Colbinii wrote:MyUniBroDavis wrote:mysticOscar wrote:
But overall i think its enough to provide a good indicator of how important Dray is to the Warriors Defense as Curry is in offense.
I mean, I'm not sure if I could say that even, I mean, I think draymond is a better defender than kawhi to be honest, but even in the wowy data for defense there seem to be outliers (defensive rating goes above 120 with curry and Bogut on the floor, which flat out doesent make sense)
draymonds impact is amazing though, I think he clearly has the second best impact in the league
But like, not to seem close minded, but he isn't better than curry.
Why are you saying "I mean," and "but like," so much? They are redundant and make your post difficult to read.
Draymond Green has had more impact this season than Curry has. Right now I have them #1/#3, but I firmly believe they will finish #1/#2 at season's end with a championship trophy over their heads.
I have pulled off 2 all nighters in a row for schools and exams so grammar ain't exactly what I'm thinking about right now.
I still don't see proof that draymond has more impact than curry. The only thing we have to go by really is rapm and nbawowy, which obviously has enough outliers with the data that I couldn't consider that a valid arguement at all.
I hope this doesent sound mean, but it annoys me when someone says something without providing any evidence, at least in a conversation like this. It's a valid arguement, dzra and lorak have shown this and have had damn good arguements for it, but I feel like you should provide evidence if you are gonna say something like this.
I mean, just taking out speights shows this. Team stats with curry on the court, speights off of it and draymond off it.
189 minutes, 403 possessions, vs the 250 minutes and 540 possessions with the only thing being curry on and draymond off
Offensive rating goes up to 118.4.
Exactly e opposite for draymond, offense goes up with speights.
The difference is that speights shoots 31.3% at the rim (5/16 from 0-3 feet) and 6/19 in the paint, vs 14/18 inside of 3 feet and 19/26 in the paint overall with draymond.
Now, while you can attribute some of this to playmaking, speights actually attempts a higher percentage of his shots in the paint with curry than with draymond, so I can't say curry makes him worse in that regard. (0-3 feet, I mean come on)
18/65 oh his shots are in the restricted areas 26/65 are in the paint
Vs 16/38 in the restricted area and 19/38 in the paint.
Barbosa is shooting a bad percentage too, but in his "off minutes" speights is 2/18. Taking him off increases points per shot, but decreases points per possessions. Curry has a lot of turnovers in that sample though, although I'd call this an outlier, since I don't think he is gonna not break, but shatter hardens turnover record no matter what.
Then there is Livingston, who also shoots below 42TS with curry.
Team offense goes up to 116.2 without him. With draymond, he shoots 58.6 TS.
Also, in the case of defense, defense with curry on, draymond and Bogut off 108.3
Defense with curry on, draymond off, Bogut on 117.4
I think that since Bogut is a clear plus defender, this should be considered an outlier as well
Alright, so the thing about this is someone might say "oh that's just one outlier" but the fact is it completely breaks his on off data without green on offense, and neither player can say they get worse with curry on the floor, since curry is an amazing playmaker and provides his own spacing as well.
Now, am I saying we can't credit draymond for making speights and Livingston succeed? No. Livingston is debatable, since draymond making him shoot that percentage is completely normal. But considering his career TS is 52.6%, 53.8 excluding his rookie year, I don't think curry, who would still likely have a positive Impact on him, would bring him down to 40s in TS, and low 40s at that.
Speights is a complete outlier on both sides. In one sample he is better than Barkley in the paint and in the other sample it looks like varsity players would give him a run for his money. And then we have Bogut for the defense in terms of outliers.
I believe draymond has superstar impact and is a superstar. But the Warriors still have a decent defense without him most likely, and curry's offensive impact under normal conditions far outshines draymonds defensive impact.
also, keep in mind curry is shooting half of his regular percentage form 30+ with draymond off. No, you don't playmake from 30+ feet.
Overall, I'd think that the Warriors are more of a 117 off 106 def with curry on and draymond off and 112 off and 101 def with draymond on and curry off.
Enough outliers that I don't take the wowy data seriously.
Considering we have 4 players with curry shooting sub 45TS that account for 86 of the 483 shots, I think that there's a problem. Now, the only main outliers are Livingston and speights. But they are pretty big outliers. Big enough that taking them out of the equation equals to a 131 minute sample size, a bit over half, and the offense is above 120 there.