RealGM Top 100 List #7

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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #7 

Post#121 » by Fencer reregistered » Mon Jul 11, 2011 9:18 pm

An Unbiased Fan wrote:
Fencer reregistered wrote:
An Unbiased Fan wrote:Top 3 scorer ever,


I'm reluctant to grant that for somebody who never beat .503% eFG or .580 TS% any season in his career. Give me Larry Bird or Michael Jordan instead, whose career AVERAGES rivaled those numbers. (Each higher in eFG, close in TS.) Also give me some of the top post scorers.

Similarly, I hope you're not arguing that Kobe was a better offensive player than Jordan (who blows him away in scoring) or Magic (who blows him away in passing) or Bird (who blows him away in both), so to put him top 5 I guess you only have him beating one center. Which one do you have in mind?

My Top 3 scorers ever are MJ, Kobe, Wilt, with HM to KAJ & Shaq. BTW, do you really want to base you top scorers ever on eFG & TS solely...because Chris Mullin is much better than Bird in that analysis. Stats need to be put into context like always.

My Top 5 offensive players are MAgic, MJ, Bird, Kobe, Nash.


On what basis then DO you rank Kobe so high in offense and scoring? Number of FG attempts made, an unimpressive fraction of which went in? Scoring at high volume and OK efficiency despite being saddled with useless teammates such as Gasol and Shaq?
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #7 

Post#122 » by MacGill » Mon Jul 11, 2011 9:19 pm

It's not just the leaving of the team, it's inevitable lack of effort & chemistry.


It seems like we base Shaq more on what we all believe to be his hidden potential or if he had moulded his game after past defensive bigs (already voted in). It's hard for me to pinpoint exactly where lack of effort is with him especially looking at his career/accomplishments and if this was all obtained with lack of effort & chemistry.

I can agree certainly it appeared there were times where in comparisions to prior Shaq he weighed more but again Shaq from the start was already much larger than Hakeem/Duncan so maybe that was genetically how his body was. Maybe it was indeed harder for him to keep himself more slender than the other two but he was certainly very athletic and agile for a man that size, where he wasn't at any real disadvantage up until say 04 but even after that it was said the era of center was so weak, so who are we criticizing him against other than what could have been. As for chemistry, he brought 3 different teams to the nba finals and won 4 titles overall. Again, it appears that we almost have had expected Shaq to win 11 rings like Russell, but Shaq was a different player. I don't think any other player takes as much grief, mostly being the main guy while winning 4 titles and 3 finals mvps.


Bottom line is, if I'm drafting Jordan, he's given me ZERO reason to think he'll eventually be a malcontent, whereas Shaq has proven to become lazy, unhappy and petty literally everywhere he went during his prime, and it's why he only has 1 MVP.


But Hakeem only won one MVP as well and bottom line is Shaq won more titles and final mvps than Hakeem. As lazy as we want to say he was, unhappy or petty, he still managed to win more than any other big not named Russell or KAJ in these conversations and by what people are posting in non-traditional center ways of not being as impactful defensively.

I do want to make clear: Shaq isn't much lower than Hakeem on my list. But literally, we're talking about guys with similar peaks, and similar athletic longevity. If you aren't considering the times in the midst of that where there were problems which reduced the benefit these players provided, I don't think you're going deep enough.
[/quote]

And when we talk about Shaq's injuries, again where I can see some slight for that, look at other past true 7+ footers who also fell into that category. Yao, Oden, Bynum are recent one's and all players who were heavier than Hakeem (who by the way I am a big fan of) and obviously there bodies failed them at some point. Let's face it, I myself have gained 25 pounds since my prime weight and my knees tell me that everyday :wink:

There are so many athletes in the world today who can get by on superior athleticism even against other top athletes. While Shaq has documented questionable actions around this, it's not like he ever lost his starting job or we seen such a dramatic decrease in his stats that is was inevitable this was the reason. Maybe he remains as committed as Jordan but it makes no real difference in his play. Maybe his peak was like Hakeem's, where one could say his 94-95 was Hakeem's two best years and while stat's could be reviled from previous seasons, that is the Hakeem most would want on their team, why didn't we have this play in other years like Shaq in 2000?

It's sad for me to see a guy like Wilt put over Shaq (on this board) when all Duncan/Shaq/Hakeem have great arguments only to hear now that the most dominant, best peak player, longevity, and great winner left is being downplayed because of ego, injuries and riff's with players when the other two players being compared to were not dealt the same hand as Shaq in pure size, superstar acquisistion throughout careers, or having other teams exploit your weakness game in and game out (hack-a-Shaq). Yet, with his bad free throw shooting, egotisical ways etc, he still had such a historical career.

So to everyone who excepted him to win 8 titles and make his relations last with Penny/Kobe or Wade and not to weigh 340+ pounds, and focus more on defence, than maybe he did underacheive. From all the information provided in these great threads, if all we have is 'eye test theory' (mainly) from a physical perspective on what we think he should have weighed, looked and made public riffs by another future top 10 superstar that should have went on to win more but didn't. Again maybe he underachieved. I choose to use look what he accompished given all that we've seen and know and that at his peak no one mentioned would have a consistent answer for him offensively or defensively.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #7 

Post#123 » by ElGee » Mon Jul 11, 2011 9:24 pm

^^^Yeah that's wrong. You need to take the total points and divide by the pace. The pace isn't the same for each game. As it is, it's still an estimate because the BR pace estimator is technically off by a touch.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #7 

Post#124 » by OldSchoolNBA » Mon Jul 11, 2011 9:29 pm

ElGee wrote:^^^Yeah that's wrong. You need to take the total points and divide by the pace. The pace isn't the same for each game. As it is, it's still an estimate because the BR pace estimator is technically off by a touch.

Oh ok. Thanks for the clarification. Knew there was something wrong.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #7 

Post#125 » by fatal9 » Mon Jul 11, 2011 9:30 pm

DavidStern wrote:Shaq dominated, and won more (well, his teams won more...) against Smits and MacCulloch. Hakeem - Ewing (38 FG% in the finals!), Robinson and Shaq (his finals averages looks nice, but he scored many points after games was basically over, stat padded, just like Wilt). Overall Hakeem dominated in much stronger league, with much better competition at C position.
And BTW, prime Robinson wasn't able to cut down Hakeem's production, but past prime Robinson was able to cut down Shaq's production. That's telling a lot. Shaq was so lucky that league was so weak during his prime and that he played with three great guards, two of them top 20 all time.

True but Shaq rarely played any center one on one. In his prime he was the most doubled player I've ever seen (followed maybe by prime Hakeem). Team defense matters more than the opposing center sometimes. The team that was most effective at slowing down Hakeem to me was the Sonics (had no all-time great center) because of their quick doubles, their ability to quickly collapse on/trap him, front him and make post passes extremely difficult (got away with illegal D a lot too). It's amazing how hard Hakeem had to work against them. But overall, I agree with you and respect Hakeem's competition both team wise and at his position much more than either of Shaq/Duncan's. But in the end, they are about even as players, Shaq just ended up with the better resume. Still haven't ruled out voting for Hakeem though.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #7 

Post#126 » by An Unbiased Fan » Mon Jul 11, 2011 9:34 pm

Even with his faults, I still see Shaq as having a greater impact than Hakeem. As an offensive anchor, he was on par with Hakeem as a defensive anchor. Shaq actually created more problems for opposing defenses, than Hakeem did to opposing offenses.

I'm kinda perplexed that Hakeem is getting so much love, considering there was pretty much zero talk of him in the #6 thread. We just finished debating Bird vs the 00's guys, and now Hakeem jumps in the conversation and over everyone?

Talent-wise, I can see Hakeem being a Top 5 player, but......career-wise, he's not there. He did have a great peak, but again, pretty much everyone in the Top 20 did. What was special about his peak that it overshadows the careers of the 00's guys?

Please don't take this as attacking those who are picking Hakeem, I'm genuinely interested in their reasoning.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #7 

Post#127 » by Dr Positivity » Mon Jul 11, 2011 9:35 pm

Ok I'll address Duncan vs Hakeem since it didn't look like Hakeem was in contention before and I didn't feel a need to repeat my reasoning from previous threads on it

Obviously any edge between these guys is marginal. Production and "function on the court" looks pretty much the same. Hakeem is the more spectacular player, but I don't really care about flash.

Ultimately my opinion on the two has always been Duncan does a better job setting the table for his teammates and doesn't have Hakeem's (probably overblown, but still there) headcase issues 92 and back. That combined with more results on the table, makes me give him the benefit of the doubt most of the time. But it's a Magic/Bird thing - hard to seperate
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #7 

Post#128 » by fatal9 » Mon Jul 11, 2011 10:03 pm

ElGee wrote:I know that in 1991 -- a notable down year for Dream -- in the 26 games he missed Houston outscored it's opponents by 2.4 ppg (16-10 record). They were only slightly better with him (+4.0 overall) but while the defense improved about 3 points the offense regressed slightly.

I know that in 1992 -- another "bumpy" season -- in the 12 games he missed Houston was outscored by 10.8 points per. The DRtg was a dubious 117.2. With Dream, they were -0.2 (+10.6 difference).

I know that in 1995 when Hakeem missed 10 games, Houston was -4.3 without Olajuwon and +3.0 with him. Again, the offense was better, but the defense fell apart in his absence. (The DRtg was 116.8 without Hakeem.)

Also to add '96 regular season (missed 10 games), because he was better that year than some years in the early 90s, he averaged 27/11/4/3 on 56 TS%. In his movements he had noticeably slowed down, but that was still a great year for him (averaged 29/11/4 post ASG...Sonics just did a great job on him in the playoffs). Anyways -7.4 without him, +2.9 with him for net difference of +10.3.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #7 

Post#129 » by Doctor MJ » Mon Jul 11, 2011 10:03 pm

MacGill wrote:
It's not just the leaving of the team, it's inevitable lack of effort & chemistry.


It seems like we base Shaq more on what we all believe to be his hidden potential or if he had moulded his game after past defensive bigs (already voted in). It's hard for me to pinpoint exactly where lack of effort is with him especially looking at his career/accomplishments and if this was all obtained with lack of effort & chemistry.


Honestly, I don't really see what so hard to see. This is a guy who managed to get obese while playing professional basketball, and refused to get begin injury recovery during the off-season...and won only 1 MVP during a period where everyone thought he was the best player in the league for many years.

The underachievement is very, clear cut.

MacGill wrote:But Hakeem only won one MVP as well and bottom line is Shaq won more titles and final mvps than Hakeem. As lazy as we want to say he was, unhappy or petty, he still managed to win more than any other big not named Russell or KAJ in these conversations and by what people are posting in non-traditional center ways of not being as impactful defensively.


Were I going simply by such metrics, clearly I'd be arguing for Duncan here, right? When I argue for Hakeem, I'm not doing it to find someone other than Shaq to go for, I'm very much lifting Hakeem up beyond his superficial accolades. I'm seeing a guy who at his peak was absolutely amazing on offense and defense, and who had some bad luck teammate-wise.

And let's be clear, Shaq had some fantastic luck with teammates. Penny, then Kobe, then Wade? Has anyone else in history ever had that kind of luck to have 3 such great scoring perimeter players? It was so amazing in fact that some people still think Shaq made those guys even as we see Kobe & Wade dominate just as much without him.

That Shaq won only 4 titles with that kind of talent around him, is a bit of a problem when you start using that 4 to belittle Hakeem's 2.

MacGill wrote:And when we talk about Shaq's injuries, again where I can see some slight for that, look at other past true 7+ footers who also fell into that category. Yao, Oden, Bynum are recent one's and all players who were heavier than Hakeem (who by the way I am a big fan of) and obviously there bodies failed them at some point. Let's face it, I myself have gained 25 pounds since my prime weight and my knees tell me that everyday :wink:


Again: It's not like it's an actual debate whether Shaq was lazy compared to the Kobes & Jordans of the world. When you do things that diminish your capacity, it really doesn't make any sense to say "Well, other people have these problems even though they tried really hard." Shaq doesn't warrant getting that benefit of the doubt, specifically because we know he didn't try very hard.
MacGill wrote:It's sad for me to see a guy like Wilt put over Shaq (on this board) when all Duncan/Shaq/Hakeem have great arguments only to hear now that the most dominant, best peak player, longevity, and great winner left is being downplayed because of ego, injuries and riff's with players when the other two players being compared to were not dealt the same hand as Shaq in pure size, superstar acquisistion throughout careers, or having other teams exploit your weakness game in and game out (hack-a-Shaq). Yet, with his bad free throw shooting, egotisical ways etc, he still had such a historical career.

So to everyone who excepted him to win 8 titles and make his relations last with Penny/Kobe or Wade and not to weigh 340+ pounds, and focus more on defence, than maybe he did underacheive. From all the information provided in these great threads, if all we have is 'eye test theory' (mainly) from a physical perspective on what we think he should have weighed, looked and made public riffs by another future top 10 superstar that should have went on to win more but didn't. Again maybe he underachieved. I choose to use look what he accompished given all that we've seen and know and that at his peak no one mentioned would have a consistent answer for him offensively or defensively.


We're doing a GOAT list here man. Shaq's not getting compared with scrubs, he's getting compared with the most amazing players of all time. To do this we have to look at this from all sides, and if I think a guy warrants a place a bit further down than you do, it stands to reason I better give some reasons to you for that. This is not some great tragedy of being unappreciative. It's about being analytical rather purely sentimental.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #7 

Post#130 » by 34Dayz » Mon Jul 11, 2011 10:28 pm

I usually appreciate your insight Doc but to act like Shaq was "obese" or "severly out of shape" during most if his career is a bit insulting. I'd say from 93-03 He usually kept himself in decent enough shape despite injurys and despite the fact that maybe he could have kept himself a tiny bit lighter from 03 on.

Also to blame him for dumb MVP voters makes no sense to me.

Yes that year he took extra time to rehab his injury was stupid of him but im not calling him perfect he made mistakes like any other player.

Perhaps Shaq was lazy in certain off seasons especially later in his career but one thing that I never questioned in him was his competitive fire and his effort on the court itself, he brought it especially vs quality opponents and especially once the playoffs started.

Hakeem was good and defensively he was the best, but do I think he was more impactful then Shaq was when comparing Offense/Defense and intangibles no I do not, and that is why I will always have Shaq ranked over Hakeem. For me Shaq was always a Tier above Hakeem/Duncan with those two being fairly interchangeable.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #7 

Post#131 » by Doctor MJ » Mon Jul 11, 2011 10:28 pm

An Unbiased Fan wrote:I'm kinda perplexed that Hakeem is getting so much love, considering there was pretty much zero talk of him in the #6 thread. We just finished debating Bird vs the 00's guys, and now Hakeem jumps in the conversation and over everyone?


This tends to happen in this type of project. For me, my previous vote(s) were a debate between Bird & Hakeem, but with Hakeem not being on others radar, and with me siding with Bird, it didn't seem that helpful to dwell on that debate. I'm sure it was the same for others.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #7 

Post#132 » by 34Dayz » Mon Jul 11, 2011 10:44 pm

People really forget how feared Shaq was.. and how intimidating defending him was for opposing teams. I think he had some of the greatest intangibles of all time the effect he had on the entire dynamics of games and eventually the league.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #7 

Post#133 » by Sedale Threatt » Mon Jul 11, 2011 10:49 pm

Those aren't really intangibles, though. The need to double-team him constantly is a very clear and real impact. As is the sheer amount of fouls he drew. Obviously, Shaq didn't convert on those as much as you'd like, but there is still huge value in putting opposing bigs in foul trouble, getting into the penalty early, drawing all that extra attention. (In comparison, I'm kind of surprised at the relatively small amount of foul shots Dream shot.) Obviously, all great bigs need extra attention, but the sheer physical presence O'Neal brought was different from any other player in history outside of Wilt Chamberlain.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #7 

Post#134 » by Jimmy76 » Mon Jul 11, 2011 10:50 pm

I just not overly confident Shaq would have the will to get the 2 titles that Hakeem did with that cast (probably would have gotten out of Houston in possibly dramatic fashion given the management) and I'm more confident Hakeem could have grabbed Shaq's titles given Penny, Kobe, Wade
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #7 

Post#135 » by penbeast0 » Mon Jul 11, 2011 10:53 pm

People keep saying Hakeem had such a weak team around him when he won the rings. He had a team specifically built to maximize his talents similar to what Dallas built around Nowitski. He had an extremely efficient secondary scorer in either Thorpe (9 times in top 10 in NBA in FG%, 5 times in rebounding) or Drexler (still one of if not the best SG in the league with MJ out); he had outstanding 3 point shooters to spread the floor in Kenny Smith (3 times top 10 in ts% in 93, 94, 95), Mario Elie (also 3 times in top 10 in ts% 95,96,99), Robert Horry (one of the early spread the floor 4/3's with his knack for making clutch shots, add in Mad Max (Ron Artest level defender/though he couldn't shoot), Sam Cassell, and a coach who was ahead of his time in using the 3 point shot as a threat in Rudy T and it was a perfect team to maximize Hakeem's spectacular talent.

It was not chock full of superstars like the Heat this year, but the talents fit really well . . . and of course the Heat lost.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #7 

Post#136 » by Sedale Threatt » Mon Jul 11, 2011 10:56 pm

The 95 Finals is a microcosm. Everybody focuses on Olajuwon supposedly destroying O'Neal, when in fact the difference was the role players. Anderson/Scott/Grant/bench sucked a collective dick for Orlando, while Houston's supporting cast was generally excellent. That was the biggest difference. Elie, Smith and Horry all deserve to be in the Role Player Hall of Fame.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #7 

Post#137 » by Jimmy76 » Mon Jul 11, 2011 10:57 pm

Not necessarily the weakest cast ever but there's no doubt in my mind I'd trade out what Hakeem had for what Shaq had and I definitely put money down on Hakeem having more success spending his whole career with a star shooting guard than a well fit cast of roleplayers (yeah I know this is the year of fit over talent but this is a wing/big pairing)
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #7 

Post#138 » by 34Dayz » Mon Jul 11, 2011 10:58 pm

Jimmy76 wrote:I just not overly confident Shaq would have the will to get the 2 titles that Hakeem did with that cast (probably would have gotten out of Houston in possibly dramatic fashion given the management) and I'm more confident Hakeem could have grabbed Shaq's titles given Penny, Kobe, Wade


I dont see why not, Young Shaq was able to lead his team to the Finals to face Hakeem and probably only lost due to Hakeem having the edge when it came to experience and a better supporting cast surrounding him (no chokers). Put 00 Shaq on that ORL team and I have a feeling that series ends up alot differently then it did.

Imagine if you put a Young or Rookie Hakeem on that Orlando team and put Prime Shaq on that Houston team.. see what I'm saying. If a young Shaq could arguably play Prime Hakeem to a wash I dont see how Prime Shaq would be inferior to him or even on par with him.

Also you are overrating Hakeems casts in reference to Shaq's Penny was not that great and did nothing without Oneal by his side and Kobe wasnt even a top 15 player in 00.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #7 

Post#139 » by Dr Positivity » Mon Jul 11, 2011 11:01 pm

DavidStern wrote:
Sedale Threatt wrote:
This is probably unfair, just like a lot of the flak KG got during his detention in Minnesota, but I guess I look at Olajuwon and wonder, where was uber-Dream a little bit earlier in his career?

I understand that he started his career late, and his development unfolded accordingly. But the biggest feathers in his cap are those two championship seasons, and it just didn't feel, nor do his numbers indicate, he was at that level consistently throughout his career.


Well, in his second year he advanced to NBA finals and played GREAT against one of the best frontcourts in history (and if not injury to Rockets playmaker they might win it all that year). Next season and Hakeem had these great series against Sonics with monster elimination game (fatal was talking about it). So he was at this level very early, but his team was weak during his first seasons (just like KG and Minnesota).

Looking at Olajuwon's peak as an offensive player, he was obviously more skilled and versatile. But sort of like Duncan, his top scoring years would have been average for Shaq during his first 11 years in the NBA.


Look at their peaks in the playoffs (that's what really matters, not some stat padding during regular season ;] ):

Code: Select all

Shaq 00-02
Duncan 03-05
Hakeem 93-95

stat   Shaq   Hakeem   Duncan
G   58   57   57
MPG   42.3   42.7   40.3
PPG   29.9   29.8   23.8   
TS%   56.2   56.4   55.3



So yeah, Duncan is worse in terms of volume, but Hakeem isn't worse than Shaq - the same efficiency and volume, but Olajuwon played against tougher competition.

BTW, I don't know if people realize how special was what Hakeem did during 1994 finals. Not only he destroyed Ewing (38 FG%) but also entire Knicks defense (he was guarded not only by King Kong, but also other NY players) which is one of absolute best defenses of all time.


Just noting about Hakeem. Those teams were designed to get him as many shots as possible, with the 3pt guys preventing doubles. As amazing as his play and especially clutch moments were, I do think at times the high FGA helped his stack up those 30 and 40pt games.

Here are Hakeem's 30pt+ games in the 94 and 95 playoffs and his FGA

95

vs Utah
45 - 30 FGA
30 - 27 FGA
40 - 22 FGA (15 FTA)
33 - 16 FGA (20 FTA)

vs Phx

36 - 27 FGA
38 - 34 FGA
31 - 31 FGA
30 - 22 FGA

vs SA
41 - 31 FGA
43 - 32 FGA
42 - 30 FGA
39 - 25 FGA

vs Orl
31 - 26 FGA
34 - 30 FGA
31 - 30 FGA
35 - 30 FGA

94 -

vs Port

46 - 30 FGA (18 FTA)
36 - 27 FGA

vs Phx

36 - 24 FGA
31 - 28 FGA
37 - 33 FGA

vs Uta

31 - 20 FGA
41 - 22 FGA

vs NY

32 - 20 FGA
30 - 21 FGA

If you do it for 25-30 pt games added

95

vs Uta

27 - 22 FGA

vs Phx

25 - 23
29 - 21 FGA

vs SA

27 - 24 FGA

94 -

vs Port

26 - 19 FGA
28 - 26 FGA

vs Phx

26 - 17 FGA
28 - 23 FGA

vs Uta

29 - 23 FGA

vs NY

28 - 22 FGA
25 - 21 FGA
27 - 21 FGA
25 - 25 FGA (Game 7)

Like I said, extremely impressive run. As good as anyone's. But half those ridiculous scoring games were a result of taking a ton of shots.
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Re: RealGM Top 100 List #7 

Post#140 » by Jimmy76 » Mon Jul 11, 2011 11:04 pm

I was never referring to the head to head matchup (where Shaq obviously performed well) but what they did in general. It isn't hard to see Shaq as a little of an underachiever and see Hakeem as maximizing what he got from what I'd consider weak management.

Context of titles is as important as count for me.

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