2021-22 NBA Rookie Thread (part 2)

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Which rookie impresses you the most?

Cade Cunningham
24
8%
Jalen Green
9
3%
Evan Mobley
76
26%
Scottie Barnes
104
36%
Jalen Suggs
4
1%
Josh Giddey
17
6%
Franz Wagner
42
15%
Chris Duarte
1
0%
Davion Mitchell
3
1%
Other
9
3%
 
Total votes: 289

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Re: 2021-22 NBA Rookie Thread (part 2) 

Post#261 » by The Moose » Fri Nov 5, 2021 7:06 am

PrinceAli wrote:
The Moose wrote:I’m not ready to jump to the conclusion that Cade’s 3pt shot is broken, he was money from 3 in the summer league. I think it’s just a case of rust from the ankle injury and being out of practice for a month

The form looks different imo. Apparently Beilein messed with his shot


hmm seems unlikely imo, he's 11/12 on ft's so he's still elite there, I think its just a rhythm/rust issue and getting his legs back from the 3pt line.
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Rookie Thread (part 2) 

Post#262 » by 10giz » Fri Nov 5, 2021 10:39 am

I just watched every Evan Mobley play so far this year and wrote up a pretty detailed post in case anybody wants to read it

He's a very good prospect with great IQ, great defensive instincts, good mobility and good passing/vision. He absolutely has the tools to develop into a potential all start

His game right now looks good in the box score but after doing some digging, he is nowhere near as impactful as any article or analyst is saying.

He has shown absolutely no offensive game. He's hit 6 jump shots, 4 of which were wide open and 2 were on the corner of the key over smaller players. His offensive game right now is basically that of an energy/hustle big. Everything's a dunk or alley and 75% of his FGs have been assisted. This is a stark contrast to Barnes for example, who's only had 30% of his buckets assisted and has show he can score at almost every level (although, his outside shot needs a lot of work too). Right now Mobley has the most limited offensive game of all the top rookies so far.

I would go as far as to say outside of his defensive contributions, which are almost exclusively in a help defence scenario or guards being led into or driving directly into him, as well as his willingness and ability to make quick, decisive passes, the rest of his game is quite unrefined and underdeveloped.

The biggest concern is that he's just not a top level athlete. For the NBA I actually think, at least now (he is young so this could change) but he looks to be at best, pretty good. He is incredibly weak. Particularly core strength. Poor lower body strength and the other that stood out to me, he has very weak hands. He has and will get blocked (7 times already) and stripped very easily as evidenced by his 15 lost balls already which is 7th in the league. He can barely back down SFs and can't really take people off the dribble as he doesn't have a the strength and force to turn the corner aggressively. He is not explosive, does not have pogo like hops, and most of all doesn't have sheer aggressiveness that can compensate.

Another big flaw is that although he's light on his feet, he can never really dig his feels in to allow for strong movements and pivots, something KG was elite at. Anybody who grew up a fan of KG practiced his post up, shimmy, turn and fade thousands of times and it was all in making sure to plant your feet hard. Ties back into the lower body strength this is something he'll definitely be able to improve. Until then though he will struggle with physicality and committing fouls too.

I just haven't seen a single element of his game that stands out as great or elite. His blocks have been nice but to be honest, the vast majority of them are either offensive players taking awful drives or him just jumping when the ball is near the rim. He has a good stride and can recover well if his man is in the right spot or angle but he is absolutely not someone who can fly around the floor on defence.

If this is what people are citing as his incredible defence, Haliburton and Thybulle are averaging more blocks. Al Horford is averaging more than double his blocks. People who think blocks and steals = good defence have probably never played basketball extensively understand defensive concepts. Don't get me wrong his presence absolutely can affect the offence but the impact is usually only limited to the ball being next to him.

I know people are excited about him as a prospect and I am too but people need to set some realistic short term expectations as he needs a lot of development.

I don't see a single reason or piece of evidence that shows he's the number one rookie.
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Rookie Thread (part 2) 

Post#263 » by CptCrunch » Fri Nov 5, 2021 1:36 pm

10giz wrote:I just watched every Evan Mobley play so far this year and wrote up a pretty detailed post in case anybody wants to read it

He's a very good prospect with great IQ, great defensive instincts, good mobility and good passing/vision. He absolutely has the tools to develop into a potential all start

His game right now looks good in the box score but after doing some digging, he is nowhere near as impactful as any article or analyst is saying.

He has shown absolutely no offensive game. He's hit 6 jump shots, 4 of which were wide open and 2 were on the corner of the key over smaller players. His offensive game right now is basically that of an energy/hustle big. Everything's a dunk or alley and 75% of his FGs have been assisted. This is a stark contrast to Barnes for example, who's only had 30% of his buckets assisted and has show he can score at almost every level (although, his outside shot needs a lot of work too). Right now Mobley has the most limited offensive game of all the top rookies so far.

I would go as far as to say outside of his defensive contributions, which are almost exclusively in a help defence scenario or guards being led into or driving directly into him, as well as his willingness and ability to make quick, decisive passes, the rest of his game is quite unrefined and underdeveloped.

The biggest concern is that he's just not a top level athlete. For the NBA I actually think, at least now (he is young so this could change) but he looks to be at best, pretty good. He is incredibly weak. Particularly core strength. Poor lower body strength and the other that stood out to me, he has very weak hands. He has and will get blocked (7 times already) and stripped very easily as evidenced by his 15 lost balls already which is 7th in the league. He can barely back down SFs and can't really take people off the dribble as he doesn't have a the strength and force to turn the corner aggressively. He is not explosive, does not have pogo like hops, and most of all doesn't have sheer aggressiveness that can compensate.

Another big flaw is that although he's light on his feet, he can never really dig his feels in to allow for strong movements and pivots, something KG was elite at. Anybody who grew up a fan of KG practiced his post up, shimmy, turn and fade thousands of times and it was all in making sure to plant your feet hard. Ties back into the lower body strength this is something he'll definitely be able to improve. Until then though he will struggle with physicality and committing fouls too.

I just haven't seen a single element of his game that stands out as great or elite. His blocks have been nice but to be honest, the vast majority of them are either offensive players taking awful drives or him just jumping when the ball is near the rim. He has a good stride and can recover well if his man is in the right spot or angle but he is absolutely not someone who can fly around the floor on defence.

If this is what people are citing as his incredible defence, Haliburton and Thybulle are averaging more blocks. Al Horford is averaging more than double his blocks. People who think blocks and steals = good defence have probably never played basketball extensively understand defensive concepts. Don't get me wrong his presence absolutely can affect the offence but the impact is usually only limited to the ball being next to him.

I know people are excited about him as a prospect and I am too but people need to set some realistic short term expectations as he needs a lot of development.

I don't see a single reason or piece of evidence that shows he's the number one rookie.


Replace the bold with "I am a Raptors fan"
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Rookie Thread (part 2) 

Post#264 » by PD28 » Fri Nov 5, 2021 1:42 pm

The Moose wrote:
PrinceAli wrote:
The Moose wrote:I’m not ready to jump to the conclusion that Cade’s 3pt shot is broken, he was money from 3 in the summer league. I think it’s just a case of rust from the ankle injury and being out of practice for a month

The form looks different imo. Apparently Beilein messed with his shot


hmm seems unlikely imo, he's 11/12 on ft's so he's still elite there, I think its just a rhythm/rust issue and getting his legs back from the 3pt line.


Ya his foot speed hasn't been where it was in College. It also doesn't help that teams are game planning for him more than most Rookie's given how bad the surrounding roster is
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Rookie Thread (part 2) 

Post#265 » by QingJames » Fri Nov 5, 2021 1:42 pm

CptCrunch wrote:
10giz wrote:I just watched every Evan Mobley play so far this year and wrote up a pretty detailed post in case anybody wants to read it

He's a very good prospect with great IQ, great defensive instincts, good mobility and good passing/vision. He absolutely has the tools to develop into a potential all start

His game right now looks good in the box score but after doing some digging, he is nowhere near as impactful as any article or analyst is saying.

He has shown absolutely no offensive game. He's hit 6 jump shots, 4 of which were wide open and 2 were on the corner of the key over smaller players. His offensive game right now is basically that of an energy/hustle big. Everything's a dunk or alley and 75% of his FGs have been assisted. This is a stark contrast to Barnes for example, who's only had 30% of his buckets assisted and has show he can score at almost every level (although, his outside shot needs a lot of work too). Right now Mobley has the most limited offensive game of all the top rookies so far.

I would go as far as to say outside of his defensive contributions, which are almost exclusively in a help defence scenario or guards being led into or driving directly into him, as well as his willingness and ability to make quick, decisive passes, the rest of his game is quite unrefined and underdeveloped.

The biggest concern is that he's just not a top level athlete. For the NBA I actually think, at least now (he is young so this could change) but he looks to be at best, pretty good. He is incredibly weak. Particularly core strength. Poor lower body strength and the other that stood out to me, he has very weak hands. He has and will get blocked (7 times already) and stripped very easily as evidenced by his 15 lost balls already which is 7th in the league. He can barely back down SFs and can't really take people off the dribble as he doesn't have a the strength and force to turn the corner aggressively. He is not explosive, does not have pogo like hops, and most of all doesn't have sheer aggressiveness that can compensate.

Another big flaw is that although he's light on his feet, he can never really dig his feels in to allow for strong movements and pivots, something KG was elite at. Anybody who grew up a fan of KG practiced his post up, shimmy, turn and fade thousands of times and it was all in making sure to plant your feet hard. Ties back into the lower body strength this is something he'll definitely be able to improve. Until then though he will struggle with physicality and committing fouls too.

I just haven't seen a single element of his game that stands out as great or elite. His blocks have been nice but to be honest, the vast majority of them are either offensive players taking awful drives or him just jumping when the ball is near the rim. He has a good stride and can recover well if his man is in the right spot or angle but he is absolutely not someone who can fly around the floor on defence.

If this is what people are citing as his incredible defence, Haliburton and Thybulle are averaging more blocks. Al Horford is averaging more than double his blocks. People who think blocks and steals = good defence have probably never played basketball extensively understand defensive concepts. Don't get me wrong his presence absolutely can affect the offence but the impact is usually only limited to the ball being next to him.

I know people are excited about him as a prospect and I am too but people need to set some realistic short term expectations as he needs a lot of development.

I don't see a single reason or piece of evidence that shows he's the number one rookie.


Replace the bold with "I am a Raptors fan"

Pretty snide way to dismiss his entire comment. You may not agree with what he wrote (I’m not sure I do) but he put a lot of effort and analysis into it at least, it’s not just some troll post. Makes you look kinda bad to just handwave it away bruh, especially given you’re Mobley’s biggest stan right now.
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Rookie Thread (part 2) 

Post#266 » by 10giz » Fri Nov 5, 2021 1:50 pm

CptCrunch wrote:
10giz wrote:I just watched every Evan Mobley play so far this year and wrote up a pretty detailed post in case anybody wants to read it

He's a very good prospect with great IQ, great defensive instincts, good mobility and good passing/vision. He absolutely has the tools to develop into a potential all start

His game right now looks good in the box score but after doing some digging, he is nowhere near as impactful as any article or analyst is saying.

He has shown absolutely no offensive game. He's hit 6 jump shots, 4 of which were wide open and 2 were on the corner of the key over smaller players. His offensive game right now is basically that of an energy/hustle big. Everything's a dunk or alley and 75% of his FGs have been assisted. This is a stark contrast to Barnes for example, who's only had 30% of his buckets assisted and has show he can score at almost every level (although, his outside shot needs a lot of work too). Right now Mobley has the most limited offensive game of all the top rookies so far.

I would go as far as to say outside of his defensive contributions, which are almost exclusively in a help defence scenario or guards being led into or driving directly into him, as well as his willingness and ability to make quick, decisive passes, the rest of his game is quite unrefined and underdeveloped.

The biggest concern is that he's just not a top level athlete. For the NBA I actually think, at least now (he is young so this could change) but he looks to be at best, pretty good. He is incredibly weak. Particularly core strength. Poor lower body strength and the other that stood out to me, he has very weak hands. He has and will get blocked (7 times already) and stripped very easily as evidenced by his 15 lost balls already which is 7th in the league. He can barely back down SFs and can't really take people off the dribble as he doesn't have a the strength and force to turn the corner aggressively. He is not explosive, does not have pogo like hops, and most of all doesn't have sheer aggressiveness that can compensate.

Another big flaw is that although he's light on his feet, he can never really dig his feels in to allow for strong movements and pivots, something KG was elite at. Anybody who grew up a fan of KG practiced his post up, shimmy, turn and fade thousands of times and it was all in making sure to plant your feet hard. Ties back into the lower body strength this is something he'll definitely be able to improve. Until then though he will struggle with physicality and committing fouls too.

I just haven't seen a single element of his game that stands out as great or elite. His blocks have been nice but to be honest, the vast majority of them are either offensive players taking awful drives or him just jumping when the ball is near the rim. He has a good stride and can recover well if his man is in the right spot or angle but he is absolutely not someone who can fly around the floor on defence.

If this is what people are citing as his incredible defence, Haliburton and Thybulle are averaging more blocks. Al Horford is averaging more than double his blocks. People who think blocks and steals = good defence have probably never played basketball extensively understand defensive concepts. Don't get me wrong his presence absolutely can affect the offence but the impact is usually only limited to the ball being next to him.

I know people are excited about him as a prospect and I am too but people need to set some realistic short term expectations as he needs a lot of development.

I don't see a single reason or piece of evidence that shows he's the number one rookie.


Replace the bold with "I am a Raptors fan"


Is that what you respond to someone who's taken time to actually watch the kid and come up with an opinion?

At least I can say I'm being honest and operating in good faith.

I've watched his tape and check his advanced metrics so I don't really feel offended. If you'd like to show me where you disagree and provide some evidence I'll be happy to change my mind.

I knew this would happen too. Anything that goes against consensus and I'm a homer.

This is why I specifically took the time to look into all his tape and numbers so I can know for myself. Most people are just proving me right by doing nothing but talking **** to me.

The only argument I've been given...is being shown the rookie numbers for AD and KG.

Rookie stats from two different eras with zero context. That's the argument. I was then told that watching the tape is useless.

The funny part is I've literally said he's a great prospect with amazing instincts, understanding, IQ.

He's just nowhere near a generational prospect on many levels.
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Rookie Thread (part 2) 

Post#267 » by 10giz » Fri Nov 5, 2021 1:51 pm

CptCrunch wrote:
10giz wrote:I just watched every Evan Mobley play so far this year and wrote up a pretty detailed post in case anybody wants to read it

He's a very good prospect with great IQ, great defensive instincts, good mobility and good passing/vision. He absolutely has the tools to develop into a potential all start

His game right now looks good in the box score but after doing some digging, he is nowhere near as impactful as any article or analyst is saying.

He has shown absolutely no offensive game. He's hit 6 jump shots, 4 of which were wide open and 2 were on the corner of the key over smaller players. His offensive game right now is basically that of an energy/hustle big. Everything's a dunk or alley and 75% of his FGs have been assisted. This is a stark contrast to Barnes for example, who's only had 30% of his buckets assisted and has show he can score at almost every level (although, his outside shot needs a lot of work too). Right now Mobley has the most limited offensive game of all the top rookies so far.

I would go as far as to say outside of his defensive contributions, which are almost exclusively in a help defence scenario or guards being led into or driving directly into him, as well as his willingness and ability to make quick, decisive passes, the rest of his game is quite unrefined and underdeveloped.

The biggest concern is that he's just not a top level athlete. For the NBA I actually think, at least now (he is young so this could change) but he looks to be at best, pretty good. He is incredibly weak. Particularly core strength. Poor lower body strength and the other that stood out to me, he has very weak hands. He has and will get blocked (7 times already) and stripped very easily as evidenced by his 15 lost balls already which is 7th in the league. He can barely back down SFs and can't really take people off the dribble as he doesn't have a the strength and force to turn the corner aggressively. He is not explosive, does not have pogo like hops, and most of all doesn't have sheer aggressiveness that can compensate.

Another big flaw is that although he's light on his feet, he can never really dig his feels in to allow for strong movements and pivots, something KG was elite at. Anybody who grew up a fan of KG practiced his post up, shimmy, turn and fade thousands of times and it was all in making sure to plant your feet hard. Ties back into the lower body strength this is something he'll definitely be able to improve. Until then though he will struggle with physicality and committing fouls too.

I just haven't seen a single element of his game that stands out as great or elite. His blocks have been nice but to be honest, the vast majority of them are either offensive players taking awful drives or him just jumping when the ball is near the rim. He has a good stride and can recover well if his man is in the right spot or angle but he is absolutely not someone who can fly around the floor on defence.

If this is what people are citing as his incredible defence, Haliburton and Thybulle are averaging more blocks. Al Horford is averaging more than double his blocks. People who think blocks and steals = good defence have probably never played basketball extensively understand defensive concepts. Don't get me wrong his presence absolutely can affect the offence but the impact is usually only limited to the ball being next to him.

I know people are excited about him as a prospect and I am too but people need to set some realistic short term expectations as he needs a lot of development.

I don't see a single reason or piece of evidence that shows he's the number one rookie.


Replace the bold with "I am a Raptors fan"


Honest question seeing the fleur de lys on your avatar.

Do you think Mobley is as athletic as Davis was in his rookie year?
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Rookie Thread (part 2) 

Post#268 » by Statlanta » Fri Nov 5, 2021 1:59 pm

A good amount of the positive TPA rookies are ones with minimal role or usage on their team.

Currently Franz Wagner has a positive TPA while Jalen Suggs, Evan Mobley and Scottie Barnes do not.

Is there a case of over relying on rookies to cover deficiencies like Suggs covering Fultz playmaking and scoring, Barnes replacing Siakam’s value or Mobley covering Love’s rotations.
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Rookie Thread (part 2) 

Post#269 » by CptCrunch » Fri Nov 5, 2021 2:10 pm

10giz wrote:
CptCrunch wrote:
10giz wrote:I just watched every Evan Mobley play so far this year and wrote up a pretty detailed post in case anybody wants to read it

He's a very good prospect with great IQ, great defensive instincts, good mobility and good passing/vision. He absolutely has the tools to develop into a potential all start

His game right now looks good in the box score but after doing some digging, he is nowhere near as impactful as any article or analyst is saying.

He has shown absolutely no offensive game. He's hit 6 jump shots, 4 of which were wide open and 2 were on the corner of the key over smaller players. His offensive game right now is basically that of an energy/hustle big. Everything's a dunk or alley and 75% of his FGs have been assisted. This is a stark contrast to Barnes for example, who's only had 30% of his buckets assisted and has show he can score at almost every level (although, his outside shot needs a lot of work too). Right now Mobley has the most limited offensive game of all the top rookies so far.

I would go as far as to say outside of his defensive contributions, which are almost exclusively in a help defence scenario or guards being led into or driving directly into him, as well as his willingness and ability to make quick, decisive passes, the rest of his game is quite unrefined and underdeveloped.

The biggest concern is that he's just not a top level athlete. For the NBA I actually think, at least now (he is young so this could change) but he looks to be at best, pretty good. He is incredibly weak. Particularly core strength. Poor lower body strength and the other that stood out to me, he has very weak hands. He has and will get blocked (7 times already) and stripped very easily as evidenced by his 15 lost balls already which is 7th in the league. He can barely back down SFs and can't really take people off the dribble as he doesn't have a the strength and force to turn the corner aggressively. He is not explosive, does not have pogo like hops, and most of all doesn't have sheer aggressiveness that can compensate.

Another big flaw is that although he's light on his feet, he can never really dig his feels in to allow for strong movements and pivots, something KG was elite at. Anybody who grew up a fan of KG practiced his post up, shimmy, turn and fade thousands of times and it was all in making sure to plant your feet hard. Ties back into the lower body strength this is something he'll definitely be able to improve. Until then though he will struggle with physicality and committing fouls too.

I just haven't seen a single element of his game that stands out as great or elite. His blocks have been nice but to be honest, the vast majority of them are either offensive players taking awful drives or him just jumping when the ball is near the rim. He has a good stride and can recover well if his man is in the right spot or angle but he is absolutely not someone who can fly around the floor on defence.

If this is what people are citing as his incredible defence, Haliburton and Thybulle are averaging more blocks. Al Horford is averaging more than double his blocks. People who think blocks and steals = good defence have probably never played basketball extensively understand defensive concepts. Don't get me wrong his presence absolutely can affect the offence but the impact is usually only limited to the ball being next to him.

I know people are excited about him as a prospect and I am too but people need to set some realistic short term expectations as he needs a lot of development.

I don't see a single reason or piece of evidence that shows he's the number one rookie.


Replace the bold with "I am a Raptors fan"


Honest question seeing the fleur de lys on your avatar.

Do you think Mobley is as athletic as Davis was in his rookie year?


No, Davis is a superior athlete. But defense isn't about athleticism. Once you have enough athleticism in terms of tools, adding more doesn't make you a better defender.

At the same age, he reads NBA schemes much better than any rookie we've seen in probably one to two decade. The reason why some have been excited about him is that the last player who can read offense like this was Garnett.

Davis was no where on the same level on this in reading the PnR, switches, screen and other schemes. Davis could guard the perimeter against guards like Mobley at the same age. Davis was better at challenging shots at the rim with better athleticism and bigger wingspan.

Team defense is really where rookies bigs all struggle universally. The likes of Towns, Ayton still cannot play effectively team defense to this day. Sure Ayton can play elite 1:1 defense (and acceptable for Towns) because of their physical tools, but they just don't possess the mental aspect to be elite defenders from a team perspective.

Perhaps the most unique aspect of Mobley is his ability to defend without fouling. His PF/40 in college is the lowest ever recorded for a lottery big. And so far his PF/40 is While at the same time, he plays better defense than all of these players below.

Mobley: 2.1
Davis: 2.4
Ayton: 2.8
Oden: 3.8
Towns: 5
JJJ: 5.8
Embiid: 6.3

And in the 6-8 games so far this season, his PF/40 is still lower than any of the players above (of course those still in the league). Foul rate, steal rate, and turnover rates are some of the best defenders of defensive IQ and awareness.

Mobley projects as a generational defender first and foremost. As a result, I literally do not care about his offense. If he scores 10 points good, if he scores 15 great.

When a post from a Raptors fans ends with 'I just haven't seen a single element of his game that stands out as great or elite', that is just an indication that the poster doesn't watch or understand basketball.

Look guys, if you love your rookie, posts content to show they are better than others as opposed to making posts at tearing other rookies down. As I have mentioned before assuming continued production, Barnes is as good a rookie can be every year aka the best rookie you'll usually see every year on the average case. Assuming good development, his path is a all-NBA player.

But for me, Mobley is really the only player in this draft who has a ceiling that can transcend that. If you ask me, can Barnes become atop 20 all time player, I mean the answer is sure, but that path is so extremely unlikely. You need to follow some miracle developmental path that is so far outside the developmental norms. But for Mobley, he has more than a negligible chance of reaching that level late in his career.
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Rookie Thread (part 2) 

Post#270 » by 10giz » Fri Nov 5, 2021 2:31 pm

CptCrunch wrote:
10giz wrote:
CptCrunch wrote:
Replace the bold with "I am a Raptors fan"


Honest question seeing the fleur de lys on your avatar.

Do you think Mobley is as athletic as Davis was in his rookie year?


No, Davis is a superior athlete. But defense isn't about athleticism. Once you have enough athleticism in terms of tools, adding more doesn't make you a better defender.

At the same age, he reads NBA schemes much better than any rookie we've seen in probably one to two decade. The reason why some have been excited about him is that the last player who can read offense like this was Garnett.

Davis was no where on the same level on this in reading the PnR, switches, screen and other schemes. Davis could guard the perimeter against guards like Mobley at the same age. Davis was better at challenging shots at the rim with better athleticism and bigger wingspan.

Team defense is really where rookies bigs all struggle universally. The likes of Towns, Ayton still cannot play effectively team defense to this day. Sure Ayton can play elite 1:1 defense (and acceptable for Towns) because of their physical tools, but they just don't possess the mental aspect to be elite defenders from a team perspective.

Perhaps the most unique aspect of Mobley is his ability to defend without fouling. His PF/40 in college is the lowest ever recorded for a lottery big. And so far his PF/40 is While at the same time, he plays better defense than all of these players below.

Mobley: 2.1
Davis: 2.4
Ayton: 2.8
Oden: 3.8
Towns: 5
JJJ: 5.8
Embiid: 6.3

And in the 6-8 games so far this season, his PF/40 is still lower than any of the players above (of course those still in the league). Foul rate, steal rate, and turnover rates are some of the best defenders of defensive IQ and awareness.

Mobley projects as a generational defender first and foremost. As a result, I literally do not care about his offense. If he scores 10 points good, if he scores 15 great.

When a post from a Raptors fans ends with 'I just haven't seen a single element of his game that stands out as great or elite', that is just an indication that the poster doesn't watch or understand basketball.

Look guys, if you love your rookie, posts content to show they are better than others as opposed to making posts at tearing other rookies down. As I have mentioned before assuming continued production, Barnes is as good a rookie can be every year aka the best rookie you'll usually see every year on the average case. Assuming good development, his path is a all-NBA player.

But for me, Mobley is really the only player in this draft who has a ceiling that can transcend that. If you ask me, can Barnes become atop 20 all time player, I mean the answer is sure, but that path is so extremely unlikely. You need to follow some miracle developmental path that is so far outside the developmental norms. But for Mobley, he has more than a negligible chance of reaching that level late in his career.

With regards to his reading, processing, instincts and IQ I would absolutey agree. These are all things I said were strengths.

But he is not playing that role. All those players you listed play C.

He’s spent 46% of his minutes at SF and 36% at PF. He is not being tasked with any significant defensive assignments, which is smart of CLE as they have multiple other bigs which allows Mobley to keep his eyes on the ball and make plays.


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Re: 2021-22 NBA Rookie Thread (part 2) 

Post#271 » by 10giz » Fri Nov 5, 2021 2:43 pm

CptCrunch wrote:
10giz wrote:
CptCrunch wrote:
Replace the bold with "I am a Raptors fan"


Honest question seeing the fleur de lys on your avatar.

Do you think Mobley is as athletic as Davis was in his rookie year?


No, Davis is a superior athlete. But defense isn't about athleticism. Once you have enough athleticism in terms of tools, adding more doesn't make you a better defender.

At the same age, he reads NBA schemes much better than any rookie we've seen in probably one to two decade. The reason why some have been excited about him is that the last player who can read offense like this was Garnett.

Davis was no where on the same level on this in reading the PnR, switches, screen and other schemes. Davis could guard the perimeter against guards like Mobley at the same age. Davis was better at challenging shots at the rim with better athleticism and bigger wingspan.

Team defense is really where rookies bigs all struggle universally. The likes of Towns, Ayton still cannot play effectively team defense to this day. Sure Ayton can play elite 1:1 defense (and acceptable for Towns) because of their physical tools, but they just don't possess the mental aspect to be elite defenders from a team perspective.

Perhaps the most unique aspect of Mobley is his ability to defend without fouling. His PF/40 in college is the lowest ever recorded for a lottery big. And so far his PF/40 is While at the same time, he plays better defense than all of these players below.

Mobley: 2.1
Davis: 2.4
Ayton: 2.8
Oden: 3.8
Towns: 5
JJJ: 5.8
Embiid: 6.3

And in the 6-8 games so far this season, his PF/40 is still lower than any of the players above (of course those still in the league). Foul rate, steal rate, and turnover rates are some of the best defenders of defensive IQ and awareness.

Mobley projects as a generational defender first and foremost. As a result, I literally do not care about his offense. If he scores 10 points good, if he scores 15 great.

When a post from a Raptors fans ends with 'I just haven't seen a single element of his game that stands out as great or elite', that is just an indication that the poster doesn't watch or understand basketball.

Look guys, if you love your rookie, posts content to show they are better than others as opposed to making posts at tearing other rookies down. As I have mentioned before assuming continued production, Barnes is as good a rookie can be every year aka the best rookie you'll usually see every year on the average case. Assuming good development, his path is a all-NBA player.

But for me, Mobley is really the only player in this draft who has a ceiling that can transcend that. If you ask me, can Barnes become atop 20 all time player, I mean the answer is sure, but that path is so extremely unlikely. You need to follow some miracle developmental path that is so far outside the developmental norms. But for Mobley, he has more than a negligible chance of reaching that level late in his career.


Then show me otherwise?

The only example you've given are his PF/40 in college. Do you really think that's relevant in the NBA where he's not only not the biggest guy but athletically inferior to very many other bigs?

I'm not trying to be facetious I'm trying to learn so maybe I can understand because I have yet to see it. He's not blocking or rebounding at a particular elite level. He's not anchoring the defence in the post. He's not guarding primary scorers outside.
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Rookie Thread (part 2) 

Post#272 » by 10giz » Fri Nov 5, 2021 2:59 pm

Let's use this example. I know it's not indicative of anything and doesn't paint the whole picture, but I'd like to see what you mean.

I will openly agree his ability to avoid fouls and play responsible defence is absolutely great. That I'll even say is elite.

,

But with all due respect, I've actually played tens of thousands of hours of basketball specifically as a defensive specialist and have actually blocked thousands of shots in my life so for you to say I don't understand, well I can actually prove it on a court or while watching film with you. I don't say that condescendingly but you've provided no counter argument other than one trait which I agree with and I'm simply trying to have an open discussion. Whenever someone just resorts to "Raptor fan blah blah blah", you're saying something about you, not me.

You may think what Mobley is doing is "generational". But sagging off your man constantly to the point of leaving him comepltely open is not good defence even if you're successful in getting the block. That is a bad habit that will get punished against any team or player who know's what he's doing.
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Rookie Thread (part 2) 

Post#273 » by CraftylikeaFox » Fri Nov 5, 2021 4:22 pm

10giz wrote:I just watched every Evan Mobley play so far this year and wrote up a pretty detailed post in case anybody wants to read it

He's a very good prospect with great IQ, great defensive instincts, good mobility and good passing/vision. He absolutely has the tools to develop into a potential all start

His game right now looks good in the box score but after doing some digging, he is nowhere near as impactful as any article or analyst is saying.

He has shown absolutely no offensive game. He's hit 6 jump shots, 4 of which were wide open and 2 were on the corner of the key over smaller players. His offensive game right now is basically that of an energy/hustle big. Everything's a dunk or alley and 75% of his FGs have been assisted. This is a stark contrast to Barnes for example, who's only had 30% of his buckets assisted and has show he can score at almost every level (although, his outside shot needs a lot of work too). Right now Mobley has the most limited offensive game of all the top rookies so far.

I would go as far as to say outside of his defensive contributions, which are almost exclusively in a help defence scenario or guards being led into or driving directly into him, as well as his willingness and ability to make quick, decisive passes, the rest of his game is quite unrefined and underdeveloped.

The biggest concern is that he's just not a top level athlete. For the NBA I actually think, at least now (he is young so this could change) but he looks to be at best, pretty good. He is incredibly weak. Particularly core strength. Poor lower body strength and the other that stood out to me, he has very weak hands. He has and will get blocked (7 times already) and stripped very easily as evidenced by his 15 lost balls already which is 7th in the league. He can barely back down SFs and can't really take people off the dribble as he doesn't have a the strength and force to turn the corner aggressively. He is not explosive, does not have pogo like hops, and most of all doesn't have sheer aggressiveness that can compensate.

Another big flaw is that although he's light on his feet, he can never really dig his feels in to allow for strong movements and pivots, something KG was elite at. Anybody who grew up a fan of KG practiced his post up, shimmy, turn and fade thousands of times and it was all in making sure to plant your feet hard. Ties back into the lower body strength this is something he'll definitely be able to improve. Until then though he will struggle with physicality and committing fouls too.

I just haven't seen a single element of his game that stands out as great or elite. His blocks have been nice but to be honest, the vast majority of them are either offensive players taking awful drives or him just jumping when the ball is near the rim. He has a good stride and can recover well if his man is in the right spot or angle but he is absolutely not someone who can fly around the floor on defence.

If this is what people are citing as his incredible defence, Haliburton and Thybulle are averaging more blocks. Al Horford is averaging more than double his blocks. People who think blocks and steals = good defence have probably never played basketball extensively understand defensive concepts. Don't get me wrong his presence absolutely can affect the offence but the impact is usually only limited to the ball being next to him.

I know people are excited about him as a prospect and I am too but people need to set some realistic short term expectations as he needs a lot of development.

I don't see a single reason or piece of evidence that shows he's the number one rookie.


You might want to delete the 4th to last paragraph as in the 2nd paragraph you list what he is great at. Or at least rephrase. Also, this is a nice write up. Well done, even if I disagree with a lot of it
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Rookie Thread (part 2) 

Post#274 » by 10giz » Fri Nov 5, 2021 4:35 pm

CraftylikeaFox wrote:
10giz wrote:I just watched every Evan Mobley play so far this year and wrote up a pretty detailed post in case anybody wants to read it

He's a very good prospect with great IQ, great defensive instincts, good mobility and good passing/vision. He absolutely has the tools to develop into a potential all start

His game right now looks good in the box score but after doing some digging, he is nowhere near as impactful as any article or analyst is saying.

He has shown absolutely no offensive game. He's hit 6 jump shots, 4 of which were wide open and 2 were on the corner of the key over smaller players. His offensive game right now is basically that of an energy/hustle big. Everything's a dunk or alley and 75% of his FGs have been assisted. This is a stark contrast to Barnes for example, who's only had 30% of his buckets assisted and has show he can score at almost every level (although, his outside shot needs a lot of work too). Right now Mobley has the most limited offensive game of all the top rookies so far.

I would go as far as to say outside of his defensive contributions, which are almost exclusively in a help defence scenario or guards being led into or driving directly into him, as well as his willingness and ability to make quick, decisive passes, the rest of his game is quite unrefined and underdeveloped.

The biggest concern is that he's just not a top level athlete. For the NBA I actually think, at least now (he is young so this could change) but he looks to be at best, pretty good. He is incredibly weak. Particularly core strength. Poor lower body strength and the other that stood out to me, he has very weak hands. He has and will get blocked (7 times already) and stripped very easily as evidenced by his 15 lost balls already which is 7th in the league. He can barely back down SFs and can't really take people off the dribble as he doesn't have a the strength and force to turn the corner aggressively. He is not explosive, does not have pogo like hops, and most of all doesn't have sheer aggressiveness that can compensate.

Another big flaw is that although he's light on his feet, he can never really dig his feels in to allow for strong movements and pivots, something KG was elite at. Anybody who grew up a fan of KG practiced his post up, shimmy, turn and fade thousands of times and it was all in making sure to plant your feet hard. Ties back into the lower body strength this is something he'll definitely be able to improve. Until then though he will struggle with physicality and committing fouls too.

I just haven't seen a single element of his game that stands out as great or elite. His blocks have been nice but to be honest, the vast majority of them are either offensive players taking awful drives or him just jumping when the ball is near the rim. He has a good stride and can recover well if his man is in the right spot or angle but he is absolutely not someone who can fly around the floor on defence.

If this is what people are citing as his incredible defence, Haliburton and Thybulle are averaging more blocks. Al Horford is averaging more than double his blocks. People who think blocks and steals = good defence have probably never played basketball extensively understand defensive concepts. Don't get me wrong his presence absolutely can affect the offence but the impact is usually only limited to the ball being next to him.

I know people are excited about him as a prospect and I am too but people need to set some realistic short term expectations as he needs a lot of development.

I don't see a single reason or piece of evidence that shows he's the number one rookie.


You might want to delete the 4th to last paragraph as in the 2nd paragraph you list what he is great at. Or at least rephrase. Also, this is a nice write up. Well done, even if I disagree with a lot of it


I'm not scared of being wrong. I **** hope to be proven wrong instead of being accused of being a homer. People think I write this tot boast Barnes while tearing down Mobley?

Typical. I'm a basketball fan first. I want as many great players in this league as possible and I've seen many since 1996.

The fact that I'm being vilified for questioning a rookie who's played 9 games of NBA basketballs "generational" label or "elite" traits is a joke. Even worse I'm willing to absolutely, not even willing, have openly and happily given credit for every single valid point anyone has provided for his abilities.

Not everything I write will be accurate. Some things I may fudge due to not thinking straight. That's the difference I'm fine being wrong it's happened many many times and will again. But sorry if I don't accept people just saying, well you don't know defence Raptor fan.
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Rookie Thread (part 2) 

Post#275 » by Vampirate » Fri Nov 5, 2021 5:01 pm

CptCrunch wrote:Look guys, if you love your rookie, posts content to show they are better than others as opposed to making posts at tearing other rookies down. As I have mentioned before assuming continued production, Barnes is as good a rookie can be every year aka the best rookie you'll usually see every year on the average case. Assuming good development, his path is a all-NBA player.


Before I go off on being a homer i'll say I need to see how Scottie's scoring in efficiency and volume is holding up when half the season is over at least.

If Barnes can maintain these averages and efficiency through half the season, then i'll be more than happy to let my homerism out.

Barnes is much harder to predict going into the future than Mobley is imo.
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Rookie Thread (part 2) 

Post#276 » by 10giz » Fri Nov 5, 2021 5:20 pm

If you call me taking time to critique a player is tearing him down, you're clearly not built for discussion or debates.

At least I put something into it instead of simply brushing someone off and claiming greatness.

Clearly spirited discussion is triggering around here for some.
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Rookie Thread (part 2) 

Post#277 » by HiRez » Fri Nov 5, 2021 5:26 pm

Rookie data through Nov. 4, sorted by win shares.

Note that it is filtered for a minimum of games played (>35% of max) and minutes (>8) so some rookies (like Cade, Kuminga, etc.) won't appear in there yet, but they will later.

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Re: 2021-22 NBA Rookie Thread (part 2) 

Post#278 » by JonFromVA » Fri Nov 5, 2021 6:14 pm

10giz wrote:
CptCrunch wrote:
10giz wrote:
Honest question seeing the fleur de lys on your avatar.

Do you think Mobley is as athletic as Davis was in his rookie year?


No, Davis is a superior athlete. But defense isn't about athleticism. Once you have enough athleticism in terms of tools, adding more doesn't make you a better defender.

At the same age, he reads NBA schemes much better than any rookie we've seen in probably one to two decade. The reason why some have been excited about him is that the last player who can read offense like this was Garnett.

Davis was no where on the same level on this in reading the PnR, switches, screen and other schemes. Davis could guard the perimeter against guards like Mobley at the same age. Davis was better at challenging shots at the rim with better athleticism and bigger wingspan.

Team defense is really where rookies bigs all struggle universally. The likes of Towns, Ayton still cannot play effectively team defense to this day. Sure Ayton can play elite 1:1 defense (and acceptable for Towns) because of their physical tools, but they just don't possess the mental aspect to be elite defenders from a team perspective.

Perhaps the most unique aspect of Mobley is his ability to defend without fouling. His PF/40 in college is the lowest ever recorded for a lottery big. And so far his PF/40 is While at the same time, he plays better defense than all of these players below.

Mobley: 2.1
Davis: 2.4
Ayton: 2.8
Oden: 3.8
Towns: 5
JJJ: 5.8
Embiid: 6.3

And in the 6-8 games so far this season, his PF/40 is still lower than any of the players above (of course those still in the league). Foul rate, steal rate, and turnover rates are some of the best defenders of defensive IQ and awareness.

Mobley projects as a generational defender first and foremost. As a result, I literally do not care about his offense. If he scores 10 points good, if he scores 15 great.

When a post from a Raptors fans ends with 'I just haven't seen a single element of his game that stands out as great or elite', that is just an indication that the poster doesn't watch or understand basketball.

Look guys, if you love your rookie, posts content to show they are better than others as opposed to making posts at tearing other rookies down. As I have mentioned before assuming continued production, Barnes is as good a rookie can be every year aka the best rookie you'll usually see every year on the average case. Assuming good development, his path is a all-NBA player.

But for me, Mobley is really the only player in this draft who has a ceiling that can transcend that. If you ask me, can Barnes become atop 20 all time player, I mean the answer is sure, but that path is so extremely unlikely. You need to follow some miracle developmental path that is so far outside the developmental norms. But for Mobley, he has more than a negligible chance of reaching that level late in his career.

With regards to his reading, processing, instincts and IQ I would absolutey agree. These are all things I said were strengths.

But he is not playing that role. All those players you listed play C.

He’s spent 46% of his minutes at SF and 36% at PF. He is not being tasked with any significant defensive assignments, which is smart of CLE as they have multiple other bigs which allows Mobley to keep his eyes on the ball and make plays.


And now you have me wondering if you really did watch every Mobley possession this season, because speaking as someone who has ... that number is not true.

Albeit, I suppose if we counted defensive position by who a player has contested ... maybe he'd be a PG?
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Rookie Thread (part 2) 

Post#279 » by 10giz » Fri Nov 5, 2021 6:15 pm

"When a post from a Raptors fans ends with 'I just haven't seen a single element of his game that stands out as great or elite', that is just an indication that the poster doesn't watch or understand basketball."

Imagine being this type of piece of garbage - that someone giving their opinion can only mean you think they don't watch or understand.

Then imagine being so full of your own delusion that...

"But for me, Mobley is really the only player in this draft who has a ceiling that can transcend that. If you ask me, can Barnes become atop 20 all time player, I mean the answer is sure, but that path is so extremely unlikely. You need to follow some miracle developmental path that is so far outside the developmental norms. But for Mobley, he has more than a negligible chance of reaching that level late in his career.:

I'd call you a **** idiot if I didn't have a more respect for **** idiots.

Dude knows more than every GM in the league. Can't beat PF/40 to project greatness right?

This is actually some all time **** right here. It's reprehensible for someone to speak of your treasured prize but it's perfectly sensible for you to project someone to be an all time great based on nothing but your own opinion that you don't even have the backbone to defend.

I sincerely hope you're not actually a Cleveland sports fan from Cleveland because you'd give those fine people a bad name.
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Rookie Thread (part 2) 

Post#280 » by JonFromVA » Fri Nov 5, 2021 6:18 pm

10giz wrote:"When a post from a Raptors fans ends with 'I just haven't seen a single element of his game that stands out as great or elite', that is just an indication that the poster doesn't watch or understand basketball."

Imagine being this type of piece of garbage - that someone giving their opinion can only mean you think they don't watch or understand.

Then imagine being so full of your own delusion that...

"But for me, Mobley is really the only player in this draft who has a ceiling that can transcend that. If you ask me, can Barnes become atop 20 all time player, I mean the answer is sure, but that path is so extremely unlikely. You need to follow some miracle developmental path that is so far outside the developmental norms. But for Mobley, he has more than a negligible chance of reaching that level late in his career.:

I'd call you a **** idiot if I didn't have a more respect for **** idiots.

Dude knows more than every GM in the league. Can't beat PF/40 to project greatness right?

This is actually some all time **** right here. It's reprehensible for someone to speak of your treasured prize but it's perfectly sensible for you to project someone to be an all time great based on nothing but your own opinion that you don't even have the backbone to defend.

I sincerely hope you're not actually a Cleveland sports fan from Cleveland because you'd give those fine people a bad name.


Seriously ... you're coming off more and more as someone who hopped in this thread with an agenda to pick a fight.

This is RealGM, so nothing wrong with that I guess ... but you were trying to come across as having an unbiased view and bringing the facts and you're basically showing us that's not actually the case.

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