Iwasawitness wrote:lessthanjake wrote:Iwasawitness wrote:
Well, there’s a few things to keep in mind here. For one, Dallas was the better team. They won both regular season meetings and were 6-2 against Miami that season overall. They were also a lot deeper, better coached and had a better starting five overall. Yeah Miami was favored, but the Lakers were favored to win it all going into the playoffs and they got swept in the second round. The Mavericks were horribly underrated and people weren’t giving them the respect they deserved.
Second, while the pace argument is silly, it is worth noting that LeBron struggled in both of those regular season matchups against Dallas. They matched up really well with Miami and had the capabilities to guard LeBron effectively. I’m not going to say this excuses LeBron’s performance, but it does put into perspective the fact that his struggles had a lot more to do with who he was facing rather than him choking or whatever nonsense narrative people like to come up with.
I think the overall sentiment people should be taking from this is that while LeBron was an amazing player at this point, he still had exploitable flaws and Dallas used that to their advantage. For some reason though, people like to use this time where he wasn’t a finished product and use it to define an entire 20 year career, which is just silly.
I think there’s some truth to the idea that LeBron had weaknesses that the Mavs exploited, rather than the explanation just being LeBron “choking” or feeling the pressure or whatever. I think both are probably part of it. LeBron was under a lot of pressure after being on the title favorite and losing early the prior couple years and then teaming up to create such a talented Heat team, so I find it difficult to believe his subpar performance in the finals had nothing to do with nerves or overthinking things due to that pressure. But I also think you’re right that he simply had weaknesses that were exploited. Both of those things fed into each other IMO—a player feels the pressure more when they know a weakness of theirs is being pressed on.
But one question I have about this for people is how this point maps onto the very common view I see that 2009 was LeBron’s peak. It is genuinely true that both in terms of box stats and impact data, 2009 and 2010 were LeBron’s peak. Does that mean that LeBron peaked while being an exploitable player and then became less exploitable but also less good? I think that’s a pretty commonly held set of views, and I get where it comes from, because we can look at the data and think 2009 and 2010 LeBron looks the best, but then we look at the playoff success and it feels like some later version of LeBron didn’t have the same weaknesses that could be exploited. But it does end up seeming a bit contradictory. A meaningfully more exploitable player is probably not actually better—especially when that exploitation can result in something like the 2011 Finals performance. Do we think LeBron was exploitable in those late-first-stint Cavs years and therefore maybe wasn’t quite as good in those years as some people think? Or do we think LeBron was *still* exploitable in later years but just ended up having teams and opponents that couldn’t exploit his weaknesses as well? To give an example, if you plop 2013 LeBron or 2016 LeBron onto the 2011 Heat, do you think he does substantially better against the 2011 Mavs?
So if we’re talking 2009-2010 LeBron, we have to keep a few things in mind. In regards to outright dominance, 2009 LeBron was up there among the most dominant, which is usually what people are referring to. 2010 LeBron played on a team however that didn’t have the same kind of spacing 2009 Cavs had. Shaq and Varejao clogged up the paint more than big Z traditionally would. Their thought process was to fix this by trading for Jamison, but he ended up not panning out the way they had hoped. More importantly, those weaknesses we spoke of were exploited a little by the Celtics in 2010, albeit on a lesser scale.
The problem with the 2011 finals isn’t just what LeBron was playing against: it’s what he was playing with. The 2011 Heat starting five lacked spacing, and Dallas committed their entire scheme to slowing down LeBron. And on top of it, Dallas had a lot more length and defensive versatility than Boston did. It was just a very poor matchup for LeBron.
With that in mind… yes, I do think if 2013 or 2016 LeBron played in 2011, the result would be different. I do understand that LeBron at that point was already 26, but it’s also the point in his career where he had a brutal wake up call and realized it wasn’t just the scenery that needed to change: he needed to as well. That’s where he started focusing on the fundamental aspects of the game more and learning to adapt a more skill oriented style of play. Hell, we saw what that did for him in just the following season.
So I think what you’ve identified is that LeBron could really struggle if his team lacked spacing. And you say the 2011 Heat lacked spacing, but that 2013 LeBron and 2016 LeBron would’ve had a different result in the 2011 Finals. Do you think that 2013 LeBron and 2016 LeBron no longer had trouble with a team lacking spacing? And, if so, why? Maybe the answer here is just that 2013 LeBron and 2016 LeBron was on teams that were better built to paper over his flaws, rather than that 2013 LeBron and 2016 LeBron lacked those flaws.
And, on the this topic of lacking spacing, does that affect how you think LeBron would’ve translated to other eras? Spacing increased a lot throughout LeBron’s career, with his Heat team eventually becoming the vanguard of having more spacing, and obviously the whole NBA following suit and pushing the envelope a lot on this as the years have gone by. If LeBron can be exploited when spacing is lacking, then what happens if he instead played in prior eras that did not have much spacing? There’s plenty of eras of basketball where the 2011 Heat’s spacing would’ve been good! Perhaps your answer may be that the lack of zone defenses would make LeBron harder to exploit in these scenarios. But honestly, I think in an era with less space, LeBron just has to shoot substantially more mid-range shots, and this would make him less effective, both as a scorer and as a playmaker (since the lack of space would also make it harder for him to stress the defense with his passing). Maybe this doesn’t matter, since LeBron didn’t play in another era. But it seems relevant when the time period he did play in includes some years where spacing wasn’t high and those years coincide with him having a bunch of playoff series where he was disappointing. The general narrative is that LeBron learned how to do better, but I think a bigger part of this is probably just that he, his teams, and the league learned how to space the floor more and his weaknesses became less salient.










