LKN wrote:gipper08 wrote:Once we get to 50-75 nba players who had the virus and none of them even are admitted to the hospital then will you guys finally admit this virus' lethality is overblown?
Imagine posting garbage like this after well over 100,000 people have died.
I think at an absolute minimum, 10% of the population has had COVID-19, and more realistically probably 20+% of it has gotten it. So we have around 330M people in the US, lets say some 33-70+M have or had the virus, that would be 0.177-0.376% death rate using this 10-20% of the US population as the range. The virus itself is relatively harmless, it's really killing those with compromised immune systems. This country and much of the world has tons of people who simply don't take care well for themselves, don't eat right, lack important vitamins that strengthen an immune system (C, D, B complex, zinc, etc..), etc.. and they themselves increase their risk with a relatively harmless virus. The NBA has a little over 400 NBA players, if they were average US residents, then sure, 1 could die if they all had it, but we don't have any seniors in the NBA among players, nor morbidly obese players, chronic lung disease, etc.. Currently there is only one player with diabetes, maybe he'd be a little at risk, but the rest, nah.
Check this out:
On March 11, 2020, the World Health Organization declared Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) a pandemic (1). As of March 28, 2020, a total of 571,678 confirmed COVID-19 cases and 26,494 deaths have been reported worldwide (2). Reports from China and Italy suggest that risk factors for severe disease include older age and the presence of at least one of several underlying health conditions (3,4). U.S. older adults, including those aged ≥65 years and particularly those aged ≥85 years, also appear to be at higher risk for severe COVID-19–associated outcomes; however, data describing underlying health conditions among U.S. COVID-19 patients have not yet been reported (5). As of March 28, 2020, U.S. states and territories have reported 122,653 U.S. COVID-19 cases to CDC, including 7,162 (5.8%) for whom data on underlying health conditions and other known risk factors for severe outcomes from respiratory infections were reported. Among these 7,162 cases, 2,692 (37.6%) patients had one or more underlying health condition or risk factor, and 4,470 (62.4%) had none of these conditions reported. The percentage of COVID-19 patients with at least one underlying health condition or risk factor was higher among those requiring intensive care unit (ICU) admission (358 of 457, 78%) and those requiring hospitalization without ICU admission (732 of 1,037, 71%) than that among those who were not hospitalized (1,388 of 5,143, 27%). The most commonly reported conditions were diabetes mellitus, chronic lung disease, and cardiovascular disease. These preliminary findings suggest that in the United States, persons with underlying health conditions or other recognized risk factors for severe outcomes from respiratory infections appear to be at a higher risk for severe disease from COVID-19 than are persons without these conditions.
Source:
https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6913e2.htmEDIT: Some interesting data, so we know that early on, like February-April, we had a very limited testing, you probably were not getting tested unless you had pretty bad symptoms were getting to the point of needing hospitalization, so we know this data is a very small portion of the people that actually had COVID, but look how small the percentage of people who did without pre-existing conditions, and imagine that the number of actual cases could of been 20-50+ times more than the amount of confirmed cases (according to antibody testing at the time). Only 2% of the deaths at the time (April, data from NYC Health) were no pre-existing conditions. I bet the majority of those people still were not really very healthy, and had poor immune systems.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-age-sex-demographics/