Prime Penny Hardaway vs Brandon Roy

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Post#61 » by Wizenheimer » Sun Jan 13, 2008 5:34 pm

gavran wrote:You still falied prove why Roy is better or close to what Penny was in 96.....


I made a case that he was close and I made a case that the comparison was bogus. You don't accept my reasons, I don't accept yours. Opinions are like that.

gavran wrote:And the question is Roy NOW and Penny in 94-97, and yet you're bringing up Penny's stats in 2003 and talking about Roy in the future.....IRRELEVANT. We're comparing one player early in his carrier to another player early in his carrier....


actually, the comparison was between a player in his "prime" and a player early in his career. It's actually in the thread title. 94-97 was never mentioned, just assumed. Assumptions can't be restricted just to fit your perspective.

Since Penny's injuries prevented him from ever actually having a prime, thus invalidating the original comparison, I decided to reconstruct the boundaries. That's allowed. you know.

And sometimes when prevailing winds are blowing one direction, I like to take a contrary position, just for the sake of being contrary and my own amusement.
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Post#62 » by tnayrbrocks » Sun Jan 13, 2008 9:38 pm

Wizenheimer wrote:
That statement I highligthed is really quite comical in retrospect.

Prior to this season, it was almost universally believed at RealGM that the Blazers were going to suck this year. I saw dozens of predictions here that portland would end winning 18-27 games this year and end up high in the lottery again. This was a sentiment shared by the predominantely east coast sportwriters by the way. Just look at the preseason predicitons of Hollinger and Simmons for instance.

And for damn sure "extremely talented" weren't adjectives used to describe the Blazers. Roy was said repeatedly to be unathletic with a low ceiling. Aldridge was said to be over-rated and terribly soft. Webster was said to be a bust. Outlaw was said to have a extremely low basketball IQ. And Jones was said to be a throwaway scrub that Phoenix was glad to be rid of.

And Portland started the season looking like they would meet those low expectations by starting out at 5-12. Then a funny thing happened. Brandon Roy went to the coach and said that he needed to run the offense more. The coach agreed, Roy asserted himself on the floor, took over running the team, and the Blazers have gone a tear.

And miraculously the Blazers have gone from a bunch of lottery-bound losers to "extremely talented".

Maybe just the way that the vast majority of RealGM posters underestimated the Blazers, they are doing the same by underestimating Roy in this thread.


who exactly doubted their talent? i believe people were doubting their ability to perform, talent was never disputed. Penny on the other hand had very little talent on his squad after Shaq left aside from the fairly talented Nick Anderson and basically led a Magic Squad to 45 wins after missing about 15 games. It's not a coincidence.

Wizenheimer wrote:But you said that Penny was the 2nd best player in the mid-90's. That's basically a number of years, not the single year of 1995. And it's a wonder how the 2nd best player for a number of years finished no higher then 3rd in MVP voting in any single year.


Kobe has been regarded as the best player in the league for a couple of years now and has never finished above 3rd in MVP voting. There are tons of other factors that go into the MVP race than sheer ability or the general consensus around the league.[/quote]
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Post#63 » by Wizenheimer » Sun Jan 13, 2008 10:31 pm

tnayrbrocks wrote:who exactly doubted their talent? i believe people were doubting their ability to perform, talent was never disputed. Penny on the other hand had very little talent on his squad after Shaq left aside from the fairly talented Nick Anderson and basically led a Magic Squad to 45 wins after missing about 15 games. It's not a coincidence.


those 'quotes' I paraphrased, about Roy being unathletic with a low ceiling, Aldridge being over-rated and soft, webster being a bust, etc. etc, were said in these forums repeatedly and often. They were reflecting a majority opinion about portland held at realGM, and it was wrong.

and your insistence that all Penny had was Anderson is bogus in my view.
Besides Penny and Anderson, Orlando had Rony Seikaly, Horace Grant, Dennis Scott, Gerald Wallace, Darrel Armstrong, and Brian Shaw. That wasn't a team of scrubs.

tnayrbrocks wrote:Kobe has been regarded as the best player in the league for a couple of years now and has never finished above 3rd in MVP voting. There are tons of other factors that go into the MVP race than sheer ability or the general consensus around the league


you're right, there are a lot of factors that go into that vote and not all of them pertain to actual basketball performance. If Kobe is the 'best' and players were voted ahead of him, then it's quite possible that other players were better then penny and penny was voted ahead of them.

I don't give a damn about that MVP vote in 1995, it's not persuasive in the least.

I'll do it again, here's a list of some of the players from 1995, and all of them were still in their prime...tell me which ones were inferior players to Hardaway and why(remember, the assertion I reacted to was that MJ was the only player better then Penny):

Michael Jordan
Karl Malone
John Stockton
Hakeem Olajuwon
Shaquille O'Neal
David Robinson
Charles Barkley
Grant Hill
Patrick Ewing
Reggie Miller
Scottie Pippen
Chris Webber
Clyde Drexler

that year, argued here as being Penny's best year, he finshed 18th in scoring, 15th in assists, and 16th in steals. Not shabby, but also not spectacular and indicating that the MVP vote was based on a lot of subjective criteria, much like this thread. That makes it debatable which is what I'm doing.
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Post#64 » by tnayrbrocks » Mon Jan 14, 2008 12:26 am

Who was better than Penny during the 1990s is irrelevant to this discussion. The question is whether or not Brandon Roy is better than a Penny Hardaway during his prime, which he never reached.

Because his numbers were down when Shaq left doesn't prove that his prime years were behind him and that he reached his ceiling. The fact is that Penny was more athletic than Roy and their basketball iq was probably on the same level.
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Post#65 » by Wizenheimer » Mon Jan 14, 2008 1:14 am

tnayrbrocks wrote:Who was better than Penny during the 1990s is irrelevant to this discussion. The question is whether or not Brandon Roy is better than a Penny Hardaway during his prime, which he never reached.

Because his numbers were down when Shaq left doesn't prove that his prime years were behind him and that he reached his ceiling. The fact is that Penny was more athletic than Roy and their basketball iq was probably on the same level.


you should re-read the thread, somebody else introduced the assertion that Hardaway was the 2nd best player in the mid-nineties, and you used his 3rd place finish in the MVP voting as part of the argument along that same vein. You made it relevant by using it as a talking point.

It then becomes even more relevant to look at who else was in the league when hardaway...according to your side...was either the 2nd or 3rd best player in the league. That list goes a long way to proving he wasn't. So if you're over-rating him relative to his peers at the time... and it's clear to me you are... then it's quite possible your exaggerated value of Penny's talent 12 years ago means you're also over-rating him relative to Brandon Roy right now.
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Post#66 » by Jules Winnfield » Mon Jan 14, 2008 1:16 am

how is this thread 6 pages long?
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Post#67 » by NetsForce » Mon Jan 14, 2008 1:22 am

^ It's about Brandon Roy, meaning that if it doesn't reach 10 pages I'll be surprised. ^
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Post#68 » by Ballings7 » Mon Jan 14, 2008 6:11 am

Not sure why this has gone 6 pages.
The Playoffs don't care about your Analytics
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Post#69 » by yo_penny1 » Mon Jan 14, 2008 8:24 am

I can understand what you are saying Wizenheimer, Penny never reached his prime and Brandon hasnt reached his yet.

But as close as we will ever get to Penny's prime is the 1995 season and the comparison for this thread is the current Brandon Roy, for this case as many posters have said, Penny wins the comparison. We need a poll, im guessing numbers would be around 80% - 20% in favor of Penny :D :D
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Post#70 » by TrueLAfan » Mon Jan 14, 2008 1:46 pm

Sorry to make a ridiculous thread worse but...in what way did Penny Hardaway "not reach his prime"? He has two All-NBA first teams in an era loaded with guards. In one of those years, he beat out Payton, Richmond, Dexler, and Miller. In the other, he beat out Payton, Stockton, Miller, and Richmond. All of those players, with the exception of Drexler, were at or extremely close to their career peaks. He has two top 10 MVP voting finishes. He has one top three MVP finish. Whether he was the second best (instead of third best player) for a year, or the eighth best (instead of tenth best) in the next year is, frankly, irrelevant. A 2 to 3 year period of top level production is plenty. Nobody looks at Bill Walton and says, "But he didn't have a prime." Nobody looks at David Thompson and says "Well, he had no prime in the NBA." Nobody thinks Connie Hawkins "didn't have a prime as an ABA or NBA player." You can, obviously, say that their primes were sadly cut short--in the case of Walton, Thompson, and Hawkins, for three completely different reasons. But they still had a period of clear dominance in the league that lasted at least two seasons. How is that not a prime?

In Hawk's case (or, in a different context, Julius Erving's), you could even say that he didn't have a prime in the NBA. But even that is a moderated argument. In both cases, the player was relatively near their ABA peak in the NBA...for one year in Connie Hawkins' case, for about a dozen in Dr. J's case. And, judged only by their NBA peak, their prime was still very high.

In Penny's case, you either have to say that his prime was a top 4-7 player for a couple of years...or that his "prime" would have been even higher, putting him in Jordan/peak Hakeem territory. As it is, for two years, Penny Hardaway was judged to be the equal or better of Gary Payton and Karl Malone at or near their peaks. He was hands down better than Pippen, Barkley, or Stockton. This is what All-NBA and MVP voters said; they were watching the games at the time. This is what contemporaries thought was valid. That's a hell of a good prime.

Somehow, the argument has been twisted here...to imply that Penny and/or that Brandon Roy should be given credit for what he has not accomplished yet. Not sure how that happened, whether it's just trying to be contrary or willful ignorance. Whatever it is, it's ridiculous. If you want to question if Brandon Roy will be better than Penny Hardaway was, knock yourself out. If you want to ask whether Brandon Roy will have a better career (with the understanding that career and peak/prime values are not mutually inclusive, and that peak/prime is generally considered more valuable, go for it. But the thread title asks

Prime Penny Hardaway vs Brandon Roy


and gives a condition at the beginning

Assuming Portland wins 50 games this season without Greg Oden.


that makes it clear that we are talking about Brandon Roy now (this season, not in the future) vs. the peak Penny Hardaway, the one who made two All-NBA first teams over multiple hall of famers at his position and got as high as third in MVP voting. It is a clear (although foolish) question with a clear answer.

btw...attempting to judge players purely by numbers is never a good idea. I couldn't stand Penny Hardaway when he was at his peak...but he was a terrific player, one whose impact when way beyond his numbers. This was known at the time (again, see the All-NBa and MVP voting). Trying to change that now based purely on stats is revisionist history...and it's wrong.
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Post#71 » by Charlie78 » Mon Jan 14, 2008 6:04 pm

TrueLAfan wrote:that makes it clear that we are talking about Brandon Roy now (this season, not in the future) vs. the peak Penny Hardaway, the one who made two All-NBA first teams over multiple hall of famers at his position and got as high as third in MVP voting. It is a clear (although foolish) question with a clear answer.


I think you are right and the answer is penny. Its just not so obvious that the question doesnt deserve answering. If you look at the numbers and watched both players it is pretty clear that they are at least close in terms of skillset and production. Penny had slightly better numbers but he also was on a team that had more experienced players.

btw...attempting to judge players purely by numbers is never a good idea.


You are absoloutely right and judging roy strictly by his numbers is a bad idea. If he wanted to average 25 points a game he could but he prefers to play a team game.

I couldn't stand Penny Hardaway when he was at his peak...but he was a terrific player, one whose impact when way beyond his numbers. This was known at the time (again, see the All-NBa and MVP voting).


Same can be said for roy. I imagine he will get some mvp votes this year and will have a goos shot at the allstar game despite the west being loaded with deserving guards. But judging a player by how many votes they got in a popularity contest that tends to have less to do with your basketball skills than who you play for. Especially when one player had a national advertising campaign and the other is not well known and plays in one of the leagues smallest markets.

Trying to change that now based purely on stats is revisionist history...and it's wrong.


whos revising history except for haters who want to put roy down. Penny was not even close to the 3rd best player in the league that year. You honestly dont think guys like drexler barkley and stockton were better then him to only name a few. The facts are penny was a great player whose career was cut short so we will never know, so comparing him to anyone is faulty. Because those could have been fluke years alot of rookies have them ie. Damon Stoudamire, or Derek Anderson to name a couple tragic portland examples.
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Post#72 » by mojomarc » Mon Jan 14, 2008 7:27 pm

Honestly, I think this is a better question answered after next year when we can compare Hardaway at his peak (prime, whatever) and Roy under more similar situations. I think the Penny fans are right that Penny was more than the numbers, but I think they underestimate the impact Shaq (and after Shaq the strong veteran lineup that Orlando had) had on Penny's peak years. I also think that Roy's numbers are a bit different than what they will be when he has someone in the post with better hands than Joel Przybilla in the form of Greg Oden. Once we can see Roy and Oden together with another year of experience we'll be seeing something that looks a lot more like Orlando did a decade ago.

I don't think it's a silly question now, but I do think it's largely one where you have two very similar players in very unsimilar positions, which makes it difficult to do anything other than argue over biases.

Question to those that are voting for Penny--if Roy were to be, say, top 10 in MVP voting despite playing for a non-elite team (that has a huge factor in MVP voting--Shaq's presence probably inflated Penny's MVP voting finish by about five spots just from the extra wins he drove), would it make your vote closer even if the stats didn't change?
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Post#73 » by gavran » Mon Jan 14, 2008 7:46 pm

The Shaq factor IMO is a bit overrated when we're talking about Penny. Since he got injured right after the Diesel left Orlando, we never saw how couldQve he played without him. When Shaq missed the first 22 games in 95 Penny averaged 25+ ppg, 6.5 apg, 5.8 rpg, 2 steals a geme and he still shot 50% from the floor, while the Magic went 17-5 (and beating good teams including the Bulls). This strech is too short to jump on conclusions, but enough to realize that Shaq DIDN'T make Penny. If Shaq's presence inflated Penny's MVP voting then why did he finished 6! places before him?
I saw Penny play, and seeing what Roy does truly amezes me, but stricktly from talent standpoing, and who's being the better overall player I just don't understand how can anyone even think about it.
Anyway here's a little mix for some of you to refresh those memories ;)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U-4uVLv5 ... re=related
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Post#74 » by BlzrsExplosion » Mon Jan 14, 2008 8:35 pm

So many ridiculous Player Comparison threads. What's next? Prime Grant Hill vs Rudy Gay? Psh...

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