2024-25 NBA MVP Discussion Thread (Pt. 4: Who is the MVP?)

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Who gets your vote for the 2024-25 NBA MVP award?

Nikola Jokic
139
50%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
104
38%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
20
7%
Jayson Tatum
5
2%
Donovan Mitchell
0
No votes
Steph Curry
5
2%
LeBron James
3
1%
Cade Cunningham
0
No votes
Anthony Edwards
0
No votes
Other (Wemby, KAT, Brunson, AD, Durant, Trae, JJJ, Sengun, Sabonis, etc. - poll is limited to 10 options)
1
0%
 
Total votes: 277

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Re: 2024-25 NBA MVP Discussion Thread (Pt. 4: Who is the MVP?) 

Post#281 » by EmpireFalls » Mon Mar 17, 2025 5:18 pm

Special_Puppy wrote:
EmpireFalls wrote:
slick_watts wrote:
when people say 'advanced defensive stats', nobody means boxscore metrics like dbpm or defensive win shares, which are both useless. they mean apm based defensive metrics, usually.

That’s news to me. For the vast majority of Jokic fans, PER, BPM, and WS are the only statistics available. Oh, and of course net on-off (thanks DeAndre!) The box score derivative GOAT.


I am sensing that in general some of your more "hostile" comments towards Jokic are due to annoyance at his stans

That's really my only issue. I have had Jokic as my MVP the last 4 seasons and thus the BITW since at least the 2023 season (2021 and 2022 I wouldn't say he was clearly the best).

Jokic mania suggesting that he is the GREATEST PEAK EVER having the GREATEST SEASON EVER however has gone overboard.

It combines 3 aspects of fandom I really dislike : a) misuse of statistics, b) lack of standards and baseline consistency, and c) player tribalism and personal attacks.

a) While Jokic does have great stats by any respect, his playstyle as well as the era we play in gives his stats inflated values that break the rudimentary BPM/WS models. Effectively there are some metrics that present him as by far the best ever, which needs context, which is never brought up, of course. This is the highest scoring, most efficient halfcourt era of all time, of course the best player would be more efficient and rack up more assists than previous playmakers did. However none of the previous great playmakers were centers which breaks the BPM/VORP/WS model, and yet, this is exactly what is frequently cited in favour of him. In essence I'm not even arguing against Jokic but against statistics being misused maliciously.

What almost no Jokic supporter will do is admit that in almost every APM metric, he was matched or even outdone by a healthy Embiid and SGA in just the last two seasons alone. They pivot to BPM instead.

So you end up hearing arguments saying 'Jokic is the best and it isn't even close' - which is almost always based upon a dangerous misuse of rudimentary counting statistics.

b) last year it was impact stats and winning that gave Jokic the edge over Luka (and to a lesser extent SGA).

In 2021 and 2022 it wasn't about winning. Then it was again in 2023 and 2024. This year though it's 'omg he averages triple double' and 'Nuggets suck Thunder stacked so it doesn't count'. Which brings me to my next point...

c) Jokic fans more than any other player attack his teammates as if they are cancers to basketball. Every missed shot of Porter or Murray is proof that each are an overpaid, overrated bum who can't do anything right. Now, I understand this is true of a lot of fanbases (especially LeBron's), but what separates the Jokic fanbase is that they also go on the attack to discredit other players. If SGA has 40 points, it's 'all foul baiting'. When Embiid was on his run, it was 'flopping and cheating'.

Jokic is having an amazing season worthy of MVP and greatest peak consideration. However, he is not having the best peak ever, and certainly not 'clearly having the best season' even this year, let alone all time.
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Re: 2024-25 NBA MVP Discussion Thread (Pt. 4: Who is the MVP?) 

Post#282 » by RRR3 » Mon Mar 17, 2025 6:22 pm

Yeah I'm not even sure Jokic is having the best season ever for a guy named Jokic lol. Idk what I'd rank as his best season, would have to check the impact data to make a more informed opinion. I feel like most would say the year he won a title, but that's pretty reductive thinking, he was perfectly capable of winning a title as the best player other years, I don't think the fact that he happened to that year makes it his best (although it could be, just not for that reason).

Additionally I think Jokic fans got a little too used to him not being challenged as the best player. While Embiid was challenging him last year in the regular season, it was only for less than half the year as he went down with injury, and even before he did everyone was expecting him to disappoint in the playoffs, so even if he equaled or surpassed Jokic in the regular season it was unlikely to make anyone rank him as better. SGA however by many impact metrics is as good or better than Jokic this year. It doesn't seem to have sunk in for many how good SGA is now, I still see people putting Luka over him which is frankly absurd.
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Re: 2024-25 NBA MVP Discussion Thread (Pt. 4: Who is the MVP?) 

Post#283 » by Woodsanity » Mon Mar 17, 2025 7:18 pm

EmpireFalls wrote:
Special_Puppy wrote:
EmpireFalls wrote:That’s news to me. For the vast majority of Jokic fans, PER, BPM, and WS are the only statistics available. Oh, and of course net on-off (thanks DeAndre!) The box score derivative GOAT.


I am sensing that in general some of your more "hostile" comments towards Jokic are due to annoyance at his stans

That's really my only issue. I have had Jokic as my MVP the last 4 seasons and thus the BITW since at least the 2023 season (2021 and 2022 I wouldn't say he was clearly the best).

Jokic mania suggesting that he is the GREATEST PEAK EVER having the GREATEST SEASON EVER however has gone overboard.

It combines 3 aspects of fandom I really dislike : a) misuse of statistics, b) lack of standards and baseline consistency, and c) player tribalism and personal attacks.

a) While Jokic does have great stats by any respect, his playstyle as well as the era we play in gives his stats inflated values that break the rudimentary BPM/WS models. Effectively there are some metrics that present him as by far the best ever, which needs context, which is never brought up, of course. This is the highest scoring, most efficient halfcourt era of all time, of course the best player would be more efficient and rack up more assists than previous playmakers did. However none of the previous great playmakers were centers which breaks the BPM/VORP/WS model, and yet, this is exactly what is frequently cited in favour of him. In essence I'm not even arguing against Jokic but against statistics being misused maliciously.

What almost no Jokic supporter will do is admit that in almost every APM metric, he was matched or even outdone by a healthy Embiid and SGA in just the last two seasons alone. They pivot to BPM instead.

So you end up hearing arguments saying 'Jokic is the best and it isn't even close' - which is almost always based upon a dangerous misuse of rudimentary counting statistics.

b) last year it was impact stats and winning that gave Jokic the edge over Luka (and to a lesser extent SGA).

In 2021 and 2022 it wasn't about winning. Then it was again in 2023 and 2024. This year though it's 'omg he averages triple double' and 'Nuggets suck Thunder stacked so it doesn't count'. Which brings me to my next point...

c) Jokic fans more than any other player attack his teammates as if they are cancers to basketball. Every missed shot of Porter or Murray is proof that each are an overpaid, overrated bum who can't do anything right. Now, I understand this is true of a lot of fanbases (especially LeBron's), but what separates the Jokic fanbase is that they also go on the attack to discredit other players. If SGA has 40 points, it's 'all foul baiting'. When Embiid was on his run, it was 'flopping and cheating'.

Jokic is having an amazing season worthy of MVP and greatest peak consideration. However, he is not having the best peak ever, and certainly not 'clearly having the best season' even this year, let alone all time.


I mean its objectively true that the Nuggets roster is dogwater.

Jamal Murray PER: 17.9, BPM .8
MPJ PER: 16.2, BPM -.3

These guys are playing at a level maybe 1/2th their current contract.
All NBA Chokers List

PG: Harden
SG: Demar Derozan
SF: Paul George
PF: Karl Malone
C: Embiid (Harden of Centers)
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Re: 2024-25 NBA MVP Discussion Thread (Pt. 4: Who is the MVP?) 

Post#284 » by RRR3 » Mon Mar 17, 2025 7:26 pm

Use impact data not box scores stats.
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Re: 2024-25 NBA MVP Discussion Thread (Pt. 4: Who is the MVP?) 

Post#285 » by 1993Playoffs » Mon Mar 17, 2025 8:06 pm

You know how bad you have to be on defense to be having arguably the best offensive (it’s not to me)season ever and STILL. Not be the mvp favorite
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Re: 2024-25 NBA MVP Discussion Thread (Pt. 4: Who is the MVP?) 

Post#286 » by Special_Puppy » Mon Mar 17, 2025 8:27 pm

1993Playoffs wrote:You know how bad you have to be on defense to be having arguably the best offensive (it’s not to me)season ever and STILL. Not be the mvp favorite


Its the record difference and to a lesser extend voter fatigue that's killing Jokic. Not really the defense. If you equalized the supporting casts so both teams were on track to win ~60 games each then it'd be a near tossup in the betting odds instead of a SGA lock
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Re: 2024-25 NBA MVP Discussion Thread (Pt. 4: Who is the MVP?) 

Post#287 » by lessthanjake » Mon Mar 17, 2025 9:54 pm

EmpireFalls wrote:Jokic mania suggesting that he is the GREATEST PEAK EVER having the GREATEST SEASON EVER however has gone overboard.

It combines 3 aspects of fandom I really dislike : a) misuse of statistics, b) lack of standards and baseline consistency, and c) player tribalism and personal attacks.

a) While Jokic does have great stats by any respect, his playstyle as well as the era we play in gives his stats inflated values that break the rudimentary BPM/WS models. Effectively there are some metrics that present him as by far the best ever, which needs context, which is never brought up, of course. This is the highest scoring, most efficient halfcourt era of all time, of course the best player would be more efficient and rack up more assists than previous playmakers did. However none of the previous great playmakers were centers which breaks the BPM/VORP/WS model, and yet, this is exactly what is frequently cited in favour of him. In essence I'm not even arguing against Jokic but against statistics being misused maliciously.

What almost no Jokic supporter will do is admit that in almost every APM metric, he was matched or even outdone by a healthy Embiid and SGA in just the last two seasons alone. They pivot to BPM instead.


I just want to note that I don’t think it’s mutually exclusive to think, for instance, that Jokic is having the best-ever 5-year peak while also admitting that other guys in this era have been relatively close to him on a year-by-year basis. Other guys have had really good seasons recently—and SGA is definitely having an amazing season this year!

For an example of this in action, let’s look at actual EPM. Jokic is not in 1st place in EPM this year. And, more generally, in the last five years he has never just completely blown everyone else out of the water in a given season. But, at the same time, Jokic’s average EPM from 2021-2025 is +8.52. That compares favorably to LeBron’s average EPM from 2009-2013, which was +7.90. And it compares favorably to Steph’s average EPM from 2015-2019, which was +8.22. In other words, EPM would suggest that Jokic is definitely in the conversation for best five-year peak (with the obvious caveat that EPM doesn’t tell us about peaks from guys who played before the stat existed), while also suggesting that Jokic has not just been miles ahead of the pack in a given season. I think both of those things can be true at once.
OhayoKD wrote:Lebron contributes more to all the phases of play than Messi does. And he is of course a defensive anchor unlike messi.
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Re: 2024-25 NBA MVP Discussion Thread (Pt. 4: Who is the MVP?) 

Post#288 » by Castle Black » Mon Mar 17, 2025 10:18 pm

Nikola Jokic through 3 quarters would STILL lead the NBA in triple-doubles.

Jokic has a league-leading 29 triple-doubles this year, including the first-ever 30-20-20 stat line in history.

He completed 19 of those triple-doubles through 3 quarters - which would still lead the NBA.

Take a look at the leaderboard:

1. Nikola Jokic: 29 triple-doubles
2. Nikola Jokic through 3 quarters: 19
3. LeBron James: 10
4. Domantas Sabonis: 9
5. Cade Cunningham: 8

Jokic is 3rd in career triple-doubles and keeps moving up.

He's 22 triple-doubles behind Oscar Robertson, per Basketball Reference.



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Re: 2024-25 NBA MVP Discussion Thread (Pt. 4: Who is the MVP?) 

Post#289 » by Big J » Mon Mar 17, 2025 10:21 pm

Castle Black wrote:
Nikola Jokic through 3 quarters would STILL lead the NBA in triple-doubles.

Jokic has a league-leading 29 triple-doubles this year, including the first-ever 30-20-20 stat line in history.

He completed 19 of those triple-doubles through 3 quarters - which would still lead the NBA.

Take a look at the leaderboard:

1. Nikola Jokic: 29 triple-doubles
2. Nikola Jokic through 3 quarters: 19
3. LeBron James: 10
4. Domantas Sabonis: 9
5. Cade Cunningham: 8

Jokic is 3rd in career triple-doubles and keeps moving up.

He's 22 triple-doubles behind Oscar Robertson, per Basketball Reference.



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I stopped caring about triple doubles after Westbrick averaged one for 3 straight seasons.
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Re: 2024-25 NBA MVP Discussion Thread (Pt. 4: Who is the MVP?) 

Post#290 » by HomoSapien » Mon Mar 17, 2025 10:26 pm

Read on Twitter


OP, please add Coby White to the poll.
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Re: 2024-25 NBA MVP Discussion Thread (Pt. 4: Who is the MVP?) 

Post#291 » by Special_Puppy » Tue Mar 18, 2025 3:03 am

Jokic is a system QB
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Re: 2024-25 NBA MVP Discussion Thread (Pt. 4: Who is the MVP?) 

Post#292 » by Big J » Tue Mar 18, 2025 3:46 am

Weird seeing the Nuggets play great defense. I wonder what’s different about them tonight.
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Re: 2024-25 NBA MVP Discussion Thread (Pt. 4: Who is the MVP?) 

Post#293 » by RB34 » Tue Mar 18, 2025 3:49 am

Big J wrote:
Castle Black wrote:
Nikola Jokic through 3 quarters would STILL lead the NBA in triple-doubles.

Jokic has a league-leading 29 triple-doubles this year, including the first-ever 30-20-20 stat line in history.

He completed 19 of those triple-doubles through 3 quarters - which would still lead the NBA.

Take a look at the leaderboard:

1. Nikola Jokic: 29 triple-doubles
2. Nikola Jokic through 3 quarters: 19
3. LeBron James: 10
4. Domantas Sabonis: 9
5. Cade Cunningham: 8

Jokic is 3rd in career triple-doubles and keeps moving up.

He's 22 triple-doubles behind Oscar Robertson, per Basketball Reference.



Image


I stopped caring about triple doubles after Westbrick averaged one for 3 straight seasons.


Same could be said with all the inflated scoring. Especially with the delicate whistles and foul baiting.
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Re: 2024-25 NBA MVP Discussion Thread (Pt. 4: Who is the MVP?) 

Post#294 » by BigGargamel » Tue Mar 18, 2025 3:58 am

Special_Puppy wrote:
1993Playoffs wrote:You know how bad you have to be on defense to be having arguably the best offensive (it’s not to me)season ever and STILL. Not be the mvp favorite


Its the record difference and to a lesser extend voter fatigue that's killing Jokic. Not really the defense. If you equalized the supporting casts so both teams were on track to win ~60 games each then it'd be a near tossup in the betting odds instead of a SGA lock


No one cared about his defense until this year. It's common when someone dominates as long as Jokic. People start looking for reasons to discredit him. SGA will win MVP because the Thunder will win 65 games and he's the shiny guy who scores a bunch of points and the ESPN's of the world hate Jokic and love scorers.

I've softened my stance because it's hard to be MVP when your team loses to the Wizards twice in one year. SGA is having one of the best seasons we've seen in a long time, and the Thunder are winning a bunch of games. I still think Jokic deserves it, but SGA winning it won't be a rob job or sham at all. He checks all of the boxes that you look for when voting for an MVP.

Sucks that one of these guys are going to lose out. I just really hope they battle in the WCF. The NBA needs two superstars to go at it in the playoffs.
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Re: 2024-25 NBA MVP Discussion Thread (Pt. 4: Who is the MVP?) 

Post#295 » by Special_Puppy » Tue Mar 18, 2025 4:04 am

Big J wrote:Weird seeing the Nuggets play great defense. I wonder what’s different about them tonight.


Helps when your opponent is shooting 20% from 3 and 6 of 14 from the line. You get weird games in an 82 game season. Pacers just ended the TWolves winning streak without Haliburton or Siakam for instance
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Re: 2024-25 NBA MVP Discussion Thread (Pt. 4: Who is the MVP?) 

Post#296 » by Handlez » Tue Mar 18, 2025 4:35 am

Wait...

So Jokic sat out a marquee matchup to ensure Denver loses and instead Denver beat the hottest team in the league without him.

Oof.

SGA just won MVP tonight.
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Re: 2024-25 NBA MVP Discussion Thread (Pt. 4: Who is the MVP?) 

Post#297 » by SpurNani » Tue Mar 18, 2025 4:46 am

Rough night for the “Jokic has no help” “Nuggets are a lottery team without Joker” “No Allstars” crew. They just beat the hottest team in the league on their home floor. Not bad for an expansion team that a majority of the Jokic meathuggers would have you believe they are without him.

Actually, this is Denver’s 3rd win in 4 games without Jokic this season. And guess what? All 3 of those wins have come against PLAYOFF teams. Their only loss without Joker was a very competitive loss to the world championship Celtics.

And Im willing to bet that Denver has played much better defense in those 4 games without Jokic and not the usual “130-125” track meet style games they usually have to play when Jokic is out there stumbling around and conceding open shots and layups like its the Allstar game.

Meanwhile, SGA just quietly went on the road and swept 3 Eastern conference playoff teams without his running mate JDub.
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Re: 2024-25 NBA MVP Discussion Thread (Pt. 4: Who is the MVP?) 

Post#298 » by SpurNani » Tue Mar 18, 2025 4:50 am

Also Westbrook with 11 Rebounds and 16 assist

He was the beneficiary of those phantom handoff “assist” that pads the stats. Credit to Mike Malone for creating an offense that pads one guys numbers.
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Re: 2024-25 NBA MVP Discussion Thread (Pt. 4: Who is the MVP?) 

Post#299 » by EmpireFalls » Tue Mar 18, 2025 4:51 am

Great performance from the 17 win team
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Re: 2024-25 NBA MVP Discussion Thread (Pt. 4: Who is the MVP?) 

Post#300 » by Handlez » Tue Mar 18, 2025 4:51 am

SpurNani wrote:Rough night for the “Jokic has no help” “Nuggets are a lottery team without Joker” “No Allstars” crew. They just beat the hottest team in the league on their home floor. Not bad for an expansion team that a majority of the Jokic meathuggers would have you believe they are without him.

Actually, this is Denver’s 3rd win in 4 games without Jokic this season. And guess what? All 3 of those wins have come against PLAYOFF teams. Their only loss without Joker was a very competitive loss to the world championship Celtics.

And Im willing to bet that Denver has played much better defense in those 4 games without Jokic and not the usual “130-125” track meet style games they usually have to play when Jokic is out there stumbling around and conceding open shots and layups like its the Allstar game.

Meanwhile, SGA just quietly went on the road and swept 3 Eastern conference playoff teams without his running mate JDub.


Damn.

Jokic down bad.

It's over.

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