Effigy wrote:It took him 9 seasons to get to 16 ppg. It took him 7 seasons to get to 30 minutes per game. This is because when he came into the league, there was still the archaic thinking that the 3 point shot wasn't sustainable, and he was too small, too bad at defense, etc. If he came into the league now off the college career he had, he'd be a higher draft pick and be getting 30 minutes right from the start. Just a totally different career.
He still wouldn't be a great rebounder or a dynamic playmaker. Odds of him being a perennial All-Star as like a 17/3/3 guy are pretty low. He was a 16/2/2 guy during his 8-year prime. That's not likely to have changed. Teams don't generally want players that staggeringly one-dimensional who also aren't very good on defense. He was also only a +0.8 OBPM guy for 07-12 because he's so limited in his overall contributions.
JJ wouldn't have been a lot better had he been drafted 5-10 years later. His skill set was what it was, and he contributed as he could. Dude was cracking 5.5 3PA36 prior to 2013. He was averaging 14.7 PTS36. 15-19, he was posting about 20/2.5/2.5 PER36, which really isn't stunning and further reinforces his limited ability to contribute beyond his shooting. He isn't Steph. He isn't Dame. He isn't any of those guys who were actually worth significant volume due to their overall offensive profile. He was a roleplayer, and used appropriately.