Pistons888 wrote:GallagherArt wrote:Pistons888 wrote:What if all of these draft picks turn out to be MCW caliber?
Well pending on what picks you're referring to that wouldn't be too bad. If it's among the top picks than that would be bad, although if it's later in the lottery than good.
I'm just curious in general. I never see Sixers fans mention that the picks c they have built up could not pan out. I think that building through the draft is an important part of creating a successful team but with so much unknown it can't be the only way.
I'm not trying to be a hater. I think the Sixers rebuilding technique is interesting but it just seems so incredibly risky.
ofcourse its risky.
But what "building technique" isn't?
How many teams have saved up tons of cap space to sign a star, only to find out they didn't get one? Or worse get stuck with a 2nd/3rd rate player on a massive contract?
How many teams have made trades for big name players just to watch them fall apart, and/or worse seen their great assets start to pay off elsewhere?
No matter what building plan a team has, the 'high reward, low risk' methods are so rare, and so random they should all be seen as pure luck. You quite literally need to just be in the right place (geographically and financially) and the right time. A team unable/unwilling to pay a James Harden is a once in a decade event. LeBron, Wade and Bosh all ganging up to create a championship team was a first time event (at least publically). Legit stars only get traded/or move when they demand trades (or tell the team they won't resign) and in doing so pick their destinations - so unless you are a destination hot spot, chances are you aren't going to be on that list.
The one amazing aspect of what Hinkie is doing, is the choice he's giving himself. Lots of picks to choose from, tons of cap space to use if or when he likes (for free agents or to absorb in trades), and a lot of high value assets (young players and picks) to trade if he likes. People view 76ers through the draft pick lens, and that may well be their main focus, but they avenues available to them are quite extensive. They may have the single cleanest roster/cba "balance sheet" in the NBA.
Optimism Bias is the tendency of individuals to underestimate the likelihood they will experience adverse events. Optimistic bias cannot be reduced, and by trying to reduce the optimistic bias the end result was generally even more optimistically biased