Presti's Endgame?
Posted: Sun Nov 22, 2020 1:54 am
With the all the assets hoarded and the current cap flexibility at his disposal, what do You think his endgame is going to look like? Is OKC gonna rebuild strictly though draft or we can expect some major moves sooner rather then later?
I believe we won't see any major moves this season and that tank/development mode is currently fully activated but
as of Today this should be the situation for them entering the 2021/22 season. Feel free to correct me if I missed something with all those crazy activity in the last days...
Draft picks
2021: the two most favorable of own 1st round pick, Miami's 1st round pick and Houston's 1st round pick (if Houston pick lands 1-4, then it's OKC's + Miami's pick) + Golden State's 1st round pick (protected 1-20, if not conveyed Golden State's 2nd round pick in 2021 + Golden State's 2nd round pick in 2022)
2022: own 1 round pick (protected 1-14, else going to Atlanta) + Clippers' 1 round pick + Phoenix's first round pick (protected 1-12, if not conveyed then protected 1-10 in 2023, 1-8 in 2024 and unprotected in 2025) + own second round pick
2023: the more favorable between Clippers' 1 round pick and own first round pick + Miami's 1st round pick (protected 1-14, if not conveyed then protected 1-14 in 2024, 1-14 in 2025 and unprotected in 2026) + own second round pick + Hornets' second round pick
2024: own 1 round pick + Clippers 1st round pick + Houston's 1st round pick (protected 1-10, if not conveyed Houston's 2nd round pick in 2024 + Houston's 2nd round pick in 2025) + Denver's first round pick (protected 1-14) + own second round pick + Minnesota's 2nd round pick + Washington's second round pick
2025: the most favorable of own 1st round pick, Clippers 1st round pick and Houston's 1st round pick (if Houston pick lands 1-10, then more favorable between Clippers' 1 round pick and own first round pick) + own second round pick
2026: own 1 round pick + Clippers 1st round pick + Houston's 1st round pick (protected 1-4, if not conveyed Houston's 2nd round pick in 2026) + own second round pick
Amazing stash with probably biggest concern in fact that Houston could actually suck enough in forthcoming years for some of those protections being activated.
Payroll
Al Horford: $27M / $26,5M ($14,5M guaranteed)
George Hill: $10M ($1,3M guaranteed)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: $5,5M TO / $7,5M QO with $16,5M CH
Darius Bazley: $2,5M (TO) / $4,3M (TO) / $6,2M QO with $12,8M CH
Ty Jerome: $2,4M (TO) / $4,2M (TO) / $6,2M QO with $12,7M CH
Luguentz Dort: $1,8M ($0,2M guaranteed) / $2,0M ($0,3M guaranteed)
Isaiah Roby: $1,8M (non guaranteed) / $2,0M (TO)
Kyle Singler: $1,0M (dead cap)
Aleksej Pokusevski: draft rights with contract starting around $2,7M
They are obviously going to sign few more guys in next few days but I'm expecting a combination of 1yr contracts and cheap guys with some untapped potential. I see Horford, SGA, Dort, Pokusevski and Bazley as the only guys I'm considering a sure thing to remain in books before entering 2021 FA. With $1,3M guaranteed money Hill is owed + dead cap of Singler that should still leave them around $70M below the cap, $60M if You take into consideration reservations for unsigned draft picks and free roaster space.
Personally, I think Presti is smart enough not to overplay his cards like Ainge tends to do sometimes or try to exclusive build through draft following Hinkie footsteps. The biggest think staying on his way is unfortunately being in a relatively small market. Imagine Knicks being in this situation, we would probably already have multiple fantasy scenarios of possible superteams.
So do You think there is a chance of Oklahoma becoming title contender any time soon? And if so, is few years of building through draft the only way or it could be done through trades and signing free agents?
I believe we won't see any major moves this season and that tank/development mode is currently fully activated but
as of Today this should be the situation for them entering the 2021/22 season. Feel free to correct me if I missed something with all those crazy activity in the last days...
Draft picks
2021: the two most favorable of own 1st round pick, Miami's 1st round pick and Houston's 1st round pick (if Houston pick lands 1-4, then it's OKC's + Miami's pick) + Golden State's 1st round pick (protected 1-20, if not conveyed Golden State's 2nd round pick in 2021 + Golden State's 2nd round pick in 2022)
2022: own 1 round pick (protected 1-14, else going to Atlanta) + Clippers' 1 round pick + Phoenix's first round pick (protected 1-12, if not conveyed then protected 1-10 in 2023, 1-8 in 2024 and unprotected in 2025) + own second round pick
2023: the more favorable between Clippers' 1 round pick and own first round pick + Miami's 1st round pick (protected 1-14, if not conveyed then protected 1-14 in 2024, 1-14 in 2025 and unprotected in 2026) + own second round pick + Hornets' second round pick
2024: own 1 round pick + Clippers 1st round pick + Houston's 1st round pick (protected 1-10, if not conveyed Houston's 2nd round pick in 2024 + Houston's 2nd round pick in 2025) + Denver's first round pick (protected 1-14) + own second round pick + Minnesota's 2nd round pick + Washington's second round pick
2025: the most favorable of own 1st round pick, Clippers 1st round pick and Houston's 1st round pick (if Houston pick lands 1-10, then more favorable between Clippers' 1 round pick and own first round pick) + own second round pick
2026: own 1 round pick + Clippers 1st round pick + Houston's 1st round pick (protected 1-4, if not conveyed Houston's 2nd round pick in 2026) + own second round pick
Amazing stash with probably biggest concern in fact that Houston could actually suck enough in forthcoming years for some of those protections being activated.
Payroll
Al Horford: $27M / $26,5M ($14,5M guaranteed)
George Hill: $10M ($1,3M guaranteed)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: $5,5M TO / $7,5M QO with $16,5M CH
Darius Bazley: $2,5M (TO) / $4,3M (TO) / $6,2M QO with $12,8M CH
Ty Jerome: $2,4M (TO) / $4,2M (TO) / $6,2M QO with $12,7M CH
Luguentz Dort: $1,8M ($0,2M guaranteed) / $2,0M ($0,3M guaranteed)
Isaiah Roby: $1,8M (non guaranteed) / $2,0M (TO)
Kyle Singler: $1,0M (dead cap)
Aleksej Pokusevski: draft rights with contract starting around $2,7M
They are obviously going to sign few more guys in next few days but I'm expecting a combination of 1yr contracts and cheap guys with some untapped potential. I see Horford, SGA, Dort, Pokusevski and Bazley as the only guys I'm considering a sure thing to remain in books before entering 2021 FA. With $1,3M guaranteed money Hill is owed + dead cap of Singler that should still leave them around $70M below the cap, $60M if You take into consideration reservations for unsigned draft picks and free roaster space.
Personally, I think Presti is smart enough not to overplay his cards like Ainge tends to do sometimes or try to exclusive build through draft following Hinkie footsteps. The biggest think staying on his way is unfortunately being in a relatively small market. Imagine Knicks being in this situation, we would probably already have multiple fantasy scenarios of possible superteams.
So do You think there is a chance of Oklahoma becoming title contender any time soon? And if so, is few years of building through draft the only way or it could be done through trades and signing free agents?