TheGeneral99 wrote:Airmiess wrote:TheGeneral99 wrote:
I mean there will be players that will also improve over the years and become the stars/superstars of the future.
We have to see how guys like Cunningham, Mobley, Green, Barnes, Scooter, Banchero, Maxey, etc turn into. Some of these guys will turn into all-stars and maybe a couple will become legit superstars but they are all under 23 years old.
Also guys like Edwards, Haliburton, JJJ, Trae, Ja, Garland etc. are all under the age of 25.
You have to remember that the superstars of today were not superstars right away. Lebron, Melo, and Wade were too young and inexperienced in 2004 to make a huge impact and that team lost despite having guys like Duncan and Iverson.
Outside of Ja and Edwards, I dont see any of those guts becoming world beaters like the US rosters of yesteryear.
The real generational US talents are probably not known or drafted yet.
Maybe you are right but nobody saw guys like Steph and Butler turning into superstars back in the early 2010s. Nobody saw guys like Lowry and Derozan turning into all-stars in the early 2010s.
Even a guy like Harden was a really good 6th man on a great team and didn't emerge as an all-star until year 4.Every decade there are a few guys that take the leap from star to superstar that you don't expect and every decade there are guys that become all-stars that you don't expect. Nobody in the late 1990s could ever predict that Steve Nash would become a perennial MVP.
I'm just saying the US still has some young guys with a ton of talent in Cade, Barnes, Mobley, Green, Scooter, Banchero etc. all under 23 years old. It's not far fetched to say that in the next 3-4 years at least a couple of those guys will turn into legit superstar caliber players. Cade has been injured a lot his first couple years but looks really good when healthy and Banchero looks like he's poised to become an all-star next season at the age of 20. Barnes and Mobley also seem like future all-star players.
You absolutely could predict superstardom for those guys. The fact the most didn't speaks to the pathetic level of talent evaluation in the NBA.
Prior to winning his first MVP in 2015, Curry had a career 3P% of .440 on volume other great 3 pt shooters couldn't touch. He was already the best shooter that had ever lived, and all he needed was an increase in role to become the player we know today. It's not that he developed skills that he didn't already possess, the Warriors under Kerr finally realized what they had and gave him the ball. How many years did they waste featuring Monta Ellis instead of him?
Harden is pretty much the same story. Supremely skilled going back to his AZ State days, led the league in TS% his last year in OKC with an insane FT rate. The ability to dribble, pass, shoot, and draw fouls was all there but he was a "6th man" so it got overlooked. It's not a coincidence that he became a star the moment he had his own team.
Even Butler at Marquette was mostly the same guy he is today: a bulldog small forward who drew a ton of fouls and played hardnose defense.
The truth is most of these "development" stories are just undervalued players who finally get the opportunity to shine. The talent was there the whole time but for whatever reason people couldn't see it. Usually it's because they don't have godlike athleticism, so scouts and fans assume they have limited upside. This bias still plagues scouts to this day and it's why busts like Bagley and Wiseman get picked high in the draft every year.
If any of these young US players are going to reach superstardom, it's because they already have the talent and skill and are being underused. I don't see supreme ability with any of these guys. A couple of volume scorers, some nice defensive specialists, and that's about it.