Pelly24 wrote:One_and_Done wrote:Pelly24 wrote:
That 2006 lakers team was *bad* and they were five or six games over .500. I remember watching. Just a very bad team and their offensive rating was 92.8 when he was off the court.
lol saying Kobe is the GOAT SG ballhandler is not absurd. his turnover rate was at about 3 per game at a 33% usage rate in his prime (2000 to 2010). That's pretty great considering all the time he dominated the rock and the types of defenses he faced. With Harden it's a bit hard to tell the line between athleticism and handle. Kobe to me looked like Kyrie with how seamlessly he could do spin moves and change direction while in complete control of the ball. I would say Michael Jordan has an argument for better handle, but harden had less range of motion with the rock in his hand, but his crossover was better. But Kobe was an amazing ballhandler.
I don't think Kobe had a top 15 peak ever. More like a top 20-25 peak ever. What makes him special was that he maintained that performance for about 13 years. He was a top 3 to top 8 or so player for over 12 years. That's a big deal. personally, I would have kobe in my top 13 to 20 players ever.
I guess I'd have to see who you chose above kobe outside of those guys. I don't see an argument for Tatum, Anthony Davis, Steph or KD this season. I love Brunson, but Kobe still relatively more efficient with better defense and more scoring volume. Ant should've never been in these convos since he's not even more efficient than Kobe was 11 years ago *now*. Donovan Mitchell? Nope. LeBron isn't there. Shai might have a better peak, but not career so far. Maybe that's just a matter of time. Idk.
As for the Tim Duncan stuff, it's not as though Kobe was just along for the ride lol. He averaged like 28/5/5 and played good defense. Also, he beat Tim Duncan in 2008 (still prime) while averaging 29/6/4 on 58 TS% in 2008.
Like i understand using advanced numbers and stuff, and I even do think Kobe is a bit overrated. But we can't just sweep his championships, scoring output and consistency in the regular season and playoffs, ability to play on and off ball, and then just things like his elite athleticism and length and high IQ. Like ... Kobe was an incredible player. I don't think players are just magically way better now. I could see if Kobe's production didn't hold up in the playoffs, but it did, which again says something.
Duncan's prime was 98-07. By 08 the injuries had started to wear him down, which was obvious by a number of statistical and observational measures. His knees were bone on bone.
The Lakers 06 team had Kobe and Odom. That due shouldn't have needed much around them to easily make the playoffs if Kobe is the player his fans make him out to be.
As for guys who are better than Kobe right now, I'd say Tatum for sure. Based on his recent play, Wemby too. I'd still take KD and Curry, and yeh probably AD too. Kobe is in that next group with guys like Ant and Booker. I'd likely take Mitchell over him as well
13 to 20 all-time isn't insane, but at this point I don't think he cracks my top 20 all-time.
Kobe outperforms Tatum and all these guys in the playoffs. Wemby? We at least gotta see him do it in the postseason.
I just don't see how you're taking guys that barely even score more efficiently than Kobe literally did 20 years ago (Ant, Mitchell) *now* when the balance has been swung completely in the favor of offensive players. Like looking at their games, especially Booker, Mitchell and Ant, Kobe is basically a better player in every conceivable way lol. Tatum I can kind of understand, but Kobe just does way bettr in the postseason and especially in the finals.
It feels like you've done research and stuff, but idk. I think you might just have some unconscious Kobe bias, because none of these guys really belong in the same sentence as him at this point. Like a guy averaging 25/4/5 on 57 TS% in 2024 should never be compared to Kobe Bryant.
It’s fair to say “well, we need to see Wemby in the playoffs, etc”. I agree that how he finishes the season is important. Based on right now though, it’s hard to see Kobe’s argument against him. Even if Wemby’s offense still isn’t playoff ready, his defense is already among the best of all-time. I don’t think Kobe would have this Spurs team at 500. in today’s NBA. They were predicted by most to be at the bottom of the West.
As for the claim that Kobe “outperforms all these guys, especially in the playoffs”, I disagree. I noted some of the numbers for this on pages 1 and 2, and explained why I don’t think Kobe will be much better today. His playstyle has a lot of drawbacks in the modern game, whereas guys like Tatum and Mitchell thrive on it (not that they wouldn’t have been great in the 00s too, if utilised properly with the right shot diet, etc).
I think the claim that Kobe is a big playoffs performer is also dubious. Fans like to remember all the good playoff games Kobe had, and forget the bad ones. Kobe was putrid in the 04 finals, and the 2011 Mavs series, and the 00 finals. He couldn’t hit the side of a barn in game 7 of the 2010 finals, and needed Pau to bail him out. In game 7 of the 2006 Suns series, with their season on the line, he deliberately refused to shoot to “make a point” to his critics (he took 15 shots in the first three quarters, and only 1 in the final quarter, despite playing over 43 minutes). Kobe was completely outplayed by KD in the 2012 OKC series. I could go on to name other examples.
One such forgotten example is the 2008 finals, where Kobe clearly shot too much, which was a key factor in his team losing. While Kobe insisted on taking 22 shots a game on a pedestrian 505 TS%, the team as a whole was shooting 537 TS% (including Pau at 572, Odom at 560, Fisher 571, etc). Pau had a comically low 62 shots that series against Kobe’s 131. Often it felt like the Lakers support cast was so talented, they were winning despite his suboptimal playstyle (and certainly not because of it). In today’s much more sophisticated game Kobe would never have that kind of luxury, teams would exploit it more. Today the team is trying to give up the shots Kobe liked, and the % he converts them on would no longer be above league average.
There are numerous clutch stats that show Kobe’s ‘clutch’ ability to be very overrated, and well behind guys like Lebron, Curry, etc. It’s confirmation bias, with fans using the shots they see go in to justify their pre-existing view, and ignoring all the ones that don’t.
To describe Kobe as “better in every conceivable way” than guys like Ant, Booker, Tatum, Mitchell, etc, is ridiculous. Not just because of the stats I cited already, but because it’s plainly untrue. Firstly, all those guys are deadly from 3 point land, whereas Kobe was a meh shooter from outside. In today’s game, that is a vital skill for a guard, especially a shooting guard who can’t run an offense.
Where are the star guards who can neither run the offense like a point guard, and are also not great 3pt shooters? They don’t exist. Even the star guards who run an efficient, low TO offense are almost always great 3pt shooters (e.g. Harden, Curry, SGA, etc). SGA doesn’t take a lot of them, but he hits at a good % which is key. If he didn’t, then teams could guard him differently (e.g. give him more cushion in the PnR, bring over more help, etc). It’s SGA’s reliable 3 that forces teams to guard him close, which lets him use his otherworldly speed and moves to blow by them. Kobe can’t play like that today. He was a deliberate player who liked to post up and make a variety of fakes and moves.
There are of course other ways Kobe is clearly inferior to those players. SGA is faster, Ant is stronger with a thicker base, Tatum is bigger, Mitchell and Booker are vastly better shooters, etc. Of course, some of these guys are better in a lot of ways. Ant is better or equal to Kobe in pretty much everything, which I highlighted in the stat comparison on page 1. He’s also a better, bigger defender who can handle tougher assignments, a better shot blocker, a better 3pt shooter by far, etc. What does Kobe have an advantage in? He’s not a better passer, he’s certainly a less willing one. I guess he shoots midrangers better, but in today’s game that’s much less valuable than 3pt shooting. Teams want you to take that contested 2. If anything, his contested midranger would be less effective today, because there are more perimeter oriented defensive players on the court now who are harder to take advantage of.
In Kobe’s era, he got to cheat a lot on D. The wings didn’t have much to do on D, and could coast a lot. Today Kobe would have to run all over the court for most of the game. That would reduce the energy he could still exert on offense. Tsherkin commented that “if Luka can still be good, so can Kobe”. I think that’s getting things backwards. The better framing is “how much better would Luka be in the 00s, when he could slack off on defense and conserve even more energy for offense?”