Greatest Peaks series (Thinking Basketball/Ben Taylor)

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Re: Greatest Peaks series (Thinking Basketball/Ben Taylor) 

Post#1021 » by GSP » Tue Mar 16, 2021 12:50 am

LukaTheGOAT wrote:
Todeasy wrote:I liked the video overall, but did anyone else get the impression that it came across as comparatively apologetic to Curry’s flaws? I think this would make sense since it IS clear that Ben favors curry.

With that being said unlike someone ala Durant, I don’t think it matters that much with Curry as he still has the impact to solidly deserve a video. However it does make me a little hesitant to put his offensive peak at the level of a MJ, Nash, Magic, etc.


He tends to do this, when he feels like perhaps the mainstream/common basketball guru opinion has a different opinion from him and therefore he has to try hard to convince people to see his way of thinking. It is totally understandable why he does that, but yeah I also would put as a fringe top 5 offensive player ever, in a tier below the 3 you named along with Lebron. He seems to believe Steph's drop off is more due to injury, and similar to Bird he absolutely loves off ball play and is willing to excuse poor play moreso.


He def loves offball play which is warranted considering how he says Larry, Steph, Reggie and Ad but it makes him being relatively low on Dirk even more head scratching
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Re: Greatest Peaks series (Thinking Basketball/Ben Taylor) 

Post#1022 » by eminence » Tue Mar 16, 2021 1:11 am

Do folks see Dirk as an elite off-ball player? Speed kills off-ball, and Dirk ain't got it (Shaq used strength, not speed, but the point was the same, generating space). I view Dirk largely as an on-ball player.
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Re: Greatest Peaks series (Thinking Basketball/Ben Taylor) 

Post#1023 » by therealbig3 » Tue Mar 16, 2021 1:30 am

eminence wrote:Do folks see Dirk as an elite off-ball player? Speed kills off-ball, and Dirk ain't got it (Shaq used strength, not speed, but the point was the same, generating space). I view Dirk largely as an on-ball player.


Dirk was excellent at screening and moving without the ball, and a lot of what Taylor pointed out with Curry in terms of gravity applies to Dirk as well, his presence and his activity created a lot of openings for teammates. Dirk also made the stretch 4 such a popular concept, by pulling an opposing big out of the paint and opening things up inside for perimeter players because of his threat to hit the 3 ball, which is more off ball value.

Yeah, Dirk was elite off ball imo.
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Re: Greatest Peaks series (Thinking Basketball/Ben Taylor) 

Post#1024 » by SiakimSinjistu » Tue Mar 16, 2021 1:35 am

therealbig3 wrote:Yeah it did feel like he was almost trying to convince people of how great Curry is, because he knows there are some polarizing opinions of him...imo, this is clearly the one he put the most effort into, as evidenced by the run time.

Still a great video, and I love the breakdown of Curry's off-ball impact the most.

But to me, he kind of glosses over the elephant in the room with Curry, and it's something I've harped on plenty: for all of his insane RS production and visible offensive impact...he HAS been successfully slowed down in the playoffs to a greater degree than other elite offensive anchors. And for the most part, the Warriors offense in the PS has NOT been overly impressive, at least in the GOAT context. They had one season where they dominated the PS offensively (2017, Durant's first year with the team), but range from below average to above average, but not spectacular, in every other year of their run (15-19).

And I think what happens is that people tend to kind of combine 2017 with all the other PS runs, and of course the offensive numbers now look awesome, because 2017 will bring everything up massively. And I notice that in the numbers that Taylor put up in the video, all of those stretches pretty much always include 2017. IMO, it's a clear outlier and had a lot to do with Kevin Durant as well.

So based on the RS yes, you can make a great case for Curry being the offensive GOAT. I would probably agree with that. But based on the PS, when you have other offensive anchors that have consistently led dominant PS offenses and Curry just hasn't, i

Did you not watch the video?

Curry is way better against good defenses han durant

Curry scores way better without klay or kd than kd does without curry or westbrook

Curry's playoff impact is literally ~ 00-02 Shaq

Curry literally leead a 119 offense without kd or curry

How did you watch the video and get
"kd is closer to curry than i thought"
"curry hasn't led great offenses"
"curry is a top 5 player int he last 20 years"

"It feels like he's almost trying to convince people how great he is" ignoring that every single complaint you had about curry was empericlaly debunked lol.
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Re: Greatest Peaks series (Thinking Basketball/Ben Taylor) 

Post#1025 » by poopdamoop » Tue Mar 16, 2021 1:37 am

I don’t know how Ben calculates those percentiles at the end of his videos, but I’m curious who the 21 players that ranked higher than Curry in the spacing category are.
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Re: Greatest Peaks series (Thinking Basketball/Ben Taylor) 

Post#1026 » by therealbig3 » Tue Mar 16, 2021 1:41 am

SiakimSinjistu wrote:
therealbig3 wrote:Yeah it did feel like he was almost trying to convince people of how great Curry is, because he knows there are some polarizing opinions of him...imo, this is clearly the one he put the most effort into, as evidenced by the run time.

Still a great video, and I love the breakdown of Curry's off-ball impact the most.

But to me, he kind of glosses over the elephant in the room with Curry, and it's something I've harped on plenty: for all of his insane RS production and visible offensive impact...he HAS been successfully slowed down in the playoffs to a greater degree than other elite offensive anchors. And for the most part, the Warriors offense in the PS has NOT been overly impressive, at least in the GOAT context. They had one season where they dominated the PS offensively (2017, Durant's first year with the team), but range from below average to above average, but not spectacular, in every other year of their run (15-19).

And I think what happens is that people tend to kind of combine 2017 with all the other PS runs, and of course the offensive numbers now look awesome, because 2017 will bring everything up massively. And I notice that in the numbers that Taylor put up in the video, all of those stretches pretty much always include 2017. IMO, it's a clear outlier and had a lot to do with Kevin Durant as well.

So based on the RS yes, you can make a great case for Curry being the offensive GOAT. I would probably agree with that. But based on the PS, when you have other offensive anchors that have consistently led dominant PS offenses and Curry just hasn't, i

Did you not watch the video?

Curry is way better against good defenses han durant

Curry scores way better without klay or kd than kd does without curry or westbrook

Curry's playoff impact is literally ~ 00-02 Shaq

Curry literally leead a 119 offense without kd or curry

How did you watch the video and get
"kd is closer to curry than i thought"
"curry hasn't led great offenses"
"curry is a top 5 player int he last 20 years"

"It feels like he's almost trying to convince people how great he is" ignoring that every single complaint you had about curry was empericlaly debunked lol.


Because KD has led excellent PS offenses himself. And Curry has led exactly one dominant playoff offense in 17, with a lot of contribution from Durant. Their other runs weren’t nearly as impressive.

Nothing was “debunked” lol.
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Re: Greatest Peaks series (Thinking Basketball/Ben Taylor) 

Post#1027 » by SiakimSinjistu » Tue Mar 16, 2021 1:52 am

therealbig3 wrote:
SiakimSinjistu wrote:
therealbig3 wrote:Yeah it did feel like he was almost trying to convince people of how great Curry is, because he knows there are some polarizing opinions of him...imo, this is clearly the one he put the most effort into, as evidenced by the run time.

Still a great video, and I love the breakdown of Curry's off-ball impact the most.

But to me, he kind of glosses over the elephant in the room with Curry, and it's something I've harped on plenty: for all of his insane RS production and visible offensive impact...he HAS been successfully slowed down in the playoffs to a greater degree than other elite offensive anchors. And for the most part, the Warriors offense in the PS has NOT been overly impressive, at least in the GOAT context. They had one season where they dominated the PS offensively (2017, Durant's first year with the team), but range from below average to above average, but not spectacular, in every other year of their run (15-19).

And I think what happens is that people tend to kind of combine 2017 with all the other PS runs, and of course the offensive numbers now look awesome, because 2017 will bring everything up massively. And I notice that in the numbers that Taylor put up in the video, all of those stretches pretty much always include 2017. IMO, it's a clear outlier and had a lot to do with Kevin Durant as well.

So based on the RS yes, you can make a great case for Curry being the offensive GOAT. I would probably agree with that. But based on the PS, when you have other offensive anchors that have consistently led dominant PS offenses and Curry just hasn't, i

Did you not watch the video?

Curry is way better against good defenses han durant

Curry scores way better without klay or kd than kd does without curry or westbrook

Curry's playoff impact is literally ~ 00-02 Shaq

Curry literally leead a 119 offense without kd or curry

How did you watch the video and get
"kd is closer to curry than i thought"
"curry hasn't led great offenses"
"curry is a top 5 player int he last 20 years"

"It feels like he's almost trying to convince people how great he is" ignoring that every single complaint you had about curry was empericlaly debunked lol.




Nothing was “debunked” lol.

Why did you ignore his playoff on/off being on par with shaq. Why did you ignore his scoring being way more resilient than larry bird? Why did you ignore him leading better offenses than kd without kd OR klay?
Because KD has led excellent PS offenses himself. And Curry has led exactly one dominant playoff offense in 17, with a lot of contribution from Durant. Their other runs weren’t nearly as impressive.

THe thunder's playofs offenses were better without westbrook than they were without durant.
KD without westbrook or curry:
https://youtu.be/JJ4ub0dLFMU?t=572
Curry without KD OR KLAY
https://youtu.be/bvTPxCOfjdE?t=2059

How is Durant "closer" to Curry than you thought after watching videos proving curry's a much more valuable playoff player, is much more resilient, and is a much better playoff scorer whose led better offenses on his own(119) than durant "led"(ignore westbrook's being more effecient by box score and better by +/-).

What part of the video had evidence that curry was worse than you rthught or durant was better?
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Re: Greatest Peaks series (Thinking Basketball/Ben Taylor) 

Post#1028 » by SiakimSinjistu » Tue Mar 16, 2021 2:15 am

eminence wrote:Not surprised that the initial responses here are generally along the lines of 'sure, he's good, but he's not that good'.

Its interesting how those responses basically ignore all the emperical evidence supporting curry being a lot better than they thought he was in the playoffs.
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Re: Greatest Peaks series (Thinking Basketball/Ben Taylor) 

Post#1029 » by eminence » Tue Mar 16, 2021 3:19 am

therealbig3 wrote:
eminence wrote:Do folks see Dirk as an elite off-ball player? Speed kills off-ball, and Dirk ain't got it (Shaq used strength, not speed, but the point was the same, generating space). I view Dirk largely as an on-ball player.


Dirk was excellent at screening and moving without the ball, and a lot of what Taylor pointed out with Curry in terms of gravity applies to Dirk as well, his presence and his activity created a lot of openings for teammates. Dirk also made the stretch 4 such a popular concept, by pulling an opposing big out of the paint and opening things up inside for perimeter players because of his threat to hit the 3 ball, which is more off ball value.

Yeah, Dirk was elite off ball imo.


The big difference that I see us having is on him moving without the ball. I think Dirk was decidedly mediocre in that department overall. When he did it he was good (not great imo), but he didn't do it very often (availability is the best ability and all that). I also put touch passing into off-ball play, another area I don't think Dirk was particularly good at.

A very summarized version of my assessment for guys mentioned:
Bird - Elite shooting (or finishing), Elite touch passing, good movement (this can be accomplished through strength like Shaq, perhaps more appropriately called space-finding or some such thing?)
Curry - Elite shooting, Elite movement, good touch passing
Reggie - Elite shooting, Elite movement, ??? touch passing (would need to evaluate that a bit)
Dirk - Elite shooting, decent movement, mediocre touch passing

Plus a bit of an elite iso-player bonus that keeps defender attention as a 4th category that they would all receive relative to more 'role-player' types.
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Re: Greatest Peaks series (Thinking Basketball/Ben Taylor) 

Post#1030 » by GYK » Tue Mar 16, 2021 3:54 am

Dirks value is that he’s a heavy 7fter. His era didn’t have the shooting of today. The value of possessions were more important as it was slower and a heavier diet of less efficient shots. As a 7fter in his era he had to be guarded by a big(that didn’t change until Miami went small). He was never the 3pt jacket he’s labeled as but was certainly one of the best 3pt shooters at his eras elite volume. This forced another paint protector to be pulled away off ball during the PF golden age. His scoring however was primarily PNP but a devastating post up ability and triple threat. KAT is the only player who should be compared to Dirk in style and as he continues to play center we also see how today’s coach would mean Dirk would be put in a predicament defensively(good players get drafted by bad teams, coaches and GM’s 99% of the time).

I think Durant/Curry are clearly better players but I think what made Dirk special gets lost as we force his style to fit today’s game. If he’s not jacking from 3 or a hub style player we lose sight on his value or how defenses are forced to react to him.
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Re: Greatest Peaks series (Thinking Basketball/Ben Taylor) 

Post#1031 » by therealbig3 » Tue Mar 16, 2021 4:17 am

SiakimSinjistu wrote:Why did you ignore his playoff on/off being on par with shaq. Why did you ignore his scoring being way more resilient than larry bird? Why did you ignore him leading better offenses than kd without kd OR klay?


I never brought up Larry Bird as an offensive GOAT candidate, and I've never been a fan of playoff on/off in general. And as for Curry's on/off, he also plays an overwhelming majority of his minutes with Draymond Green, and he's consistently been shown to be synergistic with Curry and not merely a beneficiary. Whenever we've seen Curry play without Green, he hasn't been nearly as effective. All-Star level, clearly not MVP level prior to Green's emergence. Struggled this season before Green came back. Small sample size, but it's also a small sample size to look at Green-less, Klay-less, and KD-less minutes for Curry.

My opinion that it's closer between the two than I initially thought in the past with regards to KD vs Curry was from way before these videos, from when I started looking at performance of offensive anchors in the PS. Before that, I thought KD was a top 10 player that gets hyped up as a top 3 player by the media and that he wasn't in the same stratosphere as Curry. Also, KD without Westbrook and Curry...really? How is that fair? KD is supposed to play with complete bums and still lead elite offenses? Curry still has Iggy and Green (two guys that take a lot of the playmaking and decision-making responsibility off Curry, who HAS had issues when he's had to take the bulk of the responsibility on offense in that sense). Curry still has a deep, talented roster with high IQ role players that can shoot and pass and move without the ball even without Klay or KD. KD without Westbrook simply did not have that. It's not a fair comparison, at all.

Anyway, the fact that it's hard to differentiate KD from Westbrook in terms of the great PS results of the Thunder offense in 12 and 16 is exactly why I would still take Curry over KD. But KD has proven to be an excellent offensive anchor in his own right, who can take a below average PS offense (the 15 and 16 Warriors led by Curry) and turn them into the GOAT one. There isn't a chasm between the two that you keep trying to suggest.
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Re: Greatest Peaks series (Thinking Basketball/Ben Taylor) 

Post#1032 » by LukaTheGOAT » Tue Mar 16, 2021 4:19 am

poopdamoop wrote:I don’t know how Ben calculates those percentiles at the end of his videos, but I’m curious who the 21 players that ranked higher than Curry in the spacing category are.


I think spacing has to do with how much spacing Steph himself had to deal with during the specified span, not so much as to how much spacing he gave others. I am basing this off his stats page on his website.
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Re: Greatest Peaks series (Thinking Basketball/Ben Taylor) 

Post#1033 » by LukaTheGOAT » Tue Mar 16, 2021 4:26 am

SiakimSinjistu wrote:
therealbig3 wrote:
SiakimSinjistu wrote:Did you not watch the video?

Curry is way better against good defenses han durant

Curry scores way better without klay or kd than kd does without curry or westbrook

Curry's playoff impact is literally ~ 00-02 Shaq

Curry literally leead a 119 offense without kd or curry

How did you watch the video and get
"kd is closer to curry than i thought"
"curry hasn't led great offenses"
"curry is a top 5 player int he last 20 years"

"It feels like he's almost trying to convince people how great he is" ignoring that every single complaint you had about curry was empericlaly debunked lol.




Nothing was “debunked” lol.

Why did you ignore his playoff on/off being on par with shaq. Why did you ignore his scoring being way more resilient than larry bird? Why did you ignore him leading better offenses than kd without kd OR klay?
Because KD has led excellent PS offenses himself. And Curry has led exactly one dominant playoff offense in 17, with a lot of contribution from Durant. Their other runs weren’t nearly as impressive.

THe thunder's playofs offenses were better without westbrook than they were without durant.
KD without westbrook or curry:
https://youtu.be/JJ4ub0dLFMU?t=572
Curry without KD OR KLAY
https://youtu.be/bvTPxCOfjdE?t=2059

How is Durant "closer" to Curry than you thought after watching videos proving curry's a much more valuable playoff player, is much more resilient, and is a much better playoff scorer whose led better offenses on his own(119) than durant "led"(ignore westbrook's being more effecient by box score and better by +/-).

What part of the video had evidence that curry was worse than you rthught or durant was better?


Using just raw on/off is not a great way to evaluate impact, as unlike PIPM and RAPM, it does not try to adjust for the teammates you are playing for. And furthermore, if we just follow raw on/off, a past peak David Robinson is better than Shaq, Lebron, etc. It is notable but not the only thing.

Also, I think people are focusing on Curry's playoff woes, because they often consider him when he is injured, and the on/off he used for Curry was when he came back from injuries I believe.

Curry has been a better scorer than Bird, I don't disagree with that. But I still don't come away feeling like Curry is arguably the GOAT offensive player; I think more of a fringe top 5 case is fine for him in that regard, but there are people who have proven to have led better 3 year offenses like Lebron and Nash, who don't put into the GOAT offensive player category by Taylor.

I have my reservations about Curry and I am not so easily going to thrust him into such a special tier, like that. Heck, Ben's own Backpicks BPM model doesn't even think Curry peaked higher than Durant in the PS based on their GSW (I believe Curry is better, I'm just noting this). Let alone, the fact that Lebron, MJ, Magic, all peaked higher in the PS according to it.

Where do you think would be appropriate for Curry as an offensive great?
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Re: Greatest Peaks series (Thinking Basketball/Ben Taylor) 

Post#1034 » by LukaTheGOAT » Tue Mar 16, 2021 4:31 am

Why is this board so high on KG, but also so low on Steph relatively speaking? I would say I am low on both in comparison to Ben and lower than KG than most of this board; but simply put both guys put up absurd RS impact metrics, so it seems kind of odd there isn't more praise with Curry.
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Re: Greatest Peaks series (Thinking Basketball/Ben Taylor) 

Post#1035 » by therealbig3 » Tue Mar 16, 2021 4:46 am

Peregrine01 wrote:
therealbig3 wrote:Yeah it did feel like he was almost trying to convince people of how great Curry is, because he knows there are some polarizing opinions of him...imo, this is clearly the one he put the most effort into, as evidenced by the run time.

Still a great video, and I love the breakdown of Curry's off-ball impact the most.

But to me, he kind of glosses over the elephant in the room with Curry, and it's something I've harped on plenty: for all of his insane RS production and visible offensive impact...he HAS been successfully slowed down in the playoffs to a greater degree than other elite offensive anchors. And for the most part, the Warriors offense in the PS has NOT been overly impressive, at least in the GOAT context. They had one season where they dominated the PS offensively (2017, Durant's first year with the team), but range from below average to above average, but not spectacular, in every other year of their run (15-19).

And I think what happens is that people tend to kind of combine 2017 with all the other PS runs, and of course the offensive numbers now look awesome, because 2017 will bring everything up massively. And I notice that in the numbers that Taylor put up in the video, all of those stretches pretty much always include 2017. IMO, it's a clear outlier and had a lot to do with Kevin Durant as well.

So based on the RS yes, you can make a great case for Curry being the offensive GOAT. I would probably agree with that. But based on the PS, when you have other offensive anchors that have consistently led dominant PS offenses and Curry just hasn't, it's hard for me to actually put him there. LeBron and Nash among the more modern offensive engines were simply more effective in their approach come playoff time. Not only them, but so were guys like Dirk and Kobe in fact.

IMO, Curry is a borderline top 5 offensive anchor in the last 20 years, never mind all-time. Which is ok, he's still awesome, and I would ultimately still take him over Durant (although this is a much closer comparison than I previously thought), Harden, and CP3 as an offensive anchor. But he's got limited vision and is an inconsistent passer/playmaker in comparison to LeBron, Nash, Magic, and his shooting does come down to earth a bit in the PS when teams are more physical with him, and his overall decision-making isn't the greatest when he's pressured and it leads to a lot of turnovers as well. And defensively, I ultimately agree with the video that he's not a negative and is probably a small positive, but the video definitely doesn't highlight his negatives the way it could have. So ultimately, I can't take him over LeBron or Nash, and it's hard for me to take him over Kobe/Dirk/Shaq when they were simply more effective, even though their games may not have been as aesthetically pleasing.


One thing that has hurt Curry as a playmaker in comparison to a guy like Nash is that the Warriors teams weren't really designed for the spaced-out style that the Suns played. They really didn't have shooters outside of Curry, Klay and then later KD. Those guys shared the court with multiple non-shooters like Dray, Iggy, Livingston, Barnes, Bogut, Javale and Pachulia. This gummed things up by allowing defenses to crowd the crap out of Curry or simply deny him from even touching the ball. Compare this to Nash or Lebron who are surrounded by shooters all the time they're on the floor and can play pick and roll endlessly against a spaced out floor. This was a big reason why the Warriors offense always fell off a cliff when Curry went out - even during the Durant years.

I attribute a lot of the effectiveness of the denial defense to Kerr actually - he was so intent on maximizing Curry off the ball to get other guys going that he failed to see that his best offensive player wasn't even able to get the ball. Smart defensive teams like OKC, Houston and the Cavs noticed that and were able to punish the Warriors for their insistence on this style of play. This season has taken it to another level: the Warriors are facing this kind of defense on a nightly basis.


I think this is a fair point, and it can explain *some* of the quite massive difference between LeBron-centric and Nash-centric PS offenses and Curry-centric PS offenses, but I don't think you're being totally fair to the Warriors' supporting cast.

Firstly, you're calling Green, Iggy, and Barnes non-shooters, when Green was a 33% 3pt shooter from 14-18 (once he became a rotation player) before tailing off in 2019, and his value is far more than just his shooting ability and he really helps Curry a lot in terms of freeing him up with his screening, and is really the Warriors' main playmaker and decision-maker in space and relieves Curry of that responsibility a lot. Harden and Lillard started getting the same defensive attention as Curry in the PnR, but they didn't have the release valves that Curry had in Green. It's been proven that it's not as easy as Green makes it look, and in that sense, I don't think dismissing Green as a non-factor on offense is fair at all. I think he's a huge part of the success their offense has had.

Barnes shot 39% from 3 during 15-16. And 35% in the PS. Iggy was a consistent 35% 3pt shooter for pretty much his entire GS run. And was another high IQ player who was a capable ball handler and playmaker in space.

And THEN you add Klay on top of that, who's likely the 2nd greatest shooter in history, whose presence also helped Curry much in the same way that Curry's presence helped everyone else.

I don't really need to get into the Durant years.

Even prior to KD, I think Curry had a great mix of shooting, ball handling, decision-making, passing, and cutting next to him, who probably would have comprised a pretty good team independent of Curry, who he helped lift to championship-status. That's what a superstar does, but I'm not seeing outlier offensive impact here in the GOAT context.

And you mentioned LeBron and Nash, two guys who did enjoy great spacing on offense pretty consistently. LeBron though in Miami did play a big chunk of minutes next to Wade, who was certifiably not a floor spacer at all, worse than Iggy or Green in that respect. Bosh wasn't stepping out to the 3pt line consistently, and the Heat were also utilizing two big lineups much of the time with Bosh/Anthony or Bosh/Birdman. So I actually don't think LeBron had incredible spacing clearly better than what Curry had pre-KD when he was in Miami.

And the offenses that LeBron led in the PS when he was on the court in Miami:

2011: +4.7
2012: +10.7
2013: +9.9
2014: +9.6

Compared to Curry pre-KD:

2015: +3.3
2016: +5.7

He's more in line with a clearly disappointing 2011 Heat than what LeBron accomplished in the last 3 years of his Miami run.

And what about Dirk or Kobe? I think if you ask people that followed those teams, they would actually tell you that outside of the spacing they themselves provided by being as great as they were, their teams did not have optimal spacing, and that defensive lineups were often played at the expense of playing offensive players, and that the offense would rely on them to carry them in that sense. Which I don't think the Warriors ever had to worry about, because their best defensive players were their best offensive players, outside of Bogut, who played less than half the game and was really the only offensive liability that got major playing time in the PS. The lineup that played the most though was often Curry-Klay-Iggy-Barnes-Green, which was an optimal lineup on both sides of the ball for them. They didn't really have to sacrifice anything.

And if you look at the deep PS runs that Dirk or Kobe were a part of as the main offensive hubs of their teams:

03 Dirk: +11.0
06 Dirk: +7.8
11 Dirk: +9.4

08 Kobe: +8.1
09 Kobe: +8.4
10 Kobe: +8.4

And in Kobe's case specifically, he certainly played much stronger defensive teams during those runs than what Curry faced, relatively speaking.


But anyway, I've talked about this before, debates have gotten heated, that's not the road I want to go down nor am I trying to be repetitive...it's just that the Curry video came out, we're discussing it, and that's that. I have no problem with his inclusion, he has a case. I just wouldn't personally rate him as highly as Taylor or some others on this forum do.

I understand that you've also mentioned yourself that it is fair to point out that one could easily argue that 2015 as the first year of a young championship nucleus saw their system tested, but when they would have had the chance to prove themselves as a legit offensive force in the playoffs, injuries struck, and then they added Durant and so we'll never really know if their offense pre-KD would have been GOAT-worthy or not. That's fair also.
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Re: Greatest Peaks series (Thinking Basketball/Ben Taylor) 

Post#1036 » by therealbig3 » Tue Mar 16, 2021 5:41 am

So this is the last one of the series? Great work overall imo.

My favorite videos were probably the KG and Kobe ones.
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Re: Greatest Peaks series (Thinking Basketball/Ben Taylor) 

Post#1037 » by Odinn21 » Tue Mar 16, 2021 6:47 am

Well, the series is basically over, only the ranking episode left.
And I have to say that I find Taylor excusing the issues of rather revolutionary players like Curry and Garnett a bit annoying.
I talked to him about Duncan's injuries having an impact on his "against strong defenses numbers" and Timmy having a higher gear in playoffs not showing up in those numbers, and he wasn't doing justice. All he said was "you're not getting what I'm doing", then did the exact same thing for Curry in the last episode. Literally.
TBH, he lost a bit of credit about his objectivity for me when he was doing a Q&A on Discord because he said "after watching so many KG and Duncan videos in quick successions, I was like -hey KG's not doing like that-". I can literally do the same for Timmy but I know that having a mindset like that will have a foregone and probably tainted conclusion.
This is not about me being a Duncan fan and Taylor seeing things differently. He has been either too apologetic or too excusing of his favourite and/or rather revolutionary players ever since Robinson episode.

He spent more time on interpolating things outside of David Robinson's actual peak seasons instead of actually talking about them.
Then Garnett episode was "he's better on a better team" and scoring is rather overrated. Not if you're on a team like 2000s Minnesota Timberwolves.
Then Durant's episode was "he's tall and he can function next to a better scorer than himself".
Then Curry's episode was another excusing episode. The episode ends with "Curry's scoring per 75 in the playoffs without KD&Klay", mate that accounts for one seventh of Curry's entire play time. It is not significant enough to make such a claim.
The issue with per75 numbers;
36pts on 27 fga/9 fta in 36 mins, does this mean he'd keep up the efficiency to get 48pts on 36fga/12fta in 48 mins?
The answer; NO. He's human, not a linearly working machine.
Per75 is efficiency rate, not actual production.
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Re: Greatest Peaks series (Thinking Basketball/Ben Taylor) 

Post#1038 » by SiakimSinjistu » Tue Mar 16, 2021 6:55 am

LukaTheGOAT wrote:
SiakimSinjistu wrote:
therealbig3 wrote:


Nothing was “debunked” lol.

Why did you ignore his playoff on/off being on par with shaq. Why did you ignore his scoring being way more resilient than larry bird? Why did you ignore him leading better offenses than kd without kd OR klay?
Because KD has led excellent PS offenses himself. And Curry has led exactly one dominant playoff offense in 17, with a lot of contribution from Durant. Their other runs weren’t nearly as impressive.

THe thunder's playofs offenses were better without westbrook than they were without durant.
KD without westbrook or curry:
https://youtu.be/JJ4ub0dLFMU?t=572
Curry without KD OR KLAY
https://youtu.be/bvTPxCOfjdE?t=2059

How is Durant "closer" to Curry than you thought after watching videos proving curry's a much more valuable playoff player, is much more resilient, and is a much better playoff scorer whose led better offenses on his own(119) than durant "led"(ignore westbrook's being more effecient by box score and better by +/-).

What part of the video had evidence that curry was worse than you rthught or durant was better?


Using just raw on/off is not a great way to evaluate impact, as unlike PIPM and RAPM, it does not try to adjust for the teammates you are playing for. And furthermore, if we just follow raw on/off, a past peak David Robinson is better than Shaq, Lebron, etc. It is notable but not the only thing.

Also, I think people are focusing on Curry's playoff woes, because they often consider him when he is injured, and the on/off he used for Curry was when he came back from injuries I believe.

Curry has been a better scorer than Bird, I don't disagree with that. But I still don't come away feeling like Curry is arguably the GOAT offensive player; I think more of a fringe top 5 case is fine for him in that regard, but there are people who have proven to have led better 3 year offenses like Lebron and Nash, who don't put into the GOAT offensive player category by Taylor.

I have my reservations about Curry and I am not so easily going to thrust him into such a special tier, like that. Heck, Ben's own Backpicks BPM model doesn't even think Curry peaked higher than Durant in the PS based on their GSW (I believe Curry is better, I'm just noting this). Let alone, the fact that Lebron, MJ, Magic, all peaked higher in the PS according to it.

Where do you think would be appropriate for Curry as an offensive great?

curry kills stats like pipm too? his 17, 19, and 15 all great runs according to plus minus stuff.

Okay. But durant, nash, and bird all had injury issues too. Only players who didn't were lebron and magic.

what? Curry peaks higher in like all the playoff stats and like ben said in the video, the sample is biased towards KD because of competition
https://youtu.be/JJ4ub0dLFMU?t=1368
https://youtu.be/bvTPxCOfjdE?t=1976
Curry ranks higher in every single stat DESPITE playing tougher compeition according to ben. And the only year in that sample where kd scored higher, thats basiclaly all becuase of durant playing the easy rounds and curry playinf the hard ones. In the series where both shared the court curry pretty clearly outplayed him despite being injured. Between outplaying him with an injury in 2016, being far and away more impactful in 2017 end to end, nearly winning without him in 2019, what more does curry have to do to show he's clearly the better player? in 2020, curry's carrying the worst team in the league to a winning record while the nets chug along unaffected by kd's absence.

Lebron isn't a goat level offensive player? That doesn't make any sense. Lebron has like the best 2 year scoring stretch ever in 09-10 and according to ben's own video, 12-14 lebron without wade killed mj's best stretches. Ben also says lebron is one of the best creators in history. How can someone with a case as the goat scoring and top 5 creator not have a case for offensive goathood?



I think curry's clearly better than bird talking realtive era but not sure how he compares to magic relative to competition. I put jordan and magic above him probably. Nash might compare offense onl. I think in terms of raw ability, only lebron's clearly better on offense.

video shows curry's bpm higher? i agree lebron, jordan and magic proabablt better on offense. I don't understand "top 5 in the last 20 years"
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Re: Greatest Peaks series (Thinking Basketball/Ben Taylor) 

Post#1039 » by SiakimSinjistu » Tue Mar 16, 2021 7:17 am

therealbig3 wrote:
SiakimSinjistu wrote:Why did you ignore his playoff on/off being on par with shaq. Why did you ignore his scoring being way more resilient than larry bird? Why did you ignore him leading better offenses than kd without kd OR klay?


I never brought up Larry Bird as an offensive GOAT candidate, and I've never been a fan of playoff on/off in general. And as for Curry's on/off, he also plays an overwhelming majority of his minutes with Draymond Green, and he's consistently been shown to be synergistic with Curry and not merely a beneficiary. Whenever we've seen Curry play without Green, he hasn't been nearly as effective. All-Star level, clearly not MVP level prior to Green's emergence. Struggled this season before Green came back. Small sample size, but it's also a small sample size to look at Green-less, Klay-less, and KD-less minutes for Curry.

My opinion that it's closer between the two than I initially thought in the past with regards to KD vs Curry was from way before these videos, from when I started looking at performance of offensive anchors in the PS. Before that, I thought KD was a top 10 player that gets hyped up as a top 3 player by the media and that he wasn't in the same stratosphere as Curry. Also, KD without Westbrook and Curry...really? How is that fair? KD is supposed to play with complete bums and still lead elite offenses? Curry still has Iggy and Green (two guys that take a lot of the playmaking and decision-making responsibility off Curry, who HAS had issues when he's had to take the bulk of the responsibility on offense in that sense). Curry still has a deep, talented roster with high IQ role players that can shoot and pass and move without the ball even without Klay or KD. KD without Westbrook simply did not have that. It's not a fair comparison, at all.

Anyway, the fact that it's hard to differentiate KD from Westbrook in terms of the great PS results of the Thunder offense in 12 and 16 is exactly why I would still take Curry over KD. But KD has proven to be an excellent offensive anchor in his own right, who can take a below average PS offense (the 15 and 16 Warriors led by Curry) and turn them into the GOAT one. There isn't a chasm between the two that you keep trying to suggest.

The warriors --with-- dray were the worst team in the league last year. Despite being mega shorthanded with covid, they are .500 now. That's a pretty good carry job for a 31 year old.

Also what do you mean "clearly not"? Curry's impact stuff rivalled KD before draymond. And his team was pretty good in the postseason.

Huh? How is KD playing with "complete bums" withotu curry? He gets to play with klay and dray and iggy too?

according to backpicks, at full strength the 15 thunder played at a 48 win pace without KD. That's the same as what metrics like pipm say the warriors were withotu curry in 2016, let alone 2015 or 2019. IDK why kd "clearly has a worse team". Westbrook was better than KD in the playoffs according to box score and plus minus. Given curry's injury, KD shouldn't have been outscored, setting curry's much better playmaking aside.

I mean KD has been one ppped by so many of his own contemporaries. We already covered Westbrook. The second he had a chnace to Davis managed a much better version of KD's best postseason in way harder corcumstances. Kawhi is literally just a more resilient KD+defense and some playmaking. Harden can score like KD while creating more. In creation, scoring, and impact, curry's only been outdone by lebron and maybe giannis in the regular season while KD's not even a clear top 3 on the one thing he does at an amazing level. I don't get why people compare KD and Curry.

You say "its hard to differentiate" but if KD really wasn't the main factor behind those okc offenses, which is what the playoff data and boxscore suggests, then I don't know how you can say there isn't a chasm between curry and someone getting outplayed by westbrook.
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Re: Greatest Peaks series (Thinking Basketball/Ben Taylor) 

Post#1040 » by therealbig3 » Tue Mar 16, 2021 7:31 am

I mean, I listed the 5 players I have better or at the same level as Curry offensively in the last 20 years: LeBron, Nash, Kobe, Dirk, and Shaq.

Also with regards to Kobe, many of the same things being used as a defense of Curry applies to Kobe as well:

-was constantly dealing with injuries in pretty much every playoff run, particularly to his fingers and his knees, even requiring his knee to be drained in the middle of the 2010 playoffs...can also argue that his numbers took a hit because he was playing through injuries even more than Curry was
-constantly played in defensive-oriented lineups, and frequently played with two traditional bigs at the same time
-did not have elite outside shooting around him
-played against some truly great defenses through the Lakers 08-10 run...10/12 teams were top 10 defenses, including every team he faced in the 09 playoffs...compare that to Curry's best 3 year stretch, say 15-17...5/12 were top 10 defenses, and the only top 10 defense they faced in the 2016 playoffs was the Cavs lol (exactly 10th)

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