BBall Loyalty wrote:
For most seasons, a chart like this wouldn't have great explanatory power to describe MVPs because those MVPs have good teammates & they win a lot.
However, there's always the exceptions: 01 Iverson, 88 Jordan, 82 & 79 Moses. These MVPs didn't have much help (yes, I know Murphy was an allstar in 79, but his advanced stats weren't so great), yet their teams managed to win at least 55% of the time.
Now that Howard may be out for another month or more, Harden's case is getting stronger, especially if Houston continues to win. None of the above MVPs had teammates compile WS above 6.9, and this may be the case for Harden. Based on current stats/standings/etc, my back-of-the-envelope estimate is that Houston needs to win 56 games for Harden to take about 58% of 1st-place votes & become MVP.
But but but Curry! Probably won't matter if the above situation occurs. Note that Bird had a great season in 88 and the Celts had the #1 seed. In 82, Bird was pretty good and the Celts had the best record in the league. In both years, Bird still came in 2nd for MVP voting.
NOP will probably not get enough wins for Davis to win MVP.
LeBron has a lot of ground to cover, both in terms of wins & stats.
Still 30 or so games to play, so no guarantees.