Post#3 » by eminence » Mon Jul 8, 2024 1:18 pm
The move is going well, I find this project my favorite on the board, mind if I try to keep up AEnigma?
A thoughts by team post prior to a potential voting post.
'50 general thoughts: The talent was stretched this season, with 17 teams, stats are poor, but I have trouble even considering a player for top 5 if they weren't on one of the top 8 teams this season. One exception I'll mention briefly*. Only team I've watched more than a game or two from this era (not '50 in particular) is the Mikan Lakers (along with a bit of practice footage of their squad - shoutout to the U of Minnesota). Generally in these earlier years I'll lean more heavily on surrounding years to get impressions of players/teams.
*Noted exception - Ed Macauley who I can see folks considering due to box score - on the Bombers (38.2%, -2.01 SRS, +64.3 Team TSA, implied below average defense). High volume/efficiency scorer, who doesn't strike me as an unwilling passer on an offense that was likely slightly above average. In his rookie year. Later numbers suggest an average to slightly below average rebounder. Don't see anything to suggest even that high on defense, likely outright bad, but at least below positional average. Overall the Bombers had enough additional professional level talent (Rocha/Smawley) that I can't look past his teams lack of success. Likely improved in poor non box areas as he adjusted to the pros even if he was never particularly good defensively. May get onto the back half of some ballots over the next few years.
2nd Tier Teams
Pistons (58.8%, +1.84 SRS, -289.9 Team TSA, implied strong defense): Schaus got 2nd Team honors, and was the teams leading scorer/assist guy - 14.3/2.6 (very distributed offensive duties). Decent efficiency (104 TS+). But this was a team that certainly won with defense. I don't think that it was primarily attributable to Schaus, I'm not certain who was leading that, though my suspicions and evaluating future/past team success point me towards Bob Carpenter. The Pistons gains some separation from other Tier 2 teams by upsetting the Royals 2-0 in the POs, though it seems more in spite of Schaus than because of him, then in the 0-2 loss to the Lakers Carpenter completely disappears and Schaus plays the best series of his career. I think both guys are worth mentioning in this thread, but it's unlikely either will get a vote from me.
Stags (58.8%, +2.06 SRS, -177.2 Team TSA, implied good defense): Zaslofsky gets 1st team honors (16.4/2.3) and Phillip is seen as a star in the backcourt as well (11.7/5.8), Zaslofsky seen as one of the better shooters in the league and seems to back it up (105 TS+, leads league in FT%). But another squad that seems likely to have won off of their defense (Hermsen their main big, Miasek decent, and Graboski off the bench goes on to some success later replacing Groza). Hermsen the one I'd be most likely to credit here. Unfortunately run into the Lakers in the 1st PO round (0-2 loss). Zaslofsky lights it up (22.5) on strong efficiency, but it's not enough, as Mikan gives them the business and fouls Hermsen out of both games. Zaslofsky seems to have a disproportionate amount of PO success in surrounding seasons. Zaslofsky may make my ballot.
Knicks (58.8%, +2.53 SRS, +232.9 Team TSA, implied below average defense): Nobody got any awards this go around, but all of Braun, Gallatin, McGuire wound up pretty heavily awarded later. Gallatin we know was a strong rebounder from later seasons, lowish volume scoring, but efficient. McGuire a traditional pass first PG, Braun more do it all and lauded for all-around skill. A trio of other worthy pros in Boryla, Simmons, Vandeweghe. Beat a mediocre Capitols team 2-0, but fall to the Nationals 1-2. Gallatin seems to struggle a bit, but has the toughest matchup in Schayes. Would probably lean towards Braun as the top Knick, but I think Lapchick/depth did more for them than star power through the early 50s, not sure any will ever make my top 5.
Olympians (60.9%, +2.59 SRS, +386.9 Team TSA, implied bad defense): 2 All-NBA players, Groza 1st team, Beard 2nd. The early Olympians are one of the more interesting teams to analyze ever imo. I come out notably lower on the All-NBA duo than their contemporaries thought of them, this season (in a weaker league) they're solid, but unremarkable next season and the team actually improves again after the two are banned. Beat the terrible Red Skins 2-1 in the first round, but fall to another Tier 2 team after that, 1-2 vs the Packers. Beard misses a game, likely injured in that series. Groza is a very strong scorer by any measure. Beard a decent guard, but I don't see him as a vote getter. Overall I expect I'll be lower on Groza than most, he looks quite similar to prime Macauley in my analysis (worse passer, better rebounder, similar defender is my guess), somewhat A'mare esque - very good player, but doubtful he had any (and likely negative) impact outside of the core counting stats.
Packers (57.8%, +2.42 SRS, -384.6 Team TSA, implied elite defense): Reigning champs (kinda, from the NBL over the Nationals). Frankie Brian gets 2nd team All-NBA doing a carry job of a bad offense (17.8/3.0 on okay efficiency). But another in a line of teams clearly powered by their defense overall - Closs/Komenich seem at the heart of it. Very hard to separate from this distance, but they'll be candidates for my DPOY ballot. Offense seems more balanced in the POs, beat the bad Blackhawks, squeak one out vs the injured Olympians and then got steamrolled by the Lakers. No ballot makers here imo.
2nd tier ballot contenders (imo) - Zaslofsky, Groza
1st Tier Teams
Lakers, Royals, Nationals to add to this post.
I bought a boat.