toooskies wrote:jasonxxx102 wrote:Franz on the court has a -0.3 net rating (not very impressive) but his on/off is a 10.4 net rating which is 92nd percentile in the league.
You know why? Well it should be obvious.
He’s not blowing away teams when he’s on the court (against other starts primarily) but when he’s off the court the magic are getting blown out because they have no talent.
In comparison Mobley is +1.7 on but on/off is -7.1. For the exact opposite reason
Mobley's on/off is horribly skewed by opponent 3-point percentage luck. It's a textbook case of why on/off isn't stable in small samples.
Edit: for reference...
SO anecdotally I can remember a handful of games where the other team was just hitting every single 3, contested or not.
Here are some 3p% for games against the cavs
54%, 54%, 49%, 61%, 60%, 51%
btw this is only going back to the end of december.
The Cavs give up the 3rd least amount of "wide open" 3s, and middle of the road for "open" 3s but opponents are top 10 in shooting% against for both categories.
Cavs are in the top 10 for amount of contested 3s and opponents are still shooting the lights out, points above league average.
The Cavs have had incredibly bad 3pt shooting luck against them this season.