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Projected Total Wins for the 2023-2024 Season
Posted: Sun Jul 23, 2023 1:21 am
by baldur
Boston Celtics -
54,5Denver Nuggets -
53,5Milwaukee Bucks -
53,5Phoenix Suns -
51,5Cleveland Cavaliers -
50,5Philadelphia 76ers -
50,5Golden State Warriors -
48,5Miami Heat -
48,5Los Angeles Clippers -
47,5Los Angeles Lakers -
46,5Memphis Grizzlies -
45,5New York Knicks -
45,5Sacramento Kings -
45,5Dallas Mavericks -
44,5Oklahoma City Thunder -
44,5Minnesota Timberwolves -
43,5New Orleans Pelicans -
42,5Atlanta Hawks -
42,5Brooklyn Nets -
37,5 Chicago Bulls -
37,5Indiana Pacers -
36,5Orlando Magic -
36,5Toronto Raptors -
36,5Utah Jazz -
36,5Houston Rockets -
31,5Charlotte Hornets -
29,5San Antonio Spurs -
29,5Detroit Pistons -
26,5 Washington Wizards -
24,5 https://www.thelines.com/odds/nba/win-totals/Portland isn't on the list due to awaiting Lillard Trade. The odds for 76ers, clippers, heat and nets arent actually available on most bookmakers. So, except for these teams, all the odds listed above are based on Caesars Sportsbook's Odds.
What are your predictions?
Re: Projected Total Wins for the 2023-2024 Season
Posted: Sun Jul 23, 2023 1:51 am
by giberish
These look pretty reasonable. No 'just giving away money' lines. There's a few older, thin teams that have perhaps a 25% chance of collapsing well below them, but that's a different issue.
If anything I'd have Denver as too high. Some championship/long playoff run hangover limiting regular season effort and they lost their 6th and 7th men without any real replacements.
Re: Projected Total Wins for the 2023-2024 Season
Posted: Sun Jul 23, 2023 1:58 am
by flranger
Sure as hell would bet the under for the 76'ers hard
Over on Kangz and Magic...
Re: Projected Total Wins for the 2023-2024 Season
Posted: Sun Jul 23, 2023 2:40 am
by bstein14
Over bets on: Suns & Nets
Under bets on: Sixers & Bulls
-----
I think the Bulls finally blow it up after being below .500 mid season and trade vets for young guys and draft assets.
Re: Projected Total Wins for the 2023-2024 Season
Posted: Sun Jul 23, 2023 3:35 am
by JXL
baldur wrote:Boston Celtics -
54,5 OVERDenver Nuggets -
53,5 OVERMilwaukee Bucks -
53,5 OVERPhoenix Suns -
51,5 UNDERCleveland Cavaliers -
50,5 UNDERPhiladelphia 76ers -
50,5 If Harden is moved, UNDERGolden State Warriors -
48,5 UNDERMiami Heat -
48,5 If Lillard goes there, OVER, otherwise UNDERLos Angeles Clippers -
47,5 If Harden goes there, OVERLos Angeles Lakers -
46,5 OVER slightlyMemphis Grizzlies -
45,5 OVERNew York Knicks -
45,5 OVERSacramento Kings -
45,5 EVENDallas Mavericks -
44,5 UNDEROklahoma City Thunder -
44,5 UNDERMinnesota Timberwolves -
43,5 UNDERNew Orleans Pelicans -
42,5 OVER if everyone stays healthyAtlanta Hawks -
42,5 UNDERBrooklyn Nets -
37,5 OVERChicago Bulls -
37,5 UNDERIndiana Pacers -
36,5 OVEROrlando Magic -
36,5 UNDERToronto Raptors -
36,5 UNDERUtah Jazz -
36,5 UNDERHouston Rockets -
31,5 UNDERCharlotte Hornets -
29,5 OVERSan Antonio Spurs -
29,5 OVERDetroit Pistons -
26,5 OVERWashington Wizards -
24,5 UNDERhttps://www.thelines.com/odds/nba/win-totals/Portland isn't on the list due to awaiting Lillard Trade. The odds for 76ers, clippers, heat and nets arent actually available on most bookmakers. So, except for these teams, all the odds listed above are based on Caesars Sportsbook's Odds.
What are your predictions?
Don't know why Nets are going for 37.5 when they should have 41.5.
Re: Projected Total Wins for the 2023-2024 Season
Posted: Sun Jul 23, 2023 4:20 am
by whatisacenter
baldur wrote:Boston Celtics -
54,5Denver Nuggets -
53,5Milwaukee Bucks -
53,5Phoenix Suns -
51,5Cleveland Cavaliers -
50,5Philadelphia 76ers -
50,5Golden State Warriors -
48,5Miami Heat -
48,5Los Angeles Clippers -
47,5Los Angeles Lakers -
46,5Memphis Grizzlies -
45,5New York Knicks -
45,5Sacramento Kings -
45,5Dallas Mavericks -
44,5Oklahoma City Thunder -
44,5Minnesota Timberwolves -
43,5New Orleans Pelicans -
42,5Atlanta Hawks -
42,5Brooklyn Nets -
37,5 Chicago Bulls -
37,5Indiana Pacers -
36,5Orlando Magic -
36,5Toronto Raptors -
36,5Utah Jazz -
36,5Houston Rockets -
31,5Charlotte Hornets -
29,5San Antonio Spurs -
29,5Detroit Pistons -
26,5 Washington Wizards -
24,5 https://www.thelines.com/odds/nba/win-totals/Portland isn't on the list due to awaiting Lillard Trade. The odds for 76ers, clippers, heat and nets arent actually available on most bookmakers. So, except for these teams, all the odds listed above are based on Caesars Sportsbook's Odds.
What are your predictions?
under GSW
over Kings
over Pacers
over Wizards
Re: Projected Total Wins for the 2023-2024 Season
Posted: Sun Jul 23, 2023 4:26 am
by Ell Curry
baldur wrote:Los Angeles Clippers - 47,5
New York Knicks - 45,5
Brooklyn Nets - 37,5
Indiana Pacers - 36,5
These stood out to me.
Clippers seem high with their injuries, Knicks I just think might regress, Nets I don't think are a good team and will trade off Finney-Smith and such even though I love Bridges.
As for overs, I like the Pacers, they go over if Hali plays 75 games or they get actual production at forward. Though a Turner injury always scary.
Re: Projected Total Wins for the 2023-2024 Season
Posted: Sun Jul 23, 2023 4:46 am
by pipfan
As a Bulls' fan I have been hoping that they rebuild for a year. But, that's clearly not AKME's plan. They did have a good offseason, with value signings and resignings. I honestly think our team will be one of the surprises again (but I'm usually wrong)
Carter/White/Ayo
Lavine/Caruso/White/Ayo
DDR/Caruso/Craig
PWill/Craig/Caruso
Vuc/Drummond
I think we get closer to 45 wins. Or, someone mentioned we stumble a bit and blow it up in 2024
Re: Projected Total Wins for the 2023-2024 Season
Posted: Sun Jul 23, 2023 5:42 am
by YogurtProducer
I’d bet over on Toronto. Not like way over but 36 seems low.
41-41 last year. FVV wasn’t great, main isssue was depth with was fixed, and we played more like a 45-47 team last year and I don’t think we got “10 games worse”.
I bet we are like 39-43 wins and in the play in again
Re: Projected Total Wins for the 2023-2024 Season
Posted: Sun Jul 23, 2023 5:57 am
by AussieCeltic
YogurtProducer wrote:I’d bet over on Toronto. Not like way over but 36 seems low.
41-41 last year. FVV wasn’t great, main isssue was depth with was fixed, and we played more like a 45-47 team last year and I don’t think we got “10 games worse”.
I bet we are like 39-43 wins and in the play in again
“We played like a 45-47 team last year and I don’t think we got 10 games worse” has to be one of the funniest statements I’ve heard.
Your record was 41-41. The over/under is 36 so it’s 5 games less no matter “how you felt”.
New less experienced coach, replaced FVV with Schroeder, possible Siakam trade happening. 36 seems the right number.
Re: Projected Total Wins for the 2023-2024 Season
Posted: Sun Jul 23, 2023 6:16 am
by Potential
Pacers and Magic easy overs
Re: Projected Total Wins for the 2023-2024 Season
Posted: Sun Jul 23, 2023 6:24 am
by YogurtProducer
AussieCeltic wrote:YogurtProducer wrote:I’d bet over on Toronto. Not like way over but 36 seems low.
41-41 last year. FVV wasn’t great, main isssue was depth with was fixed, and we played more like a 45-47 team last year and I don’t think we got “10 games worse”.
I bet we are like 39-43 wins and in the play in again
“We played like a 45-47 team last year and I don’t think we got 10 games worse” has to be one of the funniest statements I’ve heard.
Your record was 41-41. The over/under is 36 so it’s 5 games less no matter “how you felt”.
New less experienced coach, replaced FVV with Schroeder, possible Siakam trade happening. 36 seems the right number.
It isn’t how I feel, the stats back it up as well. We were 11th or 12th in NRTG (in line with 45-47 win teams) and we had a bad record in close games which is a noisy stat year to year and almost never aligns with overall record.
Not to mention we were much better down the stretch once we got Jak.
FVV was bad last year, Nurse was also bad last year. There’s a solid chance we barely miss either of them. A Siakam trade would obviously significantly change everything.
This same team in 2021-22 won 48 games. There was a lot of bad luck last year. We’re by no means good, but we’re not 7th worst team bad either
Re: Projected Total Wins for the 2023-2024 Season
Posted: Sun Jul 23, 2023 6:45 am
by Mavrelous
If Heat don't trade for Dame, they are under.
Brooklyn is under for me, they haven't addressed their lack of perimeter creation at all.
Clippers under (unless they get Harden)
Rockets over
Jazz under
The west is a crapshoot, every team other than DEN/PHX who should get PO HCA and PDX/SAS who should be on the bottom, can go anywhere in between.
Re: Projected Total Wins for the 2023-2024 Season
Posted: Sun Jul 23, 2023 8:39 am
by durden_tyler
Bet the house on Wizards under and don't bet again the entire year. Easiest Under Ever.
Re: Projected Total Wins for the 2023-2024 Season
Posted: Sun Jul 23, 2023 9:41 am
by giberish
durden_tyler wrote:Bet the house on Wizards under and don't bet again the entire year. Easiest Under Ever.
If I had to put money on Washington I'd bet the over.
They don't have anything resembling a star but they've got a credible amount of real NBA players. With all the rest days and off shooting days teams have over the season they'll pick up wins. They don't even have the large amount of project youth to force-feed minutes to that's generally the best way to be really bad (there's a good chance they could be worse in 2024-5 as they lose some vets and add more youth). The current lottery odds don't really reward being extra-special bad either. Your odds for the top pick generally aren't much different at 26 wins vs 16 wins.
Re: Projected Total Wins for the 2023-2024 Season
Posted: Sun Jul 23, 2023 9:53 am
by One_and_Done
Hit that Bucks over.
Re: Projected Total Wins for the 2023-2024 Season
Posted: Sun Jul 23, 2023 10:10 am
by DaGawd
Ell Curry wrote:baldur wrote:Los Angeles Clippers - 47,5
New York Knicks - 45,5
Brooklyn Nets - 37,5
Indiana Pacers - 36,5
These stood out to me.
Clippers seem high with their injuries, Knicks I just think might regress, Nets I don't think are a good team and will trade off Finney-Smith and such even though I love Bridges.
As for overs, I like the Pacers, they go over if Hali plays 75 games or they get actual production at forward. Though a Turner injury always scary.
no real reason to think the knicks are going to regress. the east didn’t get massively better. brunson will continue to be a star while randle will likely have another very good regular season. with continued improvement from the younger players like grimes, quickley, barrett, robinson i say 45 wins should be minimum
Re: Projected Total Wins for the 2023-2024 Season
Posted: Sun Jul 23, 2023 10:18 am
by SlovenianDragon
Remember team when you bet only bet on what you think are sure things. Not they could...or they should... Because even betting on something you think is a sure thing will probably still be wrong...lol
Im just saying if you have to think about a bet dont do it...
Theres alot of good over/under options here...
Im not gunna bore you with what i bet but stay safe out there friends
Re: Projected Total Wins for the 2023-2024 Season
Posted: Sun Jul 23, 2023 10:20 am
by baldur
SlovenianDragon wrote:Remember team when you bet only bet on what you think are sure things. Not they could...or they should... Because even betting on something you think is a sure thing will probably still be wrong...lol
Im just saying if you have to think about a bet dont do it...
Do it with the money that it won't affect you dramatically if you lose it.
Or just bet on crazy odds/bets for only fun/excitement.
Re: Projected Total Wins for the 2023-2024 Season
Posted: Sun Jul 23, 2023 10:25 am
by SlovenianDragon
baldur wrote:SlovenianDragon wrote:Remember team when you bet only bet on what you think are sure things. Not they could...or they should... Because even betting on something you think is a sure thing will probably still be wrong...lol
Im just saying if you have to think about a bet dont do it...
Do it with the money that it won't affect you dramatically if you lose it.
Or just bet on crazy odds/bets for only fun/excitement.
Gambling is entertainment... I pretty much use it to keep track if i was right or wrong... Its not about making money.
Ive been having alot of fun with futures recently because it lets me bet on guys or teams i iwant to watch.
Im just saying stupid bets are usually just stupid. Use ur basketball knowledge to make educated bets.. And if you have to think about a bet...its not worth it.