Post#64 » by HotelVitale » Mon Jan 16, 2023 10:15 pm
As a Philly fan I watch most Sixers games (probably 2/3 of them) and something always holds me back from having real confidence in Harden, that I also think prevents him from being a serious top ten candidate. I think this the crux of the problem: he’s very good at taking advantage of and coaxing defensive miscues (his vision at this point lets him hit EVERYONE who’s open with passes, he baits defenders into guessing the wrong way on drives, etc) and still good at creating small advantages (a step in the defender with his crossover, a pocket pass to let a close out attack happen, etc); but at this pt in his career he can’t really impose his will or make things happen all the time when the other team plays competent defense.
E.g. if the defense doesn’t foul him and doesn’t crowd him on a drive but just rotates nicely, or if a perimeter defender doesn’t bite too hard on a cross and give him a huge lane, he usually ends up with only a really hard shot—a runner or bad-angle layup, or one of his patented long step backs. When he makes those it’s great but they’re not sustainable and overall he’s not shooting well on that stuff (because it’s stupid hard). He’s trying to adjust by shooting more from the midrange and kicking it to the perimeter shooters more often when he gets half-open driving lanes, but it’s still not terrific offense that gets you a shot you like whenever you need it to. It feels more like decent offense that’s inherently prone to streakiness, and it also doesn’t maximize the other pieces on the Sixers particularly well.
Couple that with shaky defense and effort that comes and goes and I don’t think you can think about calling him top 10, no matter what the stats say. Tough player to rank at this point, hope people are able to balance the stuff he can do really well—elite vision and control/organization of offense, can still create something from nothing all day, length+strength on both ends—with this kind of semi-reliability and limited offensive power I was trying to describe.