DPOY and All-Defense Thread 2023 (FINAL poll reset)

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Who's on your DPOY ballot? (Pick 3.)

Jaren Jackson Jr.
83
21%
Brook Lopez
87
22%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
60
15%
Evan Mobley
37
9%
Bam Adebayo
17
4%
Nic Claxton
17
4%
Jarrett Allen
6
2%
Alex Caruso
15
4%
Jaden McDaniels
29
7%
Other
49
12%
 
Total votes: 400

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Re: DPOY and All-Defense Thread 2023 (FINAL poll reset) 

Post#501 » by cupcakesnake » Tue Mar 28, 2023 1:59 pm

hippesthippo wrote:Gotta be JJJ, right?

If you told me 10 years ago that Brook Lopez of all players would receive a DOPY at like 35 years old I would have laughed you right out of the forum. He's a huge part of what they do, but he's not the key that unlocks the option to put him in his current role. That's Giannis.


This is a common sentiment but it's not something that's held up to much scrutiny. The Bucks with Brook on/Giannis off have been a monster defense all year. It's actually their best defense with a 108.6 Drtg in over 1000 minutes. Giannis without Brook has been good, not great. We also got a whole year of Giannis without Brook last year and it was not great. I think Giannis is an absolute destruction defender but he seems to get this major benefit of the doubt based on the idea of his mobility and length. Brook has been the one anchoring Milwaukee's defense and Giannis has been awesome too. I just don't see a strong argument for Giannis being the "key that unlocks" when the Bucks do just as well with Brook and Bobby Portis and even Brook and Joe Ingles! (ridiculous 102 Drtg in over 500 minutes with Giannis or Bobby).

I think fans get carried away with Giannis. He's a DPOY level player for sure and no one can quite do what he does. But if you watch lots of Giannis footage you do see some meh defensive play. His hips are kind of stiff on the perimeter. He's prone to blow bys against smaller players. He also is not an elite rim protector, he's more: good enough. He covers more ground on defense than anyone, which makes him the most destructive help defender in the league I think. But that's by far his best role. It's a bonus that he can adequately perform other roles too, but I think people start assuming he's elite in those roles and he definitely is not.

For the same reason, I also voted for Mobley over Jarrett Allen. It's really tough to separate the data when teams have two guys in the front court like that, so I just go by what my eyes tell me. Don't crucify me please. I can't watch every game of every team, this is just what I've personally seen.


I don't think you'll get crucified. A lot of Cavs fans and Cavs watchers have shifted to Mobley from Allen over the season. I think Allen is getting a bit forgotten - which is a shame because he's excellent - but Mobley has just reached another gear and is rightfully getting everyone excited. Unlike in Milwaukee, where Brook and Giannis play very different roles, Mobley and Allen are slightly more interchangeable. Allen titls slightly more towards drop and Mobley tilts slightly more towards switch and coming to the level, but the Cavs scheme is more flexible and the two play a lot without each other. The Cavs are still slightly better in Allen's solo minutes, but that's mostly due to some crazy bad shooting luck early in the year. The Cavs have heavily tilted more towards playing Mobley as a solo big in the second half of the season.

I mean we give JJJ all the praise and not Steven Adams in Memphis, so why do we look at the situations in Milwaukee and Cleveland so differently?


Not sure I get what you mean here. JJJ has been holding the fort as the solo big in Memphis for months now and the Grizz defense hasn't dropped off. Adams does not maintain the Grizzlies defense at an elite level as the solo big. His absence has more been felt on offense. The Grizzlies are a good/great offense with Adams on the floor dominating the offensive glass and setting monster screens. It's crazy how important Adams has been offensively in Memphis, but defensively there's nothing to write about here. He's solid but there's no evidence he deserves to mentioned in the same breath as Brook Lopez or Jarrett Allen.

1) JJJ
2) Mobley
3) Giannis


I have JJJ, Mobley, and Brook as my ballot but I still haven't figured out what order. I get excited about any of their candidacies.

Agreed. He could easily replace Jaden or Caruso. I'm having a hard time thinking of any great wing/guard candidates this year. I haven't watched Boston in a while, but Smart is always good and I've heard Derrick White is having a heck of a year out there too. OG Anunoby wouldn't be a bad choice for a top10.


I mentioned some of my thinking for dropping Draymond above. He's obviously deserving but there's only 9 spots on the poll and lots of strong candidates. Draymond's team (like OG earlier this season), has not been good at defense this year. Their road woes are alarming.
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Re: DPOY and All-Defense Thread 2023 (FINAL poll reset) 

Post#502 » by kennydorglas » Tue Mar 28, 2023 3:00 pm

For me its clearly BroLo.
Dude is just murdering people and contesting everything even with slow feet and bad hips.
Should be a nice feel-good story.
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Re: DPOY and All-Defense Thread 2023 (FINAL poll reset) 

Post#503 » by Ron Swanson » Tue Mar 28, 2023 3:53 pm

This is a common sentiment but it's not something that's held up to much scrutiny. The Bucks with Brook on/Giannis off have been a monster defense all year. It's actually their best defense with a 108.6 Drtg in over 1000 minutes. Giannis without Brook has been good, not great. We also got a whole year of Giannis without Brook last year and it was not great. I think Giannis is an absolute destruction defender but he seems to get this major benefit of the doubt based on the idea of his mobility and length. Brook has been the one anchoring Milwaukee's defense and Giannis has been awesome too. I just don't see a strong argument for Giannis being the "key that unlocks" when the Bucks do just as well with Brook and Bobby Portis and even Brook and Joe Ingles! (ridiculous 102 Drtg in over 500 minutes with Giannis or Bobby).


Someone did a deep dive recently on the numbers going back to 2018 and up until this season, this isn't really true.

2018-19:

GA: 104.5 On-DRTG (PS 101.7), -3.7 on/off (PS -3.4)
BL: 106.1 On-DRTG (PS 102.2), +0.2 on/off (PS -1.2)

2019-20:

GA: 99.6 On-DRTG (PS 108.4), -7.9 on/off (PS -1.4)
BL: 102.1 On-DRTG (PS 109.4), -2.3 on/off (PS +1.2)

2020-21:

GA: 110.6 On-DRTG (PS 105.7), -3.4 on/off (PS -8.4)
BL: 112.2 On-DRTG (PS 107.2), +0.3 on/off (PS -2.1)

2021-22:

GA: 110.8 On-DRTG (PS 100.9), -3.7 on/off (PS -10.9 lol)
BL: (only 298 minutes) 114.7 On-DRTG (PS 104.7), +2.5 on/off (PS +3.3)
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Re: DPOY and All-Defense Thread 2023 (FINAL poll reset) 

Post#504 » by hippesthippo » Tue Mar 28, 2023 4:35 pm

cupcakesnake wrote:RE: JJJ/Stephen Adams


JJJ has missed plenty of time over the years, so we have more data if you care to go back and look. And yeah, I know I'm using Statmuse. Ugh. Busy work day.

https://www.statmuse.com/nba/ask/memphis-grizzlies-defensive-rating-with-and-without-jaren-jackson-this-season
https://www.statmuse.com/nba/ask/memphis-grizzlies-defensive-rating-with-and-without-stephen-adams-this-season

For the record, I'd still vote JJJ #1, though Mobley is making a late push. You're right that Allen and Mobley are more interchangeable than Brook and Giannis. Not talking defense anymore, but that hi-low pass Mobley made to Allen last night was ::chef's kiss::
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Re: DPOY and All-Defense Thread 2023 (FINAL poll reset) 

Post#505 » by cupcakesnake » Wed Mar 29, 2023 1:09 am

Ron Swanson wrote:
This is a common sentiment but it's not something that's held up to much scrutiny. The Bucks with Brook on/Giannis off have been a monster defense all year. It's actually their best defense with a 108.6 Drtg in over 1000 minutes. Giannis without Brook has been good, not great. We also got a whole year of Giannis without Brook last year and it was not great. I think Giannis is an absolute destruction defender but he seems to get this major benefit of the doubt based on the idea of his mobility and length. Brook has been the one anchoring Milwaukee's defense and Giannis has been awesome too. I just don't see a strong argument for Giannis being the "key that unlocks" when the Bucks do just as well with Brook and Bobby Portis and even Brook and Joe Ingles! (ridiculous 102 Drtg in over 500 minutes with Giannis or Bobby).


Someone did a deep dive recently on the numbers going back to 2018 and up until this season, this isn't really true.

Spoiler:
2018-19:

GA: 104.5 On-DRTG (PS 101.7), -3.7 on/off (PS -3.4)
BL: 106.1 On-DRTG (PS 102.2), +0.2 on/off (PS -1.2)

2019-20:

GA: 99.6 On-DRTG (PS 108.4), -7.9 on/off (PS -1.4)
BL: 102.1 On-DRTG (PS 109.4), -2.3 on/off (PS +1.2)

2020-21:

GA: 110.6 On-DRTG (PS 105.7), -3.4 on/off (PS -8.4)
BL: 112.2 On-DRTG (PS 107.2), +0.3 on/off (PS -2.1)

2021-22:

GA: 110.8 On-DRTG (PS 100.9), -3.7 on/off (PS -10.9 lol)
BL: (only 298 minutes) 114.7 On-DRTG (PS 104.7), +2.5 on/off (PS +3.3)


hippesthippo wrote:
cupcakesnake wrote:RE: JJJ/Stephen Adams


JJJ has missed plenty of time over the years, so we have more data if you care to go back and look. And yeah, I know I'm using Statmuse. Ugh. Busy work day.

https://www.statmuse.com/nba/ask/memphis-grizzlies-defensive-rating-with-and-without-jaren-jackson-this-season
https://www.statmuse.com/nba/ask/memphis-grizzlies-defensive-rating-with-and-without-stephen-adams-this-season

For the record, I'd still vote JJJ #1, though Mobley is making a late push. You're right that Allen and Mobley are more interchangeable than Brook and Giannis. Not talking defense anymore, but that hi-low pass Mobley made to Allen last night was ::chef's kiss::


Sure sure but I'm not talking about in years past. We're all talking about the 2023 award and who should win it. If you don't think 2023 Brook is better than 2018 or even 2021 Brook, then he probably isn't getting your vote!
This year:
Brook on, Giannis off: 108.6 Drtg (1188 minutes)
Giannis on, Brook off: 112.8 Drtg (866 minutes)
Brook on, Giannis on: 109.84 (1036 minutes)
I've checked these numbers with different frontcourt combos as well (mostly Portis and Ingles). It's super consistent this year. When Brook is on the floor, the Bucks defense is at its best.

Same with JJJ/Adams. Trip took a pretty significant leap this year in several facts of his defense. Not just his rim protection but he's a lot better on the perimeter and recovering. Some of his help and recover stuff this year really reminds me of Ben Wallace. So Steven Adams being more structurally important last year for Memphis doesn't have a lot to do with what's happening right now.

I'm totally fine with using other seasons to support an idea, but let's not forget that these players have also changed and those changes are a big reason why these 2 are fighting for DPOY this year.
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Re: DPOY and All-Defense Thread 2023 (FINAL poll reset) 

Post#506 » by Hoop Heavy » Wed Mar 29, 2023 2:34 am

cupcakesnake wrote:Early season discussion thread for who's good on defense this year and deserves award consideration for DPOY and the All-Defensive teams. It's never too early to talk about DEFENSE! :D

10 options this early in the season leaves a lot of guys off, so pump up your guy and I'll change the poll around eventually.

I tried to make the list have as many guys who I've heard get early season buzz. Apologies to mainstays: Marcus Smart, Rudy Gobert, and Draymond. Your defenses aren't good right now and some of those guys are being outplayed defensively by their own teammates.

Other guys who have buzz and should be on the list: Andrew Wiggins, Jayson Tatum, Jrue Holiday, PJ Tucker, Evan Mobley, Joel Embiid, Herb Jones, Jevon Carter, Larry Nance Jr, Pascal Siakam, Ivica Zubac, DFS, Dillon Brooks, Clint Capela, Onyeka Okongwu, Alex Caruso, Jaren Jackson Jr., Draymond Green, Marcus Smart, De'Anthony Melton.

Image

1st Poll results (pre-Christmas):
OG Anunoby 24%
Brook Lopez 17%
Giannis 16%
Jarrett Allen 11%
Other 11%

2nd Poll results (January 22)
OG Anunoby 22%
Jaren Jackson Jr. 18%
Brook Lopez 13%
Giannis 11%
Nic Claxton 10%
Other 10%
Bam Adebayo 7%
Joel Embiid 6%

3rd Poll Results (March 17th)
Jaren Jackson Jr. 20%
Giannis 17%
Other 14%
Brook Lopez 12%
Nic Claxton 10%
Bam Adebayo 9%
Joel Embiid 7%





I don't understand what happened ... :noway:



O.G. wins your first two polls, maintains his lead in steals per game

... and somehow drops completely out of your top ten ... and then doesn't even get an honourable mention. :crazy:



By the sudden soaring of the "other" option ... looks like O.G. could be even third or fourth in this latest poll :noway:



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Re: DPOY and All-Defense Thread 2023 (FINAL poll reset) 

Post#507 » by lobosloboslobos » Wed Mar 29, 2023 11:22 am

this is a joke right? who made this poll, scott foster? for crissakes how do you leave Anunoby out? dude has not only continued to play monster D but has also averaged 20 ppg in the last third of the season and the raps are finally actually winning games too. garbage poll. :banghead:
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Re: DPOY and All-Defense Thread 2023 (FINAL poll reset) 

Post#508 » by hippesthippo » Wed Mar 29, 2023 4:10 pm

cupcakesnake wrote:
Ron Swanson wrote:
This is a common sentiment but it's not something that's held up to much scrutiny. The Bucks with Brook on/Giannis off have been a monster defense all year. It's actually their best defense with a 108.6 Drtg in over 1000 minutes. Giannis without Brook has been good, not great. We also got a whole year of Giannis without Brook last year and it was not great. I think Giannis is an absolute destruction defender but he seems to get this major benefit of the doubt based on the idea of his mobility and length. Brook has been the one anchoring Milwaukee's defense and Giannis has been awesome too. I just don't see a strong argument for Giannis being the "key that unlocks" when the Bucks do just as well with Brook and Bobby Portis and even Brook and Joe Ingles! (ridiculous 102 Drtg in over 500 minutes with Giannis or Bobby).


Someone did a deep dive recently on the numbers going back to 2018 and up until this season, this isn't really true.

Spoiler:
2018-19:

GA: 104.5 On-DRTG (PS 101.7), -3.7 on/off (PS -3.4)
BL: 106.1 On-DRTG (PS 102.2), +0.2 on/off (PS -1.2)

2019-20:

GA: 99.6 On-DRTG (PS 108.4), -7.9 on/off (PS -1.4)
BL: 102.1 On-DRTG (PS 109.4), -2.3 on/off (PS +1.2)

2020-21:

GA: 110.6 On-DRTG (PS 105.7), -3.4 on/off (PS -8.4)
BL: 112.2 On-DRTG (PS 107.2), +0.3 on/off (PS -2.1)

2021-22:

GA: 110.8 On-DRTG (PS 100.9), -3.7 on/off (PS -10.9 lol)
BL: (only 298 minutes) 114.7 On-DRTG (PS 104.7), +2.5 on/off (PS +3.3)


hippesthippo wrote:
cupcakesnake wrote:RE: JJJ/Stephen Adams


JJJ has missed plenty of time over the years, so we have more data if you care to go back and look. And yeah, I know I'm using Statmuse. Ugh. Busy work day.

https://www.statmuse.com/nba/ask/memphis-grizzlies-defensive-rating-with-and-without-jaren-jackson-this-season
https://www.statmuse.com/nba/ask/memphis-grizzlies-defensive-rating-with-and-without-stephen-adams-this-season

For the record, I'd still vote JJJ #1, though Mobley is making a late push. You're right that Allen and Mobley are more interchangeable than Brook and Giannis. Not talking defense anymore, but that hi-low pass Mobley made to Allen last night was ::chef's kiss::


Sure sure but I'm not talking about in years past. We're all talking about the 2023 award and who should win it. If you don't think 2023 Brook is better than 2018 or even 2021 Brook, then he probably isn't getting your vote!
This year:
Brook on, Giannis off: 108.6 Drtg (1188 minutes)
Giannis on, Brook off: 112.8 Drtg (866 minutes)
Brook on, Giannis on: 109.84 (1036 minutes)
I've checked these numbers with different frontcourt combos as well (mostly Portis and Ingles). It's super consistent this year. When Brook is on the floor, the Bucks defense is at its best.

Same with JJJ/Adams. Trip took a pretty significant leap this year in several facts of his defense. Not just his rim protection but he's a lot better on the perimeter and recovering. Some of his help and recover stuff this year really reminds me of Ben Wallace. So Steven Adams being more structurally important last year for Memphis doesn't have a lot to do with what's happening right now.

I'm totally fine with using other seasons to support an idea, but let's not forget that these players have also changed and those changes are a big reason why these 2 are fighting for DPOY this year.


I agree with most of your points, but those stats I quoted were from this year.

"The Memphis Grizzlies have a defensive rating of 110.8 with Jaren Jackson Jr. this season." The graph underneath shows that the Grizz have a 113.5 DRTG without JJJ on the floor.

"The Memphis Grizzlies have a defensive rating of 110.5 with Steven Adams this season." The graph underneath shows that the Grizz have a 112.6 DRTG without Stephen Adams on the floor.

Like I said, I largely agree with you, but those stats are from this year. Granted, it's StatMuse because I had a busy work day at the time of the original post in our thread, but I'll see what I can find from a real website later today.

JJJ has made definite leaps this year, but the help and recover stuff ala Ben Wallace usually only works when you have another competent big man. There is a reason Ben Wallace was almost always listed as a PF. That's the position he played. When we traded for Rasheed, Ben was free to do whatever the hell he wanted because instead of just having a competent big man backing him up, he had Rasheed Wallace playing Center behind him.
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Re: DPOY and All-Defense Thread 2023 (FINAL poll reset) 

Post#509 » by cupcakesnake » Wed Mar 29, 2023 5:30 pm

hippesthippo wrote:
cupcakesnake wrote:
Ron Swanson wrote:
Someone did a deep dive recently on the numbers going back to 2018 and up until this season, this isn't really true.

Spoiler:
2018-19:

GA: 104.5 On-DRTG (PS 101.7), -3.7 on/off (PS -3.4)
BL: 106.1 On-DRTG (PS 102.2), +0.2 on/off (PS -1.2)

2019-20:

GA: 99.6 On-DRTG (PS 108.4), -7.9 on/off (PS -1.4)
BL: 102.1 On-DRTG (PS 109.4), -2.3 on/off (PS +1.2)

2020-21:

GA: 110.6 On-DRTG (PS 105.7), -3.4 on/off (PS -8.4)
BL: 112.2 On-DRTG (PS 107.2), +0.3 on/off (PS -2.1)

2021-22:

GA: 110.8 On-DRTG (PS 100.9), -3.7 on/off (PS -10.9 lol)
BL: (only 298 minutes) 114.7 On-DRTG (PS 104.7), +2.5 on/off (PS +3.3)


hippesthippo wrote:
JJJ has missed plenty of time over the years, so we have more data if you care to go back and look. And yeah, I know I'm using Statmuse. Ugh. Busy work day.

https://www.statmuse.com/nba/ask/memphis-grizzlies-defensive-rating-with-and-without-jaren-jackson-this-season
https://www.statmuse.com/nba/ask/memphis-grizzlies-defensive-rating-with-and-without-stephen-adams-this-season

For the record, I'd still vote JJJ #1, though Mobley is making a late push. You're right that Allen and Mobley are more interchangeable than Brook and Giannis. Not talking defense anymore, but that hi-low pass Mobley made to Allen last night was ::chef's kiss::


Sure sure but I'm not talking about in years past. We're all talking about the 2023 award and who should win it. If you don't think 2023 Brook is better than 2018 or even 2021 Brook, then he probably isn't getting your vote!
This year:
Brook on, Giannis off: 108.6 Drtg (1188 minutes)
Giannis on, Brook off: 112.8 Drtg (866 minutes)
Brook on, Giannis on: 109.84 (1036 minutes)
I've checked these numbers with different frontcourt combos as well (mostly Portis and Ingles). It's super consistent this year. When Brook is on the floor, the Bucks defense is at its best.

Same with JJJ/Adams. Trip took a pretty significant leap this year in several facts of his defense. Not just his rim protection but he's a lot better on the perimeter and recovering. Some of his help and recover stuff this year really reminds me of Ben Wallace. So Steven Adams being more structurally important last year for Memphis doesn't have a lot to do with what's happening right now.

I'm totally fine with using other seasons to support an idea, but let's not forget that these players have also changed and those changes are a big reason why these 2 are fighting for DPOY this year.


I agree with most of your points, but those stats I quoted were from this year.


I was more responding to the other post as well as you saying
JJJ has missed plenty of time over the years, so we have more data if you care to go back and look.


The numbers you provided are helpful but since they share the court a lot we want to try to separate that out as much as possible. They've also both missed plenty of time so we have tons of data this year with them as the solo big (or paired with Clarke, Aldama, etc).

JJJ on, Adams off: 109.04 Drtg (1234 minutes)
Adams on, JJJ off: 113.1 Drtg (735 minutes)
JJJ on, Adams on: 107.3 (399 minutes)

The best defensive lineup has both of them, but it stays elite with Trip and drops to average with Adams.

Adams correlates more with offensive rating. Memphis has been an elite offense in Adams' minutes this year (120 Ortg) and a bad one without him (109.25). Trip has been pulling his own weight though and improving on offense throughout the year.
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Re: DPOY and All-Defense Thread 2023 (FINAL poll reset) 

Post#510 » by cupcakesnake » Wed Mar 29, 2023 5:35 pm

hippesthippo wrote:
JJJ has made definite leaps this year, but the help and recover stuff ala Ben Wallace usually only works when you have another competent big man. There is a reason Ben Wallace was almost always listed as a PF. That's the position he played. When we traded for Rasheed, Ben was free to do whatever the hell he wanted because instead of just having a competent big man backing him up, he had Rasheed Wallace playing Center behind him.


I'm a big proponent of playing multiple rim protectors. It was more universally accepted in the Wallace days, but it's making a comeback now as teams have figured out how to punish small lineups or nullify solo-rim protectors (like Gobert in Utah, Ayton in Phoenix etc.)

I don't really care which one out of Sheed and Ben played the "center". They played 2 bigs and leveraged it in the scheme. Sometimes it was more important that Sheed was guarding a matchup and Ben was in rim protector mode. But the Pistons also loved to (as you're describing) put Sheed on the backline and let Ben do his insane show and recover. Anyone who watched the 2004 finals should well remember how the Pistons would show 2 on the ball with Ben, but then whenever the ball got into the paint Ben was teleporting in there. Ben's abilities were at the center of Larry Brown's defensive schemes and Sheed was versatile enough to support that scheme in many different ways.
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Re: DPOY and All-Defense Thread 2023 (FINAL poll reset) 

Post#511 » by hippesthippo » Wed Mar 29, 2023 5:42 pm

cupcakesnake wrote:
hippesthippo wrote:
cupcakesnake wrote:


Sure sure but I'm not talking about in years past. We're all talking about the 2023 award and who should win it. If you don't think 2023 Brook is better than 2018 or even 2021 Brook, then he probably isn't getting your vote!
This year:
Brook on, Giannis off: 108.6 Drtg (1188 minutes)
Giannis on, Brook off: 112.8 Drtg (866 minutes)
Brook on, Giannis on: 109.84 (1036 minutes)
I've checked these numbers with different frontcourt combos as well (mostly Portis and Ingles). It's super consistent this year. When Brook is on the floor, the Bucks defense is at its best.

Same with JJJ/Adams. Trip took a pretty significant leap this year in several facts of his defense. Not just his rim protection but he's a lot better on the perimeter and recovering. Some of his help and recover stuff this year really reminds me of Ben Wallace. So Steven Adams being more structurally important last year for Memphis doesn't have a lot to do with what's happening right now.

I'm totally fine with using other seasons to support an idea, but let's not forget that these players have also changed and those changes are a big reason why these 2 are fighting for DPOY this year.


I agree with most of your points, but those stats I quoted were from this year.


I was more responding to the other post as well as you saying
JJJ has missed plenty of time over the years, so we have more data if you care to go back and look.


The numbers you provided are helpful but since they share the court a lot we want to try to separate that out as much as possible. They've also both missed plenty of time so we have tons of data this year with them as the solo big (or paired with Clarke, Aldama, etc).

JJJ on, Adams off: 109.04 Drtg (1234 minutes)
Adams on, JJJ off: 113.1 Drtg (735 minutes)
JJJ on, Adams on: 107.3 (399 minutes)

The best defensive lineup has both of them, but it stays elite with Trip and drops to average with Adams.

Adams correlates more with offensive rating. Memphis has been an elite offense in Adams' minutes this year (120 Ortg) and a bad one without him (109.25). Trip has been pulling his own weight though and improving on offense throughout the year.


Honestly, I was just scraping my way through lineup data on CTG and other places and it's actually pretty difficult to draw out accurate lineup data for big men on defense for Memphis. The issue is the amount of missed games and the plethora of above average bigs that Memphis plays: Santi Aldama, Xavier Tillman, Brandon Clarke, as well as JJJ and Adams have all played significant minutes at the 4/5.

May I ask which website you got your data from?
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Re: DPOY and All-Defense Thread 2023 (FINAL poll reset) 

Post#512 » by cupcakesnake » Wed Mar 29, 2023 5:50 pm

Hoop Heavy wrote:[


I don't understand what happened ... :noway:



O.G. wins your first two polls, maintains his lead in steals per game

... and somehow drops completely out of your top ten ... and then doesn't even get an honourable mention. :crazy:



By the sudden soaring of the "other" option ... looks like O.G. could be even third or fourth in this latest poll :noway:



A-N-U-N-O-B-Y 8-)


lobosloboslobos wrote:this is a joke right? who made this poll, scott foster? for crissakes how do you leave Anunoby out? dude has not only continued to play monster D but has also averaged 20 ppg in the last third of the season and the raps are finally actually winning games too. garbage poll. :banghead:


So anyone who has been participating in this thread all year knows how much of an Anunoby stan this year. He's one of my 5 favorite players in the NBA so I'm not going to entertain "anti-OG bias" accusations with much seriousness. I explained him getting dropped from the poll a while back but I'll re-explain it.

Basically, if I put OG in the poll... he'll win. Because there's a disproportionate amount of Raps fans on the GB.

OG started the season as a favorite or co-favorite for this award. I waxed poetic about OG's upgraded help defense keeping Nurse's ambitious scheme afloat without a backline defender. But as you well know the Raps defense fell apart and OG stopped getting DPOY mentions. But OG kept winning the polls in here. So while I definitely think OG never stopped being a top 9 defender in the NBA, I do think his presence kind of de-legitimized the entire poll. No one would have taken it seriously with OG winning again and again, even when the Raps had dropped to a #18 defensive ranking and OG was going through an injury stretch.

So does OG deserve to be listed on this poll? Yes. He's no longer a serious DPOY candidate but I think he could see him getting 3rd place votes. I'm higher on OG than I am on McDaniels or Caruso (and I'm really high on both of them).

I don't see any need for Raps fans to feel inscure about OG's defensive rep. Everyone knows he's one of the best non-big defenders in the NBA. If the Raps had been a top 10 defense for more of the year, OG would be a serious contender for this award. But there's just too many Raps fans so it feels dumb to have him win the poll every time when it doesn't represent the broader NBA fan thinking.

There are only 9 spots on the poll. OG is in good company with Draymond and AD (other anchors of non-top 10 defenses that got left off the poll), and Embiid (anchoring a top 10 defense but more inconsistent than the other guys). Nic Claxton is the only guy on here who doesn't have a top 10 defense. I'd easily swap him out for any of the other guys I've mentioned.
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Re: DPOY and All-Defense Thread 2023 (FINAL poll reset) 

Post#513 » by cupcakesnake » Wed Mar 29, 2023 5:52 pm

hippesthippo wrote:
cupcakesnake wrote:
hippesthippo wrote:
I agree with most of your points, but those stats I quoted were from this year.


I was more responding to the other post as well as you saying
JJJ has missed plenty of time over the years, so we have more data if you care to go back and look.


The numbers you provided are helpful but since they share the court a lot we want to try to separate that out as much as possible. They've also both missed plenty of time so we have tons of data this year with them as the solo big (or paired with Clarke, Aldama, etc).

JJJ on, Adams off: 109.04 Drtg (1234 minutes)
Adams on, JJJ off: 113.1 Drtg (735 minutes)
JJJ on, Adams on: 107.3 (399 minutes)

The best defensive lineup has both of them, but it stays elite with Trip and drops to average with Adams.

Adams correlates more with offensive rating. Memphis has been an elite offense in Adams' minutes this year (120 Ortg) and a bad one without him (109.25). Trip has been pulling his own weight though and improving on offense throughout the year.


Honestly, I was just scraping my way through lineup data on CTG and other places and it's actually pretty difficult to draw out accurate lineup data for big men on defense for Memphis. The issue is the amount of missed games and the plethora of above average bigs that Memphis plays: Santi Aldama, Xavier Tillman, Brandon Clarke, as well as JJJ and Adams have all played significant minutes at the 4/5.

May I ask which website you got your data from?


I use https://www.pbpstats.com/. I go to On/Off > Wowy Combinations and can peruse all kinds of lineup combinations (or individual players) going back to 2001. There's tons of other tools on that site too.
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Re: DPOY and All-Defense Thread 2023 (FINAL poll reset) 

Post#514 » by hippesthippo » Wed Mar 29, 2023 6:11 pm

cupcakesnake wrote:
hippesthippo wrote:
cupcakesnake wrote:
I was more responding to the other post as well as you saying


The numbers you provided are helpful but since they share the court a lot we want to try to separate that out as much as possible. They've also both missed plenty of time so we have tons of data this year with them as the solo big (or paired with Clarke, Aldama, etc).

JJJ on, Adams off: 109.04 Drtg (1234 minutes)
Adams on, JJJ off: 113.1 Drtg (735 minutes)
JJJ on, Adams on: 107.3 (399 minutes)

The best defensive lineup has both of them, but it stays elite with Trip and drops to average with Adams.

Adams correlates more with offensive rating. Memphis has been an elite offense in Adams' minutes this year (120 Ortg) and a bad one without him (109.25). Trip has been pulling his own weight though and improving on offense throughout the year.


Honestly, I was just scraping my way through lineup data on CTG and other places and it's actually pretty difficult to draw out accurate lineup data for big men on defense for Memphis. The issue is the amount of missed games and the plethora of above average bigs that Memphis plays: Santi Aldama, Xavier Tillman, Brandon Clarke, as well as JJJ and Adams have all played significant minutes at the 4/5.

May I ask which website you got your data from?


I use https://www.pbpstats.com/. I go to On/Off > Wowy Combinations and can peruse all kinds of lineup combinations (or individual players) going back to 2001. There's tons of other tools on that site too.


I was going to edit my last post, but figured I'd give you a chance to respond first. Here is what I had typed up [using Cleaning the Glass]:

Honestly, I was just scraping my way through lineup data on CTG and other places and it's actually pretty difficult to draw out accurate lineup data for big men on defense for Memphis. The issue is the amount of missed games and the plethora of above average bigs that Memphis plays: Santi Aldama, Xavier Tillman, Brandon Clarke, as well as JJJ and Adams have all played significant minutes at the 4/5.
...

For instance, if you're looking at data with at least 2/3 of Morant, Bane, and Brooks-- Memphis best defensive lineup with all 3 is actually with Clarke and JJJ, but that's hardly more than 100 possessions [98.3ppp]. Adams and JJJ are next, but that's only 276 possessions [102.9ppp]. It drops a little when Konchar takes Bane's spot, and that's the most common lineup, to [103.4ppp] with 346 possessions. Put Bane back in for Konchar and replace JJJ with Adams and you still have 203 possessions together, but the same [103.4ppp]. There's another lineup with Aldama and Adams, but they're missing Bane and have Konchar instead, that has 160 possessions together and they still maintain [105.1ppp].

What I'm trying to say is that Memphis' defense is elite seemingly with or without JJJ. [There are several Tillman lineups just below the ones I mentioned above as well]

Yes, JJJ certainly improves their defense in nearly every lineup combination, but Memphis is unique in the amount of quality defenders they have in their frontcourt.

I'd still vote JJJ #1, but I believe this is going to be a very close race and rightfully so.

EDIT: I accidentally hit "power off," harrrrumph. It's terribly placed on this keyboard. I don't believe I've ever used pbpstats, thanks for the link, I'll check it out. As you probably know, CTG drops what they consider "garbage time," from their stats, hence some of the discrepancies.
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Re: DPOY and All-Defense Thread 2023 (FINAL poll reset) 

Post#515 » by LoveMyRaps » Wed Mar 29, 2023 6:15 pm

is OG a lock for an all-defense nod?
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Re: DPOY and All-Defense Thread 2023 (FINAL poll reset) 

Post#516 » by hippesthippo » Wed Mar 29, 2023 6:28 pm

.
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Re: DPOY and All-Defense Thread 2023 (FINAL poll reset) 

Post#517 » by cupcakesnake » Wed Mar 29, 2023 7:08 pm

LoveMyRaps wrote:is OG a lock for an all-defense nod?


If the NBA makes him eligible at guard, he should be a lock.
The forward competition is a bloodbath, so if he's only eligible at forward... no one is a lock there.
4 spots for: Giannis, Mobley, JJJ, Draymond, OG*, McDaniels*, Jimmy Butler, Aaron Gordon, Bridges*, Tatum etc.

I have OG either as a 1st team guard or a 2nd team forward.
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Re: DPOY and All-Defense Thread 2023 (FINAL poll reset) 

Post#518 » by Hoop Heavy » Wed Mar 29, 2023 7:10 pm

cupcakesnake wrote:
Hoop Heavy wrote:[


I don't understand what happened ... :noway:



O.G. wins your first two polls, maintains his lead in steals per game

... and somehow drops completely out of your top ten ... and then doesn't even get an honourable mention. :crazy:



By the sudden soaring of the "other" option ... looks like O.G. could be even third or fourth in this latest poll :noway:



A-N-U-N-O-B-Y 8-)


lobosloboslobos wrote:this is a joke right? who made this poll, scott foster? for crissakes how do you leave Anunoby out? dude has not only continued to play monster D but has also averaged 20 ppg in the last third of the season and the raps are finally actually winning games too. garbage poll. :banghead:


So anyone who has been participating in this thread all year knows how much of an Anunoby stan this year. He's one of my 5 favorite players in the NBA so I'm not going to entertain "anti-OG bias" accusations with much seriousness. I explained him getting dropped from the poll a while back but I'll re-explain it.

Basically, if I put OG in the poll... he'll win. Because there's a disproportionate amount of Raps fans on the GB.

OG started the season as a favorite or co-favorite for this award. I waxed poetic about OG's upgraded help defense keeping Nurse's ambitious scheme afloat without a backline defender. But as you well know the Raps defense fell apart and OG stopped getting DPOY mentions. But OG kept winning the polls in here. So while I definitely think OG never stopped being a top 9 defender in the NBA, I do think his presence kind of de-legitimized the entire poll. No one would have taken it seriously with OG winning again and again, even when the Raps had dropped to a #18 defensive ranking and OG was going through an injury stretch.

So does OG deserve to be listed on this poll? Yes. He's no longer a serious DPOY candidate but I think he could see him getting 3rd place votes. I'm higher on OG than I am on McDaniels or Caruso (and I'm really high on both of them).

I don't see any need for Raps fans to feel inscure about OG's defensive rep. Everyone knows he's one of the best non-big defenders in the NBA. If the Raps had been a top 10 defense for more of the year, OG would be a serious contender for this award. But there's just too many Raps fans so it feels dumb to have him win the poll every time when it doesn't represent the broader NBA fan thinking.

There are only 9 spots on the poll. OG is in good company with Draymond and AD (other anchors of non-top 10 defenses that got left off the poll), and Embiid (anchoring a top 10 defense but more inconsistent than the other guys). Nic Claxton is the only guy on here who doesn't have a top 10 defense. I'd easily swap him out for any of the other guys I've mentioned.




Thanks .... I appreciate you taking the time :nod:



I understand your rational - and other then explaining it in your original post - I get your point. No, I haven't followed so closely that I realized what was happening. I get that re-explaining endlessly is also dumb. :nonono:


As for his actual D - while I don't know what the numbers say - when O.G. is out - the Raps D is second rate. :roll: I heard someone discussing Lopez's D, and I agree while he is very good at what he does - that just playing drop coverage - and so avoiding a lot of where most difficult defense is played - maybe should impede any serious run at DPOY. I don't remember the metric, but they quoted some advanced number (that I guess includes perimeter d ?) and O.G. had double the impact as Lopez.


Okay, carry on ... nothing to see here. :lol:
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Re: DPOY and All-Defense Thread 2023 (FINAL poll reset) 

Post#519 » by Lockdown504090 » Wed Mar 29, 2023 7:16 pm

giannis lopez and holiday are out for me. they all benifit way too much from each other to select one. JJJ mobley and clax are my 3. bam is great, but he hasnt been as locked in there.
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Re: DPOY and All-Defense Thread 2023 (FINAL poll reset) 

Post#520 » by lobosloboslobos » Wed Mar 29, 2023 7:17 pm

cupcakesnake wrote:
Hoop Heavy wrote:[


I don't understand what happened ... :noway:



O.G. wins your first two polls, maintains his lead in steals per game

... and somehow drops completely out of your top ten ... and then doesn't even get an honourable mention. :crazy:



By the sudden soaring of the "other" option ... looks like O.G. could be even third or fourth in this latest poll :noway:



A-N-U-N-O-B-Y 8-)


lobosloboslobos wrote:this is a joke right? who made this poll, scott foster? for crissakes how do you leave Anunoby out? dude has not only continued to play monster D but has also averaged 20 ppg in the last third of the season and the raps are finally actually winning games too. garbage poll. :banghead:


So anyone who has been participating in this thread all year knows how much of an Anunoby stan this year. He's one of my 5 favorite players in the NBA so I'm not going to entertain "anti-OG bias" accusations with much seriousness. I explained him getting dropped from the poll a while back but I'll re-explain it.

Basically, if I put OG in the poll... he'll win. Because there's a disproportionate amount of Raps fans on the GB.

OG started the season as a favorite or co-favorite for this award. I waxed poetic about OG's upgraded help defense keeping Nurse's ambitious scheme afloat without a backline defender. But as you well know the Raps defense fell apart and OG stopped getting DPOY mentions. But OG kept winning the polls in here. So while I definitely think OG never stopped being a top 9 defender in the NBA, I do think his presence kind of de-legitimized the entire poll. No one would have taken it seriously with OG winning again and again, even when the Raps had dropped to a #18 defensive ranking and OG was going through an injury stretch.

So does OG deserve to be listed on this poll? Yes. He's no longer a serious DPOY candidate but I think he could see him getting 3rd place votes. I'm higher on OG than I am on McDaniels or Caruso (and I'm really high on both of them).

I don't see any need for Raps fans to feel inscure about OG's defensive rep. Everyone knows he's one of the best non-big defenders in the NBA. If the Raps had been a top 10 defense for more of the year, OG would be a serious contender for this award. But there's just too many Raps fans so it feels dumb to have him win the poll every time when it doesn't represent the broader NBA fan thinking.

There are only 9 spots on the poll. OG is in good company with Draymond and AD (other anchors of non-top 10 defenses that got left off the poll), and Embiid (anchoring a top 10 defense but more inconsistent than the other guys). Nic Claxton is the only guy on here who doesn't have a top 10 defense. I'd easily swap him out for any of the other guys I've mentioned.


Yeah, I thought about my post afterwards in the car and realized that it was probably excessively harsh. I know you have done a good job managing this thread this year and also recall that you are like me an OG OG stan, yet while I get that the number of Raps fans on this board is disproportionate and that you don't want a skewed poll that favors Raps fans, it seems that your solution skews it excessively the other way, since it is by no means only raps fans that have voted for OG this year as their DPOY choice. He leads the leagues in steals, leads the league in defensive versatility and is the only player in the league who guards the best player on the other team every single night, whether its a big C, a powerful wing or a crafty guard. And his record against them is ridiculously good. I don't see why he isn't a legit candidate. He doesn't offer rim protection but I would argue what he offers is at least as valuable because he consistently (not always of course, but consistently) prevents the #1 superstar option on the other team from leading his team to a win, be it Luka or Jokic or Butler or Harden or Trae or Mitchell or whoever. In a league so dominated by those #1 options the ability to significantly reduce their impact night after night makes a huge impact. Of course our team has sucked offensively so we have't taken advantage of it, but that's not OGs fault.
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