People were interested in these podcasts

RealGM Top 100 List #23

Moderators: Clyde Frazier, Doctor MJ, trex_8063, penbeast0, PaulieWal

User avatar
lukekarts
Head Coach
Posts: 7,168
And1: 336
Joined: Dec 11, 2009
Location: UK
   

Re: RealGM Top 100 List #23 

Post#101 » by lukekarts » Wed Aug 27, 2014 10:49 am

For those discussing Frazier at this point, this is a good read:

viewtopic.php?f=64&t=1130334

lorak wrote:I watched game 7 of 1970 finals and created box score and play by play from that game. As we all know Frazier had great game, he was really hot from the field (12/17 FG), but he didn’t have so many assists as official (? here: http://webuns.chez-alice.fr/finals/1970.htm) box score says (19 assists). By my count he had 9 (and that includes some doubtful ones like for example assist when Bradley takes three dribbles). As a proof I created video with all of NYK’s field goals made in that game

...
There is no consolation prize. Winning is everything.
User avatar
Moonbeam
Forum Mod - Blazers
Forum Mod - Blazers
Posts: 10,287
And1: 5,087
Joined: Feb 21, 2009
Location: Sydney, Australia
     

Re: RealGM Top 100 List #23 

Post#102 » by Moonbeam » Wed Aug 27, 2014 10:50 am

Some good arguments for Stockton, Mikan, and Nash here, but my main two contenders are Walt Frazier and Dwyane Wade.

I became enamored with Frazier's ability to pile it on in the postseason, and I felt that his statistics undersold his impact, given New York's ensemble approach. However, I agree that his longevity/durability is not that much greater than Wade's, and I do believe Wade had a superior peak and also distinguished himself as a playoff standout. Whereas before I titled toward Frazier, I'm now going to tilt slightly toward Dwyane Wade. His edge in peak play may be offset by the longevity issue, but not that much. I value peak more than longevity overall, and my WPWSPG metric (which takes into account a player's best 8 seasons) has them neck and neck for both regular season and postseason play. It's a very close call, but I'm growing to appreciate just how special Wade's peak was, short though it may have been.

Frazier definitely deserves mention here, though. I'm comfortable calling him the catalyst that led the Knicks to 6 straight Conference Finals, including 3 Finals appearances and 2 championships. His consistent playoff excellence ensured his team was a true contender for more than half a decade straight.
DannyNoonan1221
Junior
Posts: 350
And1: 151
Joined: Mar 27, 2014
         

Re: RealGM Top 100 List #23 

Post#103 » by DannyNoonan1221 » Wed Aug 27, 2014 1:11 pm

Basketballefan wrote:Well if longevity is all there is then i guess we should go ahead and put Ray Allen and Reggie Miller over Wade too. What about Bernard King and Allen Iverson? They have better longevity so let's put them over WAde. Your logic has got to be better than this. Unless you can prove that Stockton gives you more chances at a championship than i don't think it holds much weight. Playing with Karl Malone your whole career and you only go to 2 Finals??


You have clearly been agitated by the anti-wade group and I think you are missing my point. You take peak over longevity. Fine. I do as well, to a certain degree. But in the specific case of Stockton, he gives you more than twice the number of seasons where he is playing at a pretty high level, meaning in general you are going to get twice as many chances to put the right guys around him for a title. Did Utah do that? No. Did Wade luck out that Miami was able to find the right pieces on two different occasions that lead to three titles? Yes. Does that mean Wade shouldn't get credit for them? No. Just that having Pat Riley in your organization is pretty nice, as well as your team being located in Miami and not Salt Lake City.

That is my logic. Not that garbage you were so anxious to spit out because of your distaste for the anti-wade in this thread. Which I have not actually been a part of. This all started because I thought wade arguments should be focusing on at least 3 or 4 years of his peak/prime in order to strengthen his case, rather than just one year.
Okay Brand, Michael Jackson didn't come over to my house to use the bathroom. But his sister did.
trex_8063
Forum Mod
Forum Mod
Posts: 12,568
And1: 8,202
Joined: Feb 24, 2013
     

Re: RealGM Top 100 List #23 

Post#104 » by trex_8063 » Wed Aug 27, 2014 1:39 pm

Was somewhat leaning Stockton here, but for me it's basically splitting hairs between him and Wade. Since Stockton doesn't appear to have the traction to make a run-off anyway, I'm going to officially cast my vote for #23 to Dwyane Wade (for reasons I laid out in post #64).
"The fact that a proposition is absurd has never hindered those who wish to believe it." -Edward Rutherfurd
"Those who can make you believe absurdities, can make you commit atrocities." - Voltaire
Owly
Lead Assistant
Posts: 5,614
And1: 3,132
Joined: Mar 12, 2010

Re: RealGM Top 100 List #23 

Post#105 » by Owly » Wed Aug 27, 2014 1:57 pm

Quotatious wrote:And...For those who vote for Baylor at this point (admittedly, he's not even in my top 30) - why him over Barry?

Not going to vote Baylor yet, but, why wouldn't you?

Similar all in one advanced box score metrics (with Barry having a minutes and therefore total productivity edge). But some of the Barry numbers are in a weak point ABA. Baylor has the better peak with an intial 5 (especially Y2-5) years and consistently excellent playoff productivity during that span (though smsll samples with shorter playoffs and possible competition level issues, 2 series versus Boston in his best 4 years, but 3 against a crummy Detroit Pistons team never above -2 SRS). In short he had 5 seasons as a clear cut top 5 player (with Pettit, Russell, Chamberlain and Robertson as the competition; WS are a tad disconcerting but I think he's being overpunished there for being on an often below par team, though it does give one pause). At the margin we might give him some slight benefit for numbers he would have accrued if not for armed service, and perhaps misfortune with injuries.

For my concerns on Barry see
Spoiler:
Owly wrote:
DQuinn1575 wrote:
penbeast0 wrote:
I agree that his 75 run was one of the most impressive carry jobs of all time. My issue is that outside 75, I just didn't see impact beyond what you would get from any high volume scorer. Maybe I'm wrong, but he wasn't as impressive in the ABA as guys like Billy Cunningham and outside of 75, I would easily take Alex English over him as well. So . . . what can you show me outside of 1975 that says that he's more than a high usage, selfish, no defense scorer that generates a lot of points and assists without particularly making his team better?

Willing to be convinced.


Rick Barry had a few more things than just 75 - He's on my radar for somewhere in the top 30-


Rick Barry highlights

Finals MVP
Regular season finished 4,4,5,7 in MVP voting
5 time first team all-NBA, 4 time first team all-ABA


1967

Swept Lakers in PO (no Jerry West)

Beat Hawks (Hudson,Wilkens,Beaty,Bridges,Caldwell - very solid lineup)

Lost to super team in 6 games averaged 40+ ppg versus 67 Sixers


1976

Best player on best team in RS

Lost in PO to Suns (who lost to Celtics in classic series) - with a double OT loss and 1 point loss


1973

Beat Jabbar and Oscar in PO - leading scorer on balanced team

1975

Took team to title
Led league in steals



1969

Best WS/48 for any ABA player in history with 1,000 minutes

Better than Erving, Gilmore, Connie Hawkins, and Billy Cunningham

http://bkref.com/tiny/2mCOe


1969-1970

Led ABA in TS% 2 years while scoring 34.0 and 27.7

He lost a year due to sitting out in jumping leagues, and with injuries only played 146 games from ages 23-26.

Great passing forward with great shooting range - Bird was compared to Rick Barry coming into the league.

I get that this is a "more than '75" post but some of these things ... I'd have quibbles

- 4 times all-ABA 1st team, okay you can only finish ahead of what's there but take a look at the 2nd team forwards he was beating out. And then he didn't collar an MVP in the ABA when it was the distinctly weaker league. Part of that is misfortune with injuries, how much people will let that go I don't know. That top WS/48 season looking at that and PER he's basically even with Hawkins except Hawkins best season he was healthy in the playoffs and took his team to a title (and played much more minutes and had another season of a similar calibre). His third ABA season (2nd highest in minutes played) is just barely on that top 100 in ws/48 (87th) and his fourth season (and only near-full season) isn't on it at all.

I'm not sure that not playing much in that young span helps him unless you're big into what might have beens (in which case Walton, Hawkins, McGrady, Groza, Penny, McGill etc could leap up). And so those TS% crowns don't mean too much in terms of actual impact.

For 40 ppg in the '67 finals, sure but look at his percentages. Admittedly this is different to say Kobe '04 because he was shooting at iirc, a similar efficiency to his teammates (I think perhaps slightly better), but still it's not what you imagine when you think of 40ppg finals.

Regarding the team achievements it might be underselling his teammates. I think Nate Thurmond might have had quite a lot to do with beating "Jabbar and Oscar".

And then in '75 its worth noting that in the playoffs that team won with it's defense, an area where Barry, despite his steals, was not a standout. cf: http://www.basketball-reference.com/pla ... ml#misc::9

'76 might reveal issues too, PER and WS/48 have Phil Smith as a better per minute player as Barry wasn't effectively able to trade usage for efficiency (his ts% actually dropped nearly 2%). Now maybe this is a case like penbeast(?) theorised where a guy with high usage, shooting, and passing is creating an optimal or near optimal offense despite seemingly dubious individual efficiency. Anyhow despite the individual drop-off the Warriors get quite a lot better, and whilst there are certainly other substantial factors (a young team getting better with one more year of development and the addition of rookie Gus Williams) it might suggest that the thing Barry does best (high usage, adequate efficiency) isn't that useful to a good team.
I don't particularly buy into this but Bill Simmons suggested (well stated) that Barry refused to shoot in the 2nd half out of spite.
The quintessential Barry story: when he threw away Game 7 of the ’76 Western Finals because his teammates never defended him in the Ricky Sobers fight.67 Barry probably watched the highlights at halftime and confirmed his own suspicions that his teammates sold him out; the second half started and Barry simply stopped shooting. During the last few minutes, coach Al Attles probably threatened him because Barry suddenly became Barry again; even with a late surge, the defending champs ended up falling at home to an inferior team. You won’t find a more indefensible playoff defeat in a deciding game.

This isn't an original Simmons idea http://news.google.com/newspapers?nid=1 ... 16,1929178

Ultimately for me that means a lot hinges on valuing volume scoring and being the superstar (though again, note that they won with D) on a champ. Advanced metrics don't love him (apart from the two first short ABA seasons), defensive reviews aren't particularly special, and intangiables are considered poor too.

TL;DR: His team got better despite him getting worse (and there are possible related concerns about his value with other good offensive players), his fabled '75 carry job in the playoffs was (besides being a fluke) primarily won with defense (not that a star that carries defensive minded players to an average offense isn't valuable), he didn't win an MVP in a weak ABA and when he was dominant he got injured (and fwiw in his most dominant, 35 game, season his team won the title without him, going 4-0, 4-0, 4-1 in the playoffs). Also there's some inangiable concerns.

Anyway, looking at it I'm slightly more hesitant on Baylor, but Barry isn't on my radar.
DannyNoonan1221
Junior
Posts: 350
And1: 151
Joined: Mar 27, 2014
         

Re: RealGM Top 100 List #23 

Post#106 » by DannyNoonan1221 » Wed Aug 27, 2014 1:58 pm

I have to vote Wade here

As much as he is one of my least favorite players of all time, and if I were drafting for my team I would pick Stockton's career over Wade's, he was still more successful and had the much higher peak/prime.

Why I wouldn't draft Wade over Stockton- Stockton gives me a lot more years to figure out the roster around him in order to win a championship. He is much more consistent health wise and I wouldn't have to deal with the arrogance and decline of Wade that Miami is experiencing and will continue to experience. With Wade you get a much smaller, inconsistent window where he can carry you to a title.

But Stockton never proved he could win a championship. I am still not sure if that's on him, on malone or just the organization for not making the right moves. Also, Wade's prime, whenever that might come along in a healthy regular and post season combined, allows for a lot more variance in team roster make up in order to win a championship, which helps negate the longevity/inconsistent health issues.

When Wade was good, he was one of the best. Unfortunately for him, in my opinion, Miami ran his body into the ground with some pretty bad teams that forced him to take it all on himself.
Okay Brand, Michael Jackson didn't come over to my house to use the bathroom. But his sister did.
JordansBulls
RealGM
Posts: 60,466
And1: 5,345
Joined: Jul 12, 2006
Location: HCA (Homecourt Advantage)

Re: RealGM Top 100 List #23 

Post#107 » by JordansBulls » Wed Aug 27, 2014 3:21 pm

Vote: Dwyane Wade

One of the all time greatest performers in the playoffs but also in the NBA Finals. Also carried team on his back to get them a title. Had one of the greatest ECF in route to the finals as well. Scoring, Finals MVP and steps up when needed. Has a 16-2 record in series with HCA.
Image
"Talent wins games, but teamwork and intelligence wins championships."
- Michael Jordan
penbeast0
Senior Mod - NBA Player Comparisons
Senior Mod - NBA Player Comparisons
Posts: 30,213
And1: 9,798
Joined: Aug 14, 2004
Location: South Florida
 

Re: RealGM Top 100 List #23 

Post#108 » by penbeast0 » Wed Aug 27, 2014 3:30 pm

JordansBulls wrote:Vote: Dwyane Wade

One of the all time greatest performers in the playoffs but also in the NBA Finals. Also carried team on his back to get them a title. Had one of the greatest ECF in route to the finals as well. Scoring, Finals MVP and steps up when needed. Has a 16-2 record in series with HCA.


Wasn't Mikan undefeated in series with HCA?
“Most people use statistics like a drunk man uses a lamppost; more for support than illumination,” Andrew Lang.
JordansBulls
RealGM
Posts: 60,466
And1: 5,345
Joined: Jul 12, 2006
Location: HCA (Homecourt Advantage)

Re: RealGM Top 100 List #23 

Post#109 » by JordansBulls » Wed Aug 27, 2014 3:32 pm

penbeast0 wrote:
JordansBulls wrote:Vote: Dwyane Wade

One of the all time greatest performers in the playoffs but also in the NBA Finals. Also carried team on his back to get them a title. Had one of the greatest ECF in route to the finals as well. Scoring, Finals MVP and steps up when needed. Has a 16-2 record in series with HCA.


Wasn't Mikan undefeated in series with HCA?

George Mikan (lost in '50-51) with HCA
Image
"Talent wins games, but teamwork and intelligence wins championships."
- Michael Jordan
penbeast0
Senior Mod - NBA Player Comparisons
Senior Mod - NBA Player Comparisons
Posts: 30,213
And1: 9,798
Joined: Aug 14, 2004
Location: South Florida
 

Re: RealGM Top 100 List #23 

Post#110 » by penbeast0 » Wed Aug 27, 2014 3:36 pm

Ah, right, wasn't including that one in my tally because of the injury. Thanks.
“Most people use statistics like a drunk man uses a lamppost; more for support than illumination,” Andrew Lang.
User avatar
Texas Chuck
Senior Mod - NBA TnT Forum
Senior Mod - NBA TnT Forum
Posts: 92,306
And1: 98,078
Joined: May 19, 2012
Location: Purgatory
   

Re: RealGM Top 100 List #23 

Post#111 » by Texas Chuck » Wed Aug 27, 2014 4:00 pm

Vote: Havlicek

8-time champion.

Started as a great bench player for the Russell dyansty but was still a reasonably big minute guy. Kind of the father of the 6th man role we have seen become a regular part of the NBA to this day.

Then became one of the focal players of the next generation of Celtics champions.

Iron man. 20k more minutes than Wade to this point for example and all of them at a good or great level. Played nearly every game and could handle tons of minutes.

Had a reputation as a good defender

Finals MVP in 1974

Tremendous all-around game.

And of course:

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J4fTjcJwImw[/youtube]
ThunderBolt wrote:I’m going to let some of you in on a little secret I learned on realgm. If you don’t like a thread, not only do you not have to comment but you don’t even have to open it and read it. You’re welcome.
tsherkin
Forum Mod - Raptors
Forum Mod - Raptors
Posts: 91,374
And1: 31,016
Joined: Oct 14, 2003
 

Re: RealGM Top 100 List #23 

Post#112 » by tsherkin » Wed Aug 27, 2014 6:00 pm

Hmmm. Not willing to vote for Mikan here, nor Pippen; my opinion of Scottie's postseason offensive performance is too low for me to support him just yet, defense aside. Way too high IMO, though I've enjoyed the discussion.

Wade, Gilmore, Frazier, Nash, Stockton, Hondo... all very interesting players.

Hondo... started shooting a ton in his second season and thereafter, and it wasn't awesome. It was by design, and he did other stuff that made him worthwhile but.... eh. Led the league in MPG in 71 and 72, so between that and the pace of the time still, his raw averages are a little sketchy as value points (as for anyone, really). Mostly it makes his volume scoring look more impressive, since even his PER36 numbers for those seasons are nice. His scoring efficiency looks like crap at first glance, and is crap by today's standards, but was actually slightly better than league average through his peak from 70-74 (well, his lead-player peak, I guess, since it's debatable whether or not that was his actual peak, since it was in his early 30s).

In 69-70, he posted 24.2 ppg, 7.8 rpg and 6.8 apg in 41.6 mpg on 53.3% TS... which was +2.2 over league average. Was that awesome for Boston? Not really, since they were a 34-win team that missed the playoffs and had the third-worst offense in the league, winning 14 games fewer than they had in Russell's final season. They were fast, shot poorly and below average at drawing fouls in a league without 3pt shooting. They fouled a lot and didn't rebound well. At first glance, it looks to me like they kept trying to play a style not wholly different from what they'd done the year before with Russell, and didn't adapt super-well. They fell off of a cliff defensively, to absolutely no one's surprise, and Hondo wasn't able to really elevate the team enough.

That said, if you ignore team offensive ranking, you can see that they went from an estimated ORTG of 93.8 in 68-69 (which was 10th of 14) to 97.3 (which was 12th). So their raw team ORTG was actually considerably better than the previous season. Stuff like that makes me wonder. He's an interesting player and this is definitely the right range in which to consider him. His defense and stamina were legendary, he made some clutch plays and of course he was a big part of a pair of Celtic title teams in the 70s. I think Cowens was, perhaps, the more important player, but Hondo certainly comes to mind as a major part of Boston's success. I mind less his efficiency at volume because it was stretched out across so many minutes to get there, and because he was actually slightly above average in terms of efficiency for the time. Still obviously not my first choice in that regard, of course, but Boston eventually figured it out to the tune of some highly successful teams. They won 10 more games the year after and STILL missed the playoffs, then went ECF or Finals for the next half-decade, winning both times they exited the conference, while grabbing 58.8 wins on average (peaking at 68 in 73).

An interesting player for whom to make a case.



Gilmore interests me, but the passive nature of his game bothers me some. Not a ton to say about him yet because I need to read more, do more research.

Frazier is the guy I consider the true MVP of the Knicks in that time frame, and generally more important than Reed. I think he was viciously robbed of Finals MVPs on two occasions. He's got something like a 5- to 7-year prime, with a few other nice seasons on either side of that. Holzman's system wasn't conducive to volume assist production, but that's fine: he was clearly both a willing and clever passer as well as an adept scorer who didn't call his own number too frequently. Logged loads of minutes, too, though that was the norm of the era. 69-72, his efficiency looks great by modern standards, sans three-ball, and then tailing off from there. In 1970, he was 4th in the MVP vote but arguably more deserving of the award than the recipient, his teammate Willis Reed. Definitely a fantastic playoff performer.

And of course his defense.

As far as handchecking, everything I've read/seen of Frazier suggested that he liked to play without doing it.

I'm watching G7 of the 1970 Finals right now.

First thought: Wilt's arms are huge. His base is pretty impressive, too. Even in his mid-30s, dude was a beast. Right away, I can see part of why he sucked at the line, though: his form was crap. Even setting everything else aside, his form was proper crap. No-legs, herky-jerky flick. Ugh. Also, the color commentators suck a lot. Wilt got some serious boos, lol. Baylor's first shot was an ugly-ass airball, too; yikes!

Wilt's finger roll may be the stupidest shot in basketball. No touch, what so ever. BLECH. Frazier had a lot more of a left hand than West, but West was bloody quick.

Don't see a ton of handchecking from Frazier. Good ball denial, though, solid transition D. I notice that he isn't guarding the primary ball-handler in this game, he's guarding Garrett, and Baylor's bringing the ball up the floor. Hard to get a feel for his defensive impact; not really disrupting team offense too much, but he seems to be locking in pretty well. You can see him kicking the crap out of L.A. on offense, and he really does have some nice crossovers, a behind-the-back, he uses his backside well for guard post above the arc...

But yeah, while he's playing very good individual defense, I'm not seeing too much of him on-ball, so it's hard to tell. Like I said, he's playing very good off-ball and transition defense, though. Don't really see hand checking when he IS on-ball, either, though, so I don't think the era would matter too much to his overall defensive impact.
trex_8063
Forum Mod
Forum Mod
Posts: 12,568
And1: 8,202
Joined: Feb 24, 2013
     

Re: RealGM Top 100 List #23 

Post#113 » by trex_8063 » Wed Aug 27, 2014 7:06 pm

tsherkin wrote:Frazier is the guy I consider the true MVP of the Knicks in that time frame, and generally more important than Reed. I think he was viciously robbed of Finals MVPs on two occasions.


wrt the bolded part, you're not the first to voice that opinion. And fwiw, I agree that Frazier went a bit under-appreciated in his own time, and I kinda agree that he could (perhaps should) have won both of those FMVP's. However, "viciously robbed" implies there can be no debate about it, which wouldn't be entirely accurate imo.

I agree the whole "I think we see Willis coming out!" spectacle, and how it inspired the Knicks while rattling the Lakers has been hyped to the point of mythology (not that there isn't perhaps a nugget of truth in there), and Frazier was the clear hero of game 7. However, I think noting the rest of the series can shed a little more light on other reasons why they may have selected Reed as FMVP in '70:

For instance, while Frazier had the remarkable 36/7/19/5 game 7......in the first 6 games his averages were: 14.5 ppg, 7.5 rpg, 9.0 apg. Which are very good, but not exactly remarkable for the pace being played.

Reed missed game 6 entirely, and then just played the scant minutes scoring the first two buckets in game 7......but in the first 5 games he'd been averaging 26.8 ppg with 3.4 apg, and 12+ rpg. Also worth noting that the one game Reed missed entirely, Wilt went off for 45 pts (and the Knicks lost).

So it's not as though there wasn't ample additional context for Reed getting selected as FMVP. DeBusschere also had a nice series, imo: 19.0 ppg and 12.6 rpg.
So I don't think it's TOO tremendously odd that the FMVP went to someone other than Frazier that year.

In '73.....
Frazier had a reasonably nice series, though nothing monumental, with 16.6 ppg, 6.8 rpg, and 5.0 apg.
But Reed had a decent one, too: 16.4 ppg, 9.2 rpg, and 2.6 apg. And he did it on marginally better shooting efficiency than Frazier, too, fwiw: .519 TS% vs. .507 TS% for Frazier.
Bill Bradley actually had a nice series, too: 18.6/4.8/3.4, as did DeBusschere again (15.6/11.6/2.0). And while I'm at it, I'll give a little shout-out to Monroe: 16.0/2.8/4.2 on .546 TS%.

So '73 even moreso than '70 really seemed very much like a total team effort, and I don't think it overly odd that someone other than Frazier got it.
"The fact that a proposition is absurd has never hindered those who wish to believe it." -Edward Rutherfurd
"Those who can make you believe absurdities, can make you commit atrocities." - Voltaire
tsherkin
Forum Mod - Raptors
Forum Mod - Raptors
Posts: 91,374
And1: 31,016
Joined: Oct 14, 2003
 

Re: RealGM Top 100 List #23 

Post#114 » by tsherkin » Wed Aug 27, 2014 7:21 pm

trex_8063 wrote:wrt the bolded part, you're not the first to voice that opinion. And fwiw, I agree that Frazier went a bit under-appreciated in his own time, and I kinda agree that he could (perhaps should) have won both of those FMVP's. However, "viciously robbed" implies there can be no debate about it, which wouldn't be entirely accurate imo.


That's your opinion. Even series, Frazier has a couple of jumpers, some fouls and a turnover early and then doesn't play spectacularly well thereafter while Walt kicks the ever-loving crap out of the Lakers in the decisive game 7, that should have easily been his FMVP, no question. That was a HUGE performance, and his series performance as a whole was more impressive to me than Reed's play that year.

73, I'll cede as a debatable point, but I think the 70 FMVP was a glaring error.

For instance, while Frazier had the remarkable 36/7/19/5 game 7......in the first 6 games his averages were: 14.5 ppg, 7.5 rpg, 9.0 apg. Which are very good, but not exactly remarkable for the pace being played.


Again, though, there was a distinct tactical decision to have Frazier not shoot for a good chunk of those playoffs, so I don't think looking at averages is necessarily a good route to travel.
Doctor MJ
Senior Mod
Senior Mod
Posts: 53,110
And1: 22,079
Joined: Mar 10, 2005
Location: Cali
     

Re: RealGM Top 100 List #23 

Post#115 » by Doctor MJ » Wed Aug 27, 2014 7:41 pm

Owly wrote:
Quotatious wrote:And...For those who vote for Baylor at this point (admittedly, he's not even in my top 30) - why him over Barry?

Not going to vote Baylor yet, but, why wouldn't you?

Similar all in one advanced box score metrics (with Barry having a minutes and therefore total productivity edge). But some of the Barry numbers are in a weak point ABA. Baylor has the better peak with an intial 5 (especially Y2-5) years and consistently excellent playoff productivity during that span (though smsll samples with shorter playoffs and possible competition level issues, 2 series versus Boston in his best 4 years, but 3 against a crummy Detroit Pistons team never above -2 SRS). In short he had 5 seasons as a clear cut top 5 player (with Pettit, Russell, Chamberlain and Robertson as the competition; WS are a tad disconcerting but I think he's being overpunished there for being on an often below par team, though it does give one pause). At the margin we might give him some slight benefit for numbers he would have accrued if not for armed service, and perhaps misfortune with injuries.

For my concerns on Barry see
Spoiler:
Owly wrote:
DQuinn1575 wrote:
Rick Barry had a few more things than just 75 - He's on my radar for somewhere in the top 30-


Rick Barry highlights

Finals MVP
Regular season finished 4,4,5,7 in MVP voting
5 time first team all-NBA, 4 time first team all-ABA


1967

Swept Lakers in PO (no Jerry West)

Beat Hawks (Hudson,Wilkens,Beaty,Bridges,Caldwell - very solid lineup)

Lost to super team in 6 games averaged 40+ ppg versus 67 Sixers


1976

Best player on best team in RS

Lost in PO to Suns (who lost to Celtics in classic series) - with a double OT loss and 1 point loss


1973

Beat Jabbar and Oscar in PO - leading scorer on balanced team

1975

Took team to title
Led league in steals



1969

Best WS/48 for any ABA player in history with 1,000 minutes

Better than Erving, Gilmore, Connie Hawkins, and Billy Cunningham

http://bkref.com/tiny/2mCOe


1969-1970

Led ABA in TS% 2 years while scoring 34.0 and 27.7

He lost a year due to sitting out in jumping leagues, and with injuries only played 146 games from ages 23-26.

Great passing forward with great shooting range - Bird was compared to Rick Barry coming into the league.

I get that this is a "more than '75" post but some of these things ... I'd have quibbles

- 4 times all-ABA 1st team, okay you can only finish ahead of what's there but take a look at the 2nd team forwards he was beating out. And then he didn't collar an MVP in the ABA when it was the distinctly weaker league. Part of that is misfortune with injuries, how much people will let that go I don't know. That top WS/48 season looking at that and PER he's basically even with Hawkins except Hawkins best season he was healthy in the playoffs and took his team to a title (and played much more minutes and had another season of a similar calibre). His third ABA season (2nd highest in minutes played) is just barely on that top 100 in ws/48 (87th) and his fourth season (and only near-full season) isn't on it at all.

I'm not sure that not playing much in that young span helps him unless you're big into what might have beens (in which case Walton, Hawkins, McGrady, Groza, Penny, McGill etc could leap up). And so those TS% crowns don't mean too much in terms of actual impact.

For 40 ppg in the '67 finals, sure but look at his percentages. Admittedly this is different to say Kobe '04 because he was shooting at iirc, a similar efficiency to his teammates (I think perhaps slightly better), but still it's not what you imagine when you think of 40ppg finals.

Regarding the team achievements it might be underselling his teammates. I think Nate Thurmond might have had quite a lot to do with beating "Jabbar and Oscar".

And then in '75 its worth noting that in the playoffs that team won with it's defense, an area where Barry, despite his steals, was not a standout. cf: http://www.basketball-reference.com/pla ... ml#misc::9

'76 might reveal issues too, PER and WS/48 have Phil Smith as a better per minute player as Barry wasn't effectively able to trade usage for efficiency (his ts% actually dropped nearly 2%). Now maybe this is a case like penbeast(?) theorised where a guy with high usage, shooting, and passing is creating an optimal or near optimal offense despite seemingly dubious individual efficiency. Anyhow despite the individual drop-off the Warriors get quite a lot better, and whilst there are certainly other substantial factors (a young team getting better with one more year of development and the addition of rookie Gus Williams) it might suggest that the thing Barry does best (high usage, adequate efficiency) isn't that useful to a good team.
I don't particularly buy into this but Bill Simmons suggested (well stated) that Barry refused to shoot in the 2nd half out of spite.
The quintessential Barry story: when he threw away Game 7 of the ’76 Western Finals because his teammates never defended him in the Ricky Sobers fight.67 Barry probably watched the highlights at halftime and confirmed his own suspicions that his teammates sold him out; the second half started and Barry simply stopped shooting. During the last few minutes, coach Al Attles probably threatened him because Barry suddenly became Barry again; even with a late surge, the defending champs ended up falling at home to an inferior team. You won’t find a more indefensible playoff defeat in a deciding game.

This isn't an original Simmons idea http://news.google.com/newspapers?nid=1 ... 16,1929178

Ultimately for me that means a lot hinges on valuing volume scoring and being the superstar (though again, note that they won with D) on a champ. Advanced metrics don't love him (apart from the two first short ABA seasons), defensive reviews aren't particularly special, and intangiables are considered poor too.

TL;DR: His team got better despite him getting worse (and there are possible related concerns about his value with other good offensive players), his fabled '75 carry job in the playoffs was (besides being a fluke) primarily won with defense (not that a star that carries defensive minded players to an average offense isn't valuable), he didn't win an MVP in a weak ABA and when he was dominant he got injured (and fwiw in his most dominant, 35 game, season his team won the title without him, going 4-0, 4-0, 4-1 in the playoffs). Also there's some inangiable concerns.

Anyway, looking at it I'm slightly more hesitant on Baylor, but Barry isn't on my radar.


It's funny, I can see using arguments like this against Barry for almost anyone except Baylor. For Baylor, they just hammer in what Baylor's issues were. I mean, efficiency issues? Pot. Kettle. Black.

Also to me it's totally wrong to characterize Barry as "getting worse" in '76. That was just smarter strategy. The kind of smart strategy that would have chopped Baylor's scoring in half.

So they both have that issue, but when you look closer, you see Barry is far more proven than Baylor in actually leading healthy teams.

While Barry shouldn't have shot so, so much in '75, the Warrior offense was still quite good, and part of the reason for his heavy primacy was that all the other teammates were being platooned. The Warriors had developed a system in place that really on Barry as the coach on the floor, with all the other smaller brains orbiting around him. It wasn't perfect - Barry's no Oscar - but it was damn good, and good lord, there's no evidence at all that you would ever try to use Baylor like that.

In the end on their tombstones what we see then is:

Barry - a scorer who had a tendency to shoot at too high a volume, but could be the coach on the floor for a great offense.

Baylor - a scorer who had a tendency to shoot at too high a volume even when a much better option exists next to him, and his only real track record leading an offense as a superstar was with very poor offenses.

No question who is more accomplished to me, even though I think it's too early for Barry at this point.
Getting ready for the RealGM 100 on the PC Board

Come join the WNBA Board if you're a fan!
Doctor MJ
Senior Mod
Senior Mod
Posts: 53,110
And1: 22,079
Joined: Mar 10, 2005
Location: Cali
     

Re: RealGM Top 100 List #23 

Post#116 » by Doctor MJ » Wed Aug 27, 2014 7:53 pm

One thing on Hondo that people may or may not have pointed out, it's REALLY informative to look at the Per 100 numbers, because you might think of him as a real volume scorers in his '70s hey day, but this is a guy who was scoring only briefly at prime Pippen volume with pretty ugly efficiency. Great player, but you certainly would prefer not to be dependent on him as a huge part of your scoring scheme.
Getting ready for the RealGM 100 on the PC Board

Come join the WNBA Board if you're a fan!
dautjazz
RealGM
Posts: 15,272
And1: 10,038
Joined: Aug 01, 2001
Location: Miami, FL
 

Re: RealGM Top 100 List #23 

Post#117 » by dautjazz » Wed Aug 27, 2014 7:55 pm

Chuck Texas wrote:Vote: Havlicek

8-time champion.

Started as a great bench player for the Russell dyansty but was still a reasonably big minute guy. Kind of the father of the 6th man role we have seen become a regular part of the NBA to this day.

Then became one of the focal players of the next generation of Celtics champions.

Iron man. 20k more minutes than Wade to this point for example and all of them at a good or great level. Played nearly every game and could handle tons of minutes.

Had a reputation as a good defender

Finals MVP in 1974

Tremendous all-around game.

And of course:

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J4fTjcJwImw[/youtube]


Reminds me of Pippen stealing the inbound in 1997 to seal the deal (the play after Jordan passing it to Kerr for the game winning 3).

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jTWdhAeCKYs

I swear man, those game 6's HAUNT me, the Jazz were ahead in the last couple of seconds in both 1997 and 1998's game 6. One of those series could of certainly gone to game 7, especially 1998 with the Ron Harper shot that shouldn't have counted and the Eisley (or Anderson, I forgot) 3 that they didn't count.
NickAnderson wrote:
How old are you, just curious.

by gomeziee on 21 Jul 2013 00:53

im 20, and i did grow up watching MJ play in the 90's.
User avatar
Texas Chuck
Senior Mod - NBA TnT Forum
Senior Mod - NBA TnT Forum
Posts: 92,306
And1: 98,078
Joined: May 19, 2012
Location: Purgatory
   

Re: RealGM Top 100 List #23 

Post#118 » by Texas Chuck » Wed Aug 27, 2014 7:59 pm

Doctor MJ wrote:One thing on Hondo that people may or may not have pointed out, it's REALLY informative to look at the Per 100 numbers, because you might think of him as a real volume scorers in his '70s hey day, but this is a guy who was scoring only briefly at prime Pippen volume with pretty ugly efficiency. Great player, but you certainly would prefer not to be dependent on him as a huge part of your scoring scheme.



Yeah I'm not sure who is supporting him this high but me, but I am aware that scoring isn't really isn't his strongest attribute either in terms of volume or efficiency(in comparison with more modern players anyway).

Still feel good about voting for him here tho.
ThunderBolt wrote:I’m going to let some of you in on a little secret I learned on realgm. If you don’t like a thread, not only do you not have to comment but you don’t even have to open it and read it. You’re welcome.
trex_8063
Forum Mod
Forum Mod
Posts: 12,568
And1: 8,202
Joined: Feb 24, 2013
     

Re: RealGM Top 100 List #23 

Post#119 » by trex_8063 » Wed Aug 27, 2014 8:03 pm

dautjazz wrote:
Reminds me of Pippen stealing the inbound in 1997 to seal the deal (the play after Jordan passing it to Kerr for the game winning 3).

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jTWdhAeCKYs

I swear man, those game 6's HAUNT me, the Jazz were ahead in the last couple of seconds in both 1997 and 1998's game 6. One of those series could of certainly gone to game 7, especially 1998 with the Ron Harper shot that shouldn't have counted and the Eisley (or Anderson, I forgot) 3 that they didn't count.



Yup, I'd forgotten some of that context. There was also the very blatant and obvious push on Bryon Russell in g6 '98 that didn't get called.
I was a die-hard Bulls fan at the time, very much thrilled that the Bulls won again and again. But with the lack of title being such a big black-mark for both Stockton and Malone in projects like this, it's good to recall some of that context: one or two calls go a different way and maybe we'd have a different outcome for the series (and perhaps an entirely different perception for the two of them).
"The fact that a proposition is absurd has never hindered those who wish to believe it." -Edward Rutherfurd
"Those who can make you believe absurdities, can make you commit atrocities." - Voltaire
trex_8063
Forum Mod
Forum Mod
Posts: 12,568
And1: 8,202
Joined: Feb 24, 2013
     

Re: RealGM Top 100 List #23 

Post#120 » by trex_8063 » Wed Aug 27, 2014 8:06 pm

Chuck Texas wrote:
Doctor MJ wrote:One thing on Hondo that people may or may not have pointed out, it's REALLY informative to look at the Per 100 numbers, because you might think of him as a real volume scorers in his '70s hey day, but this is a guy who was scoring only briefly at prime Pippen volume with pretty ugly efficiency. Great player, but you certainly would prefer not to be dependent on him as a huge part of your scoring scheme.



Yeah I'm not sure who is supporting him this high but me, but I am aware that scoring isn't really isn't his strongest attribute either in terms of volume or efficiency(in comparison with more modern players anyway).

Still feel good about voting for him here tho.


Doc's got a very valid point, but fwiw I don't think it's too out there to be voting for him now. I had him in the 22-23 range just a couple years ago; still have him well inside my top 30 (he's just around the corner for me).
"The fact that a proposition is absurd has never hindered those who wish to believe it." -Edward Rutherfurd
"Those who can make you believe absurdities, can make you commit atrocities." - Voltaire

Return to Player Comparisons