pingpongrac wrote:SMTBSI wrote:I'm not even going to pretend like the Raps can't come back on us real fast. But, re-reading this thread, it's abundantly clear that several of you in here did not really know all that much about the team you were about to be playing.
I disagree. I feel like it was mostly fair. Tatum is clearly the best player in the series. After that, Lowry (though pretty lackluster offensively so far) is #2 then you have a pick 'em depending on the night for Siakam/Kemba/Brown/FVV. Smart has been the MVP of the series so far, but overall he's in the same tier as OG/Ibaka/Powell then you have the Theis/Gasol matchup that's more intangible-based. Wanamaker and Ojeleye are solid rotation players, but they're generally not as impactful as any of the players listed before them.
You're right, it certainly wasn't everyone. I was writing to the posters like Metallikid who had the Raps with the top-end advantage at almost every position, and the substantial depth advantage. Others were more reasonable, on both sides.
Simply put, the difference in the series has been Smart hitting threes at an absurd rate (11/20, mostly contested) while FVV and Lowry (6/35 combined, roughly half wide open) are both in the midst of an ice-cold shooting stretch. Smart's streaky shooting could come to a screeching halt in game 3 and FVV/Lowry could find their groove, which would obviously turn this series on its head.
I don't generally go in for these kinds of analyses, where it is imagined that one or two trends will reverse and turn the series on its head. First, because those trends may or may not be happening in as much of a vacuum as is imagined, and second, because even if those one or two things do ebb in a team's favor, other things will flow out of favor. It's never quite so neat and well-packaged. I could just as easily say that we're up 2-0, and Tatum and Walker haven't both had a good game at the same time yet.
But, I'm going out of may way to not make any real predictions here, because I still think anything can happen in this series. If Smart doesn't go godmode in the 4th, this is a 1-1 series and we're having a very different conversation.