in college won't work in the NBA. Oven his supporters usually realize that his offensive game is at least 2 years+ from coming online given normal development path.

Let me list Wiggins' offensive moves for you
1. Spin right into floater
2. Jab step, step back jumper, mid range
3. ????


Shawn Marion's list of offensive moves:

1. ???

And yet here he is with 17K career points.


I thought Wiggins was a Jordan, TMac, LeBron.

Wouldn't most Wiggins fans think that Marion is kinda low?


Point was that at 19, he already has more "offensive moves" than a guy who carved out a solid career scoring the ball.

I'll be shocked if he's T-Mac, Jordan, LBJ level.
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Re: How good do you see Andrew wiggins being? 

Post#129 » by fluffernutter » Mon Jun 23, 2014 12:44 am

Fans and scouts are waking up. It's taken a while, but it's happening.

Wiggins has A+ size, physical, hops, speed.

He has C or D level everything else. He underwhelmed in college. People have continually questioned his love of the game. He has never shown great maturity, drive, focus, or on/off court IQ. (He's not stupid or anything; just nobody ever claimed he was gifted in that regard). He's not been a GREAT shooter, GREAT rebounder, etc. He's well above average vs. non-pro competition, not dominant. These are all big warning signs.

Mental/emotional/skill/maturity matters far more than physical attributes (barring the true freaks like Shaq or Lebron which Wiggins is not, and even for them it's very important).

Because Wiggins is overwhelmingly and universally "meh" regarding these non-physical attributes, I'd put his chances at:

15% end of bencher in 5 years
35% starter but that's all
35% good starter
10% all star
4% franchise
1% HOF

There is no real way to tell, as drafting is notoriously variable and sure-fire picks are rare. But those are my expectations.

Wiggins has the tools but not the drive or skills to be a franchise player, barring some huge unforeseen development.

Which could happen. But. I would not pick him first.

He's going to be one of the very, very, very many guys who " has all the tools" and even "has all the talent in the world" but simply can't "put it all together." And he never, never will.
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Re: How good do you see Andrew wiggins being? 

Post#130 » by Hans Embiid » Mon Jun 23, 2014 12:46 am

High0ctane21 wrote:Man, some of you people are REALLY high on Wiggins. Rudy Gay as a floor?

IMO,
floor is a slightly better Corey Brewer.
ceiling is a slightly better Vince Carter


if he reaches this ceiling he is a HOFer.
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Re: How good do you see Andrew wiggins being? 

Post#131 » by noobcake » Mon Jun 23, 2014 12:51 am

THE GOAT ROSE wrote:
High0ctane21 wrote:Man, some of you people are REALLY high on Wiggins. Rudy Gay as a floor?

IMO,
floor is a slightly better Corey Brewer.
ceiling is a slightly better Vince Carter


if he reaches this ceiling he is a HOFer.


...and most likely end up as a rich man's Corey Brewer.Yes, I could buy a lotto ticket and win couple hundred million $$$, but the likely case is that I get nothing.

Drafting is about balancing expectations, not about finding the highest upside. If I wanted to do that, I would draft Lavine and Gordon, who are both as at athletic as Wiggins, but much less overrated and likely available in the 7-10 range.
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Re: How good do you see Andrew wiggins being? 

Post#132 » by Hans Embiid » Mon Jun 23, 2014 12:54 am

noobcake wrote:
THE GOAT ROSE wrote:
High0ctane21 wrote:Man, some of you people are REALLY high on Wiggins. Rudy Gay as a floor?

IMO,
floor is a slightly better Corey Brewer.
ceiling is a slightly better Vince Carter


if he reaches this ceiling he is a HOFer.


...and most likely end up as a rich man's Corey Brewer.Yes, I could buy a lotto ticket and win couple hundred million $$$, but the likely case is that I get nothing.

Drafting is about balancing expectations, not about finding the highest upside. If I wanted to do that, I would draft Lavine and Gordon, who are both as at athletic as Wiggins, but much less overrated and likely available in the 7-10 range.


Wiggins isn't overrated. Wiggins can do a lot of things LaVine and Gordon can't. Especially on the defensive end. He is raw yes but his ceiling is pretty damn high.
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Re: How good do you see Andrew wiggins being? 

Post#133 » by Hans Embiid » Mon Jun 23, 2014 12:55 am

The funny thing is people insist that Parker is a sure thing with his slow first step and with this Boozer-like defense.
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Re: How good do you see Andrew wiggins being? 

Post#134 » by noobcake » Mon Jun 23, 2014 1:03 am

THE GOAT ROSE wrote:The funny thing is people insist that Parker is a sure thing with his slow first step and with this Boozer-like defense.


lol, slow first step. You obviously don't want basketball.

Boozer-like defense? I really love the media's (and ignorant kids') focus on Parker's inability to play defense while not realizing that he is playing out of position 90% of the time as a college 5. Let me remind you of something you may not want to hear, Parker's defensive rating, while playing out of position, is superior to that of Wiggins. Parker is not a great defender, but he is certainly not a sieve that Wigginstans want to make him out to be.

Doesn't matter what is said or discussed here. In a few years time, we will all come to realize that Wiggins is by far one of the most over hyped prospect in college basketball history. I'll take healthy Embiid, Parker, Exum, Smart, Vonleh and Randle over him.
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Re: How good do you see Andrew wiggins being? 

Post#135 » by Rapcity_11 » Mon Jun 23, 2014 1:44 am

noobcake wrote:
THE GOAT ROSE wrote:The funny thing is people insist that Parker is a sure thing with his slow first step and with this Boozer-like defense.


lol, slow first step. You obviously don't want basketball.

Boozer-like defense? I really love the media's (and ignorant kids') focus on Parker's inability to play defense while not realizing that he is playing out of position 90% of the time as a college 5. Let me remind you of something you may not want to hear, Parker's defensive rating, while playing out of position, is superior to that of Wiggins. Parker is not a great defender, but he is certainly not a sieve that Wigginstans want to make him out to be.


Pretty sure everyone (well, almost) aknowledges Parker as a poor defender who will struggle to guard either the 3 or the 4 in the league. Hell, part of the reason he was playing C defensively was he couldn't defend the wing, at all.

Defensive rating at the individual level? Almost meaningless. (Which you did a fine job of demonstrating)

Also, he definitely has a slower first step compared to NBA 3's. At the 4 he'll be quick but at the 3? Below average. (And that's ok!)
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Re: How good do you see Andrew wiggins being? 

Post#136 » by R U Legit » Mon Jun 23, 2014 1:48 am

I remember when people doubted Anthony Davis too... lol.
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Re: How good do you see Andrew wiggins being? 

Post#137 » by Hans Embiid » Mon Jun 23, 2014 1:50 am

R U Legit wrote:I remember when people doubted Anthony Davis too... lol.


yeah most of them argued he had no offensive game just putbacks and dunks. :lol:

Wiggins will be a superstar no doubt. Obviously better than Parker based on his athletic ability alone.
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Re: How good do you see Andrew wiggins being? 

Post#138 » by Sleep » Mon Jun 23, 2014 1:58 am

Wiggins floor is a rich mans MJ. His worst season I'd imagine would consist of something like 25 PPG on 65/50/95 while dishing out 8APG and locking his man down.

Anything worse than ROY, DPOY, MVP, FMVP, league leader in steals and winner of the dunk contest after his first season and he's a bust I'm trading to Cleveland for their first pick when they get it.


/green


These threads are getting ridiculous. I can't wait for the draft to be over and the season to start.
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Re: How good do you see Andrew wiggins being? 

Post#139 » by VideoGameJames » Mon Jun 23, 2014 2:18 am

More athletic Shawn Marion, at the very least.
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Re: How good do you see Andrew wiggins being? 

Post#140 » by noobcake » Mon Jun 23, 2014 2:20 am

Rapcity_11 wrote:
noobcake wrote:
THE GOAT ROSE wrote:The funny thing is people insist that Parker is a sure thing with his slow first step and with this Boozer-like defense.


lol, slow first step. You obviously don't want basketball.

Boozer-like defense? I really love the media's (and ignorant kids') focus on Parker's inability to play defense while not realizing that he is playing out of position 90% of the time as a college 5. Let me remind you of something you may not want to hear, Parker's defensive rating, while playing out of position, is superior to that of Wiggins. Parker is not a great defender, but he is certainly not a sieve that Wigginstans want to make him out to be.


Pretty sure everyone (well, almost) aknowledges Parker as a poor defender who will struggle to guard either the 3 or the 4 in the league. Hell, part of the reason he was playing C defensively was he couldn't defend the wing, at all.

Defensive rating at the individual level? Almost meaningless. (Which you did a fine job of demonstrating)

Also, he definitely has a slower first step compared to NBA 3's. At the 4 he'll be quick but at the 3? Below average. (And that's ok!)


Go watch some college basketball. Parker was playing 5 for Duke because Duke doesn't have any center on the roster. :crazy: :crazy: He is by far the best post defender and post player for Duke.

I'm done with you. Another Wigginstan seems to have been born completely blind and incapable of reasoning. Armed with a irrational love for *delete comment ruffling feathers* and misguided hopes of unrealistic development. That about sums it up.

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