Has Boston's slide back to average defence already begun?

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Has Boston's slide back to average defence already begun? 

Post#61 » by Double Helix » Sat Dec 9, 2017 3:24 pm

Froob wrote:
Double Helix wrote:
Froob wrote:Agreed, when it comes down to it you gotta take a Lowry led team over a Kyrie led team in the playoffs.


We’ve yet to see a Kyrie-lead team make the playoffs. This will be the first year that happens.

The rest were Lebron-lead teams.

Well I think it’s a lot easier to count on Kyrie to take over a big game than it is on Lowry. The advantages the Raps have had on us past few years aren’t there anymore. They won’t kill us on the boards anymore and JB does a much better job on DeRozen than Bradley did. Kyrie is a lot better defender than IT. It’d be fun to see, hope we finally get this playoff series this year.


This wasn’t supposed to become a Celtics vs Raptors thread. *Sigh* However, since some seem to insist on it becoming that let’s get into it.

The Raptors have a much higher net rating over the second half of this short season so far. The Raptors have changed their offensive approach to much fanfare. The New York Times and Washington Post have both highlighted how different the team is now and how much better the Raptors make use of their supporting cast than before and how they have increased ball movement and 3 point shooting more than ever before. However, the Raptors can fall back on isolation or high pick and rolls with the shot clock winding down after years of playoff intensity basketball where that’s all they played. They set up their new style and once defences have to respect their new varied attack and the long ball and try to guard Derozan or Lowry one on one again those 2 can go to work. Being capable of a variety of different approaches to offence makes the Lowry and Derozan duo more dangerous than ever before. They truly do take what the defence gives now and few other duos over the past 3 years have seen as much playoff defensive tactics aimed at shutting them down and forcing the others to beat them than they have. It took them some time but they’ve learned to adapt to that level of defensive attention now.

The Raptors seem stronger than years past, not weaker. This is because of some terrific bargains and draft steals and an injection of younger players that are extending their compete window.

So much has been made about how the Celtics were able to add talented youth while being competive and that’s deserved. It’s almost unprecedented to add two top 3 picks while being good. However, the Raptors have narrowed the gap with two top 15 players at their respective positions via Real +/- in Jakob Poeltl and OG Anunoby. Both are terrific defenders with upside and perfect fits on the Raptors. Anunoby is locking down legit superstars at age 20. He can handle the Celtics best wing. He’s not the only guy though. Norman Powell is another freak athlete the Raptors can throw at Celtics offensive weapons, including Kyrie himself. Poeltl and OG have top 10 draft pick talent and Powell is somebody who should have gone top 20. These 3 in particular help narrow the young talent gap but they’re not alone.

Hayward’s impact may have been inflated on the Jazz based on the lack of talented players providing what he can behind him there and the perks of playing with Gobert to erase mistakes. He’s really not much better than Derozan in a head to head matchup if at all. Raptors fans and even Jazz fans I think would attest to that. When those two play each other they seem close at most. Derozan has outplayed him several times. Speaking of head to head matchups... Lowry has traditionally played well against Kyrie’s soft defence and hasn’t had many problems versus Smart’s elite defence for that matter either. Lowry has been able to out-think Smart when the Celtics have tried that.

This versatility extends to Casey’s defensive options now too. He can play small with Ibaka at the 5. He can have Siakam at the 4, Anunoby at the 3 and Powell at the 2 and Lowry at the 1 for one of the most switch-heavy multi-positional defensive looks in the league for the final 5 minutes of a game and that unit poses all sorts of problems for starting caliber offenses if the Raptors have a lead. The Celtics will be very good for years but I’m not convinced they are a tier above the new look Raptors even when Hayward is back. Perhaps in another 2 years they will be but even then the Raptors have some young players with upside too. It will be interesting to see how they incorporate Kyrie, Hayward, Tatum, Brown and Horford because all are worthy of 35 minutes but won’t get it, minimizing somebody’s value and the “boost” that Hayward will provide.
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Re: Has Boston's slide back to average defence already begun? 

Post#62 » by YogurtProducer » Sat Dec 9, 2017 3:53 pm

PierceFan4ever wrote:
Double Helix wrote:
PierceFan4ever wrote:You want a cookie? Celtics are still winning games. Like you said the Celtics offense has improved big time over that span so it's natural for them to slide on defense at times but if you watch the games, you'll notice the Celtics turn it up on defense when needed to. Celtics defense will be fine, maybe not at the historic level numbers wise suggested early on but I'm happy the offense improving by a lot the last 10 games.


Do I want a cookie? I'm giving you an information cookie. Enjoy it.

The numbers are the numbers and the general board is a place where we talk about and analyze some of the strongest, and weakest teams in the league and the trends observed within them. Don't take it personal. Feel fortunate that your team is strong enough, and had a unique attribute (#1 defence) worthy of exploration and analysis.


Yeah you did a good job with the information you provided but I don't think anyone believed the Celtics were going to keep it up at a historic level. Could they be #1 in defensive rating? Sure, but not at the historic level they were going at. A lot of it had to do with the Celtics offense being very bad early on without adjusting so they relied heavily on defense. Now that the offense is going great, you should expect to see the defensive numbers slide a bit. At the end of the day, the defensive rating is still 1 by a good 3 points over the Warriors. If the Celtics defense slides and the Celtics lose games because of it, then I would worry about it. It's not like they were going to play great defense for every stretch of the long 82 game season, I say wait on it a bit.

I remember having conversations on this board with people convinced the Celtics were going to do exsctlg that.
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Re: Has Boston's slide back to average defence already begun? 

Post#63 » by username_taken » Sat Dec 9, 2017 4:20 pm

Double Helix wrote:
Froob wrote:
Double Helix wrote:
We’ve yet to see a Kyrie-lead team make the playoffs. This will be the first year that happens.

The rest were Lebron-lead teams.

Well I think it’s a lot easier to count on Kyrie to take over a big game than it is on Lowry. The advantages the Raps have had on us past few years aren’t there anymore. They won’t kill us on the boards anymore and JB does a much better job on DeRozen than Bradley did. Kyrie is a lot better defender than IT. It’d be fun to see, hope we finally get this playoff series this year.


This wasn’t supposed to become a Celtics vs Raptors thread. *Sigh* However, since some seem to insist on it becoming that let’s get into it.

The Raptors have a much higher net rating over the second half of this short season so far. The Raptors have changed their offensive approach to much fanfare. The New York Times and Washington Post have both highlighted how different the team is now and how much better the Raptors make use of their supporting cast than before and how they have increased ball movement and 3 point shooting more than ever before. However, the Raptors can fall back on isolation or high pick and rolls with the shot clock winding down after years of playoff intensity basketball where that’s all they played. They set up their new style and once defences have to respect their new varied attack and the long ball and try to guard Derozan or Lowry one on one again those 2 can go to work. Being capable of a variety of different approaches to offence makes the Lowry and Derozan duo more dangerous than ever before. They truly do take what the defence gives now and few other duos over the past 3 years have seen as much playoff defensive tactics aimed at shutting them down and forcing the others to beat them than they have. It took them some time but they’ve learned to adapt to that level of defensive attention now.

The Raptors seem stronger than years past, not weaker. This is because of some terrific bargains and draft steals and an injection of younger players that are extending their compete window.

So much has been made about how the Celtics were able to add talented youth while being competive and that’s deserved. It’s almost unprecedented to add two top 3 picks while being good. However, the Raptors have narrowed the gap with two top 15 players at their respective positions via Real +/- in Jakob Poeltl and OG Anunoby. Both are terrific defenders with upside and perfect fits on the Raptors. Anunoby is locking down legit superstars at age 20. He can handle the Celtics best wing. He’s not the only guy though. Norman Powell is another freak athlete the Raptors can throw at Celtics offensive weapons, including Kyrie himself. Poeltl and OG have top 10 draft pick talent and Powell is somebody who should have gone top 20. These 3 in particular help narrow the young talent gap but they’re not alone.

Hayward’s impact may have been inflated on the Jazz based on the lack of talented players providing what he can behind him there and the perks of playing with Gobert to erase mistakes. He’s really not much better than Derozan in a head to head matchup if at all. Raptors fans and even Jazz fans I think would attest to that. When those two play each other they seem close at most. Derozan has outplayed him several times. Speaking of head to head matchups... Lowry has traditionally played well against Kyrie’s soft defence and hasn’t had many problems versus Smart’s elite defence for that matter either. Lowry has been able to out-think Smart when the Celtics have tried that.

This versatility extends to Casey’s defensive options now too. He can play small with Ibaka at the 5. He can have Siakam at the 4, Anunoby at the 3 and Powell at the 2 and Lowry at the 1 for one of the most switch-heavy multi-positional defensive looks in the league for the final 5 minutes of a game and that unit poses all sorts of problems for starting caliber offenses if the Raptors have a lead. The Celtics will be very good for years but I’m not convinced they are a tier above the new look Raptors even when Hayward is back. Perhaps in another 2 years they will be but even then the Raptors have some young players with upside too. It will be interesting to see how they incorporate Kyrie, Hayward, Tatum, Brown and Horford because all are worthy of 35 minutes but won’t get it, minimizing somebody’s value and the “boost” that Hayward will provide.

Hayward’s past three seasons have all been better than DeRozan’s best.


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Re: Has Boston's slide back to average defence already begun? 

Post#64 » by 711takeover » Sat Dec 9, 2017 4:30 pm

Double Helix wrote:
711takeover wrote:
Double Helix wrote:People focus on net rating because statistically it's proven to be a better barometer of future success than just looking at wins and losses.

The Celtics defensive rating was looking Ben Wallace Pistons-era strong as late as November 22nd. Some questioned that identity and suggested it likely wasn't sustainable for a team with Kyrie Irving on it playing 36 minutes per game. Real Plus Minus at the time was a friend of Irving's and Irving fans everywhere were seemingly citing it as proof that Kyrie's days of being labelled a suspect defender were long gone.

Well, here is their defensive rating over their past 10 games. It's not bad. It's okay. It's closer to average. And before anyone starts thinking that this decline in defence has occured as a result of the Celtics facing powerhouse teams, have a look at the 10 teams included:

Atlanta
Dallas
Orlando
Miami
Indiana
Detroit
Philadelphia
Phoenix
Milwaukee
Dallas

When you looked at their defensive metrics closer though during that earlier time period you could see that where they were being truly elite defensively was stopping transition. They were one of the best teams in basketball doing that but having a #1 league-wide defence propped up largely by that seemed questionable for sustainability. There wasn't much else you could see there in the data that impressed beyond that attribute. It's not terribly surprising, then, that's also moved closer to the middle over this same 10 game span.

Now, to their credit the Celtics have dramatically improved their offensive rating over this same timer period. Their new identity as an 8th ranked offence with a 12-14 ranked defence (14th over past 5 games) seems closer to an identity that they may be able to sustain and also closer to an offensive/defensive identity that some earlier doubters thought they'd regress closer to becoming.

This defensive slide also coincides with Kyrie Irving's individual DRPM sliding closer to his career norms. On the year he's now back to being the 57th ranked PG via DRPM.

Kyrie was ranked 69th last year for frame of reference.

Make no mistake about it though. The Boston Celtics new identity of the past 10 games is still that of a very strong team. Similar to others over that span, they're 8-2. However, back to net rating and identity. A net rating like this with a top 10 offence and average defence is still functioning well and playing with the ingredients of a top 4 seed in the East. And with the early wins they racked up they're still probably on pace to exceed 60 wins but the regression from elite defence to average has begun and with that goes any hope of somehow maintaining the best defence in the league while also tweaking their offence into the top 10. A recipe, that if they'd been able to achieve, had the ingredients necessary to truly surprise in the NBA playoffs. If your team is league best at either offence or defence, and top 10 in the other area, that's a recipe that should have the whole league on notice. That is looking less likely these days.

Agree? Disagree? Share your thoughts.


I'm really just amused at how a Raptors fan took this much time to worry about the Celtics and hope that other people on the GB also think the Celtics are getting worse lol


When anyone attempts to dismiss an assertion simply because of where the poster is from, rather than telling them they’re definitely wrong and backing that up with new facts, it might as well be an admission that the person making the assertion might be onto something. So, thank you. Fortunately there have been plenty of fans from Boston more interested in talking about these observations honestly than outright dismissals.

Don’t feel too special though. This same Raptors fan also attempted to explore the Charlotte Hornets in depth yesterday but having been unable to notice a trend just assumed it wiser to open that question up to the entire board. That discussion revealed some interesting insight into the Hornets.

I’m interested in how teams are working best or aren’t and why. I tend to take a quick look at their boards first to see if they have anything I can read that is exploring what I’m seeing or wondering first. I didn’t see anything about the Celtics defensive slide as a topic on the Celtics board.


Yeah their defense has taken a step back. That's no surprise to me because their defense on the winning streak was unsustainable lol. I'm just laughing because a Raptors fan creates yet another thread about the Celtics
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Re: Has Boston's slide back to average defence already begun? 

Post#65 » by HoopsterJones » Sat Dec 9, 2017 4:40 pm

username_taken wrote:
Double Helix wrote:
Froob wrote:Well I think it’s a lot easier to count on Kyrie to take over a big game than it is on Lowry. The advantages the Raps have had on us past few years aren’t there anymore. They won’t kill us on the boards anymore and JB does a much better job on DeRozen than Bradley did. Kyrie is a lot better defender than IT. It’d be fun to see, hope we finally get this playoff series this year.


This wasn’t supposed to become a Celtics vs Raptors thread. *Sigh* However, since some seem to insist on it becoming that let’s get into it.

The Raptors have a much higher net rating over the second half of this short season so far. The Raptors have changed their offensive approach to much fanfare. The New York Times and Washington Post have both highlighted how different the team is now and how much better the Raptors make use of their supporting cast than before and how they have increased ball movement and 3 point shooting more than ever before. However, the Raptors can fall back on isolation or high pick and rolls with the shot clock winding down after years of playoff intensity basketball where that’s all they played. They set up their new style and once defences have to respect their new varied attack and the long ball and try to guard Derozan or Lowry one on one again those 2 can go to work. Being capable of a variety of different approaches to offence makes the Lowry and Derozan duo more dangerous than ever before. They truly do take what the defence gives now and few other duos over the past 3 years have seen as much playoff defensive tactics aimed at shutting them down and forcing the others to beat them than they have. It took them some time but they’ve learned to adapt to that level of defensive attention now.

The Raptors seem stronger than years past, not weaker. This is because of some terrific bargains and draft steals and an injection of younger players that are extending their compete window.

So much has been made about how the Celtics were able to add talented youth while being competive and that’s deserved. It’s almost unprecedented to add two top 3 picks while being good. However, the Raptors have narrowed the gap with two top 15 players at their respective positions via Real +/- in Jakob Poeltl and OG Anunoby. Both are terrific defenders with upside and perfect fits on the Raptors. Anunoby is locking down legit superstars at age 20. He can handle the Celtics best wing. He’s not the only guy though. Norman Powell is another freak athlete the Raptors can throw at Celtics offensive weapons, including Kyrie himself. Poeltl and OG have top 10 draft pick talent and Powell is somebody who should have gone top 20. These 3 in particular help narrow the young talent gap but they’re not alone.

Hayward’s impact may have been inflated on the Jazz based on the lack of talented players providing what he can behind him there and the perks of playing with Gobert to erase mistakes. He’s really not much better than Derozan in a head to head matchup if at all. Raptors fans and even Jazz fans I think would attest to that. When those two play each other they seem close at most. Derozan has outplayed him several times. Speaking of head to head matchups... Lowry has traditionally played well against Kyrie’s soft defence and hasn’t had many problems versus Smart’s elite defence for that matter either. Lowry has been able to out-think Smart when the Celtics have tried that.

This versatility extends to Casey’s defensive options now too. He can play small with Ibaka at the 5. He can have Siakam at the 4, Anunoby at the 3 and Powell at the 2 and Lowry at the 1 for one of the most switch-heavy multi-positional defensive looks in the league for the final 5 minutes of a game and that unit poses all sorts of problems for starting caliber offenses if the Raptors have a lead. The Celtics will be very good for years but I’m not convinced they are a tier above the new look Raptors even when Hayward is back. Perhaps in another 2 years they will be but even then the Raptors have some young players with upside too. It will be interesting to see how they incorporate Kyrie, Hayward, Tatum, Brown and Horford because all are worthy of 35 minutes but won’t get it, minimizing somebody’s value and the “boost” that Hayward will provide.

Hayward’s past three seasons have all been better than DeRozan’s best.


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I disagree with this. Derozan last year was better than Hayward’s last three years.
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Re: Has Boston's slide back to average defence already begun? 

Post#66 » by 711takeover » Sat Dec 9, 2017 4:41 pm

Double Helix wrote:
Froob wrote:
Double Helix wrote:
We’ve yet to see a Kyrie-lead team make the playoffs. This will be the first year that happens.

The rest were Lebron-lead teams.

Well I think it’s a lot easier to count on Kyrie to take over a big game than it is on Lowry. The advantages the Raps have had on us past few years aren’t there anymore. They won’t kill us on the boards anymore and JB does a much better job on DeRozen than Bradley did. Kyrie is a lot better defender than IT. It’d be fun to see, hope we finally get this playoff series this year.


This wasn’t supposed to become a Celtics vs Raptors thread. *Sigh* However, since some seem to insist on it becoming that let’s get into it.

The Raptors have a much higher net rating over the second half of this short season so far. The Raptors have changed their offensive approach to much fanfare. The New York Times and Washington Post have both highlighted how different the team is now and how much better the Raptors make use of their supporting cast than before and how they have increased ball movement and 3 point shooting more than ever before. However, the Raptors can fall back on isolation or high pick and rolls with the shot clock winding down after years of playoff intensity basketball where that’s all they played. They set up their new style and once defences have to respect their new varied attack and the long ball and try to guard Derozan or Lowry one on one again those 2 can go to work. Being capable of a variety of different approaches to offence makes the Lowry and Derozan duo more dangerous than ever before. They truly do take what the defence gives now and few other duos over the past 3 years have seen as much playoff defensive tactics aimed at shutting them down and forcing the others to beat them than they have. It took them some time but they’ve learned to adapt to that level of defensive attention now.

The Raptors seem stronger than years past, not weaker. This is because of some terrific bargains and draft steals and an injection of younger players that are extending their compete window.

So much has been made about how the Celtics were able to add talented youth while being competive and that’s deserved. It’s almost unprecedented to add two top 3 picks while being good. However, the Raptors have narrowed the gap with two top 15 players at their respective positions via Real +/- in Jakob Poeltl and OG Anunoby. Both are terrific defenders with upside and perfect fits on the Raptors. Anunoby is locking down legit superstars at age 20. He can handle the Celtics best wing. He’s not the only guy though. Norman Powell is another freak athlete the Raptors can throw at Celtics offensive weapons, including Kyrie himself. Poeltl and OG have top 10 draft pick talent and Powell is somebody who should have gone top 20. These 3 in particular help narrow the young talent gap but they’re not alone.

Hayward’s impact may have been inflated on the Jazz based on the lack of talented players providing what he can behind him there and the perks of playing with Gobert to erase mistakes. He’s really not much better than Derozan in a head to head matchup if at all. Raptors fans and even Jazz fans I think would attest to that. When those two play each other they seem close at most. Derozan has outplayed him several times. Speaking of head to head matchups... Lowry has traditionally played well against Kyrie’s soft defence and hasn’t had many problems versus Smart’s elite defence for that matter either. Lowry has been able to out-think Smart when the Celtics have tried that.

This versatility extends to Casey’s defensive options now too. He can play small with Ibaka at the 5. He can have Siakam at the 4, Anunoby at the 3 and Powell at the 2 and Lowry at the 1 for one of the most switch-heavy multi-positional defensive looks in the league for the final 5 minutes of a game and that unit poses all sorts of problems for starting caliber offenses if the Raptors have a lead. The Celtics will be very good for years but I’m not convinced they are a tier above the new look Raptors even when Hayward is back. Perhaps in another 2 years they will be but even then the Raptors have some young players with upside too. It will be interesting to see how they incorporate Kyrie, Hayward, Tatum, Brown and Horford because all are worthy of 35 minutes but won’t get it, minimizing somebody’s value and the “boost” that Hayward will provide.


Sorry I pretty much stopped reading when you starting using advanced stats to try to convince us that Poetl and OG are top 15 at their respective positions. It's funny how the Celtics are currently better than the Raptors but once Hayward comes back you're "not convinced they're a tier above the new look Raptors" since they're only going to be putting in a 21 PPG scorer and all star who played on the slowest paced team in the league. It's actually ludicrous to suggest the Raps are on our level when Hayward returns. For the playoffs, I don't see how this Raptors team can challenge the Celtics when the Celtics down shift and play Horford at the 5

Kyrie > Lowry
Brown < DeRozan
Tatum > OG
Hayward > Siakim
Horford > Ibaka

BENCH:
Rozier > Van Vleet
Smart > Miles
Baynes < Valunciunas
Morris > Poetl
Ojeleye < Powell
Theis < Lucas

Celtics starters are far and away better. Powell and JV are good off the bench, better duo than Celtics have. Smart, Rozier, Morris, and Baynes is a good 2nd unit and add Hayward/Tatum to the 2nd unit.
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Re: Has Boston's slide back to average defence already begun? 

Post#67 » by GreatWhiteStiff » Sat Dec 9, 2017 4:44 pm

Has this thread's slide into an online boston/toronto rivalry discussion already begun?

And is Double Helix a part of it? Shame, shame, shame! :D
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Re: Has Boston's slide back to average defence already begun? 

Post#68 » by 711takeover » Sat Dec 9, 2017 4:53 pm

HoopsterJones wrote:
username_taken wrote:
Double Helix wrote:
This wasn’t supposed to become a Celtics vs Raptors thread. *Sigh* However, since some seem to insist on it becoming that let’s get into it.

The Raptors have a much higher net rating over the second half of this short season so far. The Raptors have changed their offensive approach to much fanfare. The New York Times and Washington Post have both highlighted how different the team is now and how much better the Raptors make use of their supporting cast than before and how they have increased ball movement and 3 point shooting more than ever before. However, the Raptors can fall back on isolation or high pick and rolls with the shot clock winding down after years of playoff intensity basketball where that’s all they played. They set up their new style and once defences have to respect their new varied attack and the long ball and try to guard Derozan or Lowry one on one again those 2 can go to work. Being capable of a variety of different approaches to offence makes the Lowry and Derozan duo more dangerous than ever before. They truly do take what the defence gives now and few other duos over the past 3 years have seen as much playoff defensive tactics aimed at shutting them down and forcing the others to beat them than they have. It took them some time but they’ve learned to adapt to that level of defensive attention now.

The Raptors seem stronger than years past, not weaker. This is because of some terrific bargains and draft steals and an injection of younger players that are extending their compete window.

So much has been made about how the Celtics were able to add talented youth while being competive and that’s deserved. It’s almost unprecedented to add two top 3 picks while being good. However, the Raptors have narrowed the gap with two top 15 players at their respective positions via Real +/- in Jakob Poeltl and OG Anunoby. Both are terrific defenders with upside and perfect fits on the Raptors. Anunoby is locking down legit superstars at age 20. He can handle the Celtics best wing. He’s not the only guy though. Norman Powell is another freak athlete the Raptors can throw at Celtics offensive weapons, including Kyrie himself. Poeltl and OG have top 10 draft pick talent and Powell is somebody who should have gone top 20. These 3 in particular help narrow the young talent gap but they’re not alone.

Hayward’s impact may have been inflated on the Jazz based on the lack of talented players providing what he can behind him there and the perks of playing with Gobert to erase mistakes. He’s really not much better than Derozan in a head to head matchup if at all. Raptors fans and even Jazz fans I think would attest to that. When those two play each other they seem close at most. Derozan has outplayed him several times. Speaking of head to head matchups... Lowry has traditionally played well against Kyrie’s soft defence and hasn’t had many problems versus Smart’s elite defence for that matter either. Lowry has been able to out-think Smart when the Celtics have tried that.

This versatility extends to Casey’s defensive options now too. He can play small with Ibaka at the 5. He can have Siakam at the 4, Anunoby at the 3 and Powell at the 2 and Lowry at the 1 for one of the most switch-heavy multi-positional defensive looks in the league for the final 5 minutes of a game and that unit poses all sorts of problems for starting caliber offenses if the Raptors have a lead. The Celtics will be very good for years but I’m not convinced they are a tier above the new look Raptors even when Hayward is back. Perhaps in another 2 years they will be but even then the Raptors have some young players with upside too. It will be interesting to see how they incorporate Kyrie, Hayward, Tatum, Brown and Horford because all are worthy of 35 minutes but won’t get it, minimizing somebody’s value and the “boost” that Hayward will provide.

Hayward’s past three seasons have all been better than DeRozan’s best.


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I disagree with this. Derozan last year was better than Hayward’s last three years.


Stats wise yes but Hayward also played on the slowest paced team in the league. Hayward's career high in FGA is 15.8 - Derozan averaged over 20 FGA last year alone. Just based off last year, both averaged same rebounds and assists with Derozan averaging 5 more PPG on 5 more shots per game and both essentially shot same FG% (Hayward 47% to Derozans 46%)

Hayward had advantage in TS%, Win Shares, BPM, VORP, and pretty much every advanced stat. Derozan had a FAR higher usage - 34.3% compared to Hayward at 27.6%

Essentially, DeRozan put up better scoring stats but also had a far higher usage and took nearly 5 more shots per game. Hayward actually shot a better percentage. Both are very comparable and you can argue either one. I could see an argument for either one in the regular season. However, the playoffs is a different story (since DeRozan declines in playoffs):

Hayward -17.1 FGA, 44.1% FG/41.2% 3PT, 6.1 RPG, 3.4 APG - 24.1 PPG
Derozan: 17.5 FGA, 43.4% FG/0.067 3PT, 4.9 RPG, 3.4 APG - 22.4 PPG

Again, Hayward advantage in TS%, Win Shares, BPM (DeRozan had a negative one), and VORP and pretty much every other advanced stat. Both this time had similar usage percentages, with Hayward having a 28% and Derozan at 29%
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Re: Has Boston's slide back to average defence already begun? 

Post#69 » by 711takeover » Sat Dec 9, 2017 4:53 pm

GreatWhiteStiff wrote:Has this thread's slide into an online boston/toronto rivalry discussion already begun?

And is Double Helix a part of it? Shame, shame, shame! :D


It always is when a Raptors fan makes a thread about the Celtics lol
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Re: Has Boston's slide back to average defence already begun? 

Post#70 » by 711takeover » Sat Dec 9, 2017 4:56 pm

Double Helix wrote:
GreenBloodedC wrote:I don't even know where Raps fans get their entitlement. Their team has proven nothing and they already peaked with Derozan and Lowry as their lead guys. But their fans keep on acting like they are the defending champs.

On the topic, Of course the defense was unsustainable.


What are you even on about? Everyone knows all roads lead to Lebron — one of the true greats and a player better than either of our franchises has had in over 30 years. Yes, he’s better than Bird. Ainge timed his all in vet effort well. Just prior to Lebron’s playoff IQ reaching full maturity. The Celtics and Raptors haven’t been able to get past him ever since. There’s more money and owners willing to spend in the tax to build super teams than there was back when it was mostly the Celtics and Lakers just going back and forth the way the old Montréal Canadians did with the old Toronto Maple Leafs. Those days are long gone and neither the Raptors nor the Celtics have won more than a single title over the past 30 years so fans of either team shouldn’t feel too cocky. You know who can feel cocky? Bulls fans. Lakers fans. Spurs fans. Heat fans. Warriors fans. If your team has won multiple titles in the Internet era you can puff your chest out all you want. The rest of us need to be humble.

Nobody acts like the Raptors have won anything. If anything it’s the fact that neither the Raptors or Celtics are likely to best Lebron for the next few years that leads to the rivalry over the competition to be second best to the Cavs and see who is more likely to peak higher between rebuilding again and possibly push an in-Prime Lebron James to 7 games in a Conference Final before he retires and the 76ers rise up to take the East.


Yeah I think the difference is Celtics have been rebuilding to build a contender since the Pierce and KG trade and finally are looking promising towards that with current roster and young talent. Raptors hit their peak 2 years ago in the ECF and are maxed out right now. Lowry and DeRozan have proven to not live up to their reputation in the playoffs which is what hurts the Raptors
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Re: Has Boston's slide back to average defence already begun? 

Post#71 » by HoopsterJones » Sat Dec 9, 2017 5:00 pm

711takeover wrote:
HoopsterJones wrote:
username_taken wrote:Hayward’s past three seasons have all been better than DeRozan’s best.


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I disagree with this. Derozan last year was better than Hayward’s last three years.


Stats wise yes but Hayward also played on the slowest paced team in the league. Hayward's career high in FGA is 15.8 - Derozan averaged over 20 FGA last year alone. Just based off last year, both averaged same rebounds and assists with Derozan averaging 5 more PPG on 5 more shots per game and both essentially shot same FG% (Hayward 47% to Derozans 46%)

Hayward had advantage in TS%, Win Shares, BPM, VORP, and pretty much every advanced stat. Derozan had a FAR higher usage - 34.3% compared to Hayward at 27.6%

Essentially, DeRozan put up better scoring stats but also had a far higher usage and took nearly 5 more shots per game. Hayward actually shot a better percentage. Both are very comparable and you can argue either one. I could see an argument for either one in the regular season. However, the playoffs is a different story (since DeRozan declines in playoffs):

Hayward -17.1 FGA, 44.1% FG/41.2% 3PT, 6.1 RPG, 3.4 APG - 24.1 PPG
Derozan: 17.5 FGA, 43.4% FG/0.067 3PT, 4.9 RPG, 3.4 APG - 22.4 PPG

Again, Hayward advantage in TS%, Win Shares, BPM (DeRozan had a negative one), and VORP and pretty much every other advanced stat. Both this time had similar usage percentages, with Hayward having a 28% and Derozan at 29%


That’s great analysis. That’s just comparing last season.
Derozan in 16-17 was better than Hayward in 15-16 and 14-15.
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Re: Has Boston's slide back to average defence already begun? 

Post#72 » by 711takeover » Sat Dec 9, 2017 5:08 pm

HoopsterJones wrote:
711takeover wrote:
HoopsterJones wrote:
I disagree with this. Derozan last year was better than Hayward’s last three years.


Stats wise yes but Hayward also played on the slowest paced team in the league. Hayward's career high in FGA is 15.8 - Derozan averaged over 20 FGA last year alone. Just based off last year, both averaged same rebounds and assists with Derozan averaging 5 more PPG on 5 more shots per game and both essentially shot same FG% (Hayward 47% to Derozans 46%)

Hayward had advantage in TS%, Win Shares, BPM, VORP, and pretty much every advanced stat. Derozan had a FAR higher usage - 34.3% compared to Hayward at 27.6%

Essentially, DeRozan put up better scoring stats but also had a far higher usage and took nearly 5 more shots per game. Hayward actually shot a better percentage. Both are very comparable and you can argue either one. I could see an argument for either one in the regular season. However, the playoffs is a different story (since DeRozan declines in playoffs):

Hayward -17.1 FGA, 44.1% FG/41.2% 3PT, 6.1 RPG, 3.4 APG - 24.1 PPG
Derozan: 17.5 FGA, 43.4% FG/0.067 3PT, 4.9 RPG, 3.4 APG - 22.4 PPG

Again, Hayward advantage in TS%, Win Shares, BPM (DeRozan had a negative one), and VORP and pretty much every other advanced stat. Both this time had similar usage percentages, with Hayward having a 28% and Derozan at 29%


That’s great analysis. That’s just comparing last season.
Derozan in 16-17 was better than Hayward in 15-16 and 14-15.


That's why I said "just based off last year". Try to keep up, chief!
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Re: Has Boston's slide back to average defence already begun? 

Post#73 » by username_taken » Sat Dec 9, 2017 5:17 pm

HoopsterJones wrote:
711takeover wrote:
HoopsterJones wrote:
I disagree with this. Derozan last year was better than Hayward’s last three years.


Stats wise yes but Hayward also played on the slowest paced team in the league. Hayward's career high in FGA is 15.8 - Derozan averaged over 20 FGA last year alone. Just based off last year, both averaged same rebounds and assists with Derozan averaging 5 more PPG on 5 more shots per game and both essentially shot same FG% (Hayward 47% to Derozans 46%)

Hayward had advantage in TS%, Win Shares, BPM, VORP, and pretty much every advanced stat. Derozan had a FAR higher usage - 34.3% compared to Hayward at 27.6%

Essentially, DeRozan put up better scoring stats but also had a far higher usage and took nearly 5 more shots per game. Hayward actually shot a better percentage. Both are very comparable and you can argue either one. I could see an argument for either one in the regular season. However, the playoffs is a different story (since DeRozan declines in playoffs):

Hayward -17.1 FGA, 44.1% FG/41.2% 3PT, 6.1 RPG, 3.4 APG - 24.1 PPG
Derozan: 17.5 FGA, 43.4% FG/0.067 3PT, 4.9 RPG, 3.4 APG - 22.4 PPG

Again, Hayward advantage in TS%, Win Shares, BPM (DeRozan had a negative one), and VORP and pretty much every other advanced stat. Both this time had similar usage percentages, with Hayward having a 28% and Derozan at 29%


That’s great analysis. That’s just comparing last season.
Derozan in 16-17 was better than Hayward in 15-16 and 14-15.

https://imgur.com/a/gRa98

14-15 Hayward is better than 16-17 DeRozan.
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Re: Has Boston's slide back to average defence already begun? 

Post#74 » by HoopsterJones » Sat Dec 9, 2017 5:26 pm

username_taken wrote:
HoopsterJones wrote:
711takeover wrote:
Stats wise yes but Hayward also played on the slowest paced team in the league. Hayward's career high in FGA is 15.8 - Derozan averaged over 20 FGA last year alone. Just based off last year, both averaged same rebounds and assists with Derozan averaging 5 more PPG on 5 more shots per game and both essentially shot same FG% (Hayward 47% to Derozans 46%)

Hayward had advantage in TS%, Win Shares, BPM, VORP, and pretty much every advanced stat. Derozan had a FAR higher usage - 34.3% compared to Hayward at 27.6%

Essentially, DeRozan put up better scoring stats but also had a far higher usage and took nearly 5 more shots per game. Hayward actually shot a better percentage. Both are very comparable and you can argue either one. I could see an argument for either one in the regular season. However, the playoffs is a different story (since DeRozan declines in playoffs):

Hayward -17.1 FGA, 44.1% FG/41.2% 3PT, 6.1 RPG, 3.4 APG - 24.1 PPG
Derozan: 17.5 FGA, 43.4% FG/0.067 3PT, 4.9 RPG, 3.4 APG - 22.4 PPG

Again, Hayward advantage in TS%, Win Shares, BPM (DeRozan had a negative one), and VORP and pretty much every other advanced stat. Both this time had similar usage percentages, with Hayward having a 28% and Derozan at 29%


That’s great analysis. That’s just comparing last season.
Derozan in 16-17 was better than Hayward in 15-16 and 14-15.

https://imgur.com/a/gRa98

14-15 Hayward is better than 16-17 DeRozan.


Based on per 100 possessions? Theoretical projections? As if a player will produce exactly those statistics per 100 possessions without fail? Cmon man.
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Re: Has Boston's slide back to average defence already begun? 

Post#75 » by HoopsterJones » Sat Dec 9, 2017 5:27 pm

711takeover wrote:
HoopsterJones wrote:
711takeover wrote:
Stats wise yes but Hayward also played on the slowest paced team in the league. Hayward's career high in FGA is 15.8 - Derozan averaged over 20 FGA last year alone. Just based off last year, both averaged same rebounds and assists with Derozan averaging 5 more PPG on 5 more shots per game and both essentially shot same FG% (Hayward 47% to Derozans 46%)

Hayward had advantage in TS%, Win Shares, BPM, VORP, and pretty much every advanced stat. Derozan had a FAR higher usage - 34.3% compared to Hayward at 27.6%

Essentially, DeRozan put up better scoring stats but also had a far higher usage and took nearly 5 more shots per game. Hayward actually shot a better percentage. Both are very comparable and you can argue either one. I could see an argument for either one in the regular season. However, the playoffs is a different story (since DeRozan declines in playoffs):

Hayward -17.1 FGA, 44.1% FG/41.2% 3PT, 6.1 RPG, 3.4 APG - 24.1 PPG
Derozan: 17.5 FGA, 43.4% FG/0.067 3PT, 4.9 RPG, 3.4 APG - 22.4 PPG

Again, Hayward advantage in TS%, Win Shares, BPM (DeRozan had a negative one), and VORP and pretty much every other advanced stat. Both this time had similar usage percentages, with Hayward having a 28% and Derozan at 29%


That’s great analysis. That’s just comparing last season.
Derozan in 16-17 was better than Hayward in 15-16 and 14-15.


That's why I said "just based off last year". Try to keep up, chief!


I know you said that “chief”. I responded to a claim that Hayward’s previous three seasons are better than Derozan’s best. Clearly that’s not the case.
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Re: Has Boston's slide back to average defence already begun? 

Post#76 » by username_taken » Sat Dec 9, 2017 5:29 pm

HoopsterJones wrote:
username_taken wrote:
HoopsterJones wrote:
That’s great analysis. That’s just comparing last season.
Derozan in 16-17 was better than Hayward in 15-16 and 14-15.

https://imgur.com/a/gRa98

14-15 Hayward is better than 16-17 DeRozan.


Based on per 100 possessions? Theoretical projections? As if a player will produce exactly those statistics per 100 possessions without fail? Cmon man.

Did you ignore the entire section beneath it that shows that Hayward is a more efficient player that is a net positive on defense compared to DeRozan's subpar defense? The only thing DeRozan has got on Hayward is usage. Keep in mind that Hayward has only gotten better since, and that DeRozan is one of the worst high usage players in recent playoff history.
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Re: Has Boston's slide back to average defence already begun? 

Post#77 » by HoopsterJones » Sat Dec 9, 2017 5:38 pm

username_taken wrote:
HoopsterJones wrote:
username_taken wrote:https://imgur.com/a/gRa98

14-15 Hayward is better than 16-17 DeRozan.


Based on per 100 possessions? Theoretical projections? As if a player will produce exactly those statistics per 100 possessions without fail? Cmon man.

Did you ignore the entire section beneath it that shows that Hayward is a more efficient player that is a net positive on defense compared to DeRozan's subpar defense? The only thing DeRozan has got on Hayward is usage. Keep in mind that Hayward has only gotten better since, and that DeRozan is one of the worst high usage players in recent playoff history.


For efficiency

PER:
24 > 20.2

And I’m not looking into playoff numbers. How does 15-16 Hayward compare?
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Re: Has Boston's slide back to average defence already begun? 

Post#78 » by strudel forever » Sat Dec 9, 2017 6:23 pm

711takeover wrote:
Double Helix wrote:
711takeover wrote:
I'm really just amused at how a Raptors fan took this much time to worry about the Celtics and hope that other people on the GB also think the Celtics are getting worse lol


When anyone attempts to dismiss an assertion simply because of where the poster is from, rather than telling them they’re definitely wrong and backing that up with new facts, it might as well be an admission that the person making the assertion might be onto something. So, thank you. Fortunately there have been plenty of fans from Boston more interested in talking about these observations honestly than outright dismissals.

Don’t feel too special though. This same Raptors fan also attempted to explore the Charlotte Hornets in depth yesterday but having been unable to notice a trend just assumed it wiser to open that question up to the entire board. That discussion revealed some interesting insight into the Hornets.

I’m interested in how teams are working best or aren’t and why. I tend to take a quick look at their boards first to see if they have anything I can read that is exploring what I’m seeing or wondering first. I didn’t see anything about the Celtics defensive slide as a topic on the Celtics board.


Yeah their defense has taken a step back. That's no surprise to me because their defense on the winning streak was unsustainable lol. I'm just laughing because a Raptors fan creates yet another thread about the Celtics


OMG it's so hilarious
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Re: Has Boston's slide back to average defence already begun? 

Post#79 » by MovieMuscle » Sat Dec 9, 2017 6:37 pm

Maybe, as to be expected. On another note though, it's incredible how good OKC's defense is. I see them maybe being #1 by the end of the season. They have not slipped at all.
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Re: Has Boston's slide back to average defence already begun? 

Post#80 » by Benedict_Boozer » Sat Dec 9, 2017 6:37 pm

Keep saying it. This year for the Celtics should be about developing Brown and Tatum. Their window is a few years away, when Lebron fades and the Warriors slow down.

They are regressing which to me isn’t a surprise. But they are still setup nicely for the future.


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