One_and_Done wrote:I watched the series. Nobody thought OKC was going to win going in, and everybody was stunned when they got up 3-1. The Warriors made alot of adjustments after that, and with some hot shooting from Klay managed to edge them out in 7. Absolutely nobody thought KD was having a bad series after game 4.
I think this is an instance where hindsight is somewhat important, though. I think you’re right that nobody thought Durant was having a bad series after game 4. However, at that point, most everyone thought the Warriors were perhaps the greatest team ever, so people felt like the Thunder going up 3-1 on them was a miracle that naturally required the Thunder to have been playing out of their minds. I think with context we can see that the Warriors did not go on to win the title, and that Steph’s playoff injury mattered. Which isn’t to say that the Warriors weren’t still a very tough opponent, but I think if we look back on it now our view of how good the 2016 Warriors were in the playoffs should be meaningfully different from what most peoples’ view was at the time the Thunder went up 3-1. As I’ve said in this thread, I think the Warriors were more like a 6.5 to 8 SRS team in those playoffs. And while that’s a very tough team, I don’t think going up 3-1 on such a team absolutely requires an inference that Durant must’ve been playing really well.
That said, I think Durant was solid the first four games of that series, but not incredible. In those 4 games, he put up 28.5/8.8/2.5 on +3.9% rTS%, with 4.3 turnovers a game. That’s definitely solid, but not anything particularly special. And he was honestly pretty lucky they won Game 1 and Game 4 despite him being pretty bad. Westbrook was actually better in those four games. And they were also partly just a beneficiary of some negative shooting variance for the Warriors (as well as Steph not being his best). Durant then proceeded to be bad in one of the remaining three games in the series and solid in the other two games. The overall result IMO was a series that was fine—I don’t think it’s worthy of much criticism but I also don’t think it really weighs in his favor either.