WarriorGM wrote:The poll reset is just another gimmick used to argue what should be the plain as day truth that Curry should be the MVP.
"Curry is in a slump."
"Curry has been awful lately."
"So and so are ahead in all these advanced metrics."
But Curry still leads in raw plus-minus which should be recognized as the most basic most readily understandable and least adulterated measure of impact. If this is what a slumping Curry is then what was he when he wasn't slumping? You guys can create threads for how other players were robbed of awards but Curry is the player who would have the most legitimate gripe for multiple such awards being bizarrely given to someone else.
So, have a similar place for raw +/- in my MVP consideration, but wouldn't take it this far.
Last year Gobert was the one who would be MVP by this logic, and while I wouldn't call you crazy if you named him your MVP and I personally considered him quite seriously, I did end up siding with Jokic then, and frankly would probably side with Jokic again now.
Aside from all the general caveats about raw +/- being a very noisy measure of impact, I think the case becomes trickier when your team stops being the #1 seed. Well and good if you can say that your raw +/- lead means that you've led to more wins than everyone else, but that's not actually the case for Curry at this point. Gobert, despite playing in less games on a team that's won less games, has had a positive +/- more times than Curry.
Curry has his raw +/- then due to all the blowout wins he's had, which while they are impressive, they end up counting just the same as the close ones. And this leads me to a similar position with Curry to which I was last year:
When Curry and his team were grooving, I thought he was the most valuable player in the world...but they very clearly haven't done this all season in either season.
All this to say then that while I still consider Curry a very strong contender for my hypothetical MVP vote at the moment, the slump has certainly hurt his candidacy for me, and will keep hurting him if the Warriors keep falling back in the standings.