RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #15 (Oscar Robertson)

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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #15 (Deadline 5:00AM PST on 8/17/23) 

Post#101 » by Doctor MJ » Tue Aug 15, 2023 10:09 pm

eminence wrote:Basketball was 10% of Americans favorite sport in ‘48, as of ‘17 it’s up to… 11%.

Source: Gallup


Hadn't seen that before, but did a quick google and here's the link.

And a graph:

Image

I think it's really critical for modern basketball folks to understand what a phenomenon basketball was by World War II. It was literally THE sport that everyone in the military was focused on - which included most of the able-bodied men in their 20s - and kids were playing it everywhere, and THAT is why the Arena Association of America came in with the big bucks and started the league that would become the NBA.

And as I've alluded to before, all of this big-time professional league stuff would have happened even faster without the Great Depression. The kids were already in love with the sport all around the country by the 20s - with it being becoming effectively a religion in Indiana in the 10s.
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #15 (Deadline 5:00AM PST on 8/17/23) 

Post#102 » by MyUniBroDavis » Tue Aug 15, 2023 10:13 pm

This discussion is nasty because y’all are talking past each other which happens every time this discussion happens but just reference to the Gallup poll, I’m pretty sure basketball is the most played sport now overall in America in some other formal poll that was held (not HS participation)

I’d expect highschool participation to be roughly the same since schools offering it won’t change so I would be the field they pick from


Y’all should just clarify where you think the absolute gap is, where you think the relative gap is, and if y’all are talking about people being born in different eras or transported in their prime time different eras.

Trex for example certainly was going with born in different eras which is valid, whereas I feel one and done is going by transported, which is also valid.

Then y’all can discuss it from there


While at this point this type of conversation is mostly dead because for the most part neither side actually listens, (well some do I guess) bit I do wanna say something that I’m hoping no one disagrees with. If you transport peak Curry to the 1950s, he is more impactful than he is right now.
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #15 (Deadline 5:00AM PST on 8/17/23) 

Post#103 » by OldSchoolNoBull » Tue Aug 15, 2023 10:20 pm

One_and_Done wrote:I think people are working off a false premise here. Old timer fans are looking at the league today, and saying “where are the US white superstars? The fact that there aren’t many great white US players must mean they stopped trying to play basketball, maybe because it got too black for them!”

In reality there are more white US players trying to become stars than ever before. They’re just not succeeding, because the NBA has become a much tougher league to succeed in as the talent level has risen. I’m sure there are a few white kids discouraged from playing because they feel they won’t succeed, but there were doubtless even more discouraged from playing in the first place when the NBA was less lucrative, less professional, and less visible.

It’s not that the white versions of Jokic from the US stopped existing, it’s that they never existed in the first place. There was no “US Jokic” in the pre-2010 NBA. There was no “US Luka” in the pre-2010 NBA. The closest analogy would be Bird, but for the most part guys with this sort of skill level never existed, because the league wasn’t at the same skill level back then. Today white Euro star players are emerging because these guys get molded as kids, in real competition and not a hot dog AAU circuit, and the US is not the sort of place that is conducive to producing such players. Giannis was living almost on the street selling fake sunglasses to help his brothers survive as a kid. Luka and Manu were identified as prodigies at an early age and subjected to brutal training. In the US people are mostly affluent, there is no crucible for the average white player to emerge from. If the young US player slacks off he gets allowances for it. In Europe you get sent to the bench for that ish. Basketball is treated as a career for a 14 year old prodigy, and you drill every day to master something. Basketball is not treated that way for most young white US players, most of whom have other options their parents want them to explore and prepare for just in case.

A lot of the white stars in the olden days would be nothing special today, which is why you aren’t seeing them. The situation is not “they just stopped playing”. Trust me, when you’re a kid and you see guys get hundreds of millions of dollars you are just as keen to enter that sport. What has changed is the quality of the sport you are trying to enter.


Your first three paragraphs are a good argument for why there are less American stars in today's game.

But it has nothing to do with the cross-era argument, imo.

When an era-relative person is arguing for Mikan or Oscar or West or whoever, we are not arguing that they would necessarily be as good in the modern game. We are saying it does not matter. You say "A lot of the white stars in the olden days would be nothing special today". That may be true, it may not be. But it does not matter to the era-relativist. It is irrelevant.

I feel like you just don't want to acknowledge era-relativism as a valid POV.

Right now, six of the fourteen players voted in so far have had their primes in the last 25 years - Shaq, Duncan, Garnett, Kobe, LeBron, and Steph. I don't really argue with any of them being in Top 14(though I disagree about specific placements). If you and the other modernists had your way, I imagine - I could be wrong - that Jokic, Giannis, and KD at the least would be inducted already over, say, Russell, West, and Bird. In that case, it would be nine of the top fourteen having had their primes in the last 25 years. Do see you where this is going?

If we eschew era-relativity, then in two decades' time, some group of people here will be doing the 2044 Top 100 and I bet anyone who had their prime before the 2010s will struggle to get in the Top 15.
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #15 (Deadline 5:00AM PST on 8/17/23) 

Post#104 » by lessthanjake » Tue Aug 15, 2023 10:26 pm

eminence wrote:Basketball was 10% of Americans favorite sport in ‘48, as of ‘17 it’s up to… 11%.

Source: Gallup


I think that this really misses a few things:

First, sports in general are more popular now. Or at least, it is certainly much easier to watch sports games. So even if the same percent of people have basketball as their favorite sport to watch (which is what the data you’re referring to was measuring), the amount that basketball is being watched is surely still way higher than before. So it’s a greater part of the public consciousness even if it’s not a bigger slice of the sports-watching pie, because that pie is just a lot bigger now. This is, of course, why it is a much more lucrative league now (more on this below), despite the numbers you refer to.

Second, how much people enjoy watching a sport is only tangentially related to the incentive structure to actually be a professional player in that sport—and the latter is what matters when talking about talent pool in the league. Basketball players in the 1940s and 1950s were not making extraordinary sums of money. It was not a path to lifelong riches. George Mikan made a record salary of $15,000 in 1950. That’s equivalent to about $190,000 today. That’s the highest-paid guy—I imagine the vast majority of players were making orders of magnitude less money even than that. So, even if people liked watching the sport, the incentives to actually try to become a professional in that sport were not even in the same galaxy as they are now. There just wasn’t that much reason back then to try to become a professional basketball player. And when there’s not that much reason to try to be a professional player, the professional talent pool is going to be orders of magnitude less good.

Third, the numbers you refer to don’t take into account the internationalization of basketball. Even if basketball weren’t more popular in the US than it was in the 1940s, it is certainly more popular worldwide. And while internationalization is certainly growing over time, this is true even if you compare prior eras to the 1940s.
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #15 (Deadline 5:00AM PST on 8/17/23) 

Post#105 » by Doctor MJ » Tue Aug 15, 2023 10:30 pm

MyUniBroDavis wrote:If you transport peak Curry to the 1950s, he is more impactful than he is right now.


Without the 3 I'm not so sure.

On the other hand, transport him to the '80s or '90s and allow him to play the same way with a well-designed scheme and he's the clear cut MVP of the league.
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #15 (Deadline 5:00AM PST on 8/17/23) 

Post#106 » by penbeast0 » Tue Aug 15, 2023 10:36 pm

Note also that while professional basketball was not quick to catch on in the 50s and 60s, college basketball was quite popular before the NBA was even started, even more so than college baseball despite baseball being the most popular pro team sport.
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #15 (Deadline 5:00AM PST on 8/17/23) 

Post#107 » by iggymcfrack » Tue Aug 15, 2023 10:41 pm

Doctor MJ wrote:
MyUniBroDavis wrote:If you transport peak Curry to the 1950s, he is more impactful than he is right now.


Without the 3 I'm not so sure.

On the other hand, transport him to the '80s or '90s and allow him to play the same way with a well-designed scheme and he's the clear cut MVP of the league.


Even taking a lot of his shots deeper than is optimal for FG% because of the three, Steph has a career FG% of .475. At peak, he shot .504 in his best season. The average FG% in 1950 was .340. Allen Groza led the league at .478 and Mikan put up .407. Steph would be a cheat code in 1950. No one would have any idea how to guard him on the perimeter and he’d be more efficient than anyone in the league from 30 feet even without the bonus of getting three for a make.
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #15 (Deadline 5:00AM PST on 8/17/23) 

Post#108 » by MyUniBroDavis » Tue Aug 15, 2023 10:44 pm

OldSchoolNoBull wrote:
One_and_Done wrote:I think people are working off a false premise here. Old timer fans are looking at the league today, and saying “where are the US white superstars? The fact that there aren’t many great white US players must mean they stopped trying to play basketball, maybe because it got too black for them!”

In reality there are more white US players trying to become stars than ever before. They’re just not succeeding, because the NBA has become a much tougher league to succeed in as the talent level has risen. I’m sure there are a few white kids discouraged from playing because they feel they won’t succeed, but there were doubtless even more discouraged from playing in the first place when the NBA was less lucrative, less professional, and less visible.

It’s not that the white versions of Jokic from the US stopped existing, it’s that they never existed in the first place. There was no “US Jokic” in the pre-2010 NBA. There was no “US Luka” in the pre-2010 NBA. The closest analogy would be Bird, but for the most part guys with this sort of skill level never existed, because the league wasn’t at the same skill level back then. Today white Euro star players are emerging because these guys get molded as kids, in real competition and not a hot dog AAU circuit, and the US is not the sort of place that is conducive to producing such players. Giannis was living almost on the street selling fake sunglasses to help his brothers survive as a kid. Luka and Manu were identified as prodigies at an early age and subjected to brutal training. In the US people are mostly affluent, there is no crucible for the average white player to emerge from. If the young US player slacks off he gets allowances for it. In Europe you get sent to the bench for that ish. Basketball is treated as a career for a 14 year old prodigy, and you drill every day to master something. Basketball is not treated that way for most young white US players, most of whom have other options their parents want them to explore and prepare for just in case.

A lot of the white stars in the olden days would be nothing special today, which is why you aren’t seeing them. The situation is not “they just stopped playing”. Trust me, when you’re a kid and you see guys get hundreds of millions of dollars you are just as keen to enter that sport. What has changed is the quality of the sport you are trying to enter.


Your first three paragraphs are a good argument for why there are less American stars in today's game.

But it has nothing to do with the cross-era argument, imo.

When an era-relative person is arguing for Mikan or Oscar or West or whoever, we are not arguing that they would necessarily be as good in the modern game. We are saying it does not matter. You say "A lot of the white stars in the olden days would be nothing special today". That may be true, it may not be. But it does not matter to the era-relativist. It is irrelevant.

I feel like you just don't want to acknowledge era-relativism as a valid POV.


Right now, six of the fourteen players voted in so far have had their primes in the last 25 years - Shaq, Duncan, Garnett, Kobe, LeBron, and Steph. I don't really argue with any of them being in Top 14(though I disagree about specific placements). If you and the other modernists had your way, I imagine - I could be wrong - that Jokic, Giannis, and KD at the least would be inducted already over, say, Russell, West, and Bird. In that case, it would be nine of the top fourteen having had their primes in the last 25 years. Do see you where this is going?

If we eschew era-relativity, then in two decades' time, some group of people here will be doing the 2044 Top 100 and I bet anyone who had their prime before the 2010s will struggle to get in the Top 15.



I mean I get what you’re saying but I don’t think that’s what people have been saying since they’re arguing how strong the league was or wasn’t rn
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #15 (Deadline 5:00AM PST on 8/17/23) 

Post#109 » by MyUniBroDavis » Tue Aug 15, 2023 10:46 pm

Doctor MJ wrote:
MyUniBroDavis wrote:If you transport peak Curry to the 1950s, he is more impactful than he is right now.


Without the 3 I'm not so sure.

On the other hand, transport him to the '80s or '90s and allow him to play the same way with a well-designed scheme and he's the clear cut MVP of the league.


I think what I said applies in general if I go a bit further, but we both read that I said the 50s right? And that it’s transporting peak Curry?

I’m ignoring the “they’ll punch him and rough him up” takes here lol
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #15 (Deadline 5:00AM PST on 8/17/23) 

Post#110 » by Doctor MJ » Tue Aug 15, 2023 10:51 pm

lessthanjake wrote:
eminence wrote:Basketball was 10% of Americans favorite sport in ‘48, as of ‘17 it’s up to… 11%.

Source: Gallup


I think that this really misses a few things:

First, sports in general are more popular now. Or at least, it is certainly much easier to watch sports games. So even if the same percent of people have basketball as their favorite sport to watch (which is what the data you’re referring to was measuring), the amount that basketball is being watched is surely still way higher than before. So it’s a greater part of the public consciousness even if it’s not a bigger slice of the sports-watching pie, because that pie is just a lot bigger now. This is, of course, why it is a much more lucrative league now (more on this below), despite the numbers you refer to.

Second, how much people enjoy watching a sport is only tangentially related to the incentive structure to actually be a professional player in that sport—and the latter is what matters when talking about talent pool in the league. Basketball players in the 1940s and 1950s were not making extraordinary sums of money. It was not a path to lifelong riches. George Mikan made a record salary of $15,000 in 1950. That’s equivalent to about $190,000 today. That’s the highest-paid guy—I imagine the vast majority of players were making orders of magnitude less money even than that. So, even if people liked watching the sport, the incentives to actually try to become a professional in that sport were not even in the same galaxy as they are now. There just wasn’t that much reason back then to try to become a professional basketball player. And when there’s not that much reason to try to be a professional player, the professional talent pool is going to be orders of magnitude less good.


I would disagree that more people are watching basketball now. More people are watching basketball on television certainly, but the reason why seasons are so long is because people used to go to games as a matter of course, and not just on the professional level. Local sports were drastically more popular back then than they are now.

It's not just a sports thing. People used to be much more local-event minded back before television was king.

I certainly wouldn't disagree with you that the huge amount of money in the game today helps with the motivation for those devoting their life to the sport, but I think a lot of what we're talking about when it comes to the sport quality getting better is more about the systemization of the sport at the top levels and the data and opportunity it provides.

I also think it's important we recognize the coincidence of "the Big Man Cometh" happening right before the NBA, and how that makes us conflate separate trends together. In terms of the momentum on the elite levels that basically made basketball's breakout post-World War II a given, it wasn't about George Mikan in the '40s, it was about Hank Luisetti in the '30s. The arrival of Mikan/Kurland was met not with enthusiasm but dread. Nobody wanted to watch a game where these giants were allowed to goaltend, so they - the colleges - changed the rules, and the subsequent pro leagues just followed suit.

The NBA would then continue to make changes until it finally got a sport that a) could have offense dominated by Luisetti-types, and b) could have offense dominate defense. That's how we get to a basketball player (in Michael Jordan) finally becoming the most popular athlete in the world.
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #15 (Deadline 5:00AM PST on 8/17/23) 

Post#111 » by Doctor MJ » Tue Aug 15, 2023 10:56 pm

MyUniBroDavis wrote:
Doctor MJ wrote:
MyUniBroDavis wrote:If you transport peak Curry to the 1950s, he is more impactful than he is right now.


Without the 3 I'm not so sure.

On the other hand, transport him to the '80s or '90s and allow him to play the same way with a well-designed scheme and he's the clear cut MVP of the league.


I think what I said applies in general if I go a bit further, but we both read that I said the 50s right? And that it’s transporting peak Curry?

I’m ignoring the “they’ll punch him and rough him up” takes here lol


Not saying you're wrong, just saying I'm not sure.

Re: rough him up. They surely would to a degree, but I think people overstate the significance of that. The really rough stuff came in the cage era that ended in the mid-20s.
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #15 (Deadline 5:00AM PST on 8/17/23) 

Post#112 » by Doctor MJ » Tue Aug 15, 2023 11:02 pm

iggymcfrack wrote:
Doctor MJ wrote:
MyUniBroDavis wrote:If you transport peak Curry to the 1950s, he is more impactful than he is right now.


Without the 3 I'm not so sure.

On the other hand, transport him to the '80s or '90s and allow him to play the same way with a well-designed scheme and he's the clear cut MVP of the league.


Even taking a lot of his shots deeper than is optimal for FG% because of the three, Steph has a career FG% of .475. At peak, he shot .504 in his best season. The average FG% in 1950 was .340. Allen Groza led the league at .478 and Mikan put up .407. Steph would be a cheat code in 1950. No one would have any idea how to guard him on the perimeter and he’d be more efficient than anyone in the league from 30 feet even without the bonus of getting three for a make.


Good points. I'm not saying he wouldn't be great, only that I'm not sure he'd be more impactful than today. Remember that defense dominates the sport basically until the 1980s. Curry could be the best offensive player in the league and still be less impactful than bigs.
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #15 (Deadline 5:00AM PST on 8/17/23) 

Post#113 » by MyUniBroDavis » Tue Aug 15, 2023 11:07 pm

iggymcfrack wrote:
Doctor MJ wrote:
MyUniBroDavis wrote:If you transport peak Curry to the 1950s, he is more impactful than he is right now.


Without the 3 I'm not so sure.

On the other hand, transport him to the '80s or '90s and allow him to play the same way with a well-designed scheme and he's the clear cut MVP of the league.


Even taking a lot of his shots deeper than is optimal for FG% because of the three, Steph has a career FG% of .475. At peak, he shot .504 in his best season. The average FG% in 1950 was .340. Allen Groza led the league at .478 and Mikan put up .407. Steph would be a cheat code in 1950. No one would have any idea how to guard him on the perimeter and he’d be more efficient than anyone in the league from 30 feet even without the bonus of getting three for a make.



So I know we don’t fw each other but I’d like to point out that the defense in this league was so that bob cousy averaged 21.2ppg on 39.7FG% in 1955

Scoring wise bob cousy is not D3 level

Curry would obliterate
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #15 (Deadline 5:00AM PST on 8/17/23) 

Post#114 » by eminence » Tue Aug 15, 2023 11:18 pm

lessthanjake wrote:
eminence wrote:Basketball was 10% of Americans favorite sport in ‘48, as of ‘17 it’s up to… 11%.

Source: Gallup


I think that this really misses a few things:

First, sports in general are more popular now. Or at least, it is certainly much easier to watch sports games. So even if the same percent of people have basketball as their favorite sport to watch (which is what the data you’re referring to was measuring), the amount that basketball is being watched is surely still way higher than before. So it’s a greater part of the public consciousness even if it’s not a bigger slice of the sports-watching pie, because that pie is just a lot bigger now. This is, of course, why it is a much more lucrative league now (more on this below), despite the numbers you refer to.

Second, how much people enjoy watching a sport is only tangentially related to the incentive structure to actually be a professional player in that sport—and the latter is what matters when talking about talent pool in the league. Basketball players in the 1940s and 1950s were not making extraordinary sums of money. It was not a path to lifelong riches. George Mikan made a record salary of $15,000 in 1950. That’s equivalent to about $190,000 today. That’s the highest-paid guy—I imagine the vast majority of players were making orders of magnitude less money even than that. So, even if people liked watching the sport, the incentives to actually try to become a professional in that sport were not even in the same galaxy as they are now. There just wasn’t that much reason back then to try to become a professional basketball player. And when there’s not that much reason to try to be a professional player, the professional talent pool is going to be orders of magnitude less good.

Third, the numbers you refer to don’t take into account the internationalization of basketball. Even if basketball weren’t more popular in the US than it was in the 1940s, it is certainly more popular worldwide. And while internationalization is certainly growing over time, this is true even if you compare prior eras to the 1940s.


Third first - not relevant as best I can tell, as the question was simply how much of the white American athletic talent is pulled to basketball. I agree that obviously internationalization will drive down American pro rates.

On one and two, if you have better actual data, feel free to present it. My impression is that post-WWII basketball was being played at a higher rate than it is currently (for men, not so for women).

Professional no, but there was plenty of reason to get a college scholarship even then, and nobody is emerging as a professional level talent after their college years. The % pulled to the pros is hypothetically smaller, but the base pretty similar. And the number that didn't chase pro dreams vastly overstated - sure, some didn't make it, but most tried. Kurland essentially pro in a different much less competitive league. What other high end college players can we name that didn't go pro post WWII?
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #15 (Deadline 5:00AM PST on 8/17/23) 

Post#115 » by MyUniBroDavis » Tue Aug 15, 2023 11:34 pm

What’s the debate about 1950s here about?

Regardless of how much participation was or wasn’t, no one is going to deny that a 1950s nba team loses badly to a D2 college team right?

Whether that’s relevant or not to how you rank players is gonna be based on criteria, but I’m confused what the argument is here? This isn’t an era complete devoid of film or anything we can see a little bit and it’s pretty obvious the level people were at.
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #15 (Deadline 5:00AM PST on 8/17/23) 

Post#116 » by lessthanjake » Tue Aug 15, 2023 11:36 pm

eminence wrote:
lessthanjake wrote:
eminence wrote:Basketball was 10% of Americans favorite sport in ‘48, as of ‘17 it’s up to… 11%.

Source: Gallup


I think that this really misses a few things:

First, sports in general are more popular now. Or at least, it is certainly much easier to watch sports games. So even if the same percent of people have basketball as their favorite sport to watch (which is what the data you’re referring to was measuring), the amount that basketball is being watched is surely still way higher than before. So it’s a greater part of the public consciousness even if it’s not a bigger slice of the sports-watching pie, because that pie is just a lot bigger now. This is, of course, why it is a much more lucrative league now (more on this below), despite the numbers you refer to.

Second, how much people enjoy watching a sport is only tangentially related to the incentive structure to actually be a professional player in that sport—and the latter is what matters when talking about talent pool in the league. Basketball players in the 1940s and 1950s were not making extraordinary sums of money. It was not a path to lifelong riches. George Mikan made a record salary of $15,000 in 1950. That’s equivalent to about $190,000 today. That’s the highest-paid guy—I imagine the vast majority of players were making orders of magnitude less money even than that. So, even if people liked watching the sport, the incentives to actually try to become a professional in that sport were not even in the same galaxy as they are now. There just wasn’t that much reason back then to try to become a professional basketball player. And when there’s not that much reason to try to be a professional player, the professional talent pool is going to be orders of magnitude less good.

Third, the numbers you refer to don’t take into account the internationalization of basketball. Even if basketball weren’t more popular in the US than it was in the 1940s, it is certainly more popular worldwide. And while internationalization is certainly growing over time, this is true even if you compare prior eras to the 1940s.


Third first - not relevant as best I can tell, as the question was simply how much of the white American athletic talent is pulled to basketball. I agree that obviously internationalization will drive down American pro rates.

On one and two, if you have better actual data, feel free to present it. My impression is that post-WWII basketball was being played at a higher rate than it is currently (for men, not so for women).

Professional no, but there was plenty of reason to get a college scholarship even then, and nobody is emerging as a professional level talent after their college years. The % pulled to the pros is hypothetically smaller, but the base pretty similar. And the number that didn't chase pro dreams vastly overstated - sure, some didn't make it, but most tried. Kurland essentially pro in a different much less competitive league. What other high end college players can we name that didn't go actually pro post WWII?


I think you’re vastly underrating the extent to which incentives were so completely different back then. The average NBA salary in that era was apparently like $4000-5000. That’s like $50-60k in today’s dollars. Mikan was the highest paid player, and he was paid about $190,000 in today’s dollars. Even taking into account that the US as a whole was poorer in 1950, there was still little incentive to aim to be a professional basketball player. You mention that high-end college players tended to go pro, but that’s assuming that the top potential talent actually even ended up playing college basketball at all—something that is surely not very likely at all in a world where playing basketball is not at all a path to riches. A ton of people who could’ve been great basketball players surely just didn’t seriously play basketball, because it was not something that could make you a lot of money! I should also note that it’s an era where the percent of people who went to college was around 5%, so pulling from that pool is itself extremely limiting in terms of the talent pool. Not to mention that athletic scholarships weren’t really even much of a thing until the 1950s, so they weren’t adding even that bit of incentive structure for people to play basketball seriously in Mikan’s era. College basketball back then was basically just made up of the best people out of those who decided to play basketball (with little long-term incentive to do so—especially as we’re talking about people who are amongst the only ~5% of people going to college, so they were generally in line for lucrative non-basketball jobs) in a really small subset of the population that went to college. The “high end” players out of that group are probably not actually that talented. The bottom line is that the incentives for people to play basketball seriously in Mikan’s era were not very high at all. And we should expect that, as a result, the professional talent level was extremely low.
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #15 (Deadline 5:00AM PST on 8/17/23) 

Post#117 » by eminence » Wed Aug 16, 2023 12:10 am

lessthanjake wrote:I think you’re vastly underrating the extent to which incentives were so completely different back then. The average NBA salary in that era was apparently like $4000-5000. That’s like $50-60k in today’s dollars. Mikan was the highest paid player, and he was paid about $190,000 in today’s dollars. Even taking into account that the US as a whole was poorer in 1950, there was still little incentive to aim to be a professional basketball player. You mention that high-end college players tended to go pro, but that’s assuming that the top potential talent actually even ended up playing college basketball at all—something that is surely not very likely at all in a world where playing basketball is not at all a path to riches. A ton of people who could’ve been great basketball players surely just didn’t seriously play basketball, because it was not something that could make you a lot of money! I should also note that it’s an era where the percent of people who went to college was around 5%, so pulling from that pool is itself extremely limiting in terms of the talent pool. Not to mention that athletic scholarships weren’t really even much of a thing until the 1950s, so they weren’t adding even that bit of incentive structure for people to play basketball seriously in Mikan’s era. College basketball back then was basically just made up of the best people out of those who decided to play basketball (with little long-term incentive to do so—especially as we’re talking about people who are amongst the only ~5% of people going to college, so they were generally in line for lucrative non-basketball jobs) in a really small subset of the population that went to college. The “high end” players out of that group are probably not actually that talented. The bottom line is that the incentives for people to play basketball seriously in Mikan’s era were not very high at all. And we should expect that, as a result, the professional talent level was extremely low.


Bolded - but it was. You know how you get into that 5% in the 1940s/50s? By being (a man) in a well-off family or by being a great high school football or basketball player. That's it. And college was a lot better at delivering on the financial promises in those days.

Not my understanding of scholarship history - the NCAA took over the regulation of them in the 50s, in the years prior they were running rampant without regulation as best I know. Rich football/basketball schools then basically ruled the roost until they reigned them in even more in the 70s (big football schools would have hundreds of players on scholarship prior to the 70s).
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #15 (Deadline 5:00AM PST on 8/17/23) 

Post#118 » by MyUniBroDavis » Wed Aug 16, 2023 12:35 am

I backread through this thread and what even was the point of all this 1950s talk if no one is actually making a point about it lol. Y’all really just talking to talk rn

The perspective one and done and Iggy have is that the era was dogwater therefore mikan shouldn’t be ranked high

The perspective some others seem to have can either be
- he dominated in the era he was in and that’s what matters
- the 50s weren’t dogwater (this expressed to varying degrees)

But literally none of y’all except oldschool who isn’t even part of this discussion and said it in his first post has clarified this

If you think in era trumps all or weigh it heavily and it leads to rating Mikan high obviously yeah that’s completely valid and it’s stupid for anyone to deny that he was incredibly impactful in his own era


If the idea is that his era was actually not bad or that those players in the league were actually good at basketball, that’s where then y’all should discuss. Otherwise y’all are just talking past each other with completely different criteria

It feels all of this “this many people played then” and “racially it was…” comes down to the point of contention being the second point, is that right?
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #15 (Deadline 5:00AM PST on 8/17/23) 

Post#119 » by penbeast0 » Wed Aug 16, 2023 1:09 am

The 50s were a weak era; not because of playstyle and innovation building over time, that's like saying Isaac Newton wasn't an impressive thinker because people have built on his thinking and every college physics major knows more physics than he does. They were a weak era because they had a relatively small talent pool thanks to a smaller U.S. population, a less popular sport, and racial segregation leaving a large percentage of the potential talent on the sidelines. This left the talent pool relatively thin compared to later eras.

That said, Mikan's domination was such that if it someone dominated like he did in any other era, they'd probably be top 5 on this list, possibly #1. As such, even with a significantly weaker era than any other eligible one for this project, he moves past the lesser players from stronger eras in my opinion. Just my opinion, balancing these factors differently can have different results.
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Re: RealGM 2023 Top 100 Project - #15 (Deadline 5:00AM PST on 8/17/23) 

Post#120 » by iggymcfrack » Wed Aug 16, 2023 1:44 am

penbeast0 wrote:The 50s were a weak era; not because of playstyle and innovation building over time, that's like saying Isaac Newton wasn't an impressive thinker because people have built on his thinking and every college physics major knows more physics than he does. They were a weak era because they had a relatively small talent pool thanks to a smaller U.S. population, a less popular sport, and racial segregation leaving a large percentage of the potential talent on the sidelines. This left the talent pool relatively thin compared to later eras.

That said, Mikan's domination was such that if it someone dominated like he did in any other era, they'd probably be top 5 on this list, possibly #1. As such, even with a significantly weaker era than any other eligible one for this project, he moves past the lesser players from stronger eras in my opinion. Just my opinion, balancing these factors differently can have different results.


Only because of the years where the rules were literally broken in favor of scorers who play close to the basket. Forget modern guys, give Wilt a 6 foot key in the 60s, he might score 70 a game against the exact same competition. Russell wouldn’t have had a prayer of stopping him. From 51/52 on, Mikan wasn’t any more dominant in his time than Jokic was in his era and Jokic actually played more games than Mikan and still hasn’t been nominated yet.

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