RealGM Top 25 Final Rankings (and five year averages)

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RealGM Top 25 Final Rankings (and five year averages) 

Post#1 » by ElectricMayhem » Sun Oct 2, 2022 11:16 pm

Thank you everyone for your participation in this annual event. The 2022-23 Top 25 has now been set:

RealGM Top 25 Players 2022-23:
1) Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL) - 57%
2) Nikola Jokic (DEN) - 57%
3) Luka Doncic (DAL) - 43%
4) Steph Curry (GSW) - 49%
5) Joel Embiid (PHI) - 37%
6) Kevin Durant (BKN) - 40%
7) LeBron James (LAL) - 44%
8) Kawhi Leonard (LAC) - 46%
9) Jayson Tatum (BOS) - 51%
10) Jimmy Butler (MIA) - 53%
11) Ja Morant (MEM) - 23%
12) Anthony Davis (LAL) - 28%
13) Rudy Gobert (MIN) - 24%
14) Paul George (LAC) - 19% (Tiebreaker: 62%)
15) James Harden (PHI) - 23%
16) Devin Booker (PHX) - 27%
17) Damian Lillard (POR) - 34%
18) Trae Young (ATL) - 25%
19) Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN) - 33%
20) Pascal Siakam (TOR) - 40%
21) Jaylen Brown (BOS) - 30%
22) Chris Paul (PHX) - 25%
23) Zion Williamson (NOP) - 27%
24) Bam Adebayo (MIA) - 25%
25) Kyrie Irving (BKN) - 33%

Image
Link to enlarged version (click on the picture in the link):
https://ibb.co/zPHrhvS
In years where players are not in the top 25, they were given a 30 if they were on the final poll and a 40 if they were not.

5 year average ranking:
1. Giannis Antetokounmpo: 2.6
2. LeBron James: 3
3. Stephen Curry: 4.6
4. Kawhi Leonard: 5.6
5. Nikola Jokic: 7
6. Anthony Davis: 7.6
7. James Harden: 7.8
8. Joel Embiid: 8.8
9. Kevin Durant: 9.8
10. Jimmy Butler: 11
11. Damian Lillard: 12.4
12. Luka Doncic: 14
13. Paul George: 14.2
14. Rudy Gobert: 15.4
15. Chris Paul: 17.8
16. Karl-Anthony Towns: 19.2
17. Kyrie Irving: 20.2
18. Devin Booker: 22.2
19. Jayson Tatum: 22.6
20. Russell Westbrook: 24
21. Bradley Beal: 25.4
22. Donovan Mitchell: 26.2
23. Ben Simmons: 26.6
24. Jrue Holiday: 27.2
25. Draymond Green: 28.4
T-26. Pascal Siakam: 28.6
T-26. Trae Young: 28.6
28. Kyle Lowry: 28.8
29. Ja Morant: 30.2
30. Bam Adebayo: 31.2
31. Zion Williamson: 32
32. Victor Oladipo: 32.6
33. Blake Griffin: 33.4
34. Kemba Walker: 33.8
35. DeMar DeRozan: 34
T-36. Klay Thompson: 34.2
T-36. Jaylen Brown: 34.2
38. Khris Middleton: 34.8
39. LaMarcus Aldridge: 35
T-40. Brandon Ingram: 36
T-40. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 36
T-42. John Wall: 36.6
T-42. Jamal Murray: 36.6
44. Al Horford: 36.8
T-45. DeMarcus Cousins, Gordon Hayward, Kevin Love, Mike Conley, CJ McCollum, Nikola Vucevic, Kristaps Porzingis, Domantas Sabonis, Zach Lavine, Julius Randle, Anthony Edwards, Darius Garland: 38
Tom Gores' Securus faced a class action lawsuit in 2024. The company engaged in a "quid pro quo kickback scheme" with county jails in Michigan which banned in-person visits in order to maximize revenue from voice and video calls.
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Re: RealGM Top 25 Final Rankings (and five year averages) 

Post#2 » by SA37 » Mon Oct 3, 2022 6:59 am

ElectricMayhem wrote:Thank you everyone for your participation in this annual event. The 2022-23 Top 25 has now been set:

Spoiler:
RealGM Top 25 Players 2022-23:
1) Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL) - 57%
2) Nikola Jokic (DEN) - 57%
3) Luka Doncic (DAL) - 43%
4) Steph Curry (GSW) - 49%
5) Joel Embiid (PHI) - 37%
6) Kevin Durant (BKN) - 40%
7) LeBron James (LAL) - 44%
8) Kawhi Leonard (LAC) - 46%
9) Jayson Tatum (BOS) - 51%
10) Jimmy Butler (MIA) - 53%
11) Ja Morant (MEM) - 23%
12) Anthony Davis (LAL) - 28%
13) Rudy Gobert (MIN) - 24%
14) Paul George (LAC) - 19% (Tiebreaker: 62%)
15) James Harden (PHI) - 23%
16) Devin Booker (PHX) - 27%
17) Damian Lillard (POR) - 34%
18) Trae Young (ATL) - 25%
19) Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN) - 33%
20) Pascal Siakam (TOR) - 40%
21) Jaylen Brown (BOS) - 30%
22) Chris Paul (PHX) - 25%
23) Zion Williamson (NOP) - 27%
24) Bam Adebayo (MIA) - 25%
25) Kyrie Irving (BKN) - 33%

Image
Link to enlarged version (click on the picture in the link):
https://ibb.co/zPHrhvS
In years where players are not in the top 25, they were given a 30 if they were on the final poll and a 40 if they were not.

5 year average ranking:
1. Giannis Antetokounmpo: 2.6
2. LeBron James: 3
3. Stephen Curry: 4.6
4. Kawhi Leonard: 5.6
5. Nikola Jokic: 7
6. Anthony Davis: 7.6
7. James Harden: 7.8
8. Joel Embiid: 8.8
9. Kevin Durant: 9.8
10. Jimmy Butler: 11
11. Damian Lillard: 12.4
12. Luka Doncic: 14
13. Paul George: 14.2
14. Rudy Gobert: 15.4
15. Chris Paul: 17.8
16. Karl-Anthony Towns: 19.2
17. Kyrie Irving: 20.2
18. Devin Booker: 22.2
19. Jayson Tatum: 22.6
20. Russell Westbrook: 24
21. Bradley Beal: 25.4
22. Donovan Mitchell: 26.2
23. Ben Simmons: 26.6
24. Jrue Holiday: 27.2
25. Draymond Green: 28.4
T-26. Pascal Siakam: 28.6
T-26. Trae Young: 28.6
28. Kyle Lowry: 28.8
29. Ja Morant: 30.2
30. Bam Adebayo: 31.2
31. Zion Williamson: 32
32. Victor Oladipo: 32.6
33. Blake Griffin: 33.4
34. Kemba Walker: 33.8
35. DeMar DeRozan: 34
T-36. Klay Thompson: 34.2
T-36. Jaylen Brown: 34.2
38. Khris Middleton: 34.8
39. LaMarcus Aldridge: 35
T-40. Brandon Ingram: 36
T-40. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 36
T-42. John Wall: 36.6
T-42. Jamal Murray: 36.6
44. Al Horford: 36.8
T-45. DeMarcus Cousins, Gordon Hayward, Kevin Love, Mike Conley, CJ McCollum, Nikola Vucevic, Kristaps Porzingis, Domantas Sabonis, Zach Lavine, Julius Randle, Anthony Edwards, Darius Garland: 38


Just wanted to say thanks for running this show! As always it was a lot of fun to participate and have some good debates over player rankings. A great way to get us all ready for the coming season.

Thanks again.
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Re: RealGM Top 25 Final Rankings (and five year averages) 

Post#3 » by LordCovington33 » Mon Oct 3, 2022 12:22 pm

5-yr average -
Does this mean that a player who hasn’t been in the league for 5 years (e.g. Morant) is just given an average for the years he has played?
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Re: RealGM Top 25 Final Rankings (and five year averages) 

Post#4 » by Quattro » Mon Oct 3, 2022 1:41 pm

RealGM users are a hell of a lot better at this than ESPN.
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Re: RealGM Top 25 Final Rankings (and five year averages) 

Post#5 » by cupcakesnake » Mon Oct 3, 2022 1:52 pm

ElectricMayhem, you the best!
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Re: RealGM Top 25 Final Rankings (and five year averages) 

Post#6 » by The Number 9 » Mon Oct 3, 2022 2:21 pm

Thank you for running this !
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Re: RealGM Top 25 Final Rankings (and five year averages) 

Post#7 » by Duffman100 » Mon Oct 3, 2022 4:37 pm

Nice to see Pascal make it in after being on the cusp for a bit.
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Re: RealGM Top 25 Final Rankings (and five year averages) 

Post#8 » by Colbinii » Mon Oct 3, 2022 5:27 pm

Median appears to be a better way of ranking that Mean over an X year period
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Re: RealGM Top 25 Final Rankings (and five year averages) 

Post#9 » by ken6199 » Mon Oct 3, 2022 7:05 pm

Stellar work EM, already looking forward to the 23-24 version.
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Re: RealGM Top 25 Final Rankings (and five year averages) 

Post#10 » by ElectricMayhem » Tue Oct 4, 2022 3:34 am

LordCovington33 wrote:5-yr average -
Does this mean that a player who hasn’t been in the league for 5 years (e.g. Morant) is just given an average for the years he has played?


He's been given a 40 for the years he hasn't played. The reason I did it this way was to measure it from the standpoint of who have been the top players in the league over the past 5 years. If I were to compare individual player arcs, then I would just give them a null score for years they weren't in the league. I may try measuring that as well...
Tom Gores' Securus faced a class action lawsuit in 2024. The company engaged in a "quid pro quo kickback scheme" with county jails in Michigan which banned in-person visits in order to maximize revenue from voice and video calls.
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Re: RealGM Top 25 Final Rankings (and five year averages) 

Post#11 » by ElectricMayhem » Tue Oct 4, 2022 3:54 am

Here's what the rankings look like if I give players a null value for years before and after their NBA careers. Players whose ranking this has changed are bolded:

5 year average ranking:
1. Giannis Antetokounmpo: 2.6
2. LeBron James: 3
3. Stephen Curry: 4.6
4. Kawhi Leonard: 5.6
5. Nikola Jokic: 7
6. Luka Doncic: 7.5
7. Anthony Davis: 7.6
8. James Harden: 7.8
9. Joel Embiid: 8.8
10. Kevin Durant: 9.8
11. Jimmy Butler: 11
12. Damian Lillard: 12.4
13. Paul George: 14.2
14. Rudy Gobert: 15.4
15. Chris Paul: 17.8
16. Karl-Anthony Towns: 19.2
17. Kyrie Irving: 20.2
18. Devin Booker: 22.2
19. Jayson Tatum: 22.6
20. Ja Morant: 23.7
21. Russell Westbrook: 24
22. Bradley Beal: 25.4
23. Trae Young: 25.8
24. Donovan Mitchell: 26.2
25. Ben Simmons: 26.6
36. Zion Williamson: 26.7
27. Jrue Holiday: 27.2
28. Draymond Green: 28.4
29. Pascal Siakam: 28.6
30. Kyle Lowry: 28.8
31. Bam Adebayo: 31.2
32. Victor Oladipo: 32.6
33. Blake Griffin: 33.4
34. Kemba Walker: 33.8
35. DeMar DeRozan: 34
T-36. Klay Thompson: 34.2
T-36. Jaylen Brown: 34.2
38. Khris Middleton: 34.8
T-39. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 35
T-39. Anthony Edwards: 35
T-39. LaMarcus Aldridge: 35
42. Brandon Ingram: 36
T-43. John Wall: 36.6
T-43. Jamal Murray: 36.6
44. Darius Garland: 36.7
45. Al Horford: 36.8
T-46. DeMarcus Cousins, Gordon Hayward, Kevin Love, Mike Conley, CJ McCollum, Nikola Vucevic, Kristaps Porzingis, Domantas Sabonis, Zach Lavine, Julius Randle: 38
Tom Gores' Securus faced a class action lawsuit in 2024. The company engaged in a "quid pro quo kickback scheme" with county jails in Michigan which banned in-person visits in order to maximize revenue from voice and video calls.
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Re: RealGM Top 25 Final Rankings (and five year averages) 

Post#12 » by meekrab » Tue Oct 4, 2022 3:57 am

LeBron might not even be top 20 this season. Morant and Trae could replace him. Chris Paul also probably not top 20.
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Re: RealGM Top 25 Final Rankings (and five year averages) 

Post#13 » by PierceFan4ever » Tue Oct 4, 2022 5:58 pm

meekrab wrote:LeBron might not even be top 20 this season. Morant and Trae could replace him. Chris Paul also probably not top 20.


Agreed, it’s crazy how people have him borderline top 5 when he led his team to barely 30 wins while being a terrible defender and leader. A lot of empty stats last season when the game was down by 20+ in the first half.
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Re: RealGM Top 25 Final Rankings (and five year averages) 

Post#14 » by Colbinii » Tue Oct 4, 2022 8:47 pm

PierceFan4ever wrote:
meekrab wrote:LeBron might not even be top 20 this season. Morant and Trae could replace him. Chris Paul also probably not top 20.


Agreed, it’s crazy how people have him borderline top 5 when he led his team to barely 30 wins while being a terrible defender and leader. A lot of empty stats last season when the game was down by 20+ in the first half.


If the Lakers were down by 20 in the first half, was LeBron supposed to give up because of how putrid everyone was playing?

I dont get how he put up empty stats.

He put up 29.5/9.1/5.6 in Losses and 31.3/7.0/7.0 in Wins.

Keep in mind the Lakers [With LeBron on the court] were +/- -9.8 Points/100 when they lost. You may be thinking Holy Smokes, but Luka was -14.9 and Giannis -10.5, meaning on average, the Lakers [in their losses] played better with James than the Bucks and Mavericks did with their best players on the floor.

But hey, stat padding :lol:

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