1986 Kareem vs 2023 LeBron

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Better Player at 38 years old

Kareem
14
45%
LeBron
17
55%
 
Total votes: 31

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Re: 1986 Kareem vs 2023 LeBron 

Post#21 » by 70sFan » Wed May 24, 2023 6:43 am

OhayoKD wrote:Lebron was quite arguably as or more valuable than Steph in the postseason leading a better offense through the first two rounds (with arguably less help if you use larger rs samples for off) to go with maybe the best defensive forward play, after empirically sweeping steph in the rs.

LeBron didn't "lead" Lakers offense throughout the first 2 rounds. He was still the major factor in Lakers offense of course, but you can even argue he wasn't Lakers first option. I guess his playmaking duties could still put him ahead of Davis, but James didn't play like James from the past anymore and Lakers guards also had a lot of playmaking duties.

It's ridiculous to say that Curry played with better help on offense. James played with Anthony Davis who was arguably better than him offensively and Reaves would be easily 3rd best offensive player on Warriors team.

If we're going to throw in the likes of Jalen and Murray could, may as well toss in isiah thomas or ralph sampson ontop of the relatively easy cases present for Magic, Bird, Hakeem,(all obvious), Jordan(obvious with a playoff-only lens), and Barkley.

"Throw in likes", yeah, you're talking like Murray wasn't better than LeBron in the playoffs...

I can see Thomas case, he played very well in the playoffs. I don't see any case for Sampson (weaker offensively, didn't have a clear edge on defense). Jordan played only one round (3 games), I excluded all players that got eliminated in the first round (otherwise someone like Edwards clears LeBron). Barkley mention is interesting, for some reason I thought about his 1985 performance. He has a case, but he was problematic in these playoffs.

KAJ did not play like "one of the best players in the world" against Houston. Lebron absolutely did vs the wolves, the grizzlies, and the lakers

No, LeBron didn't play like one of the best players in the world against Warriors. He had one great game and some subpar performances.
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Re: 1986 Kareem vs 2023 LeBron 

Post#22 » by Jaivl » Wed May 24, 2023 7:31 am

70sFan wrote:
If we're going to throw in the likes of Jalen and Murray could, may as well toss in isiah thomas or ralph sampson ontop of the relatively easy cases present for Magic, Bird, Hakeem,(all obvious), Jordan(obvious with a playoff-only lens), and Barkley.

"Throw in likes", yeah, you're talking like Murray wasn't better than LeBron in the playoffs...

Was he? LeBron has a disgustingly massive advantage on defense.

The part about LeBron possibly having less offensive help than Curry is extremely dumb though.
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Re: 1986 Kareem vs 2023 LeBron 

Post#23 » by 70sFan » Wed May 24, 2023 7:39 am

Jaivl wrote:
70sFan wrote:
If we're going to throw in the likes of Jalen and Murray could, may as well toss in isiah thomas or ralph sampson ontop of the relatively easy cases present for Magic, Bird, Hakeem,(all obvious), Jordan(obvious with a playoff-only lens), and Barkley.

"Throw in likes", yeah, you're talking like Murray wasn't better than LeBron in the playoffs...

Was he? LeBron has a disgustingly massive advantage on defense.

The part about LeBron possibly having less offensive help than Curry is extremely dumb though.

I view LeBron's defense as quite inconsistent in the playoffs. He was tremendous against the Nuggets, but some of his games against Grizzlies and Warriors were painful to watch (while other ones were still very good).
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Re: 1986 Kareem vs 2023 LeBron 

Post#24 » by OhayoKD » Wed May 24, 2023 9:43 am

70sFan wrote:
OhayoKD wrote:Lebron was quite arguably as or more valuable than Steph in the postseason leading a better offense through the first two rounds (with arguably less help if you use larger rs samples for off) to go with maybe the best defensive forward play, after empirically sweeping steph in the rs.

LeBron didn't "lead" Lakers offense throughout the first 2 rounds. He was still the major factor in Lakers offense of course, but you can even argue he wasn't Lakers first option. I guess his playmaking duties could still put him ahead of Davis, but James didn't play like James from the past anymore and Lakers guards also had a lot of playmaking duties.

It's ridiculous to say that Curry played with better help on offense. James played with Anthony Davis who was arguably better than him offensively and Reaves would be easily 3rd best offensive player on Warriors team.

AD is arguably better(offensively) than the guy who outscored him, out created him, handles the ball way more, and tells everyone where to go(sometimes literally taking ham's clipboard)?

Not really sure why it matters how lebron compares to lebron here, nothing aside from noisy postseason on-court ratings would support him and davis being similar offensive players(and rest assured i can reach equally asinine extrapolations regarding the defensive end with that approach).

You can disregard the regular season splits and highlight the Warrior's scoring numbers to argue curry wasn't dealt a fair-hand, but that gets us back to Lebron being a better passer and an all-time floor general(dray's role with the Dubs). Pair that with "inconsistent defense"(ranging from steph+ to some of the best non-big d this postseason), a strong rebounding advantage(which decided the swing game vs Memphis), and him getting better every series while playing more?

Virtually any holistic emperical approach sees Lebron as the better regular season player(comparable despite much more significant injury issues and a worse context over the last 3 years) and then Steph's team unperformed while Lebron's overperformed with Lebron posting better numbers h2h with plenty of "intangible" value himself. Consider that Steph played a dramatically weaker first-round defense(with his offense performing worse than Lebron's adjusting for comp), and this gap you're seeing probably isn't there. 24 ppg on 60% true-shooting is very good against a defense that held the "best offense ever" 8-points lower than their regular season average and that was Lebron's "weakpoint".

All this talk about AD but yet this is another postseason where the Warriors are a better playoff defense than offense as their offense significantly underperformed(and were better without curry than the lakers were without lebron in the rs).

Lebron was better in the regular season, went further in the playoffs after winning a head to head where steph's team was generally favored but we're going to say Lebron was a tier worse because...he didn't lead the lakers in scoring by enough points? Lebron was clearly worthy of top-5 discussion if judged on merit rather than a comparison by himself and you'll be hard-pressed to argue this was contextually favorable considering he was literally playing significant minutes as a 4 and a 5
"Throw in likes", yeah, you're talking like Murray wasn't better than LeBron in the playoffs...

Would you care to argue otherwise? Do you think 3 ppg accounts for Lebron being better at basically every other aspect of the game by varying margins? Never mind the gigantic gap between the two in the rs?
I can see Thomas case, he played very well in the playoffs. I don't see any case for Sampson (weaker offensively, didn't have a clear edge on defense).

So Murray
Jordan played only one round (3 games), I excluded all players that got eliminated in the first round (otherwise someone like Edwards clears LeBron).

Lebron was clearly better against the same opponent after completely outclassing ant head to head. This is up there with "actually ad might have been better offensively". Curry only played two rounds, maybe I should filter him out?
Barkley mention is interesting, for some reason I thought about his 1985 performance. He has a case, but he was problematic in these playoffs.

More problematic than getting dumped in 5 in maybe the biggest david vs goliath story of that era?
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Re: 1986 Kareem vs 2023 LeBron 

Post#25 » by 70sFan » Wed May 24, 2023 4:57 pm

OhayoKD wrote:AD is arguably better(offensively) than the guy who outscored him, out created him, handles the ball way more, and tells everyone where to go(sometimes literally taking ham's clipboard)?

Yes.

Not really sure why it matters how lebron compares to lebron here, nothing aside from noisy postseason on-court ratings would support him and davis being similar offensive players(and rest assured i can reach equally asinine extrapolations regarding the defensive end with that approach).

It's quite interesting how you pick when playoff on/off data is noisy and when isn't.


Virtually any holistic emperical approach sees Lebron as the better regular season player(comparable despite much more significant injury issues and a worse context over the last 3 years) and then Steph's team unperformed while Lebron's overperformed

That's a manipulation, because we all know that Lakers played way above their RS level at the end of the season with a completely different roster and both Davis and James missed a lot of time.

with Lebron posting better numbers h2h with plenty of "intangible" value himself.

What numbers?

Consider that Steph played a dramatically weaker first-round defense(with his offense performing worse than Lebron's adjusting for comp), and this gap you're seeing probably isn't there. 24 ppg on 60% true-shooting is very good against a defense that held the "best offense ever" 8-points lower than their regular season average and that was Lebron's "weakpoint".

James numbers against the Warriors are heavily influenced by the last game. In the first 4 games he averaged 23.6 ppg on 56.6 TS% and he didn't create offense to the usual degree.

Lakers won the Warriors series with their defense, which was mostly AD effort.

All this talk about AD but yet this is another postseason where the Warriors are a better playoff defense than offense as their offense significantly underperformed(and were better without curry than the lakers were without lebron in the rs).

All this talk about AD because AD was better in the playoffs than James or any Curry teammate...

Lebron was better in the regular season, went further in the playoffs after winning a head to head where steph's team was generally favored

Yeah, use the same logic for 2009 playoffs now.

but we're going to say Lebron was a tier worse because...he didn't lead the lakers in scoring by enough points?

Tell me when I said that.

Lebron was clearly worthy of top-5 discussion if judged on merit rather than a comparison by himself and you'll be hard-pressed to argue this was contextually favorable considering he was literally playing significant minutes as a 4 and a 5

I don't compare LeBron to himself, I compare him to other, better players. Also, James plays at 4 half of his career, so stop this bullsh*t.

Would you care to argue otherwise? Do you think 3 ppg accounts for Lebron being better at basically every other aspect of the game by varying margins? Never mind the gigantic gap between the two in the rs?

1. No, Murray has more advantages than just ppg. I'd love to see you arguing for James being better off-ball player than Murray for example.
2. I only said playoffs, I didn't take into account RS here.

So Murray

Murray is easily better offensively than James these playoffs.

Lebron was clearly better against the same opponent

He wasn't.
after completely outclassing ant head to head.

In one game...

This is up there with "actually ad might have been better offensively".

AD was better offensively in arguably 2 rounds.

Curry only played two rounds, maybe I should filter him out?

No, you shouldn't. I only said without counting 1st round exits. I mentioned it in my first post.

More problematic than getting dumped in 5 in maybe the biggest david vs goliath story of that era?

It would be better to focus on how Kareem played rather than just looking at results, you know?
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Re: 1986 Kareem vs 2023 LeBron 

Post#26 » by jalengreen » Wed May 24, 2023 5:10 pm

70sFan wrote:
Virtually any holistic emperical approach sees Lebron as the better regular season player(comparable despite much more significant injury issues and a worse context over the last 3 years) and then Steph's team unperformed while Lebron's overperformed

That's a manipulation, because we all know that Lakers played way above their RS level at the end of the season with a completely different roster and both Davis and James missed a lot of time.


FWIW, I don't think it's really a manipulation. LAL entered all three of their playoff series as underdogs (slight underdogs in each case). GSW entered both of their playoff series as favorites (massive favorites in R1 where they got taken to 7).
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Re: 1986 Kareem vs 2023 LeBron 

Post#27 » by 70sFan » Wed May 24, 2023 6:54 pm

jalengreen wrote:
70sFan wrote:
Virtually any holistic emperical approach sees Lebron as the better regular season player(comparable despite much more significant injury issues and a worse context over the last 3 years) and then Steph's team unperformed while Lebron's overperformed

That's a manipulation, because we all know that Lakers played way above their RS level at the end of the season with a completely different roster and both Davis and James missed a lot of time.


FWIW, I don't think it's really a manipulation. LAL entered all three of their playoff series as underdogs (slight underdogs in each case). GSW entered both of their playoff series as favorites (massive favorites in R1 where they got taken to 7).

Sure, but that's because people always overrate title defenders.
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Re: 1986 Kareem vs 2023 LeBron 

Post#28 » by jalengreen » Wed May 24, 2023 7:25 pm

70sFan wrote:
jalengreen wrote:
70sFan wrote:
That's a manipulation, because we all know that Lakers played way above their RS level at the end of the season with a completely different roster and both Davis and James missed a lot of time.


FWIW, I don't think it's really a manipulation. LAL entered all three of their playoff series as underdogs (slight underdogs in each case). GSW entered both of their playoff series as favorites (massive favorites in R1 where they got taken to 7).

Sure, but that's because people always overrate title defenders.


The Warriors would've rightfully been significant favorites over the Kings whether or not they won the 2022 Finals.
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Re: 1986 Kareem vs 2023 LeBron 

Post#29 » by 70sFan » Wed May 24, 2023 8:06 pm

jalengreen wrote:
70sFan wrote:
jalengreen wrote:
FWIW, I don't think it's really a manipulation. LAL entered all three of their playoff series as underdogs (slight underdogs in each case). GSW entered both of their playoff series as favorites (massive favorites in R1 where they got taken to 7).

Sure, but that's because people always overrate title defenders.


The Warriors would've rightfully been significant favorites over the Kings whether or not they won the 2022 Finals.

I don't think I agree with the word "rightfully". Kings had a very good season and they were competitive against the Warriors. People didn't take them seriously, but with slightly more favorable matchup they could do some damage in the playoffs.
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Re: 1986 Kareem vs 2023 LeBron 

Post#30 » by OhayoKD » Thu May 25, 2023 12:16 am

70sFan wrote:
OhayoKD wrote:AD is arguably better(offensively) than the guy who outscored him, out created him, handles the ball way more, and tells everyone where to go(sometimes literally taking ham's clipboard)?

Yes.

Now comes the part where you explain how
Not really sure why it matters how lebron compares to lebron here, nothing aside from noisy postseason on-court ratings would support him and davis being similar offensive players(and rest assured i can reach equally asinine extrapolations regarding the defensive end with that approach).

It's quite interesting how you pick when playoff on/off data is noisy and when isn't.

Feel free to quote when i've ever pretended it isn't noisy. And while you're at it, explain why Lebron wasn't "arguably the best defender" on the Lakers during the 2020 playoffs when he had a lower d-rating than Davis
Virtually any holistic emperical approach sees Lebron as the better regular season player(comparable despite much more significant injury issues and a worse context over the last 3 years) and then Steph's team unperformed while Lebron's overperformed

That's a manipulation, because we all know that Lakers played way above their RS level at the end of the season with a completely different roster and both Davis and James missed a lot of time.

As did the Warriors? As is, The Lakers in minutes with davis and without Lebron were marginally ahead of the warriors without curry offensively(pbp)

What numbers?

Their numbers in the Warriors-Lakers series? Lebron averaged 2 less points on 5 points better true-shooting, was at a slight box-creation disadvantage with 24ast%:to 9 vs 33%:11(despite the warriors shooting better from open looks), and significantly higher rebounding percentage to go with dramatically better defense.

Have you made a similar adjustment for Steph putting up numbers in game 6 with the Laker's starters out? What happens if I take out Steph's two 30-pointers? Why are you being selective here
Lakers won the Warriors series with their defense, which was mostly AD effort.
And the Warriors competed mostly on the basis of their defense which was mostly a dray effort. As is, not being the best player on your own team does not make you worse than the best player on another team.


Yeah, use the same logic for 2009 playoffs now.

So Dwight was a better regular season player? Was his team not significantly better without him than the cavs without Lebron? Did Lebron not comically out-produce him? Did Lebron not go take things up a notch down the stretch?(+50 4th quarter +/-) Did Lebron not run his team's offense and defense like Draymond does? Did he not post a +2.6 D-RAPM while holding his matchups way below their rs efficiency

Where do you think 2009 lebron and 2023 steph are analogous beyond both being favored and having home court?

Tell me when I said that.

You are saying Lebron doesn't belong in the top-5 discussion while the likes of Curry and Murray do...

I don't compare LeBron to himself, I compare him to other, better players. Also, James plays at 4 half of his career, so stop this bullsh*t.

You're literally doing it right now. What does it matter that Lebron, now 38, played as a 4 for half his career(and accordingly saw his impact suppressed)? How does that compare to Steph whose always played at his most valuable position. Playing 4 with rui as the 5 and then playing the 5 for significant stretches in the postseason is comically sub-optimal for a wing. If Steph was forced to play as a 3 or as a 2/1 with KAT playing PG or SG, what exactly do you think happens?

1. No, Murray has more advantages than just ppg. I'd love to see you arguing for James being better off-ball player than Murray for example.

Account for what. Are you arguing Murray's off-ball creation offsets Lebron's big on-ball advantage, Lebron coordinating his teammates on both ends, Lebron being a much better man defender(defending jokic and murray on an island), a better rim protector, and a much better rebounder? Being better off-ball doesn't mean anything inofitself.

Murray is easily better offensively than James these playoffs.

Maybe if you focus on slashlines. Lebron created more, created higher quality looks on average and runs his own offense. Lebron does not need to play like his usual self to be better on both ends, nor does he need to drop 30 points a game.
He wasn't.
/
When we consider factors besides ppg, yes, he very clearly was.

In one game...

That is how play-ins work yeah

AD was better offensively in arguably 2 rounds.

Then make the argument

No, you shouldn't. I only said without counting 1st round exits. I mentioned it in my first post.

Convenient

It would be better to focus on how Kareem played rather than just looking at results, you know?
[/quote][/quote]
27 points on 52% true-shooting, a 1:1 ast:tov rate on 14% ast percentage while his matchup saw his averages skyrocket?(more than they did against anyone else). How Kareem played is baked into the result and frankly im skeptical you can make a compelling case that Kareem was let down by his teamamtes beyond just shouting "defense!" in a series where the opposing center had one of his best offensive series ever(while Lebron significantly limited nikola?).

While we're at it, were you ever planning to factor in that Kareem ran into much weaker opponents than Lebron did?(-2 srs first round, .59 srs second round, finalist who lost decisively)? How about Lebron averaging 4 more mpg in the playoffs? Seens to me you're just filtering things to reach a desired outcome.

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