2021-22 NBA Rookie Thread (part 6) - with ROY poll

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Who is the Rookie of the Year?

Cade Cunningham
74
19%
Jalen Green
11
3%
Evan Mobley
72
19%
Scottie Barnes
198
51%
Jalen Suggs
0
No votes
Josh Giddey
10
3%
Franz Wagner
13
3%
Herbert Jones
2
1%
Chris Duarte
1
0%
Other (Dosunmu, Sengun, Yurtseven, Kuminga, etc.)
6
2%
 
Total votes: 387

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Re: 2021-22 NBA Rookie Thread (part 6) - with ROY poll 

Post#161 » by mcfly1204 » Tue Mar 8, 2022 4:09 pm

KembaWalker wrote:Cade rising, Mobley falling hard imo
too hard to change the narrative though

Mobley will more than likely see an uptick with Allen missing time. Though I don't expect his last outing to be the new norm, 20/17/4 ast/3blk was a bigtime night.
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Rookie Thread (part 6) - with ROY poll 

Post#162 » by Madhouse » Tue Mar 8, 2022 4:18 pm

orlando_joe wrote:cade has 1 more rb and 2 more ast and 1 more pt per game then franz
with franz shooting 5% better from 3 and 7% better from field
with cade taking 20% more shots then franz
and cade has missed 20% of games
franz better defender
and franz just counted as out?


He shouldn't be but again perception.

I think Franz has a case to win ROY but no chance they will let him because not many people care about Orlando, don't watch them and also because Franz Wagner was not an AAU star like the others and lowest drafted. Didn't come with the same hype. Is this right? No but that's how it is.
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Rookie Thread (part 6) - with ROY poll 

Post#163 » by HotelVitale » Tue Mar 8, 2022 4:32 pm

Madhouse wrote:
orlando_joe wrote:cade has 1 more rb and 2 more ast and 1 more pt per game then franz
with franz shooting 5% better from 3 and 7% better from field
with cade taking 20% more shots then franz
and cade has missed 20% of games
franz better defender
and franz just counted as out?


He shouldn't be but again perception.

I think Franz has a case to win ROY but no chance they will let him because not many people care about Orlando, don't watch them and also because Franz Wagner was not an AAU star like the others and lowest drafted. Didn't come with the same hype. Is this right? No but that's how it is.


Nah, ROY is complicated but that take seems overstated and too simple. Tons of nba prospects who were hyped up in HS or college get no attention once they’re in the league, and it’s not like CLE or DET are super hotbeds of media attention.

ROY does tend to go to players with higher star potential—voters willingly overlook bad percentages and bad stretches of the season—but even then there are many exceptions. (Eg Brogdon won over a dominant Embiid cuz he played much more and for a good team.)

ROY is weird because voters get to decide what they think the criteria is: its usually a balance of best season among all rookies, most impressive high points, biggest potential, role and contributions to the team, and team success. Wagner has been slow and steady in all those things but hasnt jumped out, and other players have done better in some of those things. I agree that a lack of general excitement about him and his potential will hold him back—and he has a decent argument for best season by a rookie—but the bigger thing here is that other players have given legit reasons to get excited, contributed to winning, flashed diverse games, etc
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Rookie Thread (part 6) - with ROY poll 

Post#164 » by reanimator » Tue Mar 8, 2022 4:36 pm

orlando_joe wrote:cade has 1 more rb and 2 more ast and 1 more pt per game then franz
with franz shooting 5% better from 3 and 7% better from field
with cade taking 20% more shots then franz
and cade has missed 20% of games
franz 1 of 4 nba players to start every game
franz better defender
and franz just counted as out?


85% of Franz's 3 pt are assisted, just 28% of Cade's 3 pt are
53% of Franz's 2 pt are assisted, just 22% of Cade's 2 pt are
Franz creates 5.9 potential assist per game, Cade creates 9.7 potential assist per game
Pistons are 1-13 without Cade and 17-34 with him, Orlando has 16 wins with Franz playing every game
Cade is in the top 20 for players who get doubled the most, Franz is not on the list

Franz is a better defender based on what? Because Cade is solid on that end and if there is a gap its not enough to give the nod either way.

As a Michigan fan, I love Franz but his case can be stated without using Cade as some litmus.
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Rookie Thread (part 6) - with ROY poll 

Post#165 » by HiRez » Tue Mar 8, 2022 5:12 pm

Rookie tracker through Mar. 7.

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Re: 2021-22 NBA Rookie Thread (part 6) - with ROY poll 

Post#166 » by Madhouse » Tue Mar 8, 2022 6:05 pm

I'm too lazy to put this into some form but minimum 1000 minutes played:

RPM:
1. Mobley
2. Barnes
3. Giddey
4. Wagner
5. Cade

Raptor:
1. Jones
2. Wagner
3. Duarte
4. Barnes
5. Mobley

Lebron:
1. Mobley
2. Jones
3. Barnes
4. Wagner
5. Duarte

DPM:
1. Jones
2. Barnes
3. Kispert
4. Wagner
5. Mobley

BPM:
1. Mobley
2. Barnes
3. Jones
4. Wagner
5. Sengun

RAPM:
1. Jones
2. Kispert
3. Mobley
4. Duarte
5. Wagner

WPA:
1. Barnes
2. Wagner
3. Jones
4. Kispert
5. Ayo

FIC:
1. Barnes
2. Mobley
3. Giddey
4. Wagner
5. Cade

PIE:
1. Giddey
1. Mobley
3. Barnes
4. Wagner
5. Cade
5. Sengun

PER:
1. Sengun
2. Barnes
3. Mobley
4. Wagner
5. Giddey
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Rookie Thread (part 6) - with ROY poll 

Post#167 » by basketballRob » Tue Mar 8, 2022 6:12 pm

reanimator wrote:
orlando_joe wrote:cade has 1 more rb and 2 more ast and 1 more pt per game then franz
with franz shooting 5% better from 3 and 7% better from field
with cade taking 20% more shots then franz
and cade has missed 20% of games
franz 1 of 4 nba players to start every game
franz better defender
and franz just counted as out?


85% of Franz's 3 pt are assisted, just 28% of Cade's 3 pt are
53% of Franz's 2 pt are assisted, just 22% of Cade's 2 pt are
Franz creates 5.9 potential assist per game, Cade creates 9.7 potential assist per game
Pistons are 1-13 without Cade and 17-34 with him, Orlando has 16 wins with Franz playing every game
Cade is in the top 20 for players who get doubled the most, Franz is not on the list

Franz is a better defender based on what? Because Cade is solid on that end and if there is a gap its not enough to give the nod either way.

As a Michigan fan, I love Franz but his case can be stated without using Cade as some litmus.
Franz is a better defender based on advanced stats. Cade has more unassisted baskets because he's playing PG. Franz is capable of playing PG also but isn't asked too.

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Re: 2021-22 NBA Rookie Thread (part 6) - with ROY poll 

Post#168 » by reanimator » Tue Mar 8, 2022 6:24 pm

basketballRob wrote:
reanimator wrote:
orlando_joe wrote:cade has 1 more rb and 2 more ast and 1 more pt per game then franz
with franz shooting 5% better from 3 and 7% better from field
with cade taking 20% more shots then franz
and cade has missed 20% of games
franz 1 of 4 nba players to start every game
franz better defender
and franz just counted as out?


85% of Franz's 3 pt are assisted, just 28% of Cade's 3 pt are
53% of Franz's 2 pt are assisted, just 22% of Cade's 2 pt are
Franz creates 5.9 potential assist per game, Cade creates 9.7 potential assist per game
Pistons are 1-13 without Cade and 17-34 with him, Orlando has 16 wins with Franz playing every game
Cade is in the top 20 for players who get doubled the most, Franz is not on the list

Franz is a better defender based on what? Because Cade is solid on that end and if there is a gap its not enough to give the nod either way.

As a Michigan fan, I love Franz but his case can be stated without using Cade as some litmus.
Franz is a better defender based on advanced stats. Cade has more unassisted baskets because he's playing PG. Franz is capable of playing PG also but isn't asked too.

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And I can speculate that Cade is capable of playing off ball and knocking down jumpers at an efficient clip. One is harder than the other, however.

Giddey and Suggs play PG and aren't scoring at Cade's volume despite similar usage/unassisted offense %.
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Rookie Thread (part 6) - with ROY poll 

Post#169 » by zeebneeb » Tue Mar 8, 2022 6:28 pm

reanimator wrote:
orlando_joe wrote:cade has 1 more rb and 2 more ast and 1 more pt per game then franz
with franz shooting 5% better from 3 and 7% better from field
with cade taking 20% more shots then franz
and cade has missed 20% of games
franz 1 of 4 nba players to start every game
franz better defender
and franz just counted as out?


85% of Franz's 3 pt are assisted, just 28% of Cade's 3 pt are
53% of Franz's 2 pt are assisted, just 22% of Cade's 2 pt are
Franz creates 5.9 potential assist per game, Cade creates 9.7 potential assist per game
Pistons are 1-13 without Cade and 17-34 with him, Orlando has 16 wins with Franz playing every game
Cade is in the top 20 for players who get doubled the most, Franz is not on the list

Franz is a better defender based on what? Because Cade is solid on that end and if there is a gap its not enough to give the nod either way.

As a Michigan fan, I love Franz but his case can be stated without using Cade as some litmus.
The bolded, cannot be overstated. We are talking about a rookie who is getting doubled team the same amount as Lebron, and more then Stephen Curry.

The list is insane;

https://nbacourtoptix.nba.com/en
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Rookie Thread (part 6) - with ROY poll 

Post#170 » by orlando_joe » Tue Mar 8, 2022 6:30 pm

reanimator wrote:
orlando_joe wrote:cade has 1 more rb and 2 more ast and 1 more pt per game then franz
with franz shooting 5% better from 3 and 7% better from field
with cade taking 20% more shots then franz
and cade has missed 20% of games
franz 1 of 4 nba players to start every game
franz better defender
and franz just counted as out?


85% of Franz's 3 pt are assisted, just 28% of Cade's 3 pt are
53% of Franz's 2 pt are assisted, just 22% of Cade's 2 pt are
Franz creates 5.9 potential assist per game, Cade creates 9.7 potential assist per game
Pistons are 1-13 without Cade and 17-34 with him, Orlando has 16 wins with Franz playing every game
Cade is in the top 20 for players who get doubled the most, Franz is not on the list

Franz is a better defender based on what? Because Cade is solid on that end and if there is a gap its not enough to give the nod either way.

As a Michigan fan, I love Franz but his case can be stated without using Cade as some litmus.

if cade misses all those not assisted shots does it matter...lol...but ok...cade is pg and has ball in his hands way more
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Rookie Thread (part 6) - with ROY poll 

Post#171 » by docholliday99 » Tue Mar 8, 2022 6:38 pm

zeebneeb wrote:
reanimator wrote:
orlando_joe wrote:cade has 1 more rb and 2 more ast and 1 more pt per game then franz
with franz shooting 5% better from 3 and 7% better from field
with cade taking 20% more shots then franz
and cade has missed 20% of games
franz 1 of 4 nba players to start every game
franz better defender
and franz just counted as out?


85% of Franz's 3 pt are assisted, just 28% of Cade's 3 pt are
53% of Franz's 2 pt are assisted, just 22% of Cade's 2 pt are
Franz creates 5.9 potential assist per game, Cade creates 9.7 potential assist per game
Pistons are 1-13 without Cade and 17-34 with him, Orlando has 16 wins with Franz playing every game
Cade is in the top 20 for players who get doubled the most, Franz is not on the list

Franz is a better defender based on what? Because Cade is solid on that end and if there is a gap its not enough to give the nod either way.

As a Michigan fan, I love Franz but his case can be stated without using Cade as some litmus.
The bolded, cannot be overstated. We are talking about a rookie who is getting doubled team the same amount as Lebron, and more then Stephen Curry.

The list is insane;

https://nbacourtoptix.nba.com/en


That's cause there's no one else worthy of guarding on the Pistons.

As for ROY, been a long time but imo, there are 2 rooks neck and neck and deserving of the award - Barnes and Mobley. You can make a strong case for either but even then, the strong case is barely more than the other player.
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Rookie Thread (part 6) - with ROY poll 

Post#172 » by reanimator » Tue Mar 8, 2022 6:46 pm

orlando_joe wrote:
reanimator wrote:
orlando_joe wrote:cade has 1 more rb and 2 more ast and 1 more pt per game then franz
with franz shooting 5% better from 3 and 7% better from field
with cade taking 20% more shots then franz
and cade has missed 20% of games
franz 1 of 4 nba players to start every game
franz better defender
and franz just counted as out?


85% of Franz's 3 pt are assisted, just 28% of Cade's 3 pt are
53% of Franz's 2 pt are assisted, just 22% of Cade's 2 pt are
Franz creates 5.9 potential assist per game, Cade creates 9.7 potential assist per game
Pistons are 1-13 without Cade and 17-34 with him, Orlando has 16 wins with Franz playing every game
Cade is in the top 20 for players who get doubled the most, Franz is not on the list

Franz is a better defender based on what? Because Cade is solid on that end and if there is a gap its not enough to give the nod either way.

As a Michigan fan, I love Franz but his case can be stated without using Cade as some litmus.

if cade misses all those not assisted shots does it matter...lol...but ok...cade is pg and has ball in his hands way more


Yes, it actually does matter in a discussion centered around efficiency, unless you're arguing Wagner would have the ball in his hands as much as Cade and keep up the efficiency he has now?

I'm not invested in ROY and look far more to 5 or 10 year redrafts when I think Cade's value will be apparent. Give Wagner the ROY for all I care, but at least contextualize if you're going to use Cade as a litmus to a guy in a completely different role.
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Rookie Thread (part 6) - with ROY poll 

Post#173 » by basketballRob » Tue Mar 8, 2022 6:50 pm

reanimator wrote:
orlando_joe wrote:
reanimator wrote:
85% of Franz's 3 pt are assisted, just 28% of Cade's 3 pt are
53% of Franz's 2 pt are assisted, just 22% of Cade's 2 pt are
Franz creates 5.9 potential assist per game, Cade creates 9.7 potential assist per game
Pistons are 1-13 without Cade and 17-34 with him, Orlando has 16 wins with Franz playing every game
Cade is in the top 20 for players who get doubled the most, Franz is not on the list

Franz is a better defender based on what? Because Cade is solid on that end and if there is a gap its not enough to give the nod either way.

As a Michigan fan, I love Franz but his case can be stated without using Cade as some litmus.

if cade misses all those not assisted shots does it matter...lol...but ok...cade is pg and has ball in his hands way more


Yes, it actually does matter in a discussion centered around efficiency, unless you're arguing Wagner would have the ball in his hands as much as Cade and keep up the efficiency he has now?

I'm not invested in ROY and look far more to 5 or 10 year redrafts when I think Cade's value will be apparent. Give Wagner the ROY for all I care, but at least contextualize if you're going to use Cade as a litmus to a guy in a completely different role.
I believe Wagner will become at 25+ PPG player also. He compares favorably to Tatum his first comple of seasons.

I could care less about the ROY either.

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Re: 2021-22 NBA Rookie Thread (part 6) - with ROY poll 

Post#174 » by zeebneeb » Tue Mar 8, 2022 6:51 pm

docholliday99 wrote:
zeebneeb wrote:
reanimator wrote:
85% of Franz's 3 pt are assisted, just 28% of Cade's 3 pt are
53% of Franz's 2 pt are assisted, just 22% of Cade's 2 pt are
Franz creates 5.9 potential assist per game, Cade creates 9.7 potential assist per game
Pistons are 1-13 without Cade and 17-34 with him, Orlando has 16 wins with Franz playing every game
Cade is in the top 20 for players who get doubled the most, Franz is not on the list

Franz is a better defender based on what? Because Cade is solid on that end and if there is a gap its not enough to give the nod either way.

As a Michigan fan, I love Franz but his case can be stated without using Cade as some litmus.
The bolded, cannot be overstated. We are talking about a rookie who is getting doubled team the same amount as Lebron, and more then Stephen Curry.

The list is insane;

https://nbacourtoptix.nba.com/en


That's cause there's no one else worthy of guarding on the Pistons.

As for ROY, been a long time but imo, there are 2 rooks neck and neck and deserving of the award - Barnes and Mobley. You can make a strong case for either but even then, the strong case is barely more than the other player.
That is a very reductionist, and dismissive statement.

Not to mention untrue. Truly Bewildering. Root for who you want, makes no difference to me as this entire rookie class has been amazing to watch this season, but making a blatantly false assertion is just silly.
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Rookie Thread (part 6) - with ROY poll 

Post#175 » by basketballRob » Tue Mar 8, 2022 6:56 pm

zeebneeb wrote:
docholliday99 wrote:
zeebneeb wrote:The bolded, cannot be overstated. We are talking about a rookie who is getting doubled team the same amount as Lebron, and more then Stephen Curry.

The list is insane;

https://nbacourtoptix.nba.com/en


That's cause there's no one else worthy of guarding on the Pistons.

As for ROY, been a long time but imo, there are 2 rooks neck and neck and deserving of the award - Barnes and Mobley. You can make a strong case for either but even then, the strong case is barely more than the other player.
That is a very reductionist, and dismissive statement.

Not to mention untrue. Truly Bewildering. Root for who you want, makes no difference to me as this entire rookie class has been amazing to watch this season, but making a blatantly false assertion is just silly.
I know Wagner gets his share of double-teams and that list only goes to 20, Cade is #18. As far as we know Wagner could be #21.

https://stathead.com/basketball/pcm_finder.cgi?player_id2=cunnica01&player_id1=wagnefr01&sum=0&request=1
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Rookie Thread (part 6) - with ROY poll 

Post#176 » by JackTalkThai » Tue Mar 8, 2022 7:14 pm

It’s all about trends and what have you done for me lately. Franz has scored over 15 points just twice in his last ten games. Cade has done so eight times and has scored over 20 six times in his last ten.
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Rookie Thread (part 6) - with ROY poll 

Post#177 » by orlando_joe » Tue Mar 8, 2022 7:23 pm

reanimator wrote:
orlando_joe wrote:
reanimator wrote:
85% of Franz's 3 pt are assisted, just 28% of Cade's 3 pt are
53% of Franz's 2 pt are assisted, just 22% of Cade's 2 pt are
Franz creates 5.9 potential assist per game, Cade creates 9.7 potential assist per game
Pistons are 1-13 without Cade and 17-34 with him, Orlando has 16 wins with Franz playing every game
Cade is in the top 20 for players who get doubled the most, Franz is not on the list

Franz is a better defender based on what? Because Cade is solid on that end and if there is a gap its not enough to give the nod either way.

As a Michigan fan, I love Franz but his case can be stated without using Cade as some litmus.

if cade misses all those not assisted shots does it matter...lol...but ok...cade is pg and has ball in his hands way more


Yes, it actually does matter in a discussion centered around efficiency, unless you're arguing Wagner would have the ball in his hands as much as Cade and keep up the efficiency he has now?

I'm not invested in ROY and look far more to 5 or 10 year redrafts when I think Cade's value will be apparent. Give Wagner the ROY for all I care, but at least contextualize if you're going to use Cade as a litmus to a guy in a completely different role.

roy does not matter to any fans really...my point was only why is franz allready counted out...do i think he wins ? no
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Rookie Thread (part 6) - with ROY poll 

Post#178 » by MrBigShot » Tue Mar 8, 2022 7:26 pm

reanimator wrote:
orlando_joe wrote:cade has 1 more rb and 2 more ast and 1 more pt per game then franz
with franz shooting 5% better from 3 and 7% better from field
with cade taking 20% more shots then franz
and cade has missed 20% of games
franz 1 of 4 nba players to start every game
franz better defender
and franz just counted as out?


85% of Franz's 3 pt are assisted, just 28% of Cade's 3 pt are
53% of Franz's 2 pt are assisted, just 22% of Cade's 2 pt are
Franz creates 5.9 potential assist per game, Cade creates 9.7 potential assist per game
Pistons are 1-13 without Cade and 17-34 with him, Orlando has 16 wins with Franz playing every game
Cade is in the top 20 for players who get doubled the most, Franz is not on the list

Franz is a better defender based on what? Because Cade is solid on that end and if there is a gap its not enough to give the nod either way.

As a Michigan fan, I love Franz but his case can be stated without using Cade as some litmus.


Wonderful breakdown. And I'd also just like to say...just turn on the tv and watch them both. Franz is a poised wing contributing to his team like you'd expect from a seasoned starter.

Cade literally IS the pistons offense. The two just aren't comparable in terms of how important they are to their respective teams. They're just giving Cade the ball late in the game like he's Luka and he has the responsibility to create everything for himself and his teammates. At one point the Hawks outright double teamed him near half court last night.

Fans obviously do care about RoY. Everyone going back and forth about their team's rook like we're crazed moms at a middle school game makes that pretty evident lol
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Rookie Thread (part 6) - with ROY poll 

Post#179 » by orlando_joe » Tue Mar 8, 2022 7:44 pm

JackTalkThai wrote:It’s all about trends and what have you done for me lately. Franz has scored over 15 points just twice in his last ten games. Cade has done so eight times and has scored over 20 six times in his last ten.


ok trend last 10 games
cade 41% from field and 29 % from 3
franz 48% from field and 46.5 from 3
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Rookie Thread (part 6) - with ROY poll 

Post#180 » by basketballRob » Tue Mar 8, 2022 7:50 pm

JackTalkThai wrote:It’s all about trends and what have you done for me lately. Franz has scored over 15 points just twice in his last ten games. Cade has done so eight times and has scored over 20 six times in his last ten.
Franz is averaging less minutes over the last 15 games but still 50/40/90

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