ScrantonBulls wrote:Rust_Cohle wrote:ScrantonBulls wrote:Expansion era (diluted league), barely any international players, zone defense was illegal. The league changed massively between MJ and LeBron's eras.
Tanking was far far more rampant in LeBron's era especially out east where the tanking lottery odds had to be flattened. Tanking was at an all time high during this time. LeBron had it much easier in conference than MJ did where his east was the better conference while LeBron was in the leastern conference. 5 of the top 6 teams were usually from the West in the 2010's.
The east during lebron's era also had a
lot more teams that were sub .500 making seeds 5-8 than MJ's. We also had 3 times as many players from the West make All NBA than the East, as it was very very lopsided in the West's favor. With MJ's east, far more balanced. 2012-2017 Eastern conference was the weakest east (not as horrific as 2007 eastern conference) of the last 40 years.
Sorry to upset you with the fact that the league was quite obviously weaker in the expansion era when there were barely any international players in the league. Went from 23 teams to 29 teams. It weakened the hell out of the league. That rant you went on that was full of opinions was nice, but it's pretty indisputable that the league was weak during the expansion era.
I’m not quite sure I understand the point being made about expansion weakening the league. What are you trying to say here about Jordan?
League expansion does not decrease the amount of superstars. And once the league has like 20+ teams, superstars virtually always go to teams without another superstar regardless of expansion (since, either way, they get drafted to bad teams that don’t have a superstar). So expansion doesn’t really meaningfully reduce the chance of teams stacking multiple superstars. That still just overwhelmingly happens through good teams having lucky trades of draft picks, getting a great player through a late draft pick, or a player going as a free agent to a big market (or forcing a trade there). The latter is basically entirely unaffected by league expansion, and the other two are only affected by it in the most minor ways (i.e. maybe a slightly lower chance of any individual team hitting a jackpot with a late draft pick the more teams there are).
The real effect of league expansion isn’t how it affects the concentration of superstars in certain teams. It barely affects that. The effect is in the quality of supporting cast players—which naturally goes down on average as there’s more supporting cast spots that need to be filled around the league.
Existing teams did need to give up some of their talent to the expansion teams, which watered down every team. But did this help the Bulls relative to other teams? That seems like an extremely tough sell, because the Bulls actually gave up the player that was picked #1 in the 1995 expansion draft. In the two expansion drafts in the late 1980s, the Bulls players got picked #7 and #8. The Bulls were actually arguably the team that gave up the most in the expansion drafts! So this didn’t help them relative to other teams with superstars (i.e. it didn’t help them compared to the other title contenders). It actually probably hurt them.
Expansion teams also took up high draft picks that other teams could’ve gotten and naturally pushed down most teams’ draft picks. Did the Bulls benefit from this relative to other top teams? Well, I’m not so sure. Without the expansion teams, the Bulls’ pre-expansion trade for the 1989 pick that ended up being Stacey King probably would’ve ended up being Glen Rice. That would’ve been way better! Absent expansion, the Bulls could’ve easily ended up with Rick Fox in 1991 instead of Mark Randall. Absent the expansion team picks in 1992, the Bulls would’ve been able to pick up Latrell Sprewell instead of Bryon Houston (indeed, Sprewell was picked exactly 4 spots ahead and there were 4 expansion teams). Bulls could’ve easily gotten Sam Cassell in 1993 instead of Corie Blount. Absent all the expansion, the Bulls would’ve been in line to get Greg Ostertag in 1995 instead of Dragan Tarlac, and Derek Fisher in 1996 instead of Travis Knight. Same with Bobby Jackson in 1997 instead of Keith Booth. And Al Harrington instead of Corey Benjamin in 1998. Would the Bulls actually have made all these picks? They would’ve been in a position to do so (since all those guys were picked a number of spots above the Bulls that was equal to or less than the number of expansion teams added to the league since Jordan’s career started), but probably would’ve picked duds some of the time anyways. But even capitalizing on one or two of these would’ve made them noticeably better, especially when we account for the fact that the Bulls always had some negative players in their rotation. So I think it’s hard to argue that the dilution of the draft didn’t hurt the Bulls just as much or more than it hurt other top teams (who wouldn’t have been in the running to draft someone like Shaq anyways). In fact, the Bulls were probably hurt more, when we consider they could’ve easily gotten Glen Rice without expansion happening between the time they traded for the pick and when the draft happened.
So where does that leave us? The expansion drafts themselves probably hurt the Bulls more than they hurt other top teams, including since they gave up the clear #1 choice in the 1995 expansion draft. And there’s little reason to think the diluation of the draft hurt the Bulls any less than most top teams. If anything, the draft dilution probably hurt them more, since they’d actually previously traded for a pick that ended up being a good pick during this time and they missed out on a multi-time all-NBA player because of league expansion pushing their draft pick down. So why should we think league expansion helped the Bulls relative to other top teams? We shouldn’t.
Granted, league expansion does create some bad teams that can be easily beaten, so they do tend to improve the records of top teams a little bit (though the second-three-peat Bulls actually didn’t do better against the new expansion teams, oddly enough). So, at best, you might argue that the Bulls records were inflated by a win or two. That doesn’t make winning a title easier though, since the difficulty of that is about the strength of the top teams, and league expansion probably hurt the Bulls more than it hurt other top teams. If anything, these circumstances make Jordan’s titles *more* impressive!