Answer depends on what the question is.
Is there an assumption of making the finals baked in.
As a referendum on the players it isn't great because, at whatever level we're starting from (finals births locked in or not) the Rocket's IRL outcomes - (with or without the specific player[here Olajuwon]'s subsequent standard of play locked in) weren't certain so so - even just comparing them in the context of particular series one should probably think of it in terms of shifting of percentages.
In terms of how they happened to play in the '95 series my impression off boxscore and stuff posted on here is Shaq may have played HO at least even and a fair chunk of Orlando's relatively small (given the sweep) negative differential was done in time he was off the court (and ditto the inverse for Olajuwon). Though that stuff didn't tend to focus on help D as far as I can recall where Olajuwon might typically be expected to have an advantage.
There's a possibility resetting at the start of the season Shaq helps Houston's probability without being" better" by being more available in '95 and giving his team an easier route.
There's also the chance that with original or swapped teams, teams don't make the final that did IRL.
Orlando only outscored Indy by 2 in the ECF (4-3, both sides have seemingly flippable games: Magic wins by 5, 4 and 2; Pacers wins by 5 and 1).
Rockets outscore:
Spurs by 10 ('95 WCF)
Suns by 3 ('95 WCSF)
fwiw, even versus Jazz where the margin is a healthier 20 over 5 games it came down to a game 5 and whilst not the closest game (Jazz won G1 by 2) Houston win by 4 there ...
and were outscored in the '94 finals by 5.
That is to say it wouldn't require much change, including perhaps none in the exchanged players notionally assessed, for the title to go elsewhere.
bkkrh wrote:SHAQ32 wrote:Ol Roy wrote:The Magic win
N. Anderson and D. Scott weren't clutch like K. Smith, M. Elie and R. Horry
Luckily for the Magic the 2 other starters on their team were Penny Hardaway and Horace Grant^^.
Fwiw I think this is a shorthand (somewhat flawed) way of comparing the shooters/shooting/shooting luck of the two teams ... it's incomplete either way without Shaw and Hardaway and Cassell and Drexler ...
But it's not so far of as an approximation of the most frequent 3pt firers.
If it were an attempt to account for supporting cast in the sense of "superstardom", player goodness in the playoffs, player goodness in the series not just Penny on the one side but Drexler on the other would be glaring omissions ... so I don't think it was about that.
Scott in particular was brutal but kept playing 38mpg (far above his RS mpg) because Orlando's main RS starter, Donald Royal, who played marginally more mpg (though it's kind of a shared job DR: 26.3mpg, 1841 total mins over 70g; DS: 24.2mpg, 1499 tot mins, 62 games) blasted his way out of the playoff rotation in earlier rounds: 2.6PER, -0.052WS/48, -7.7BPM. No one player decides a series and the "clutch" label isn't always helpful, as such whilst I think I understand why Scott's (and Anderson's) performance is brought up, a more comprehensive view of the teams would indeed have been a better prism to understand how - and particularly the context in which - the two players performed.