Victor Wembanyama Stats Prediction

[DCasey91]

Yeah, there's a shot clock, and a lot of blocks seem to occur later in the clock when guys are driving. If there's 6 seconds left on the shot clock and the pick and roll gets trapped, or you catch it on a close out but the guy is there in time for you not to shoot, and you've got a lane to attack the hoop and you're not a great shooter, you're gonna do it even if Wemby is in there. /Hubie Brown

Exactly 100%. Right now it’s quite clear he covers the most ground in close one/2 steps it won’t matter if he gets beaten off the dribble/bodied* that part is hyphenated because he’ll definitely roam as he’s been doing in preseason like it’s quite unimaginable that he wouldn’t get 2 blocks a game just from late clock situations or stuffed possessions. Then you include perimeter contests and rim protection it’s basically a block party central lol.

One of the concerns I had was how much go and motor he had but that’s now long dismissed kid goes after it that can’t be taught.

Most blocks are weakside, I assume. Never actually seen any numbers on this.

I've been thinking about this because with regards to Giannis and Lopez, I don't know if Lillard being horrible on D and Jrue being great means more block opportunities as Lillard struggles to defend the point of attack and drivers get into the paint where Lopez and Giannis can get blocks, or if it means less because Jrue kept a body on guards and made teams go deep into the shot clock more.

Anyone ever seen any research or even anecdotal stuff on this? Like would the average center block more shots with solid defenders 1-4 making teams go deep into the shot clock and forcing tough attempts when they do drive, or complete turnstiles 1-4 and constant, but higher-quality drives to contest?

It would be interesting but I would bet solid defenders. But you would have to do a thorough analysis year by year, team setups, playing time and also factor in less blocks are made today.

Jazz had Eaton and Stockton/Malone made multiple all def teams just off the top of my head.

Today Grizzlies have been a really good defensive team for multiple seasons now so probably it’s better that way (not surprised that Morant’s metrics are bland defensively when on the court as a team). Because you can funnel the opp offence easier with having less leaky/bad defenders.

[Memories]

14pts, 5rb 1.5 blk, 44%fg, 25% 3pt

This stats line would be his stats only for his worst week of the season!

I think he does a bit better as shown above, but go back and look at Anthony Davis' rookie year stats. Maybe that will bring expectations back down to reality.

Wemby is a first year big man. This isn't like Kareem or Duncan coming into the NBA fully developed and ready to win.

Wemby is 10x more talented on offense than AD was coming into the NBA. AD originally was supposed to be projected as a Bill Russell player as his hype was more about his defense. He didn't have a great offensive game until he developed it in the NBA.

Wemby's skills on offense are much more diverse and polished in their rookie forms.

[CIN-C-STAR]

19.6 ppg, 6.4 rpg, 2.7 apg, 2.8 bpg, 0.6 spg, 2.5 tpg
30.2 mpg

Spurs team offense will be pretty good but defense bad. He'll have oportunities and space to operate on one end, and plenty of weakside block opportunities and foul trouble on the other.

I also expect him to miss a lot of games with minor injuries here and there, and play around 60 games total.
He probably gets a fan-vote All-Star appearance but not eligible for end of season awards (is it 65 games for RoY too? Seems dumb if it is because you're still eligible after missing an entire year. He'll likely get that if eligible though).

[Lalouie]

if he doesn't average 4 - 5 blocks per game and has everyone looking over their shoulder i/ll be disappointed

don't care about his 3s, don't care about his shooting, and i don't think he'll average double figures in rpg, although he SHOULD when he wakes up in the morning

he's going to shatter blocks records in any form and shape. Per game, per week, per season,blocks in Texas, in a single Regular -Season. I don't care about playoffs. This season is all about blocks and discovering what he can do. Pure entertainment

yeah i think so too.

he's going to block shots from unexpected areas of the floor that no one is thinking about. when alcindor went to ucla, the first thing wooden did was a very un-wooden thing...he wanted to put the ncaa on noticed so he unleashed alcindor and lew scored about 50ish points IN HIS FIRST GAME against someone...i'm thinking washington state

because of the hype surrounding alcindor, everyone was watching and pretty much from then on teams were beaten before they set foot on the floor.

i think wemby has the potential to do that, in a way that could be contextually great. i don't know how but i dont think it's be by scoring 50. but it should be something scary

if he gets something ridiculous like 10 blocks, i'm watching every spur game this season. gobert's best is 9 and he's a numbskull next to wemby. if wemby can average a very do-able 7blocks through his first 10 games, FORGET IT. that's all anyone will talk about and i think the refs will become "more lenient". i think the idea would be to establish something that resonates throughout the league.

like i read something like ted williams had such a huge rep with his eyesight that if he let a pitch pass the umps figgered "well it can't be a strike".

true or not i'm thinking something like that. it's already been talked about. the media is ruminating that the refs are going to have a hard time because they'll be seeing stuff (blocks)they've never seen. so it's already out there

[manlisten]

^He's already getting away with some carrying and travels. Seems like the refs want to watch the show like the rest of us. There was a pretty blatant one against GSW where he was going into a DHO and just continued his dribble.

[GSWFan1994]

My best guess: 22/8/2 + 3,5 stocks, 67 games.

[Roy T]

Man, so many of you will be utterly disappointed one way or the other...

[og15]

I'm going to go with 19-10-3 with 2.3bpg on 50fg% 35 3pt% and 74 ft%.

He was 82/83 FT% shooter last season already.

I'd go with 24.2ppg, 8.1rpg, 3.1apg, 3.2 bpg on 57.4TS%.

For the free throws, I'm betting on some rookie jitters

With regards to the blocks, there have been many years where the league leader in blocks has averaged under 3 per game. Gobert's career high for a season is 2.7 ; Kristaps Porzingis's career high is 2.4bpg. Anthony Davis's career high is 2.9.

Expecting VW to come in and beat all those guys' best marks is...optimistic.

Back in the day, the league leader was consistently over 3 and often between 4-5 blocks per game. The league has changed radically and there are a lot more 3s being taken and much more fluid offenses with bigs often stepping out. All of that makes it much more difficult to get high block numbers.

A lot of guys aren't used to his combination of length and mobility. He's easily cleanly blocking jumpshooters and getting three point shots too.

Rookie Mitchell Robinson got 2.4/game in 20.6 mpg, but he was at 5.7 fouls/36 too. If Wemby gets decent minutes, like 27-29 mpg he should be able to get closer to 3 bpg.

[SA37]

Spoiler:

He was 82/83 FT% shooter last season already.

I'd go with 24.2ppg, 8.1rpg, 3.1apg, 3.2 bpg on 57.4TS%.

For the free throws, I'm betting on some rookie jitters

With regards to the blocks, there have been many years where the league leader in blocks has averaged under 3 per game. Gobert's career high for a season is 2.7 ; Kristaps Porzingis's career high is 2.4bpg. Anthony Davis's career high is 2.9.

Expecting VW to come in and beat all those guys' best marks is...optimistic.

Back in the day, the league leader was consistently over 3 and often between 4-5 blocks per game. The league has changed radically and there are a lot more 3s being taken and much more fluid offenses with bigs often stepping out. All of that makes it much more difficult to get high block numbers.

A lot of guys aren't used to his combination of length and mobility. He's easily cleanly blocking jumpshooters and getting three point shots too.

Rookie Mitchell Robinson got 2.4/game in 20.6 mpg, but he was at 5.7 fouls/36 too. If Wemby gets decent minutes, like 27-29 mpg he should be able to get closer to 3 bpg.

Again, I don't see why he's much different than AD, Porzingis, or others. In the current NBA, getting 3bpg is hard. If Wembanyama gets there in his rookie season, well...wow.

[EmperorLocky]

It's seriously like Wembanyama carries the powers of the NBA top 10 GOATs.

Good scouting by Spurs. GOAT is his floor. Wemby should hire ex special forces as security. Not saying he would but its definitely not beneath MJ to sabotage Wemby.

[mkot]

He will have a game with 10+ block triple double.

[PushDaRock]

Spoiler:

For the free throws, I'm betting on some rookie jitters

With regards to the blocks, there have been many years where the league leader in blocks has averaged under 3 per game. Gobert's career high for a season is 2.7 ; Kristaps Porzingis's career high is 2.4bpg. Anthony Davis's career high is 2.9.

Expecting VW to come in and beat all those guys' best marks is...optimistic.

Back in the day, the league leader was consistently over 3 and often between 4-5 blocks per game. The league has changed radically and there are a lot more 3s being taken and much more fluid offenses with bigs often stepping out. All of that makes it much more difficult to get high block numbers.

A lot of guys aren't used to his combination of length and mobility. He's easily cleanly blocking jumpshooters and getting three point shots too.

Rookie Mitchell Robinson got 2.4/game in 20.6 mpg, but he was at 5.7 fouls/36 too. If Wemby gets decent minutes, like 27-29 mpg he should be able to get closer to 3 bpg.

Again, I don't see why he's much different than AD, Porzingis, or others. In the current NBA, getting 3bpg is hard. If Wembanyama gets there in his rookie season, well...wow.

He's 7"4 with an 8 foot wingspan and incredibly mobile. That's something nobody in the league has ever seen before, anybody else close to those measurables couldn't move at all out there. AD when he was skinnier was maybe just as mobile but also 6 inches shorter and 6 inches less in wingspan as well, functionally that's about a foot difference in the ground he can cover over AD.

[PushDaRock]

This is pretty funny.

Watch on YouTube

[HEAT33]

8pts, 3rb, 1blk, 40%fg, 24%3pt avg 20mins a game

[Edrees]

No idea but he's the first hyped rookie I've bought into in a real long time. I'm gonna say 20 ppg, 8 rpg, 2.2 blk, 47% FG

[grimlock]

a lock to lead the leagues in blocks.
21ppg, 7 rebs, 3 assist 3.2 blks per game

[iamoti]

17ppg / 7 rpg / 2 apg / 2 bpg on 42 / 30 / 80 shooting

[Bornstellar]

8pts, 3rb, 1blk, 40%fg, 24%3pt avg 20mins a game

This thread is about Wemby, not Nikola Jovic

[shotsquatch]

After watching him in preseason, it's hard to imagine he will average fewer than 15 points per game. Wemby collects points just by standing near the basket. On top of easy buckets, he also has the ability to create his own shots off the dribble, and a green light to shoot on a rebuilding Spurs team.

[manlisten]

I think his floor is 18 points. Hard to imagine him scoring less than that more than a handful of times. His worst preason game was still 15 points in 20 minutes. Then he'll have numerous games of 30 and 40+, likely even a few 50 balls sprinkled in. So I have him in the mid 20s if not higher for PPG.