HotelVitale wrote:AbeVigodaLive wrote:HotelVitale wrote:I haven't watched carefully enough to say, but statistically speaking it's 100% fully normal for some team to end up like this. And it makes sense given their personnel--D Lo, Beasley, and Edwards are their perimeter creators and all of them are very poor at getting to the line, and KAT's perimeter-oriented game makes him one of the least FT-reliant high-scoring bigs around. Plus guys like Beverly and McDaniels never get to the line. On the other end, they start a handful of poor defenders and thus rely on young, foul-happy guys like McDaniels, Vanderbilt, Reid, and Okogie for rim protection and energy. It makes sense they'd end ip that way.
You're right that they could try to correct that some. Edwards in particular should be able to learn how to draw FTs better, and KAT could lean more into that part of his game (esp given his constant shooting threat).
Yeah. That's probably some of it. Personally I think it's a combination of several things. Towns' FTA are down about 25%... only his rookie season was lower. But he's not shooting more three pointers. I wouldn't think the new rules would really affect a guy like him who still relies on posting up a lot. But it must be. He does flail and flop a lot as he almost seems out of control, which leads to way too many offensive fouls and incessant whining. Anthony Edwards is tied for 9th in FGA... he comes in at #60 for FTA. In an amusing anecdote, former Timberwolves mainstays, Andrew Wiggins and Ricky Rubio, are both shooting more FTA than Edwards. Some of that is probably that Edwards is still young and either settles a lot or hasn't figured out how to draw fouls yet. Or, maybe he hasn't "earned" the whistle yet. Or again, some combination.
[Note: The Wolves were 7th in FTA last season.]
Interesting, though I just looked it up and those margins are THIN. The Wolves were 7th in FTs per game, but only 2 attempts per game separate them from the 23rd spot. Seems like 2 FTs per game could easily be noise, or the product of a small change in play.
Could be a style of play thing... at least defensively. The Wolves are more engaged and playing a more aggressive style.
As a result, their opponents are shooting more free throws this season than last season despite the new rules... and MN struggled to keep opponents off the line last year, too (#26 in the league).
On the flip side... Minnesota is shooting 5 fewer attempts per game than last season.
Hard to say what it is for sure... but I wouldn't dismiss even 2 extra attempts per game like they're meaningless. That's the sort of margin that can definitely make a multi-game difference in a playoff chase.
And it's those irregularities in the margins that has the Wolves reaching out to the NBA to try to figure out why it's happening.