ReddoverKobe wrote:I don't think people actually hate Jokic, I think people hate that for some reason the unwritten rules about MVP don't apply to him. Team record did not matter last year when it has in the past. Guys have had monster years, Jordan included in this and voter fatigue stopped them from getting three in a row. The defensive part of this as well, not to mention the post season stuff, which people say does not matter but we know it does.
I think a lot of people are thinking similar to this but I have to say this notion that the rules are being changed for Jokic just strikes me as something that's clearly absurd and should make everyone reconsider how they think voters are actually thinking.
As I said elsewhere, "voter fatigue" is just a label. In reality most of what's happening is more like player fatigue. When a player has a worse year than the year before, that's when he's in danger of getting underrated as a candidate by voters.
You mention Jordan here, and that's always used as the canonical example of voter fatigue, but Barkley didn't beat Jordan because voters didn't want to give him a 3rd MVP. He beat him because he was the clear cut star of the Dream Team over Jordan, then switched teams and led his new team to the best record in the league as Jordan's Bulls took a major step back from the year before.
You can certainly argue Jordan still should have won, but it's undeniable that based on how MVP voters think Jordan was a considerably weaker candidate than he'd been the year before and he was facing a guy in Barkley who had all the momentum, and trying to summarize what happened as if it was simply about voters enforcing an arbitrary rule about not letting guys 3-peat as MVP.
In the case of Jokic, if you take his last 3 seasons - '20-21, '21-22 & '22-23 - and you reverse them, there's a very good chance that he only wins titles for the first ('22-23) season, but forward what we're getting is a guy who has gotten better each year, and in such circumstances voters tend to feel silly NOT voting for a guy - as they should.
None of this is intended to elevate MVP voters as the most knowledgeable, objective basketball analysts out there - if they were then my thought experiment of reversing Jokic's years wouldn't make sense - only to say that there are clear trends to help you predict how voters will behave going forward and if you have a good grasp of them, then literally nothing about Jokic's '22-23 candidacy is surprising other than the fact that he's actually playing as well as he did.










