Biggest surprise bust ever?

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Re: Biggest surprise bust ever? 

Post#141 » by Cal And Jay » Sat Sep 7, 2019 2:08 am

DimesandKnicks wrote:
Pinkyring wrote:
mabundo_nagumbe wrote:Lonzo

A bit early for that


Can someone explain the Lonzo Hate to me? He has awful shooting splits and has been injured but the man is a 6'6 point guard whose averged 10 6 and 6 over his career.

I think a lot of people haven't watched him play, same type of people who would say DeAngelo Russell is a good player without watching him play. Zo was the Lakers best player past two seasons
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Re: Biggest surprise bust ever? 

Post#142 » by Capn'O » Sat Sep 7, 2019 3:27 am

mplsfonz23 wrote:I hope someone brought up Michael Olowokandi. When he was with Minnesota, he wouldn't even shower because he was running to the bar across the street. I heard he would down a six pack before games.

I also think Sam Bowie just because he was picked ahead of Jordan.


Damn. That's bad.

IIRC, he was always a weird #1 pick like Bennett. Iirc, everyone was surprised.
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Re: Biggest surprise bust ever? 

Post#143 » by TheBobster » Sat Sep 7, 2019 3:38 am

There's a bunch of guys picked very early who couldn't play a lick (excluding out players who were injured, as well as foreign players and players straight from high school who are, by nature, a gamble) -

Anthony Bennett
LaRue Martin
Adam Morrison
Hasheem Thabeet
Chris Washburn
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Re: Biggest surprise bust ever? 

Post#144 » by GreatWhiteStiff » Sat Sep 7, 2019 4:13 am

I actually kind of liked Thabeet as at least a defensive big who wouldn't be awful offensively. Like his floor is a really good shotblocking defensive guy. But nah. Not even close.

Thabeet shot over (easily over) 60% from the field and line in college too...so it seemed like he could at least finish well. I always liked players who could convert @ the rim.
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Re: Biggest surprise bust ever? 

Post#145 » by lalalaker » Sat Sep 7, 2019 8:36 am

all wasted number 1 pick is a bust. injury is an excuse but the rest like anthony bennet, kwame brown, fultz,bargnani. they all showed alot of skills before draft but then sucked once selected. fultz is more recent and havent heard any news about him lately but seems to me he will dissappear anyways
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Re: Biggest surprise bust ever? 

Post#146 » by Joel Embust » Sat Sep 7, 2019 9:07 am

Emmanuel Mudiay
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Re: Biggest surprise bust ever? 

Post#147 » by basketballRob » Sat Sep 7, 2019 10:03 am

illuminati666 wrote:Bruno Caboclo
He looks really good

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Re: Biggest surprise bust ever? 

Post#148 » by basketballRob » Sat Sep 7, 2019 10:07 am

spikeslovechild wrote:Oden and Fultz. Also Bias.
Fultz hasn't even logged enough minutes for the game to slow down for him yet. How many players didn't play well at 19 or 20 and went on to have great careers?

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Re: Biggest surprise bust ever? 

Post#149 » by basketballRob » Sat Sep 7, 2019 10:10 am

Lalouie wrote:
niQ wrote:
HotelVitale wrote:
That was shaky scouting, though, lots of us on the draft boards had a ton of questions about Fultz. Not the sort of ones were you're dwelling on weaknesses (e.g. Ben Simmons not trying hard on defense) but ones about how he was actually going to be a NBA player; he played sort of a slow-mo game and coasted a lot, and he relied way too much on fadeaways against smaller players. It was legitimately difficult for me to see how we he did at UW translated to the NBA, and people were weirdly quick to assume his 3pt% was real (while his FT% wasn't) and that he was going to be a monster in the pn'r. Both those things are insanely hard to be above average at in the NBA and Fultz definitely wasn't there in college.

To be clear, I basically liked him as a prospect and he was in my top 5, but he was like many other prospects who brought good packages but would've needed to develop well to become a good player (let alone great). Even if he didn't lose his shot completely he was more of a high upside prospect than a low floor one.


I remember everyone was hyping that draft class so much. (The buzz was primarily surrounding Fultz, Ball, and Fox. You were essentially getting a star PG either way.) But I remember watching Fultz's highlights and not seeing what the hype was about. I was actually excited to find out whether he would be better in the NBA... but.. you all know the rest...

Btw, here's one of the videos that was circulating around that time.




fultz was a case of believing in the talent and willing to forgive the weaknesses, mainly HIS ATTITUDE. but it was all there for gm's to see but they didn't want to. or maybe it's just FO's and coaches have this big ego that makes them think they can deal with any personality. fultz was a loser with a poor work attitude going back at least as far as washington
Yeah he's finished at 20 years old.

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Re: Biggest surprise bust ever? 

Post#150 » by basketballRob » Sat Sep 7, 2019 10:14 am

Jay Williams was one of the most touted players ever to come out of Duke and was never the same after a motorcycle accident.

Shaun Livingston was going to be the next Magic Johnson before he had a horrific leg injury and was never the same player

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Re: Biggest surprise bust ever? 

Post#151 » by LSandersBong » Sat Sep 7, 2019 10:51 am

Jahlil Okafor thought he was going to be Duncanesque on offence and thought that with his length and size his defence would catch up and be ok.

Jabari Parker thought he might of been able to be to be a stud close to prime memo but even when he put up all right numbers with the Bucks they were better with him of the floor.

Stanley Johnson thought if he could develop into a butler/George/Leonard type player or even a solid 3 and starter

Markelle Fultz might be a bit soon but man what a weird start to his NBA career.
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Re: Biggest surprise bust ever? 

Post#152 » by Chanel Bomber » Sat Sep 7, 2019 1:22 pm

HEAT33 wrote:Michael Beasley, was a beast in college, soon as he made the NBA he didn't care as he was an instant millionaire.
He had the tools to be a great player, maybe a top 10 player, but just nothing between the ears

Michael Beasley wins this by a landslide imo. I thought he had top 3 player potential, same as Derrick Rose. There was no doubt in my mind Miami had drafted their franchise player and future Hall-of-Famer. Beas had SO MUCH potential.

Darko is a good call as well. Scouts and NBA teams expected him to eat NBA bigs alive with his touch, talent and physical tools. We only saw flashes but the potential was there. However, the guy would show up to practice DRUNK. Of course, Detroit was the worst possible destination for him with Larry Brown at the helm but it doesn’t justify how Darko threw his career away. What a waste.

To a lower extent, Yi Jianlian was such a waste of talent as well.
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Re: Biggest surprise bust ever? 

Post#153 » by Chanel Bomber » Sat Sep 7, 2019 1:25 pm

basketballRob wrote:Jay Williams was one of the most touted players ever to come out of Duke and was never the same after a motorcycle accident.

Shaun Livingston was going to be the next Magic Johnson before he had a horrific leg injury and was never the same player

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That’s a stretch, Livingston was never hyped as the next Magic. He wasn’t even the next Penny. He was hella talented though, and his injury definitely put a ceiling on his career, but he was never going to be the next Magic, come on bro lol.
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Re: Biggest surprise bust ever? 

Post#154 » by basketballRob » Sat Sep 7, 2019 1:37 pm

Chanel Bomber wrote:
basketballRob wrote:Jay Williams was one of the most touted players ever to come out of Duke and was never the same after a motorcycle accident.

Shaun Livingston was going to be the next Magic Johnson before he had a horrific leg injury and was never the same player

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That’s a stretch, Livingston was never hyped as the next Magic. He wasn’t even the next Penny. He was hella talented though, and his injury definitely put a ceiling on his career, but he was never going to be the next Magic, come on bro lol.


You don't remember correctly bro. He definitely was being compared to Magic coming out. I'm sure I could find dozens of reports to back that up. Lol

https://123sports.net/tag/shaun-livingston/

https://www.si.com/vault/2014/04/07/106450914/the-case-for--shaun-livingston
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Re: Biggest surprise bust ever? 

Post#155 » by j-ragg » Sat Sep 7, 2019 1:41 pm

Thomas Robinson for me. I figured even if he isn't a 20+10 guy, at least he'll be a double digit rebounder for a decade in the league. He seemed like he'd have a pretty high floor from watching him at Kansas.
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Re: Biggest surprise bust ever? 

Post#156 » by Jabroni Lames » Sat Sep 7, 2019 4:21 pm

basketballRob wrote:
illuminati666 wrote:Bruno Caboclo
He looks really good

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"2 years away from 2 years away" might be the greatest quote & prediction in the history of the NBA draft. It was a good pick.




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Re: Biggest surprise bust ever? 

Post#157 » by SlowPaced » Sat Sep 7, 2019 4:23 pm

It might still be early, but I'll go with Fultz. He was supposed to be a safe, high floor pick. Had him as my favorite prospect in his draft class. He's become a completely different player after the injury.

Aside from Fultz, Ben McLemore is up there for me. An explosive 6'5'' shooting guard who shot 49.5% - 42.0% - 87.0% at college becoming a scrub is pretty shocking. Likewise was my favorite prospect in his respective draft class.
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Re: Biggest surprise bust ever? 

Post#158 » by PlatinumState » Sat Sep 7, 2019 4:45 pm

Fultz and Andrew Wiggins for me because I had sky high expectations for them
I cant say Bennett because I didnt even know about his college career to expect him to be a bust.
I wouldnt consider a player a suprise bust if he was drafted after #10 though. Its a crap shoot after 10 and youre more likely to draft a bust then a star at that point. Ergo you cant be suprised that you picked a bust

Also you cant call Oden, Roy, Jay Williams busts because those were all freak injuries.
Same goes for Markelle if we ever find out if he was really injured and not making it out to be worse than it is
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Re: Biggest surprise bust ever? 

Post#159 » by NPZ » Sat Sep 7, 2019 6:51 pm

dc wrote:
NPZ wrote:
dc wrote:Glenn Robinson was a surprise bust/disappointment. I know it's strange to say that of a 2 time all-star, but consider that he was basically the consensus #1 overall pick in a draft with Kidd and Grant Hill taken after him. He had some good years with the Bucks, but he ended up being a journeyman by the time he hit his late 20s. That's a big disappointment considering his draft hype what people expected of him.


Remember SportsCenter during his Purdue years having his highlights on every night. He was hyped up a little, but you get that when you average 30 pts in college. He was a good player, he just wasn't better than Hill or Kidd and that question was debated even then. I wouldn't call Robinson a bust by any means, but I'd like to know what specifically he was doing to make MIL prefer him over Hill or Kidd's games. Maybe a 40sthg Bucks fan can answer that one. That is the franchise that swiped Coach Dunleavy from the Lakers and overpaid him heavily to sign with them, so they were in the habit of purposely choosing mediocrity maybe. Hill was known as the all-around best player in 94, too. It's not like they had to discover that after the fact. Kidd was obviously a top notch passer/PG. He's still the best passing college prospect, btw. No one has touched him since. Don't tell me about Lonzo either.''


You have to recall a couple things about that era of basketball:
1. college performance really mattered
2. NBA wasn't the guard heavy league that it now is.

Robinson was absolutely dominant at Purdue. He was a one man team that carried an otherwise pretty lame Purdue roster. He pretty much single handidly beat a very good/deep Kansas team in the semi-final. Grant Hill was just thought of as a really talented guy scoring 17-18ppg who wasn't required to do as much playing for a team a program as good as Duke.

Kidd was a PG. He was very highly thought of, but the thought back then was you can never win building around a PG not named Magic (who was a 6'9" PG). And of course teams were concerned about his poor shooting ability.

Robinson wasn't thought of as much of a playmaker in college, but remember this was the peak era of 90s isolation basketball with zone defenses not being allowed and such, and he was clearly the most dominant ISO scorer in college.


Well, lemme ask you this, dc. Which of those 3 would you as GM put alongside the impressive rookie Vin Baker? Kidd and him might've been the most suitable pairing regardless of how good Big Dog was.
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Re: Biggest surprise bust ever? 

Post#160 » by tsirigoj » Sat Sep 7, 2019 11:27 pm

dc wrote:
tsirigoj wrote:I read a quote back in the day that people thought his ceiling was best player in the league and, possibly, one of the best ever.

C-Webb never had a 'one of the GOATs' ceiling.


That's the first I ever heard of that. That's the kind of stuff that comes from dad's and middle school coaches. I guess that's a first for everything. CBSSportsline once pegged Terence Morris from Maryland as the #1 pick in the 1999 draft at the beginning of the college season. Morris ended up going in the 2nd round.

I mean, the guy went #5 overall in the draft and, outside of Donyell Marshall to the T-Wolves, I didn't hear anyone saying the teams drafting ahead of that should've taken Howard. Howard was a 6'9" PF with pretty decent post skills and average athletically. That never screamed GOAT to me.

Webber was hands down the #1 HS recruit in the country when the Fab 5 formed. Howard was never a better player at Michigan and never thought to have more upside.


No doubt, it was a wacky thing to say, but I do remember someone putting that out there. I have to go and look for it, but I promise you, someone respected in the basketball world (a coach? GM? player? I can't remember) was making the claim.

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