The Master wrote:Effigy wrote:They didn’t only lose 2 more games the next season. They also lost in the second round of the playoffs after winning 3 titles in a row. Sometimes teams overachieve. The next year the Bullls had the regression more like you would expect before MJ came back.
Not really.
First, in '95 they lost Horace Grant.
Second, record-wise, they (statistically) overperformed in '94 in the regular season, but underperformed in '95 (before Jordan returned) vs their SRS.
94: +2.9 SRS, 55-27
95: ~ +4 SRS, 34-31
Average: +3.6 SRS, pace for +49 wins in 82-game season.
Obviously, the irony is they were better statistically in '95 despite losing Grant and yet had much better record in '94.
They also played a very close series against Knicks (+6 SRS team) in '94, eventually losing. That's enough data to say they were a ~2nd tier contending team, especially in '94. Hard to argue that they overperformed in '94 when in ~145 games sample they were a ~50W, +3.6 SRS team in the regular season, despite losing Horace Grant in '95, without Jordan.
~+3.6 SRS is a ~top8-level team in regular season - and obviously they had championship-level experience and GOAT-level coaching in the playoffs, that's why they were able to play such competitive series against Knicks without MJ.
What were their SRS with Pippen in the lineup?
Because Pippen was out for like 10 games that season and they were like 3-7 without him