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Pablo Torre: Kawhi/Clippers/Ballmer/Aspiration Thread (part 2)
Posted: Mon Sep 22, 2025 5:05 pm
by bisme37
Thread continued from here:
https://forums.realgm.com/boards/viewtopic.php?f=6&t=2473362(I've quoted some of the most recent posts in the first thread to help everyone continue their ongoing discussions)MagicMamba88 wrote:Did the richest owner in sports sweeten the pot for the most private star in the NBA? Pablo Torre investigates a tree-planting green bank called Aspiration... unearths more than 3,000 pages of exclusive documents... and speaks to high-level sources, ultimately linking Kawhi Leonard's "no-show" endorsement deal to his contracts with the Clippers; to his Uncle Dennis; and to owner Steve Ballmer's personal $50M investment in a company that's now being probed by the U.S. government. Former front-office executives Amin Elhassan and David Samson react to the reporting and wonder how Adam Silver will look into these new allegations of salary-cap circumvention — and whether Ballmer's money took "a round trip."
Re: Pablo Torre: Kawhi/Clippers/Ballmer/Aspiration Thread (part 2)
Posted: Mon Sep 22, 2025 5:06 pm
by LarsV8
Guilty!
Re: Pablo Torre: Kawhi/Clippers/Ballmer/Aspiration Thread (part 2)
Posted: Mon Sep 22, 2025 5:07 pm
by bisme37
316Hornets wrote:Enso wrote:316Hornets wrote:I'm thinking lifetime ban for Kawhi if he or his agent specifically requested illegal no show endorsements to circumvent cap. It just seems so blatant and casts a bad look on NBA as a whole if that's what happened.
It'll never directly be pinned on Kawhi, maybe the uncle or his management. If it is pinned on him prob a year suspension.
Kawhi is a NBA superstar and he should be expected to follow the rules of the game like other stars getting paid max money. This is a situation where the Commissioner just has to set an example and ban Kawhi from playing in the NBA ever again. Do we really want to hear another story in a few years about Kawhi taking another secret deal? I don't have all the evidence but if we are to believe Kawhi has his agent going around to multiple teams(Tor, Lac) making illegal demands, there's no place for that in the sport.
Re: Pablo Torre: Kawhi/Clippers/Ballmer/Aspiration Thread (part 2)
Posted: Mon Sep 22, 2025 5:07 pm
by bisme37
madmaxmedia wrote:Curmudgeon wrote:But that's why Silver's comment that the "burden of proof is on the league" was so dissonant. He's too good a lawyer to make that error by mistake. It leads me to believe that notwithstanding the blatant circumvention, the league plans to whitewash Ballmer. Maybe it's pressure from the league's new media partners. Who knows?
I think that his statement can be read in different ways. When he made those statements, he probably wasn't fully versed in the initial information that came out, the NBA hadn't even started investigating, etc. So I at least partially took that as a statement of, let's settle down for a moment, we're going to investigate and then make our decision on what we actually find and not what's being discussed on social media or in the news.
But I 100% agree that calling it 'burden of proof' was a poor choice of words (as was "I've never heard of [Aspiration before]..."
I just want the truth to come out one way or the other, and for the NBA to issue an appropriate judgement on it. Fortunately Pablo's investigation is helping this, and if the NBA wanted to sweep it under the rug then that is getting harder to justify with each new Torre bomb.
Mephariel wrote:Are people here just pretend to be dense? Of course the burden of proof is on the league. How can it not be on the league? Has anyone here ever dealt with employee issues at work? Try going to an employee and tell him he harassed someone and say "the burden of proof is on you to prove you are innocence" and see how that goes. The employee doesn't have to proof anything. You are the one who bring in the claim, you need to prove the employee did something wrong. But, but, the document say this and that! If you think Silver will just hand out a punishment based on text from a document, then I don't know what to tell you. If Silver go to a meeting with the governors and say "I have no actual evidence that Ballmer did anything, but I will punish him because a document allow me to do so..." how do you think that meeting is going to go?
BTW, section 13.2 doesn't even say the burden of proof is on Ballmer. Section 13.2 states "violation of Section 2(a) or 2(b) above may be proven by direct or circumstantial evidence..." It is still the league's responsibility to bring those direct or circumstantial evidence to light.
He's just saying this not the same thing as a court of law, not that Silver or the NBA can arbitrarily do whatever he wants. The NBA is going to investigate and then decide. If the entire money and paper trail looks absolutely shady AF, they can act on that. They don't need surveillance cam footage actually showing Ballmer hading Kawhi bags of cash.
Re: Pablo Torre: Kawhi/Clippers/Ballmer/Aspiration Thread (part 2)
Posted: Mon Sep 22, 2025 5:08 pm
by bisme37
inonba wrote:Hello Brooklyn wrote: Its not on Balmer to "prove" why Aspiration did what it did. Its on the league to prove that Balmer was in on it. And so far they have nothing.
Don't take my word for it. Listen to legal expert Michael McCann on the Zach Lowe podcast who came to the same conclusion.
16:30 mark. "Listen to legal expert Michael McCann on the Zach Lowe podcast" explain how section explains 13.2 (d)
A violation of Section 2(a) or 2(b) above may be proven by direct or circumstantial evidence, including, but not limited to, evidence that a Player Contract or any term or provision thereof cannot rationally be explained in the absence of conduct violative of Section 2(a) or 2(b).
shifts the burden of proof from the league to the Clippers.
Well, Zach Lowe talked to more than one legal expert
It's right at the beginning of the podcast 3:30 mark.
Curmudgeon wrote:But that's why Silver's comment that the "burden of proof is on the league" was so dissonant. He's too good a lawyer to make that error by mistake. It leads me to believe that notwithstanding the blatant circumvention, the league plans to whitewash Ballmer. Maybe it's pressure from the league's new media partners. Who knows?
Re: Pablo Torre: Kawhi/Clippers/Ballmer/Aspiration Thread (part 2)
Posted: Mon Sep 22, 2025 5:19 pm
by mojomarc
bisme37 wrote:inonba wrote:Hello Brooklyn wrote: Its not on Balmer to "prove" why Aspiration did what it did. Its on the league to prove that Balmer was in on it. And so far they have nothing.
Don't take my word for it. Listen to legal expert Michael McCann on the Zach Lowe podcast who came to the same conclusion.
16:30 mark. "Listen to legal expert Michael McCann on the Zach Lowe podcast" explain how section explains 13.2 (d)
A violation of Section 2(a) or 2(b) above may be proven by direct or circumstantial evidence, including, but not limited to, evidence that a Player Contract or any term or provision thereof cannot rationally be explained in the absence of conduct violative of Section 2(a) or 2(b).
shifts the burden of proof from the league to the Clippers.
Well, Zach Lowe talked to more than one legal expert
It's right at the beginning of the podcast 3:30 mark.
Curmudgeon wrote:But that's why Silver's comment that the "burden of proof is on the league" was so dissonant. He's too good a lawyer to make that error by mistake. It leads me to believe that notwithstanding the blatant circumvention, the league plans to whitewash Ballmer. Maybe it's pressure from the league's new media partners. Who knows?
I think it's also worth pointing out that this isn't a criminal matter. You don't have to prove beyond all reasonable doubt. As a civil matter, in a court the standard would be "preponderance of the evidence", which is basically 51% belief is enough.
I can get why the NBA owners would want a stricter standard, but the rules are pretty clear you can't as an owner work to circumvent the cap. So the real question is whether the rest of the owners want to demand some a standing that would hold in civil court, or something more stringent? And how much would the appearance of impropriety matter to them vs. absolute legal criminal-standard proof.
Re: Pablo Torre: Kawhi/Clippers/Ballmer/Aspiration Thread (part 2)
Posted: Mon Sep 22, 2025 6:11 pm
by Old_Blue
Lost in all of this is the level of arrogance and deceit of the actors involved in this scandal. I'm so sick and f@cking tired of the wealthy Kawhi Leonards and mega-wealthy Steve Ballmers of the world. With so many medical and scientific advancements in recent years, you'd think we would have made some progress on that whole Pinocchio thing where your nose grows when you lie - Because right now the risk/reward analysis tilts heavily in favor of making "B.S. Artist" your career of choice.
Re: Pablo Torre: Kawhi/Clippers/Ballmer/Aspiration Thread (part 2)
Posted: Mon Sep 22, 2025 6:48 pm
by Curmudgeon
The CBA is 100% clear that circumvention can be inferred from a course of conduct. The owners negotiated for that provision, along with a salary cap that was not intended as a guideline to be exceeded at will by side deals.
Re: Pablo Torre: Kawhi/Clippers/Ballmer/Aspiration Thread (part 2)
Posted: Mon Sep 22, 2025 6:52 pm
by Mephariel
bisme37 wrote:madmaxmedia wrote:Curmudgeon wrote:But that's why Silver's comment that the "burden of proof is on the league" was so dissonant. He's too good a lawyer to make that error by mistake. It leads me to believe that notwithstanding the blatant circumvention, the league plans to whitewash Ballmer. Maybe it's pressure from the league's new media partners. Who knows?
I think that his statement can be read in different ways. When he made those statements, he probably wasn't fully versed in the initial information that came out, the NBA hadn't even started investigating, etc. So I at least partially took that as a statement of, let's settle down for a moment, we're going to investigate and then make our decision on what we actually find and not what's being discussed on social media or in the news.
But I 100% agree that calling it 'burden of proof' was a poor choice of words (as was "I've never heard of [Aspiration before]..."
I just want the truth to come out one way or the other, and for the NBA to issue an appropriate judgement on it. Fortunately Pablo's investigation is helping this, and if the NBA wanted to sweep it under the rug then that is getting harder to justify with each new Torre bomb.
Mephariel wrote:Are people here just pretend to be dense? Of course the burden of proof is on the league. How can it not be on the league? Has anyone here ever dealt with employee issues at work? Try going to an employee and tell him he harassed someone and say "the burden of proof is on you to prove you are innocence" and see how that goes. The employee doesn't have to proof anything. You are the one who bring in the claim, you need to prove the employee did something wrong. But, but, the document say this and that! If you think Silver will just hand out a punishment based on text from a document, then I don't know what to tell you. If Silver go to a meeting with the governors and say "I have no actual evidence that Ballmer did anything, but I will punish him because a document allow me to do so..." how do you think that meeting is going to go?
BTW, section 13.2 doesn't even say the burden of proof is on Ballmer. Section 13.2 states "violation of Section 2(a) or 2(b) above may be proven by direct or circumstantial evidence..." It is still the league's responsibility to bring those direct or circumstantial evidence to light.
He's just saying this not the same thing as a court of law, not that Silver or the NBA can arbitrarily do whatever he wants. The NBA is going to investigate and then decide. If the entire money and paper trail looks absolutely shady AF, they can act on that. They don't need surveillance cam footage actually showing Ballmer hading Kawhi bags of cash.
Nobody is saying you need to a surveillance cam. But the burden of proof is on the league. Whether the proof is a cam footage or circumstantial. That much is clear.
Re: Pablo Torre: Kawhi/Clippers/Ballmer/Aspiration Thread (part 2)
Posted: Mon Sep 22, 2025 6:54 pm
by inonba
Mephariel wrote:Try going to an employee and tell him he harassed someone and say "the burden of proof is on you to prove you are innocence" and see how that goes. The employee doesn't have to proof anything. You are the one who bring in the claim, you need to prove the employee did something wrong.
Same example, try going to same employee and say, we've received a complaint for sexual harassment and now, we're going to seize your phone and email messages and see how that goes.
You can't draw equivalency because the league is under a collective bargain agreement. What you can't do in your example may or may not apply.
Re: Pablo Torre: Kawhi/Clippers/Ballmer/Aspiration Thread (part 2)
Posted: Mon Sep 22, 2025 8:07 pm
by Magic_Johnny12
For the sake of conspiracy I really really hope Silver doesn’t let this conveniently drag on until AFTER the all-star game.
This may sound hyperbolic, but Adams decision here will ultimately define his career.
Re: Pablo Torre: Kawhi/Clippers/Ballmer/Aspiration Thread (part 2)
Posted: Mon Sep 22, 2025 8:30 pm
by clippertown
Let’s assume that Ballmer and Kawhi are 100% guilty (something that is not yet actually proven), my question relates to how the league’s rules and the US laws interact in this situation. If the standards of proof for the NBA are less than the standards of proof in California law, wouldn’t a severe adverse decision by the league get challenged in court? I get that the league has its own rules that everybody agreed too, but if for example Ballmer was forced to sell the team (lol), this would have many cascading impacts that do not land directly on the Clippers organization. Hundreds of vendors and advertisers could sue. These cases would drag the league into a legal battle outside of their ivory castle. Ballmer would definitely appeal in court and would be pretty public about it. Since only 5% of NBA fans even know about this situation, why would the league shine a light on it now?
I get the need for punishment, but the league mostly handles these embarrassing situations behind closed doors and between the owners. A protracted legal battle between a pissed off Ballmer and the NBA would be ugly for everybody, especially if Ballmer knows where some of the other skeletons are buried. I maintain that this is not the only circumvention going on, just the only one that was outed (due to the BK of Aspiration).
Ultimately, this will likely be dealt with by banning Ballmer from his own stadium for the season, giving up a couple of useless late picks (or swaps) and issuing a hefty fine that Ballmer will pay with petty cash – likely limited to the max penalty of $7.5M. This was not technically cap-circumvention btw – it was a bribe to get Kawhi to sign with the Clippers. Even if Ballmer wanted to, he could not have paid Kawhi a penny more than he actually paid him. Any additional monies were separate to the max player contract. These are similar concepts but not identical in a court of actual law.
The lack of media and any real announcements from Silver indicate which way the league is thinking. It’s likely Silver will be travelling in a brand-new Gulfstream G800 next season, and the league will write additional rules to counter this kind of activity in the future.
Re: Pablo Torre: Kawhi/Clippers/Ballmer/Aspiration Thread (part 2)
Posted: Mon Sep 22, 2025 9:22 pm
by Ambrose
clippertown wrote:Let’s assume that Ballmer and Kawhi are 100% guilty (something that is not yet actually proven), my question relates to how the league’s rules and the US laws interact in this situation. If the standards of proof for the NBA are less than the standards of proof in California law, wouldn’t a severe adverse decision by the league get challenged in court? I get that the league has its own rules that everybody agreed too, but if for example Ballmer was forced to sell the team (lol), this would have many cascading impacts that do not land directly on the Clippers organization. Hundreds of vendors and advertisers could sue. These cases would drag the league into a legal battle outside of their ivory castle. Ballmer would definitely appeal in court and would be pretty public about it. Since only 5% of NBA fans even know about this situation, why would the league shine a light on it now?
I get the need for punishment, but the league mostly handles these embarrassing situations behind closed doors and between the owners. A protracted legal battle between a pissed off Ballmer and the NBA would be ugly for everybody, especially if Ballmer knows where some of the other skeletons are buried. I maintain that this is not the only circumvention going on, just the only one that was outed (due to the BK of Aspiration).
Ultimately, this will likely be dealt with by banning Ballmer from his own stadium for the season, giving up a couple of useless late picks (or swaps) and issuing a hefty fine that Ballmer will pay with petty cash – likely limited to the max penalty of $7.5M. This was not technically cap-circumvention btw – it was a bribe to get Kawhi to sign with the Clippers. Even if Ballmer wanted to, he could not have paid Kawhi a penny more than he actually paid him. Any additional monies were separate to the max player contract. These are similar concepts but not identical in a court of actual law.
The lack of media and any real announcements from Silver indicate which way the league is thinking. It’s likely Silver will be travelling in a brand-new Gulfstream G800 next season, and the league will write additional rules to counter this kind of activity in the future.
No. The NBA decision is final.
Re: Pablo Torre: Kawhi/Clippers/Ballmer/Aspiration Thread (part 2)
Posted: Mon Sep 22, 2025 9:41 pm
by clippertown
Ambrose wrote:No. The NBA decision is final.
This is not necessarily correct. Whilst the courts respect the NBA as a private organization, there are other factors at play that can escalate this to a regular court. For example, when Donald Stirling was told he has to sell the team, he appealed to a regular court on the grounds that the league breached anti-trust laws. The case was not ultimately successful, but there were a number of factors at play, including his wife and a competency hearing. In the Ballmer situation, was there a specific rule that prohibited outside sponsors in the case where there was no direct cap-circumvention (ie a max deal was paid, and no cap benefit was provided)? Its these intricacies that cause the most problems in a courtroom.
There is a role to play for the federal courts if the punishment is excessive or anti-trust or corporate laws are broken. It could also come into play if Ballmer knows of others in a similar situation who were not punished even though Silver / NBA owners were aware of the issue (disproportionate).
Re: Pablo Torre: Kawhi/Clippers/Ballmer/Aspiration Thread (part 2)
Posted: Mon Sep 22, 2025 9:49 pm
by Dr Aki
They let this through, they literally provide a blueprint as to how to cheat the salary cap.
Re: Pablo Torre: Kawhi/Clippers/Ballmer/Aspiration Thread (part 2)
Posted: Mon Sep 22, 2025 10:22 pm
by mastermixer
clippertown wrote:Let’s assume that Ballmer and Kawhi are 100% guilty (something that is not yet actually proven), my question relates to how the league’s rules and the US laws interact in this situation. If the standards of proof for the NBA are less than the standards of proof in California law, wouldn’t a severe adverse decision by the league get challenged in court? I get that the league has its own rules that everybody agreed too, but if for example Ballmer was forced to sell the team (lol), this would have many cascading impacts that do not land directly on the Clippers organization. Hundreds of vendors and advertisers could sue. These cases would drag the league into a legal battle outside of their ivory castle. Ballmer would definitely appeal in court and would be pretty public about it. Since only 5% of NBA fans even know about this situation, why would the league shine a light on it now?
I get the need for punishment, but the league mostly handles these embarrassing situations behind closed doors and between the owners. A protracted legal battle between a pissed off Ballmer and the NBA would be ugly for everybody, especially if Ballmer knows where some of the other skeletons are buried. I maintain that this is not the only circumvention going on, just the only one that was outed (due to the BK of Aspiration).
Ultimately, this will likely be dealt with by banning Ballmer from his own stadium for the season, giving up a couple of useless late picks (or swaps) and issuing a hefty fine that Ballmer will pay with petty cash – likely limited to the max penalty of $7.5M. This was not technically cap-circumvention btw – it was a bribe to get Kawhi to sign with the Clippers. Even if Ballmer wanted to, he could not have paid Kawhi a penny more than he actually paid him. Any additional monies were separate to the max player contract. These are similar concepts but not identical in a court of actual law.
The lack of media and any real announcements from Silver indicate which way the league is thinking. It’s likely Silver will be travelling in a brand-new Gulfstream G800 next season, and the league will write additional rules to counter this kind of activity in the future.
my guess is all the NBA contracts and agreements have language in them states that "you" agree to arbitration that allows the Commissioner to be the decision maker in these types of circumstances.
I believe there have been legal challenges in the past that substantiate that. Most serious legal challenges against any league usually end up getting settled outside of court because when push comes to shove the league doesn't want either the negative publicity or have to make private docs public in discovery.
Ballmer is SOOO rich that he would actually have the ability to really challenge the NBA in every avenue if he chose too. But in a situation like you're talking about it would probably end up going to state or even federal supreme court decision.
Re: Pablo Torre: Kawhi/Clippers/Ballmer/Aspiration Thread (part 2)
Posted: Mon Sep 22, 2025 10:24 pm
by CS707
clippertown wrote:Let’s assume that Ballmer and Kawhi are 100% guilty (something that is not yet actually proven), my question relates to how the league’s rules and the US laws interact in this situation. If the standards of proof for the NBA are less than the standards of proof in California law, wouldn’t a severe adverse decision by the league get challenged in court? I get that the league has its own rules that everybody agreed too, but if for example Ballmer was forced to sell the team (lol), this would have many cascading impacts that do not land directly on the Clippers organization. Hundreds of vendors and advertisers could sue. These cases would drag the league into a legal battle outside of their ivory castle. Ballmer would definitely appeal in court and would be pretty public about it. Since only 5% of NBA fans even know about this situation, why would the league shine a light on it now?
I get the need for punishment, but the league mostly handles these embarrassing situations behind closed doors and between the owners. A protracted legal battle between a pissed off Ballmer and the NBA would be ugly for everybody, especially if Ballmer knows where some of the other skeletons are buried. I maintain that this is not the only circumvention going on, just the only one that was outed (due to the BK of Aspiration).
Ultimately, this will likely be dealt with by banning Ballmer from his own stadium for the season, giving up a couple of useless late picks (or swaps) and issuing a hefty fine that Ballmer will pay with petty cash – likely limited to the max penalty of $7.5M. This was not technically cap-circumvention btw – it was a bribe to get Kawhi to sign with the Clippers. Even if Ballmer wanted to, he could not have paid Kawhi a penny more than he actually paid him. Any additional monies were separate to the max player contract. These are similar concepts but not identical in a court of actual law.
The lack of media and any real announcements from Silver indicate which way the league is thinking. It’s likely Silver will be travelling in a brand-new Gulfstream G800 next season, and the league will write additional rules to counter this kind of activity in the future.
I seriously doubt a forced sale is even on the table. No owner wants that type of precedent.
Re: Pablo Torre: Kawhi/Clippers/Ballmer/Aspiration Thread (part 2)
Posted: Mon Sep 22, 2025 10:26 pm
by Sixers in 4
clippertown wrote:Let’s assume that Ballmer and Kawhi are 100% guilty (something that is not yet actually proven), my question relates to how the league’s rules and the US laws interact in this situation. If the standards of proof for the NBA are less than the standards of proof in California law, wouldn’t a severe adverse decision by the league get challenged in court? I get that the league has its own rules that everybody agreed too, but if for example Ballmer was forced to sell the team (lol), this would have many cascading impacts that do not land directly on the Clippers organization. Hundreds of vendors and advertisers could sue. These cases would drag the league into a legal battle outside of their ivory castle. Ballmer would definitely appeal in court and would be pretty public about it. Since only 5% of NBA fans even know about this situation, why would the league shine a light on it now?
I get the need for punishment, but the league mostly handles these embarrassing situations behind closed doors and between the owners. A protracted legal battle between a pissed off Ballmer and the NBA would be ugly for everybody, especially if Ballmer knows where some of the other skeletons are buried. I maintain that this is not the only circumvention going on, just the only one that was outed (due to the BK of Aspiration).
Ultimately, this will likely be dealt with by banning Ballmer from his own stadium for the season, giving up a couple of useless late picks (or swaps) and issuing a hefty fine that Ballmer will pay with petty cash – likely limited to the max penalty of $7.5M. This was not technically cap-circumvention btw – it was a bribe to get Kawhi to sign with the Clippers. Even if Ballmer wanted to, he could not have paid Kawhi a penny more than he actually paid him. Any additional monies were separate to the max player contract. These are similar concepts but not identical in a court of actual law.
The lack of media and any real announcements from Silver indicate which way the league is thinking. It’s likely Silver will be travelling in a brand-new Gulfstream G800 next season, and the league will write additional rules to counter this kind of activity in the future.
1. The CBA is designed to avoid lawsuits and franchise agreements often limit what avenues are available to owners so if that is the language of the CBA, then the burden is Ballmer and likely arbitration would be mandated.
2. Any court case would land in acivil court, not criminal court. So lets say somehow Ballmer has the CBA thrown out in civil court on monopoly grounds (other owners would be on a warpath), the reasonable belief standard still applies. So is it 50+1 percent likely that Kawhi and Ballmer had an agreement? If the answer is yes the NBA prevails. Which is why OJ still had to pay a civil judgement despite not being found guilty in his criminal case for the same crime.
With the witnesses. Documented payments. Kawhi agreement with aspiration: It's hard to argue that there are not reasonable grounds for the NBA to believe Ballmer entered into an agreement with kawhi and Aspiration.
3. A lawsuit would open up Ballmer to subpoena and discovery along with the NBA. If you think he is hated now wait until he launches a lawsuit with discovery and argues the CBA should be thrown out.
4. The rest is wishful thinking, which may or may not be true. Silver can come down hard or do very little it really will likely be based on how the other owners want to react to what happened.
Re: Pablo Torre: Kawhi/Clippers/Ballmer/Aspiration Thread (part 2)
Posted: Mon Sep 22, 2025 10:38 pm
by xb3at band1tx
take their picks, adam
make an example out of them
Re: Pablo Torre: Kawhi/Clippers/Ballmer/Aspiration Thread (part 2)
Posted: Mon Sep 22, 2025 10:38 pm
by clippertown
CS707 wrote:I seriously doubt a forced sale is even on the table. No owner wants that type of precedent.
If no forced sale is imposed, then what kind of punishment should we expect from this?
The CBA limits financial penalties to $7.5M and I would guess if that is true, a court would enforce it should Silver decide to go over. As Elon Musk stated, "blackmail me with money? Go F yourself". Hitting one of the richest men in the world with a monetary punishment is laughable.
The Clippers don't need any picks to improve. The richest owner in sports, a brand-new stadium and training center and LA weather is enough to attract the very best talent. The Clips don't even own any picks until 2030 so the punishment would not even be paid for years.
Adding the delta to luxury tax payments make little sense and set a dangerous precedent (if it's even legal per CBA). At that point, the league is pretty much sanctioning this activity with a luxury tax cost that many owners will be happy to pay.
Banning Ballmer from the stadium will not really reflect the seriousness of the issue and Ballmer helps the NBA by being an active participant.
Basically, there is little punishment that makes sense and therefore the league will bury the issue internally with updated CBA amendments IMO. Some people will be pissed off, but most of those people are NBA fanatics and will get over it pretty quickly. The rest won't care.