BballIsLife11 wrote:E-Balla wrote:MotownMadness wrote: The thing i cant get past though is these test and death ratios are based on those who were just sick enough to get looked at. How many out there that went through it already possibly without knowing would decrease the death rate.
I mean theres gotta be way more infected just walking around that if could be added to the poll would drastically drop that death percentage
H1N1 killed around 4000 people in America, where's these fake numbers even coming from? Like we were all alive for that epidemic, how can anyone fall for such a blatant lie?
Apologies my 22,500 was wrong, I just double checked, but so was your 4000 number. That 4K was for the first month of it. So I hope you apply the logic of your statement above to yourself also.
From the CDC.
The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) estimates that from April 12, 2009 to April 10, 2010, there were 60.8 million cases, 274,000 hospitalizations, and 12,469 deaths (0.02% case fatality rate) in the United States due to the virus.[117]
You are right that right now there are a lot of people walking around who are carriers but exhibit no symptoms. They may have been recently infected (incubation period is long here which is a big factor in spread rate), some might only get minor symptoms, and some percentage will require hospitalization. How many of those people are out there? We have NO idea.
But what you aren't getting is that if COVID-19 hospitalizations exceed our capacity to care for all of them (regionally or as a whole), throw all that H1N1 data out the window. We already have a direct example of that scenario to look at- ITALY. I don't know the COVID-19 hospitalization rate there, but their medical system is totally overwhelmed and mortality rate is through the roof.
Did you ever read a story like this about H1N1? It's not theory and math, it's the NYC hospital system starting to feel the strain.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/coronavirus-cases-strain-new-york-city-hospitals-were-getting-pounded-11584719908New York City hospitals are already straining under the onslaught of novel coronavirus cases, even as state officials say the real peak of the outbreak is nearly a month and a half away.
Doctors at the largest public hospital in New York say equipment shortages have resulted in them wearing the same masks for as long as a week. Emergency-room physicians at another hospital are having to reuse gowns. Some large hospitals already have exceeded the capacity of their intensive-care units.
