2020-21 NBA Season Discussion

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Re: 2020-21 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#1001 » by MyUniBroDavis » Tue Feb 2, 2021 2:16 am

freethedevil wrote:
bondom34 wrote:
Read on Twitter


Legitimately the funniest attempt at misuse of stats I've seen in a bit. Per CTG: a 114.9 D rtg when he's on court (would rank 24th among teams).

Is harden the reason they're bad defensively? I'd be inclined to think its just them trading away all their defenders since harden was clearly a positive on defense last year.


Yeah but this tweet made it seem like harden was an incredible defender or kind of indirectly implied they were only bad with harden off the floor
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Re: 2020-21 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#1002 » by bondom34 » Tue Feb 2, 2021 2:24 am

MyUniBroDavis wrote:
freethedevil wrote:
bondom34 wrote:
Read on Twitter


Legitimately the funniest attempt at misuse of stats I've seen in a bit. Per CTG: a 114.9 D rtg when he's on court (would rank 24th among teams).

Is harden the reason they're bad defensively? I'd be inclined to think its just them trading away all their defenders since harden was clearly a positive on defense last year.


Yeah but this tweet made it seem like harden was an incredible defender or kind of indirectly implied they were only bad with harden off the floor


Yep, its the framing. They just don't have good personnel now but this makes it seem like he's holding down the defense or something.
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Re: 2020-21 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#1003 » by freethedevil » Tue Feb 2, 2021 3:44 am

bondom34 wrote:
MyUniBroDavis wrote:
freethedevil wrote:Is harden the reason they're bad defensively? I'd be inclined to think its just them trading away all their defenders since harden was clearly a positive on defense last year.


Yeah but this tweet made it seem like harden was an incredible defender or kind of indirectly implied they were only bad with harden off the floor


Yep, its the framing. They just don't have good personnel now but this makes it seem like he's holding down the defense or something.

Fair enough.

That said, I wouldn't be shocked, if by default, he was actually the best defender on this team.
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Re: 2020-21 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#1004 » by bondom34 » Tue Feb 2, 2021 4:02 am

freethedevil wrote:
bondom34 wrote:
MyUniBroDavis wrote:
Yeah but this tweet made it seem like harden was an incredible defender or kind of indirectly implied they were only bad with harden off the floor


Yep, its the framing. They just don't have good personnel now but this makes it seem like he's holding down the defense or something.

Fair enough.

That said, I wouldn't be shocked, if by default, he was actually the best defender on this team.

IMO it's Durant (I'm generally lower on Harden's defense, and while I don't think Durant is a great defender, might be at least a plus). But sadly he's likely their best rim protector too which seems....tenuous.

FWIW

Image

Small sample, 114.9 D rtg when he's on, over 117 with Kyrie too. They're rebounding better and not giving up FTs when he's on court, but the opponent eFG is better. Opponents are shooting worse at the rim though, which I don't really think is due to him. Some small sample stuff I'd guess but either way they're still awful lol.
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Re: 2020-21 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#1005 » by freethedevil » Tue Feb 2, 2021 4:17 am

bondom34 wrote:
freethedevil wrote:
bondom34 wrote:
Yep, its the framing. They just don't have good personnel now but this makes it seem like he's holding down the defense or something.

Fair enough.

That said, I wouldn't be shocked, if by default, he was actually the best defender on this team.

IMO it's Durant (I'm generally lower on Harden's defense, and while I don't think Durant is a great defender, might be at least a plus). But sadly he's likely their best rim protector too which seems....tenuous.

FWIW

Image

Small sample, 114.9 D rtg when he's on, over 117 with Kyrie too. They're rebounding better and not giving up FTs when he's on court, but the opponent eFG is better. Opponents are shooting worse at the rim though, which I don't really think is due to him. Some small sample stuff I'd guess but either way they're still awful lol.

You might be right, I'm honestly just going off what I saw 2020 playoffs for harden+ his metrics grading out as positive in the regular season for his supposed defensive improvement. I have no idea if the regular season stuff is just noise.

Is there potentil for playoff deandre to be the paint protector they need or....
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Re: 2020-21 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#1006 » by bondom34 » Tue Feb 2, 2021 4:33 am

freethedevil wrote:
Is there potentil for playoff deandre to be the paint protector they need or....


Spoiler:
Image
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Re: 2020-21 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#1007 » by MyUniBroDavis » Tue Feb 2, 2021 10:01 am

I’m ngl clippers be scary this year lol
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Re: 2020-21 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#1008 » by GSP » Tue Feb 2, 2021 10:11 am

MyUniBroDavis wrote:I’m ngl clippers be scary this year lol


Theyre much the same team as last season TBH. I wouldnt be surprised if they were upset earlier this year depending on the 1st round matchup. Would be interesting if it was the Warriors who gave them alot of issues b2b. And theyve been on a tear but theyve mostly faced the worst teams in the league during it
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Re: 2020-21 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#1009 » by MyUniBroDavis » Tue Feb 2, 2021 11:01 am

GSP wrote:
MyUniBroDavis wrote:I’m ngl clippers be scary this year lol


Theyre much the same team as last season TBH. I wouldnt be surprised if they were upset earlier this year depending on the 1st round matchup. Would be interesting if it was the Warriors who gave them alot of issues b2b. And theyve been on a tear but theyve mostly faced the worst teams in the league during it


It comes down to lue playoff adjustments vs doc at the end of the day
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Re: 2020-21 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#1010 » by MisterHibachi » Tue Feb 2, 2021 3:49 pm

Read on Twitter
?s=19

This feels really dumb to me. Bringing the league's stars to Atlanta, even if for one night is inevitably going to lead to partying. They'll have all to quarantine for like 2 weeks. There's no way you're stopping all of them from partying, especially in Atlanta of all places.
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Re: 2020-21 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#1011 » by bondom34 » Tue Feb 2, 2021 5:27 pm

Another money grab.

Also 2 stories that seem under the radar (one surprisingly).

1. Kawhi has been really awesome and getting no hype. Like, Jokic/Embiid level awesome.

2. The Grizz won 8 straight (though tonight is tough on a b2b vs Indiana). Up to 9-6.
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Re: 2020-21 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#1012 » by limbo » Tue Feb 2, 2021 10:35 pm

So apparently... BSPN has expanded their Real Plus-Minus metric (aka RPM) to include all seasons all the way back to 1997. Interesting.
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Re: 2020-21 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#1013 » by MisterHibachi » Wed Feb 3, 2021 12:55 am

I'm putting money on the Clippers to win the championship. They don't miss 3s. And their defense is back on track again.

Also, Ty Lue seems to have kept to the bum hunting philosophy he had in Cleveland, and just keeps attacking Kyrie over and over.
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Re: 2020-21 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#1014 » by GSP » Wed Feb 3, 2021 2:03 am

Fvv has 46 with 11 made 3s
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Re: 2020-21 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#1015 » by Clyde Frazier » Wed Feb 3, 2021 3:55 am

GSP wrote:Fvv has 46 with 11 made 3s


Read on Twitter


He broke TS% :lol:
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Re: 2020-21 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#1016 » by StepBackCrack » Wed Feb 3, 2021 4:29 am

MyUniBroDavis wrote:
StepBackCrack wrote:
Doctor MJ wrote:
According to bkref the recent Warriors teams never broke 150, I think people need to chew on that because it's pretty unlikely that the Nets are in general scoring more than those Warrior teams, both because they probably won't be as good offensively, and because iso-ball slows things down.

Not saying they couldn't get hot for a game and just go for it, because that can happen for teams with a lot less talent than the Nets, but if you're expecting the Nets to be the best offensive team in history, you're almost certainly in for a let down, and if you're thinking they're going to play extremely fast, well, I doubt they'll even be trying to play particularly fast.

To be clear: While I would not favor the Nets to win the title, this is not me saying they can't win it. I think the Nets acquisition of Harden was pretty wise given where they were, and it was the easiest way to turn them into a likely contender, but basketball is not a sport where you can just keep adding scorers without diminishing returns.

If the Nets do become an all-time offense, it's going to mean some kind of synergizing that no one should see as a given at this time.


You expect the Nets offense to be a letdown and in the same post write a bottom line just in case your prediction turns out to be wrong. Very clever. :lol: Just pick a side and stick with it.

Nets offense imo will be great because they have 2 superstars that have high BB IQ and can do literally everything offensively. 2 of the greatest offensive players ever. Add Kyrie who can create shots and finish at an elite level and a great sniper like Joe Harris, then you get so many options with them as a coach on offense. With just proper staggering of their big 3, Nets offense will be an all-time offensive team. Maybe not quite GSW-level all-time great but all-time great offense nonetheless.

I'm confident in saying that they will be an all-time great offense (if all their key players stay healthy obviously).



So I agree breaking 150 is hard, but it’s worth mentioning the warriors would have done it a few times if they didn’t rest their guys in the fourth, at least 3-4 times it’s pretty likely they were on pace, it’s just if you score that much ur prolly resting ur guys

I think in terms of the nets and being an all time offense, it’s more about how hard they’ll be to stop in the playoffs, since they’re taking that 5 out iso formula and basically turning it up to an 11 and making in unstoppable, since there will always be an available mismatch on the court and because it’s more than just one guy tactics to get the ball away like what the lakers did vs Houston won’t be as effective.

Obv there’s a lot that has to happen but the nets with good coaching are def talented enough to be an ATG offense, because even their role players are the type of guys you want to fit around iso scorers.

It also depends on what you mean by ATG offense. The mavs offense last year was the highest RS offense ever but the actual offense of the mavs, I’m pretty sure most would wouldn’t have them that high. Conversely the lakers were top 5 range in the RS outside of the bubble but basically became the top offense by far during the postseason. Similar situation on defense with the bucks being one of the best relative defensive teams ever but genuinely being a bad defensive team vs the heat (as in, below league average in performance) because budenholzer isn’t tactically adept (I’d argue this hurts the perception of Giannis more than it should too).

I think what’s more important than an offenses raw efficiency is their adaptability and consistency. In theory the nets offense should be stupidly hard to stop, and we have to wait and see how they are in terms of scheme and tactics. I’ve heard their scheme is actually quite good, but d antoni lowkey isn’t that good at offensive adjustments, he’s more so better at designing an offense and sets. Like he’s prolly one of the best in the league at forcing switches but gets big brained by some adjustments

Nash I’m assuming is more of a player relations and communication coach, but who knows.

I think there’s definitely potential for the nets offense to be as hard to stop as the warriors offenses were, they weren’t exactly infallible and certain defenses (switchy ones) could sometimes annoy them, a lot because Kerr even though he’s great gets too in love with his vision of the game at times I feel

There’s potential for locker room stuff and things like that but at the end of the day Kyrie/Durant/Harden are probably top 7 (harden and Durant top 3 with playoff bron) in terms of that mismatch isolation type offense and they have the tools to run it really well. While it’s true that there’s only one ball, having those three guys gives you multiple options depending on how the D reacts

It’s worth noting the offense with KD and Kyrie on the court has already been warriors lite with Steph on the court, although it’s really early on and it’s not “actually” that level even if their off rtg is that high because the warriors played with their food

But they’ll prolly be great offensively, maybe better than the lakers but AD looks from a skillset perspective better than he was in the playoffs this year so idk

One advantage the nets have though is that they won’t have to hide anyone they would want on the floor. The lakers realistically can’t play marc and prolly harrell against them which is gonna hurt their offense a bit. The lakers did essentially go into a “your turn my turn” offense in the playoffs between AD and Bron and even if AD does his KD impression again it’s gonna be interesting for sure. The problem with the nets comes down to their defense, which is prolly closer to bottom 10 than league average now


Going back to this post because it's perfect. I said their issue will be defense obviously. Their offense will be stupidly good. "There is only one ball" or "Kyrie will ruin their chemistry" arguments/predictions didn't hold up for long at all.

Read on Twitter


All that said, I still think their defense could be fixable with 2 more moves in the buyout market. They can be at least decent or not horrifically terrible defensively with a new center and PF. That would be enough to give them a chance to win the title. Also Clax getting back will be a nice help. He is much better than Perry and possibly DJ.
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Re: 2020-21 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#1017 » by StepBackCrack » Wed Feb 3, 2021 4:39 am

Playing ATG offense in the playoffs will obviously be harder but KD/Harden/Kyrie have amazing offensive counters to many defensive sets. So I still like their chances of playing ATG offense in the playoffs as well. Their defense is a whole other story. Buyout market moves are a must for them.
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Re: 2020-21 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#1018 » by MyUniBroDavis » Wed Feb 3, 2021 5:34 am

StepBackCrack wrote:
MyUniBroDavis wrote:
StepBackCrack wrote:
You expect the Nets offense to be a letdown and in the same post write a bottom line just in case your prediction turns out to be wrong. Very clever. :lol: Just pick a side and stick with it.

Nets offense imo will be great because they have 2 superstars that have high BB IQ and can do literally everything offensively. 2 of the greatest offensive players ever. Add Kyrie who can create shots and finish at an elite level and a great sniper like Joe Harris, then you get so many options with them as a coach on offense. With just proper staggering of their big 3, Nets offense will be an all-time offensive team. Maybe not quite GSW-level all-time great but all-time great offense nonetheless.

I'm confident in saying that they will be an all-time great offense (if all their key players stay healthy obviously).



So I agree breaking 150 is hard, but it’s worth mentioning the warriors would have done it a few times if they didn’t rest their guys in the fourth, at least 3-4 times it’s pretty likely they were on pace, it’s just if you score that much ur prolly resting ur guys

I think in terms of the nets and being an all time offense, it’s more about how hard they’ll be to stop in the playoffs, since they’re taking that 5 out iso formula and basically turning it up to an 11 and making in unstoppable, since there will always be an available mismatch on the court and because it’s more than just one guy tactics to get the ball away like what the lakers did vs Houston won’t be as effective.

Obv there’s a lot that has to happen but the nets with good coaching are def talented enough to be an ATG offense, because even their role players are the type of guys you want to fit around iso scorers.

It also depends on what you mean by ATG offense. The mavs offense last year was the highest RS offense ever but the actual offense of the mavs, I’m pretty sure most would wouldn’t have them that high. Conversely the lakers were top 5 range in the RS outside of the bubble but basically became the top offense by far during the postseason. Similar situation on defense with the bucks being one of the best relative defensive teams ever but genuinely being a bad defensive team vs the heat (as in, below league average in performance) because budenholzer isn’t tactically adept (I’d argue this hurts the perception of Giannis more than it should too).

I think what’s more important than an offenses raw efficiency is their adaptability and consistency. In theory the nets offense should be stupidly hard to stop, and we have to wait and see how they are in terms of scheme and tactics. I’ve heard their scheme is actually quite good, but d antoni lowkey isn’t that good at offensive adjustments, he’s more so better at designing an offense and sets. Like he’s prolly one of the best in the league at forcing switches but gets big brained by some adjustments

Nash I’m assuming is more of a player relations and communication coach, but who knows.

I think there’s definitely potential for the nets offense to be as hard to stop as the warriors offenses were, they weren’t exactly infallible and certain defenses (switchy ones) could sometimes annoy them, a lot because Kerr even though he’s great gets too in love with his vision of the game at times I feel

There’s potential for locker room stuff and things like that but at the end of the day Kyrie/Durant/Harden are probably top 7 (harden and Durant top 3 with playoff bron) in terms of that mismatch isolation type offense and they have the tools to run it really well. While it’s true that there’s only one ball, having those three guys gives you multiple options depending on how the D reacts

It’s worth noting the offense with KD and Kyrie on the court has already been warriors lite with Steph on the court, although it’s really early on and it’s not “actually” that level even if their off rtg is that high because the warriors played with their food

But they’ll prolly be great offensively, maybe better than the lakers but AD looks from a skillset perspective better than he was in the playoffs this year so idk

One advantage the nets have though is that they won’t have to hide anyone they would want on the floor. The lakers realistically can’t play marc and prolly harrell against them which is gonna hurt their offense a bit. The lakers did essentially go into a “your turn my turn” offense in the playoffs between AD and Bron and even if AD does his KD impression again it’s gonna be interesting for sure. The problem with the nets comes down to their defense, which is prolly closer to bottom 10 than league average now


Going back to this post because it's perfect. I said their issue will be defense obviously. Their offense will be stupidly good. "There is only one ball" or "Kyrie will ruin their chemistry" arguments/predictions didn't hold up for long at all.

Read on Twitter


All that said, I still think their defense could be fixable with 2 more moves in the buyout market. They can be at least decent or not horrifically terrible defensively with a new center and PF. That would be enough to give them a chance to win the title. Also Clax getting back will be a nice help. He is much better than Perry and possibly DJ.


The fact that they almost gave up 150 twice before breaking it though

The nets offense is about as good as a lot of people thought it was gonna be, it’s still early on but so far it’s been broken, but their defense is worse than I could have imagined lol

If ur a top tier offense ur gonna be scary come playoff time though either way
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Re: 2020-21 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#1019 » by Peregrine01 » Wed Feb 3, 2021 4:17 pm

Anyone know how ESPN's RPM is being calculated now? The numbers look like they've completely changed for past seasons. Curry's RPM in 2016 is 11.4 now (!!!).
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Re: 2020-21 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#1020 » by bondom34 » Wed Feb 3, 2021 4:55 pm

Peregrine01 wrote:Anyone know how ESPN's RPM is being calculated now? The numbers look like they've completely changed for past seasons. Curry's RPM in 2016 is 11.4 now (!!!).

Not exactly, but remember about a year ago all the old numbers changed (tbh I pretty much stopped using at that point). They added some tracking data stuff which really made the numbers super weird, and updated past seasons.

No idea why but just basically changed all their historical results in the meantime too pretty sure.
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