2018/19 ROY/Rookie Discussion Thread (III)

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Re: 2018/19 ROY/Rookie Discussion Thread (III) 

Post#441 » by kg01 » Mon Feb 11, 2019 1:19 am

Buzzard wrote:
King Ken wrote:
TheProfessor wrote:No one seems to understand how bad of a defender Trae is, he has to literally has to be an elite shooter to rate out as a net neutral player.

Trae defense isn't that bad. A lot of his issues can be fixed and has tremendously improved since the first of the year.

Now Collins is a difference story. It's hard to hide Collins, and Trae has good lateral quickness. His issue is off the ball D, fighting off screens, defensive experience, etc.

I feel like this shot.Trae hate comes from Luka stans. It's not needed

Trae is good on the ball; but not great, He is learning how to defend one side of a defender; making him go towards the help now. You are right about fighting through screens; it is tough for him. He has improved his defense over the season and does not get lost when transitioning back to D after a Hawks made or missed shot. 1st of the season, the transition back to defense was frustrating to watch. Not anymore.

Our overall defense is still a sieve; but that is on more than just Trae these days.


I've been saying for weeks that it's clear who's watching the dude play and who's not. It's also clear who has a weird obsession with spamming every thread with anti-Young rhetoric.

It's beyond unnecessary.
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Re: 2018/19 ROY/Rookie Discussion Thread (III) 

Post#442 » by Sactowndog » Mon Feb 11, 2019 1:35 am

The fact is both last year and this year are very good classes.
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Re: 2018/19 ROY/Rookie Discussion Thread (III) 

Post#443 » by TheProfessor » Mon Feb 11, 2019 1:46 am

kg01 wrote:
Buzzard wrote:
King Ken wrote:Trae defense isn't that bad. A lot of his issues can be fixed and has tremendously improved since the first of the year.

Now Collins is a difference story. It's hard to hide Collins, and Trae has good lateral quickness. His issue is off the ball D, fighting off screens, defensive experience, etc.

I feel like this shot.Trae hate comes from Luka stans. It's not needed

Trae is good on the ball; but not great, He is learning how to defend one side of a defender; making him go towards the help now. You are right about fighting through screens; it is tough for him. He has improved his defense over the season and does not get lost when transitioning back to D after a Hawks made or missed shot. 1st of the season, the transition back to defense was frustrating to watch. Not anymore.

Our overall defense is still a sieve; but that is on more than just Trae these days.


I've been saying for weeks that it's clear who's watching the dude play and who's not. It's also clear who has a weird obsession with spamming every thread with anti-Young rhetoric.

It's beyond unnecessary.

Trae Young defense has improved so much he has over taken Colin Sexton has the worst Defensive Player in the NBA in terms of DRPM. My point was simply, Young is objectively awful on defense. He is going to need alot of offensive skill to become a neutral nba player.
Also, in terms of Spamming from what I recall this is my first post on Young. As well, it's not really rhetoric when you are stating facts. "Young is the worst defensive player in terms of DRPM",
See where I didn't trash his offensive game, or say he can't get better defensive or offensively. That would be hating.
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Re: 2018/19 ROY/Rookie Discussion Thread (III) 

Post#444 » by KingFox » Mon Feb 11, 2019 1:53 am

Ayton didn’t want smoke with Bagley tonight. That matchup gave him fits
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Re: 2018/19 ROY/Rookie Discussion Thread (III) 

Post#445 » by rpa » Mon Feb 11, 2019 1:58 am

Bagley with another very good game: 32/7, 1 assist, 1 steal, 1 block; 10/15 field; only 1 turnover.

One of the most interesting things about Bagley so far that I've yet to see people mention is his percentage assisted. Everyone admits he's a very raw guy (on both ends of the floor) and yet his % assisted for 2pt shots (the vast majority of his makes right now) is just under 50% (49.7%).

Here are some comparisons from other rookie big men (side note: Doncic is about 21%, but I'm limiting this to bigs):
Ayton: 71%
JJJ: 63%
WCJ: 78%
Bamba: 66%

What about veteran bigs?
Anthony Davis: 63%
Embiid: 48%
KAT: 59%
Aldridge: 59%

It's pretty crazy that he's able to create efficient (56% TS%) offense for himself despite being so raw.
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Re: 2018/19 ROY/Rookie Discussion Thread (III) 

Post#446 » by Buzzard » Mon Feb 11, 2019 2:05 am

TheProfessor wrote:
kg01 wrote:
Buzzard wrote:Trae is good on the ball; but not great, He is learning how to defend one side of a defender; making him go towards the help now. You are right about fighting through screens; it is tough for him. He has improved his defense over the season and does not get lost when transitioning back to D after a Hawks made or missed shot. 1st of the season, the transition back to defense was frustrating to watch. Not anymore.

Our overall defense is still a sieve; but that is on more than just Trae these days.


I've been saying for weeks that it's clear who's watching the dude play and who's not. It's also clear who has a weird obsession with spamming every thread with anti-Young rhetoric.

It's beyond unnecessary.

Trae Young defense has improved so much he has over taken Colin Sexton has the worst Defensive Player in the NBA in terms of DRPM. My point was simply, Young is objectively awful on defense. He is going to need alot of offensive skill to become a neutral nba player.
Also, in terms of Spamming from what I recall this is my first post on Young. As well, it's not really rhetoric when you are stating facts. "Young is the worst defensive player in terms of DRPM",
See where I didn't trash his offensive game, or say he can't get better defensive or offensively. That would be hating.

You like your ESPN Stats, I am a hater on them. I prefer DBPM at Basketball Reference as they don't voice a opinion one way or the other about teams or players. ESPN has a tendency to toot their own horn ( predictions and opinions ) ; even though Jeff Hollinger is gone.

So you go ahead and toot ESPN'S "real " estimated stats and I will keep up with the hard and fast ones.
BAF Pacers: Unleash Trae!

PG Ice Trae
SG Buddy Hield/Luke Kennard/Brandin Podziemski
SF OG Anunoby/Terrence Ross/Kris Murray
PF Richaun Holmes/JaMychal Green/Chris Livingston
C KAT/Mark Williams
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Re: 2018/19 ROY/Rookie Discussion Thread (III) 

Post#447 » by King Ken » Mon Feb 11, 2019 2:06 am

TheProfessor wrote:
kg01 wrote:
Buzzard wrote:Trae is good on the ball; but not great, He is learning how to defend one side of a defender; making him go towards the help now. You are right about fighting through screens; it is tough for him. He has improved his defense over the season and does not get lost when transitioning back to D after a Hawks made or missed shot. 1st of the season, the transition back to defense was frustrating to watch. Not anymore.

Our overall defense is still a sieve; but that is on more than just Trae these days.


I've been saying for weeks that it's clear who's watching the dude play and who's not. It's also clear who has a weird obsession with spamming every thread with anti-Young rhetoric.

It's beyond unnecessary.

Trae Young defense has improved so much he has over taken Colin Sexton has the worst Defensive Player in the NBA in terms of DRPM. My point was simply, Young is objectively awful on defense. He is going to need alot of offensive skill to become a neutral nba player.
Also, in terms of Spamming from what I recall this is my first post on Young. As well, it's not really rhetoric when you are stating facts. "Young is the worst defensive player in terms of DRPM",
See where I didn't trash his offensive game, or say he can't get better defensive or offensively. That would be hating.

I don't really care about those numbers for 1st year players in general. They are usually too raw for it to really matter. I watch the games. I told you what and how he plays. Now there are games like tonight where he is terrible defensively. I've notice for Trae, it tends to be on B2Bs.

He is bad defensively, but he's miles better than he was at the start of the season and Collin Sexton isn't bad defensively. He is just raw and in a tough situation due to his personnel. Rookie PG's tend to do terrible in most of these types of stats due to it having the toughest transition from college to pros along with the center position.
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Re: 2018/19 ROY/Rookie Discussion Thread (III) 

Post#448 » by kg01 » Mon Feb 11, 2019 2:07 am

TheProfessor wrote:
kg01 wrote:
Buzzard wrote:Trae is good on the ball; but not great, He is learning how to defend one side of a defender; making him go towards the help now. You are right about fighting through screens; it is tough for him. He has improved his defense over the season and does not get lost when transitioning back to D after a Hawks made or missed shot. 1st of the season, the transition back to defense was frustrating to watch. Not anymore.

Our overall defense is still a sieve; but that is on more than just Trae these days.


I've been saying for weeks that it's clear who's watching the dude play and who's not. It's also clear who has a weird obsession with spamming every thread with anti-Young rhetoric.

It's beyond unnecessary.

Trae Young defense has improved so much he has over taken Colin Sexton has the worst Defensive Player in the NBA in terms of DRPM. My point was simply, Young is objectively awful on defense. He is going to need alot of offensive skill to become a neutral nba player.
Also, in terms of Spamming from what I recall this is my first post on Young. As well, it's not really rhetoric when you are stating facts. "Young is the worst defensive player in terms of DRPM",
See where I didn't trash his offensive game, or say he can't get better defensive or offensively. That would be hating.


You're not the spammer I was referring to.

But you certainly aren't watching him play.
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Re: 2018/19 ROY/Rookie Discussion Thread (III) 

Post#449 » by TheProfessor » Mon Feb 11, 2019 2:23 am

Buzzard wrote:
TheProfessor wrote:
kg01 wrote:
I've been saying for weeks that it's clear who's watching the dude play and who's not. It's also clear who has a weird obsession with spamming every thread with anti-Young rhetoric.

It's beyond unnecessary.

Trae Young defense has improved so much he has over taken Colin Sexton has the worst Defensive Player in the NBA in terms of DRPM. My point was simply, Young is objectively awful on defense. He is going to need alot of offensive skill to become a neutral nba player.
Also, in terms of Spamming from what I recall this is my first post on Young. As well, it's not really rhetoric when you are stating facts. "Young is the worst defensive player in terms of DRPM",
See where I didn't trash his offensive game, or say he can't get better defensive or offensively. That would be hating.

You like your ESPN Stats, I am a hater on them. I prefer DBPM at Basketball Reference as they don't voice a opinion one way or the other about teams or players. ESPN has a tendency to toot their own horn ( predictions and opinions ) ; even though Jeff Hollinger is gone.

So you go ahead and toot ESPN'S "real " estimated stats and I will keep up with the hard and fast ones.

Basketball reference also has him at negative -3.2.....
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Re: 2018/19 ROY/Rookie Discussion Thread (III) 

Post#450 » by King Ken » Mon Feb 11, 2019 2:27 am

TheProfessor wrote:
Buzzard wrote:
TheProfessor wrote:Trae Young defense has improved so much he has over taken Colin Sexton has the worst Defensive Player in the NBA in terms of DRPM. My point was simply, Young is objectively awful on defense. He is going to need alot of offensive skill to become a neutral nba player.
Also, in terms of Spamming from what I recall this is my first post on Young. As well, it's not really rhetoric when you are stating facts. "Young is the worst defensive player in terms of DRPM",
See where I didn't trash his offensive game, or say he can't get better defensive or offensively. That would be hating.

You like your ESPN Stats, I am a hater on them. I prefer DBPM at Basketball Reference as they don't voice a opinion one way or the other about teams or players. ESPN has a tendency to toot their own horn ( predictions and opinions ) ; even though Jeff Hollinger is gone.

So you go ahead and toot ESPN'S "real " estimated stats and I will keep up with the hard and fast ones.

Basketball reference also has him at negative -3.2.....

What is Box Plus/Minus?

Box Plus/Minus (BPM) is a box score-based metric for evaluating basketball players' quality and contribution to the team. It is the latest version of a stat previously called Advanced Statistical Plus/Minus; it is NOT a version of Adjusted Plus/Minus, which is a play-by-play regression metric.

There are limitations on all box score stats – if the box score doesn't measure a particular contribution, a box-score-based metric can only approximate that contribution. This is not a great hindrance on the offensive side, as nearly everything of importance on offense is captured by the box score (only missing things like screen-setting), but on defense the box score is quite limited. Blocks, steals, and rebounds, along with minutes and what little information offensive numbers yield about defensive performance are all that is available. Such critical components of defense as positioning, communication, and the other factors that make Kevin Garnett and Tim Duncan elite on defense can't be captured, unfortunately.
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Re: 2018/19 ROY/Rookie Discussion Thread (III) 

Post#451 » by IllmaticHandler » Mon Feb 11, 2019 2:32 am

Bagley with the 32 piece....





Bagley talking to the early season Haters...


Image
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Re: 2018/19 ROY/Rookie Discussion Thread (III) 

Post#452 » by Oscar9992 » Mon Feb 11, 2019 2:41 am

Luka is 11 from 16 in game tying 4'th Quarter attempts this year...
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Re: 2018/19 ROY/Rookie Discussion Thread (III) 

Post#453 » by NotaHypeJob » Mon Feb 11, 2019 2:55 am

IllmaticHandler wrote:Bagley with the 32 piece....





Bagley talking to the early season Haters...


Image

He still looks like the#1 prospect from this draft.
Kings finally did a great job by getting a top two player in back to back drafts.
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Re: 2018/19 ROY/Rookie Discussion Thread (III) 

Post#454 » by Dundalis » Mon Feb 11, 2019 3:36 am

King Ken wrote:
Johnny Firpo wrote:
WalterBenjamin wrote:I am more and more confident in being able to see a championship level team being built around Young. His ability to easily penetrate makes his offensive cealing higher than Doncic's.


Doncic is a better finisher and foul drawer though, an with how amazing he is at the pick&roll, he, just as Young, can get to anywhere he wants, they just do it in a different way. Both Young and Luka actually remind me of Nash, which is funny considering how different physically they are, but in the way they probe the paint they are very Nash an Paul-like. Anyway, I don't see a disadvantage here for Doncic, and the numbers seem to support that.

Luka floor game and ability to get to anywhere on the court doesnt look as good as Trae. Luka does look more skilled and he has a much better frame. Trae first step and quickness is tremendous. Luka looks slow but his footwork, strength and ball handling for his size is how he frees himself open.

I don't see Nash when I see Luka. I see a slow Magic Johnson who uses skills to free himself open on the perimeter. Also, Luka has a post up game, Trae doesn't have one at all. Luka due to his size has some distinct advantages over Trae.

I think there's significant room for physical improvement in Doncic. Not saying there isn't for Young also, but I would say people talking about how Doncic was ready for the NBA due to a few years playing professionally are ignoring that he basically played for 2 seasons straight without a break, didn't have any respect for working out or dieting, barely had an off season to work on himself and his game after he got drafted and came into his first NBA season looking like absolute crap physically.

I certainly don't have any proof, but I think there will be a noticeable physical difference going into his 2nd and especially 3rd seasons that is a bit above and beyond the typical physical improvement you see from rookies. He's being asked to basically run point right now which is actually best for his skillset, but he doesn't have the conditioning for it IMO (he's still balling of course which is testiment to his talent). And there's plenty for Luka to improve on skillwise, not just becoming a more consistent shooter overall, but for example he doesn't really have much of any semblance of a mid range game. He certainly has the skill to develop one and it would help his game significantly during those times he gets stone walled when he drives and he ends up overdribbling only to kick it out or turn it over. It would be a pretty significant addition to his game given he already averages 21 without it.

Also I would say Young's superior ability to penetrate is literally a requirement due to his height disadvantage. It's not something that gives him a leg up on someone who's 6 inches taller. Most NBA players in the range of 6'0 have superior penetration abilities compared to guys 6'6 and above, because you need those extra advantages to make up for the size difference, else there's no reason having you in the league. If NBA teams could field 5 players say 6'6 and above as much as possible, that would be the preference. The shorter guys need attributes that help them stand out more.
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Re: 2018/19 ROY/Rookie Discussion Thread (III) 

Post#455 » by IllmaticHandler » Mon Feb 11, 2019 4:21 am

NotaHypeJob wrote:
IllmaticHandler wrote:Bagley with the 32 piece....





Bagley talking to the early season Haters...


Image

He still looks like the#1 prospect from this draft.
Kings finally did a great job by getting a top two player in back to back drafts.



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Re: 2018/19 ROY/Rookie Discussion Thread (III) 

Post#456 » by J_T » Mon Feb 11, 2019 4:45 am

This thread still the worst thread on the entire forum. Keep on the good work, guys!
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Re: 2018/19 ROY/Rookie Discussion Thread (III) 

Post#457 » by Buzzard » Mon Feb 11, 2019 5:40 am

TheProfessor wrote:
Buzzard wrote:
TheProfessor wrote:Trae Young defense has improved so much he has over taken Colin Sexton has the worst Defensive Player in the NBA in terms of DRPM. My point was simply, Young is objectively awful on defense. He is going to need alot of offensive skill to become a neutral nba player.
Also, in terms of Spamming from what I recall this is my first post on Young. As well, it's not really rhetoric when you are stating facts. "Young is the worst defensive player in terms of DRPM",
See where I didn't trash his offensive game, or say he can't get better defensive or offensively. That would be hating.

You like your ESPN Stats, I am a hater on them. I prefer DBPM at Basketball Reference as they don't voice a opinion one way or the other about teams or players. ESPN has a tendency to toot their own horn ( predictions and opinions ) ; even though Jeff Hollinger is gone.

So you go ahead and toot ESPN'S "real " estimated stats and I will keep up with the hard and fast ones.

Basketball reference also has him at negative -3.2.....

Yes he is but the point is he is not in last place. I have been using Basketball Reference for years and even though I do not think any stat is a end all be all, I like it better than ESPN's and or Hollingers.

Most advanced stats like that and win/shares favor players on better teams. No one would look bad playing alongside Curry, Thompson, Durant, and Green because they, as a team, do not have very many negative minutes in a game; or losses that would impact win/shares in a negative way.

Trae plays on a bad team defensively and over all. He has improved but has a ways to go also. If we get a solid defender at the wing or post position our defense can get better

A great example of this was Thabo Sefolosha. He was in the top 25 in these advanced stats for the bulk of his OKC career; but he never got a top 25 NBA Contract. Reason is simple; he did not have a top 25 game, even though a few stats like Win/Shares and DBPM told a different story.
BAF Pacers: Unleash Trae!

PG Ice Trae
SG Buddy Hield/Luke Kennard/Brandin Podziemski
SF OG Anunoby/Terrence Ross/Kris Murray
PF Richaun Holmes/JaMychal Green/Chris Livingston
C KAT/Mark Williams
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Re: 2018/19 ROY/Rookie Discussion Thread (III) 

Post#458 » by Sactowndog » Mon Feb 11, 2019 6:01 am

People are sleeping on Bagley for the same reason people slept on Fox. Joeger doesn’t give them the keys to the car right away. In the case of Fox, he didn’t even make all rookie second team. Bagley already has improved. He drove on Ayton and scored with his right. In another year he will be unstoppable and if he gets better as passing the ball the Kings shooters will be even more effective. Bagley is not stoppable 1 versus 1.
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Re: 2018/19 ROY/Rookie Discussion Thread (III) 

Post#459 » by Buzzard » Mon Feb 11, 2019 6:03 am

Sactowndog wrote:People are sleeping on Bagley for the same reason people slept on Fox. Joeger doesn’t give them the keys to the car right away. In the case of Fox, he didn’t even make all rookie second team. Bagley already has improved. He drove on Ayton and scored with his right. In another year he will be unstoppable and if he gets better as passing the ball the Kings shooters will be even more effective. Bagley is not stoppable 1 versus 1.

No one is sleeping on Bagley but ROY is about this year; not next. Budenholzer did the same thing to John Collins last season.
BAF Pacers: Unleash Trae!

PG Ice Trae
SG Buddy Hield/Luke Kennard/Brandin Podziemski
SF OG Anunoby/Terrence Ross/Kris Murray
PF Richaun Holmes/JaMychal Green/Chris Livingston
C KAT/Mark Williams
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Re: 2018/19 ROY/Rookie Discussion Thread (III) 

Post#460 » by Oscar9992 » Mon Feb 11, 2019 7:18 am

Damn... Luka almost averaging 21 Pts, 7 Rebs & 5,5 Assists as a rookie. ROY discussion closed, battle for 2'nd place is WIDE open.

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