hippesthippo wrote:I am expecting an extremely busy trade deadline. The league is wide open with 6 teams I'd consider contenders (Denver, Boston, Milwaukee, Brooklyn, Memphis, Philadelphia).
Additionally, I count another 9 strong teams that have a chance to make some noise and reach the Conference Finals if they're able to plug some holes in their roster, get healthy, or continue to improve internally (Cleveland, Dallas, New Orleans, LAC, Golden State, Phoenix, LAL, Atlanta and Miami).
Then there are another 5 teams that seem intent on making the Playoffs no matter what even though they're fringe teams at best (Sacramento, Portland, Minnesota, New York, and Washington).
That's 20 teams that could potentially be buyers at the trade deadline. The other 10 teams are all in some state of rebuild and will likely be looking to sell at the deadline and start stacking ping pong balls (although Chicago is an absolute wild card here).
If there are 20 buyers, and 10 sellers (some of whom don't have much to offer outside of prospects they won't trade) I'm not sure how active that deadline is.
Well, we're all just guessing here. There'd be more potential pieces to trade for and less competition to bid against if it was flip-flopped the other way. At the same time you'd only have 10 teams actually looking to acquire someone if that were true.
I'm no economist, but I would think a scenario with 10 buyers and 20 sellers would result in less trades, but they'd be for players of higher caliber. It'd be like shopping at Nordstrom's.
With 20 buyers and 10 sellers I'd expect to see more trades, but it'd be more like a flea market filled with the Plumlee's and Alec Burks of the world. This is what I'm expecting. Lots of trades involving 2nd round picks and/or cash considerations.
If that were true (and it may not be) I suppose it comes down to how you define "busy." Most of the big blockbuster type trades happen over the summer these days. Were you thinking of a specific team when making your comment?