MVP Rankings 1.0

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Re: MVP Rankings 1.0 

Post#1301 » by JimMurray » Mon Dec 28, 2009 6:17 am

LeBronade wrote:LeBron was 2nd in Defensive Player of the Year votes last season, so if that is the same this season then it would defy logic for Bryant to win the MVP over a guy that has better defense, better stats and about the same win/loss record!


Except that's not the case this year is it? Lebron's defense has regressed from last year, and Kobe's has improved.

Also....

Kobe 30 4 6
Lebron 29 8 7

If Lebron has a statistical advantage (which he does) it is small enough to be insignificant.

Now consider this...the statistical advantage becomes even more insignificant when you add in the defensive stats.

Kobe 2.2 SPG 0.2 BLK
Lebron 1.3 SPG 0.8 BLK

NOT TO MENTION, Kobe is doing what he's doing with a broken finger on his shooting hand and now a strained right elbow (shooting arm). What Kobe is doing this year is more impressive than what Lebron is doing with an improved supporting cast while playing in a significantly weaker conference. If Kobe keeps doing what he's doing, unless the Cavs finish ahead of the Lakers, Kobe will win the MVP.
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Re: MVP Rankings 1.0 

Post#1302 » by JimMurray » Mon Dec 28, 2009 6:19 am

lj4mvp wrote:why are you citing anything before that game, which pretty clearly impacts voters.

The only reason there was even a debate a few weeks ago when those articles were being written was because the cavs were viewed as struggling. That's not the case anymore.


Because it was only two days ago, and many media outlets haven't updated their rankings as of now. Not that hard to figure out, and not at all unreasonable, especially how Kobe redeemed himself the very next night.
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Re: MVP Rankings 1.0 

Post#1303 » by Father Time » Mon Dec 28, 2009 6:49 am

JimMurray wrote:
LeBronade wrote:LeBron was 2nd in Defensive Player of the Year votes last season, so if that is the same this season then it would defy logic for Bryant to win the MVP over a guy that has better defense, better stats and about the same win/loss record!


Except that's not the case this year is it? Lebron's defense has regressed from last year, and Kobe's has improved.

Also....

Kobe 30 4 6
Lebron 29 8 7

If Lebron has a statistical advantage (which he does) it is small enough to be insignificant.

Now consider this...the statistical advantage becomes even more insignificant when you add in the defensive stats.

Kobe 2.2 SPG 0.2 BLK
Lebron 1.3 SPG 0.8 BLK

NOT TO MENTION, Kobe is doing what he's doing with a broken finger on his shooting hand and now a strained right elbow (shooting arm). What Kobe is doing this year is more impressive than what Lebron is doing with an improved supporting cast while playing in a significantly weaker conference. If Kobe keeps doing what he's doing, unless the Cavs finish ahead of the Lakers, Kobe will win the MVP.


This.
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Re: MVP Rankings 1.0 

Post#1304 » by INKtastic » Mon Dec 28, 2009 7:06 am

JimMurray wrote:
lj4mvp wrote:why are you citing anything before that game, which pretty clearly impacts voters.

The only reason there was even a debate a few weeks ago when those articles were being written was because the cavs were viewed as struggling. That's not the case anymore.


Because it was only two days ago, and many media outlets haven't updated their rankings as of now. Not that hard to figure out, and not at all unreasonable, especially how Kobe redeemed himself the very next night.


Winning a double overtime game against the kings doesn't redeem getting blown out by the Cavs.

The lakers have played more home games than any team in the league
Cleveland has played more road games than any team in the league

Let's see how things look when these balance out.
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Re: MVP Rankings 1.0 

Post#1305 » by Father Time » Mon Dec 28, 2009 7:24 am

lj4mvp wrote:
JimMurray wrote:
lj4mvp wrote:why are you citing anything before that game, which pretty clearly impacts voters.

The only reason there was even a debate a few weeks ago when those articles were being written was because the cavs were viewed as struggling. That's not the case anymore.


Because it was only two days ago, and many media outlets haven't updated their rankings as of now. Not that hard to figure out, and not at all unreasonable, especially how Kobe redeemed himself the very next night.


Winning a double overtime game against the kings doesn't redeem getting blown out by the Cavs.

The lakers have played more home games than any team in the league
Cleveland has played more road games than any team in the league

Let's see how things look when these balance out.


Home games do not automatically equal easy games.
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Re: MVP Rankings 1.0 

Post#1306 » by JimMurray » Mon Dec 28, 2009 7:27 am

lj4mvp wrote:Winning a double overtime game against the kings doesn't redeem getting blown out by the Cavs.


Certainly not, but they still have another game scheduled in Cleveland don't they? Furthermore, Kobe beat Lebron TWICE last year and lost, so I'm not sure what that would have to do with anything after 82 games, other than a moderate boost in meaningless opinion polls.

The lakers have played more home games than any team in the league
Cleveland has played more road games than any team in the league


Home games....blah, blah, blah....we get it. At the end of the year the Lakers will have played a much tougher schedule than the Cavs, and if they still finish with a better record it's all bad for Lebron...all good for Kobe. Schedule arguments mean nothing to me because you and I both know the bottom line when it comes to schedules.

Let's see how things look when these balance out.


Yep.

Like I said....for now,

1a. Lebron
1b. Kobe



3. Melo

We'll see what happens.
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Re: MVP Rankings 1.0 

Post#1307 » by LeBronade » Mon Dec 28, 2009 7:40 am

LeBron has been constantly praised for his defense this season, just like last season, a huge chance for Defensive Player of the Year!
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Re: MVP Rankings 1.0 

Post#1308 » by Doctor MJ » Mon Dec 28, 2009 7:42 am

JimMurray wrote:
lj4mvp wrote:as much as you wish it were true, that's not the only reason.


Nope, that was pretty much the only reason. I cite 07-08 as my reference, where he finished 4th despite having a breakout year statistically. As much as you want to believe it had more to do with other factors.....it didn't.


The truth is somewhere in the middle here.

A player can dominate the MVP vote even if all the voters see it as a very close race. A small change can thus make all the difference.

Who has the best team is a significant factor. More importantly, when LeBron one in a vote blowout last time, the Lakers were simply another contender. Now the Lakers are the champs. Even if the Cavs end up with the best record in the league, it'll be tougher than last time.

That said, Cleveland won 45 games in '07-08. Practically, 45 wins = no shot at MVP. Big difference between that and the 60+ win pace the Cavs are currently on. And it was pretty obvious that LeBron had a significant jump statistically in '08-09.
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Re: MVP Rankings 1.0 

Post#1309 » by JimMurray » Mon Dec 28, 2009 10:23 am

Doctor MJ wrote:The truth is somewhere in the middle here.
A player can dominate the MVP vote even if all the voters see it as a very close race. A small change can thus make all the difference.

Who has the best team is a significant factor. More importantly, when LeBron one in a vote blowout last time, the Lakers were simply another contender. Now the Lakers are the champs. Even if the Cavs end up with the best record in the league, it'll be tougher than last time.

That said, Cleveland won 45 games in '07-08. Practically, 45 wins = no shot at MVP. Big difference between that and the 60+ win pace the Cavs are currently on. And it was pretty obvious that LeBron had a significant jump statistically in '08-09.


I agree with everything you said with the exception of the last sentence. Lebron had a breakthrough in 07-08, that carried over to 08-09, and although it was statistically better than the previous season, it was not SIGNIFICANTLY better.
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Re: MVP Rankings 1.0 

Post#1310 » by LeBronade » Mon Dec 28, 2009 10:55 am

LeBron's big statistical jump hasn't come yet, but one year he's going to focus on rebounding and get over 10 per game, probably play the PF spot (which he might do in his mid-late30s)! Also, there is a chance with some tinkering of the Cavs offense he could end up getting 9-10 assists per game, but it just isn't required!
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Re: MVP Rankings 1.0 

Post#1311 » by YLSKillaCam » Mon Dec 28, 2009 3:27 pm

The Cavs fans in this thread are ridiculous. It is clear they have an agenda.

On the one hand, they spend weeks talking about how poor Cleveland's supporting cast is and how Lebron has to be superhuman for them to win.

On the other hand, they are content in hanging their hats on a game in which Cleveland's supporting cast clearly outplayed the Lakers supporting cast with Lebron playing mediocre.

The arguments for Lebron are not coherent at all. Cavs fans would have you believe that MVP is a statistical award to be given to the player who accumulates the highest PER over the course of 82 games as long as the player has a decent record.

These fans manipulate two decades of MVP voting trying to convince us that player efficiency rating has a positive correlation with MVP voting. The reality is that the historical precedent is clear. The most important factor in MVP voting is winning games.

Being (arguably) the best player in the game + having the number 1 seed will get you MVP every time unless the player has won a bunch of MVPs already and there's a particularly deserving long term veteran who has yet to receive the award. That contingency doesn't apply here.

The way the Cavs' fans try to rearrange what is a pretty systemic way of choosing MVP is disgusting. They try to suggest that Lebron would surely be MVP if he had Bryant's supporting cast. They ignore the fact that if Lebron had Kobe's supporting cast, he wouldn't average as many assists or average as many rebounds. In so arguing, they suggest that the Lakers would be just as good if not better with Lebron and the Cavs would be worse. The argument is speculative at best and relies on assumptions that cannot be proven.

Instead we say, look, let's look at historical precedent. If Kobe's Lakers win the league while playing in a much tougher conference then he should be the MVP. If Lebron gets the #1 overall seed, as he did last year, then he should be the MVP. Lebron fans should accept that resolution, after all, you keep arguing that you're only 3 games back in the loss column while the Lakers have played a "fluff" schedule. Surely, as the schedule balances out, the Cavs will overtake the Lakers for #1 overall?

But Cavs fans won't accept that compromise. They insist that if the Cavs finish within a "couple" (and who knows what a couple is?) games of the Lakers, Lebron should still be MVP. Cavs fans want to maximize the windfall that comes to Lebron. He'll get the benefit of an easier schedule overall with weaker competition in the Eastern Conference, but Cavs fans insist that this fact should not matter given Kobe's supporting cast.

The argument is laughable. First, Kobe has to essentially transform his team into championship caliber players. Then when they do transform into the sort of players capable of winning, he gets none of the credit. No, instead, detractors use this as a point to try to inhibit him from winning a MVP award. Kobe Bryant transformed Pau Gasol's career. We're talking on many days about Andrew Bynum being the best center in the West. Shannon Brown and Trevor Ariza have gotten rich off of playing next to Bryant. Smush Parker was able to play two seasons in this league, STARTING, because he was next to Kobe Bryant. Because his teammates consistently overperform when playing next to him seems to be a benefit in his favor, not against him. How in the world other people are not noticing this is one of the biggest disappointments in sports.

Second, it is clear, both statistically and empirically, that the Lakers would not be nearly as good a team without Kobe. In fact, given the conference disparities, the Cavs might be better off without Lebron than the Lakers would be without Kobe. Of course, this observation is ignored when it should be key in the analysis. Empirically, the Lakers would have lost two games if not for Bryant's last second heroics. They would have probably lost at least 3 others without his heroics in the clutch. I'm sure Lebron has been clutch as well this season, but Kobe's clutchness is the difference between #1 seed and not having homecourt advantage throughout the playoffs so far. That is incredibly valuable. Statistically, the Lakers score more when Kobe is on the court than the Cavs when Lebron is on the court. The Lakers are outscored by more when Kobe is off the Court than the Cavs when Lebron is off the court. Thus, the assertion often quoted here that "Lebron means more to his team than Kobe does to his" doesn't survive factual scrutiny. These are the assertions of men with an agenda who create fantasy to suit their own purposes.

Bryant has been better than Lebron defensively. This point seems uncontested with the exception of lebrononade.

Bryant has been just as good offensively. This is a point of contention among Cavs fans, but the facts speak for themselves. Kobe's shooting better than 48% as a shooting guard! Only Ronnie Brewer shoots better than Kobe at that position and Brewer only takes 9 shots a game. There are a number of other small forwards who shoot a better percentage than Lebron. Adjusting for position, Kobe shooting has been more impressive than Lebron's. The one area where shooting is equal in every sense of the world is FT%. Kobe is STILL a significantly better FT shooter than Lebron, 84% to 77.8%.

Bryant is top 3 in two major statistical categories.

Forget just shooting guards. Kobe is the second best guard rebounder in the league this season. Only Andre Iguodala averages more rebounds at the guard position than Kobe Bryant. Lebron, by contrast, is 22nd among forwards in rebounding with a significant number of small forwards outrebounding him. You can all verify this information at NBA.com.

Again, Kobe's rebounding is more impressive than Lebron's given the positional difference.

Then go look at Lebron's supposed advantage inside. Go to NBA.com hotspots. Examine how Kobe is virtually better inside at every area except right around the basket and from about 20 feet on the left side. Most of them aren't even close.

Then add to the fact that Kobe has been playing through pretty tough injuries and been producing at a "best in the game" level and has the Lakers in control of the best record in the league - I fail to see how he isn't the MVP.....

Kobe scores the most points at his position.
He's the second best shooter FG% wise at his position.
He's the second best guard rebounder in the league.
He's 3rd overall in steals per game.
He's playing 1st team defense
He's playing injured
His Roland rating and +/- indicate his team would be significantly worse without him
He has his team with the best record in the league.

I fail to see how anyone comes close this season so far. Label me a troll or whatever...these are the facts. Take em or leave em.
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Re: MVP Rankings 1.0 

Post#1312 » by Dat Pass » Mon Dec 28, 2009 3:34 pm

YLSKillaCam wrote:The Cavs fans in this thread are ridiculous. It is clear they have an agenda.

On the one hand, they spend weeks talking about how poor Cleveland's supporting cast is and how Lebron has to be superhuman for them to win.

On the other hand, they are content in hanging their hats on a game in which Cleveland's supporting cast clearly outplayed the Lakers supporting cast with Lebron playing mediocre.


So true.

Kobes supporting cast = the best ever

LeBrons supporting cast = d'league scrubs that wouldnt make any other team
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Re: MVP Rankings 1.0 

Post#1313 » by semi-sentient » Mon Dec 28, 2009 3:38 pm

WHAT ABOUT PER? :wink:

I kind of wish things would go back to the way they were last season. LeBron was the MVP leader throughout, but they couldn't get it done against the upper echelon teams in the league. Now it looks like the Lakers can't get it done against the upper echelon teams while Kobe has lead the MVP race thus far.

I wonder if we're headed for something similar this season where Kobe wins the MVP but LeBron wins the title. That would suck. :(
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Re: MVP Rankings 1.0 

Post#1314 » by Tim_Hardawayy » Mon Dec 28, 2009 3:39 pm

YLSKillaCam wrote:The Cavs fans in this thread are ridiculous. It is clear they have an agenda.


The rest of your post, yeah, ok, I can buy that. But this? Did you really have to open with this? Everybody on RealGM has an agenda, just what is the point of this, other than to needlessly attack the other side of the debate? You're a Laker fan, you clearly have an agenda as well. Thats a given in an MVP thread.
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Re: MVP Rankings 1.0 

Post#1315 » by YLSKillaCam » Mon Dec 28, 2009 3:48 pm

Tim_Hardawayy wrote:
YLSKillaCam wrote:The Cavs fans in this thread are ridiculous. It is clear they have an agenda.


The rest of your post, yeah, ok, I can buy that. But this? Did you really have to open with this? Everybody on RealGM has an agenda, just what is the point of this, other than to needlessly attack the other side of the debate? You're a Laker fan, you clearly have an agenda as well. Thats a given in an MVP thread.


Because the Cavs fans have consistently made arguments that are incoherent.

People supporting Bryant have said, ok look, If Lebron gets the #1 seed he should be MVP. We said it last year. I was Lebron's biggest supporter last year. I thought what he did last season was incredible. This season, compared to last, not so much. And even less so given the fact that Bryant has been just as good individually if not better.

At some point, you have to shed your agenda in order to maintain your credibility.
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Re: MVP Rankings 1.0 

Post#1316 » by Tim_Hardawayy » Mon Dec 28, 2009 3:52 pm

YLSKillaCam wrote:
Because the Cavs fans have consistently made arguments that are incoherent.

People supporting Bryant have said, ok look, If Lebron gets the #1 seed he should be MVP. We said it last year. I was Lebron's biggest supporter last year. I thought what he did last season was incredible. This season, compared to last, not so much. And even less so given the fact that Bryant has been just as good individually if not better.

At some point, you have to shed your agenda in order to maintain your credibility.

First of all, you weren't even posting on RealGM last year (unless you are a formerly banned user). Second off, how can you speak for the entire Lakers fanbase? I have found no fanbase is perfect and they all have a large amount of double standards they fall back on.

All I'm saying is, you should be able to make your argument without resorting to attacking the other poster with something so hypocritical. Its almost as bad as opposing fans calling each other homers.
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Re: MVP Rankings 1.0 

Post#1317 » by LeBronade » Mon Dec 28, 2009 3:58 pm

LOL thats funny I don't even know what PER is! And the issue regarding supporting casts isn't about Cleveland's its more about the Lakers supporting cast being spoken about as some holy grail for much of the off-season! And I don't think anyone thinks the MVP is statistical, we know whomever wins the most games is the almost certain MVP (see Kobe winning over Paul)!
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Re: MVP Rankings 1.0 

Post#1318 » by INKtastic » Mon Dec 28, 2009 4:00 pm

YLSKillaCam wrote:The Cavs fans in this thread are ridiculous. It is clear they have an agenda.

On the one hand, they spend weeks talking about how poor Cleveland's supporting cast is and how Lebron has to be superhuman for them to win.

On the other hand, they are content in hanging their hats on a game in which Cleveland's supporting cast clearly outplayed the Lakers supporting cast with Lebron playing mediocre.


Don't lump all cavs fans together. I've never said we have a poor supporting cast. I have said that Gasol is clearly is better than the 2nd best player on the cavs - which I don't think too many people would disagree with. Cleveland quite clearly has more depth - Boobie is leading the league in 3 point shooting and finds himself suddenly unable to crack the 9 man rotation. And we have a highly motivated Powe waiting in the wings too as he recovers from ACL surgery.

I've pretty consistently said we had a few issues this year

- working 4 new players into the rotation brings a few extra losses early in the season. Compounding this was various players missing games early. We played lots of minutes with lots of lineups who hadn't played together before.
- The Delonte situation also hurt the team early. He's one of our more important players, and for a while we didn't know if he'd be around from one day to the next. He seems to be stabilizing, which gives us a nice boost.
- the home vs away disparity in schedules highly favors he lakers early. LA has played the most home games, Cleveland has played the most away games.

Despite all of that, we're just 1 1/2 games behind LA and just 1/2 a game behind boston just as the team is starting to gel a bit. It's just a matter of time now before we're on top. On top in the standings, on top in the power rankings.
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Re: MVP Rankings 1.0 

Post#1319 » by YLSKillaCam » Mon Dec 28, 2009 4:01 pm

Tim_Hardawayy wrote:
YLSKillaCam wrote:
Because the Cavs fans have consistently made arguments that are incoherent.

People supporting Bryant have said, ok look, If Lebron gets the #1 seed he should be MVP. We said it last year. I was Lebron's biggest supporter last year. I thought what he did last season was incredible. This season, compared to last, not so much. And even less so given the fact that Bryant has been just as good individually if not better.

At some point, you have to shed your agenda in order to maintain your credibility.

First of all, you weren't even posting on RealGM last year (unless you are a formerly banned user). Second off, how can you speak for the entire Lakers fanbase? I have found no fanbase is perfect and they all have a large amount of double standards they fall back on.

All I'm saying is, you should be able to make your argument without resorting to attacking the other poster with something so hypocritical. Its almost as bad as opposing fans calling each other homers.



What is hypocritical? I didn't call them out for being fans. I called them out for flip flopping their arguments depending on how it would benefit their favorite player. No person supporting Kobe has done that in this thread at all. It seems to me that all of "us" have said, If Lebron gets #1 seed, he should be MVP. Other's supporting Kobe have been even more accomodating saying that If Lebron got #1 in the East he could still win even if the Lakers are #1.

What's the point of a discussion if the people you're talking to are unreasonable?

And it isn't ALL cavs fans. LJ4mvp the mod is decent. Bendictboozer is a good guy. InBoobieGibson and LebronsCavs and Lebrononade those are the people I'm talking about.

I call em as I see em. Incoherent arguments and hypocricy SHOULD be pointed out. Cats with a clear agenda shouldn't have their posts taken as seriously as cats who want to engage in discussion. We should be trying to flesh out what a MVP is and who best fits that distinction this season, not rearranging precendent and making BS claims so that you can put your favorite player first.
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Re: MVP Rankings 1.0 

Post#1320 » by Dat Pass » Mon Dec 28, 2009 4:01 pm

The more the season goes on, the more pointless I think this thread is. This race is seriously going to go back and forth all year. This thread will mean nothing until late March.

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