NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2022-23 (pt 3)

Moderators: Clav, Domejandro, ken6199, bisme37, Dirk, KingDavid, cupcakesnake, bwgood77, zimpy27, infinite11285

Who is leading the MVP race? (listed alphabetically)

Giannis Antetokounmpo
97
31%
Steph Curry
2
1%
Luka Doncic
14
4%
Kevin Durant
2
1%
Joel Embiid
20
6%
LeBron James
2
1%
Nikola Jokic
158
50%
Ja Morant
1
0%
Jayson Tatum
15
5%
Other (Mitchell, Zion, SGA, Dame, Harden, Sabonis, etc.)
7
2%
 
Total votes: 318

Exp0sed
General Manager
Posts: 7,931
And1: 7,372
Joined: Feb 10, 2022

Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2022-23 (pt 3) 

Post#1461 » by Exp0sed » Sat Mar 4, 2023 5:50 pm

Magic Giannison wrote:
Mickey8 wrote:Giannis is playing on the team that is loaded with the defensive minded players which helps him a lot, he has as many blocks as Jokic for the season average.

Blocks? are we gonna do a Hassan Widesie discussion this year as well ?

Giannis is still #1 even without brook at the rim, in fact Giannis makes anyone he defends shooting worse on average by 7% ( anywhere on the court)

People shoot 16% against Giannis at the rim...

Image

There is a reason why Bucks are way ahead in defense.


There are multiple individual metrics that showcases Giannis as the best defender in the league much less on the Bucks


I find it hilarious anyone trying to downplay Giannis defense when he has been elite anchor since 2016 at the age of 20


Giannis is elite defensively, no question about that
but ur oversimplifying things, the schemes that Bud can employ that tunnel certain players \ plays \ spots to a position where the offense is uncomfortable with or the defense is very comfortable with has alot to do with having Elite defensive talent around him

How would a Giannis led team fair defensviely with say...Morris + Barton + Campazzo?

Now for some facts;

the Bucks according to BBREF have a defensive rating of 110.1 which is good for 2nd in the league

Statmuse has the Bucks defensive rating with Giannis at 110.3 and in the 12 games without him - 112.6

112.6 would be good for 4th in the league

small sample size, yeah I know but try to wrap your head around it anyway:

The Bucks without Giannis have been the 4th best defense in the league
I think that tells you everything you need to know, no? :)

there is no reliable way to seperate individual defense - did a player shoot poorly because of the defense Giannis played on him, or was it the defense on the perimeter that forced the offense into a bad shot late in the shot clock or funneled the shooter to where they knew Giannis is lying in wait?

in reality - it's usually a combination of those things and in elite defensive teams like the Bucks - it's mostly a team effort

btw, Statsmuse counts those two games where Giannis played just a few mins as games "with him"
in reality he played 6 mins vs the Heat at home, a game where the Bucks went on to win and held Miami to 99 pts
the same goes for the Bulls game before it, where he played 9 mins and the Bulls scored a 100 pts

counting those differently will make the gap between the Bucks with\without Giannis even narrower

now again, it's very hard to seperate the individual defense from the team defense as we all know
but we can use common sense and assume, that since the Bucks have played elite defenders almost across the board (with and without Giannis) - Jrue and Lopez are the obvious ones but i'll add Jevon Carter to that list

playing him and Allen basically in place of Portis (whose more offensive minded) has helped as well, he has a DBPM of +1.9 which is elite for a guard and other advanced metrics tell a similar story about him defense

so we can assume that maybe just maybe, having all these guys play with Giannis is helping Giannis defense as well?
it's a two-way street

no1 is doubting that Giannis is the best and most impactful defender on the Bucks, that's plain to see and also supported by stats as well, he is posting the best DBPM and defensive rating on the team and we can look up a 100 stats like that one that was posted about the FG% at the rim etc

but the Bucks defense if far from being just Giannis and as good a defensive anchor as he is (and he is :P) - you can't just brush aside how good the Bucks have been defensively without him

right?
User avatar
CharityStripe34
General Manager
Posts: 9,620
And1: 6,461
Joined: Dec 01, 2014
     

Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2022-23 (pt 3) 

Post#1462 » by CharityStripe34 » Sat Mar 4, 2023 5:57 pm

Duke4life831 wrote:
CharityStripe34 wrote:
Mickey8 wrote:Giannis is playing on the team that is loaded with the defensive minded players which helps him a lot, he has as many blocks as Jokic for the season average.


Is this implying that without Holiday or Lopez he wouldn't be as great a defender?

Ya there is no way to cut it, Giannis is an elite defender. Just because Milwaukee has multiple elite defenders doesn’t take away the fact Giannis is still elite.



Almost like both Milwaukee and Denver have tried their best to build around the strengths of their franchise players, how fascinating :D
"Wes, Hill, Ibaka, Allen, Nwora, Brook, Pat, Ingles, Khris are all slow-mo, injury prone ... a sandcastle waiting for playoff wave to get wrecked. A castle with no long-range archers... is destined to fall. That is all I have to say."-- FOTIS
Duke4life831
Forum Mod
Forum Mod
Posts: 36,753
And1: 67,430
Joined: Jun 16, 2015
 

Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2022-23 (pt 3) 

Post#1463 » by Duke4life831 » Sat Mar 4, 2023 6:09 pm

CharityStripe34 wrote:
Duke4life831 wrote:
CharityStripe34 wrote:
Is this implying that without Holiday or Lopez he wouldn't be as great a defender?

Ya there is no way to cut it, Giannis is an elite defender. Just because Milwaukee has multiple elite defenders doesn’t take away the fact Giannis is still elite.



Almost like both Milwaukee and Denver have tried their best to build around the strengths of their franchise players, how fascinating :D


Ya this would kind of be equivalent to saying, well Jokic really isn’t that good of a facilitator because he’s surrounded by really good shooters in MPJ, Murray, and KCP and has an elite athletic cutter in Gordon.

It’s like, well ya that’s just good team building and maximizing what your franchise player brings to the table.
User avatar
Magic Giannison
RealGM
Posts: 27,846
And1: 27,300
Joined: Aug 08, 2014
   

Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2022-23 (pt 3) 

Post#1464 » by Magic Giannison » Sat Mar 4, 2023 6:30 pm

Exp0sed wrote:
Giannis is elite defensively, no question about that
but ur oversimplifying things, the schemes that Bud can employ that tunnel certain players \ plays \ spots to a position where the offense is uncomfortable with or the defense is very comfortable with has alot to do with having Elite defensive talent around him

How would a Giannis led team fair defensviely with say...Morris + Barton + Campazzo?

Now for some facts;

the Bucks according to BBREF have a defensive rating of 110.1 which is good for 2nd in the league

Statmuse has the Bucks defensive rating with Giannis at 110.3 and in the 12 games without him - 112.6

112.6 would be good for 4th in the league

small sample size, yeah I know but try to wrap your head around it anyway:

The Bucks without Giannis have been the 4th best defense in the league
I think that tells you everything you need to know, no? :)

there is no reliable way to seperate individual defense - did a player shoot poorly because of the defense Giannis played on him, or was it the defense on the perimeter that forced the offense into a bad shot late in the shot clock or funneled the shooter to where they knew Giannis is lying in wait?

in reality - it's usually a combination of those things and in elite defensive teams like the Bucks - it's mostly a team effort

btw, Statsmuse counts those two games where Giannis played just a few mins as games "with him"
in reality he played 6 mins vs the Heat at home, a game where the Bucks went on to win and held Miami to 99 pts
the same goes for the Bulls game before it, where he played 9 mins and the Bulls scored a 100 pts

counting those differently will make the gap between the Bucks with\without Giannis even narrower

now again, it's very hard to seperate the individual defense from the team defense as we all know
but we can use common sense and assume, that since the Bucks have played elite defenders almost across the board (with and without Giannis) - Jrue and Lopez are the obvious ones but i'll add Jevon Carter to that list

playing him and Allen basically in place of Portis (whose more offensive minded) has helped as well, he has a DBPM of +1.9 which is elite for a guard and other advanced metrics tell a similar story about him defense

so we can assume that maybe just maybe, having all these guys play with Giannis is helping Giannis defense as well?
it's a two-way street

no1 is doubting that Giannis is the best and most impactful defender on the Bucks, that's plain to see and also supported by stats as well, he is posting the best DBPM and defensive rating on the team and we can look up a 100 stats like that one that was posted about the FG% at the rim etc

but the Bucks defense if far from being just Giannis and as good a defensive anchor as he is (and he is :P) - you can't just brush aside how good the Bucks have been defensively without him

right?


Il try to summarize as shortest possible:

Basically because defensive rating is such a lousy/noisy stat hence why people use heavy filters combined with eye test to try to make some sense on who are the best defenders. People tend to combine multiple metrics as its very hard to showcase defense in stats compared to offense.

Same with DBPM ( god i hate plus minus ). Grayson Allen is the worst defensive guard on the Bucks and arguably one of the worst defenders on the team but because he plays and starts with 3 elite defenders ( Giannis, Brook, Jrue) he has a positive outlook.
Trust me when i say this that Allen is getting played out of court multiple times to the point of many frustrated Bucks fans ask for his ass to be sat as he is a big negative there, especially visible during nights he struggle to contribute offensively.

Giannis is the defensive system of the Bucks, everyone else around him add up to that. Like ive mentioned many times before Brook Lopez quite often gets payed out of the court vs teams that are good shooting and expose is drop coverage and sagging. The Bucks small lineup with Giannis at 5 was made as an answer to cover that and its one of the best defensive lineups for the Bucks.


You will never see that with Giannis, even in off nights Giannis off ball defense alone is at such level that he disturbs alot of plays and stopping them from happening. It is also why anyone defended by him is shooting 7% worse on the court.


There is a video that was posted 2 years ago that still relevant about Bucks defense which answers your question about Giannis and rest of the team.


You can follow some of your points covered in this discussion on the Player Comparison board if you're interested
viewtopic.php?f=64&t=2271601


As for the Giannis teammates you can check who were in 2015-16-17 ( years Giannis was solidified as elite defender especially 16-17 )
https://www.basketball-reference.com/teams/MIL/2017.html (example where he was selected all defense)
GeorgeSears
Lead Assistant
Posts: 5,539
And1: 5,947
Joined: Feb 10, 2021
 

Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2022-23 (pt 3) 

Post#1465 » by GeorgeSears » Sat Mar 4, 2023 6:53 pm

Richard Jefferson has completely beclowned himself. He doubled down on his "hockey assist" take : The reason Jokic gets 10 assists... is because his teammates are cutting hard.
Read on Twitter


Bonus:
Read on Twitter
User avatar
Magic Giannison
RealGM
Posts: 27,846
And1: 27,300
Joined: Aug 08, 2014
   

Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2022-23 (pt 3) 

Post#1466 » by Magic Giannison » Sat Mar 4, 2023 7:06 pm

Ohh god RJ is going ham on twitter, the devil inside me loves this :lol:
nikster
RealGM
Posts: 14,436
And1: 12,938
Joined: Sep 08, 2013

Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2022-23 (pt 3) 

Post#1467 » by nikster » Sat Mar 4, 2023 7:28 pm

GeorgeSears wrote:Richard Jefferson has completely beclowned himself. He doubled down on his "hockey assist" take : The reason Jokic gets 10 assists... is because his teammates are cutting hard.
Read on Twitter


Bonus:
Read on Twitter

Such a dumbass. Easily debunked. His teammates score so much more efficiently off of Jokic passes. No way that happens if they're just chucking it up. He's also right up there with all the other best passers in secondary assists
Duke4life831
Forum Mod
Forum Mod
Posts: 36,753
And1: 67,430
Joined: Jun 16, 2015
 

Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2022-23 (pt 3) 

Post#1468 » by Duke4life831 » Sat Mar 4, 2023 7:40 pm

The thing I dont get with the whole "he doesnt get hockey assists" thing is with RJ repeating that and kind of making this big point about it, I just thought it was true. Then I decided to go look up hockey assists (secondary assists). Jokic is currently 11th right now in hockey assists, not 11th on his team, but 11th in the entire NBA. And to put that number into some perspective, he's just 4 away from being 6th and 9 away from being tied for 3rd.

For comparison, this would be like someone saying, "Trae Young is good and all, but he just doesnt score." Trae is 11th in scoring this year.

Also to go on further about what RJ is talking about and this idea that Denver coaches are really pushing their players to shoot when getting a pass from Jokic. You would think his assist to pass ratio would be really high (or at least much higher than everyone else if guys were being told to do this). So I went to look at this, well Jokic isnt even in the top 20 (21st) in this stat. Hell when compared to all of the guys in the top 10 in assists per game, Jokic is tied with Mike Conley for having the lowest assist to pass ratio. So its actually the complete opposite, more so than any of the other high assists guys outside of Conley, more of Jokic's passes arent being assisted on.

But please RJ keep giving us that great insider info...
User avatar
greekbuck34
RealGM
Posts: 16,048
And1: 11,639
Joined: Feb 02, 2015
   

Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2022-23 (pt 3) 

Post#1469 » by greekbuck34 » Sat Mar 4, 2023 8:16 pm

Mickey8 wrote:Giannis is playing on the team that is loaded with the defensive minded players which helps him a lot, he has as many blocks as Jokic for the season average.


When you play with defensive minded players you lose on offense.
If the Nuggets had more defensive minded players to boost their overall defense they wouldn't be the best jumpshooting team in the league right now.
In order to complete an assist the role player still has to hit his open shot.

I don't know if its luck or the choice of the Nuggets front office but they seem to prefer to have great 3p shooters and athletic/quick cutters instead of better defenders even if Gordon, KCP and Brown are great two way players anyway. I think they are completely right because this type of player makes Jokic work on offense since he is not a volume scorer.

The Bucks for the last 5-6 seasons choose players first for their defense and second for their offense. We used to complain about that in the past because Giannis gets surrounded by players or meets a wall of defenders in front of him and we can't convert on the wide open shots he creates in the playoffs but since our championship we realised that elite defense and enormous size in the paint is more consistent offensively than depending on efficient 50-60 3s per game like the Celtics or Miami for example.
GHOSTofSIKMA wrote: I think that we will do worse than last season and that Giannis is now just a mere all star. All because we switched from Bud to Griffin.
Wolfgang630
RealGM
Posts: 21,445
And1: 20,545
Joined: Feb 07, 2016
 

Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2022-23 (pt 3) 

Post#1470 » by Wolfgang630 » Sat Mar 4, 2023 9:29 pm

GeorgeSears wrote:Richard Jefferson has completely beclowned himself. He doubled down on his "hockey assist" take : The reason Jokic gets 10 assists... is because his teammates are cutting hard.
Read on Twitter


Bonus:
Read on Twitter



John Wilkes Booth LMAO. Someone took that racist’s name
User avatar
stoo
Sixth Man
Posts: 1,552
And1: 1,411
Joined: Jun 11, 2018
 

Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2022-23 (pt 3) 

Post#1471 » by stoo » Sat Mar 4, 2023 9:42 pm

GeorgeSears wrote:Richard Jefferson has completely beclowned himself. He doubled down on his "hockey assist" take : The reason Jokic gets 10 assists... is because his teammates are cutting hard.
Read on Twitter



lol. espn head claims jokic's teammates look to score after his passes, to defend his wrong "insider" narrative, and people actually use this as some prrof :D

i mean, of course u are going to try to score on an open look, and if there is 1 team that in the nba that always looks for better shot and does extra passes it's nuggets

this all is becoming ridiculous

btw, i just realized that embiid is better on defense than Jokic only at contesting shots at the rim.
NotSinceWilt
maxwellcu
Bench Warmer
Posts: 1,478
And1: 535
Joined: Jul 27, 2007

Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2022-23 (pt 3) 

Post#1472 » by maxwellcu » Sat Mar 4, 2023 9:51 pm

stoo wrote:
GeorgeSears wrote:Richard Jefferson has completely beclowned himself. He doubled down on his "hockey assist" take : The reason Jokic gets 10 assists... is because his teammates are cutting hard.
Read on Twitter



lol. espn head claims jokic's teammates look to score after his passes, to defend his wrong "insider" narrative, and people actually use this as some prrof :D

i mean, of course u are going to try to score on an open look, and if there is 1 team that in the nba that always looks for better shot and does extra passes it's nuggets

this all is becoming ridiculous

btw, i just realized that embiid is better on defense than Jokic only at contesting shots at the rim.


The only difference between Embiid and Jokic in terms of defense is that Embiid is given 20-30 unearned free throws per game and he gets a similar treatment on the other end. AKA, Embiid is allowed to foul at will while if Jokic so much as breathes on a guy, he's called for a foul if not outright given a T. Just a complete joke. Embiid sucks at basketball and he's a creation of a Silver's thirst for a loud moron superstar. Because that's "charismastic", right? :lol: :lol: :lol:
losmi
Junior
Posts: 407
And1: 591
Joined: Jan 26, 2022

Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2022-23 (pt 3) 

Post#1473 » by losmi » Sat Mar 4, 2023 9:53 pm

Top 5 candidates' w-l in the games they played, sorted by wins:

Tatum 43-17
Jokic 42-14
Giannis 38-12
Embiid 31-18
Doncic 30-24

~20 games left

With 10+ wins behind and only ~20 games left, Embiid and Doncic shouldn't be in the conversation anymore.
User avatar
stoo
Sixth Man
Posts: 1,552
And1: 1,411
Joined: Jun 11, 2018
 

Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2022-23 (pt 3) 

Post#1474 » by stoo » Sat Mar 4, 2023 10:03 pm

losmi wrote:Top 5 candidates' w-l in the games they played, sorted by wins:

Tatum 43-17
Jokic 42-14
Giannis 38-12
Embiid 31-18
Doncic 30-24

~20 games left

With 10+ wins behind and only ~20 games left, Embiid and Doncic shouldn't be in the conversation anymore.


yep. I believe Jokic, Giannis and Tatum are in conversation right now

btw, Tatum has 1 more win than Jokic, but 42-14 looks little more impressive than 43-17
NotSinceWilt
DutchManDanFan
Head Coach
Posts: 6,107
And1: 2,915
Joined: May 25, 2005
Location: Voorschoten
 

Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2022-23 (pt 3) 

Post#1475 » by DutchManDanFan » Sun Mar 5, 2023 1:22 am

losmi wrote:Top 5 candidates' w-l in the games they played, sorted by wins:

Tatum 43-17
Jokic 42-14
Giannis 38-12
Embiid 31-18
Doncic 30-24

~20 games left

With 10+ wins behind and only ~20 games left, Embiid and Doncic shouldn't be in the conversation anymore.

AH, the argument with the games played or missed again....
Nuggets without Jokic: 5 losses, 6 games against play-off teams.
Bucks without Giannis: 5 losses, 4 games against play-off teams.
The Nuggets without Jokic did better than expected against these teams. Better than the Bucks without Giannis.
Duke4life831
Forum Mod
Forum Mod
Posts: 36,753
And1: 67,430
Joined: Jun 16, 2015
 

Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2022-23 (pt 3) 

Post#1476 » by Duke4life831 » Sun Mar 5, 2023 2:16 am

The way this thread is going soon we’re going to be seeing arguments like, “Jokic actually has a better on/off on Wednesday night games” then “oh ya, Giannis has yet to lose a game when the outside temperature was below freezing.”
GiannisAnte34
Analyst
Posts: 3,394
And1: 2,767
Joined: Jun 19, 2019
 

Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2022-23 (pt 3) 

Post#1477 » by GiannisAnte34 » Sun Mar 5, 2023 3:19 am

This your MVP eyeatoma?
Wolfgang630
RealGM
Posts: 21,445
And1: 20,545
Joined: Feb 07, 2016
 

Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2022-23 (pt 3) 

Post#1478 » by Wolfgang630 » Sun Mar 5, 2023 4:05 am

GiannisAnte34 wrote:This your MVP eyeatoma?


Lol way too soon
_NoMas
Bench Warmer
Posts: 1,435
And1: 1,564
Joined: Mar 28, 2021

Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2022-23 (pt 3) 

Post#1479 » by _NoMas » Sun Mar 5, 2023 4:05 am

GiannisAnte34 wrote:This your MVP eyeatoma?


Sure you didn’t go too soon with your comment run and dunk man?
GiannisAnte34
Analyst
Posts: 3,394
And1: 2,767
Joined: Jun 19, 2019
 

Re: NBA MVP Discussion Thread 2022-23 (pt 3) 

Post#1480 » by GiannisAnte34 » Sun Mar 5, 2023 4:07 am

_NoMas wrote:
GiannisAnte34 wrote:This your MVP eyeatoma?


Sure you didn’t go too soon with your comment run and dunk man?


Post Embiids line

Return to The General Board