RGM Top 100 Vote Thread - #2

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Re: RGM Top 100 Vote Thread - #2 

Post#141 » by ronnymac2 » Sat Jul 2, 2011 9:18 am

DavidStern wrote:My vote: Russell
KAJ is overrated defensively, he missed playoffs two times during his prime (!), was destroyed by Nate Thurmond (few series with FG% around 43 in his PRIME! That's awful for a player who is supposed to be unstoppable offensive weapon) have some disappointing losses in playoffs, while Russell lost only two times when in both cases he was injured. I think that KAJ wasn't as good as his box score stats indicate, while Russell is the opposite - his team results, defense wise and overall, confirms that.
[/quote]

In 1973, Jabbar had an elbow injury during those playoffs. Thurmond was a great defender, but KAJ was hurt.

I guess Pettit destroyed Russell in '58 with those 50 points... :wink:



Kareem only individually disappointed twice. In 1972 and in 1973. Once again, in '73, he had the injury issue against Thurmond.

In '72, he volume scored a crazy amount against L.A. but his efficiency was held down by essentially the defensive specialist version of Wilt. Still, the team result is excusable considering his second in command, Oscar Robertson was hurt. The 1972 Lakers were also one of the best teams of the era. Jabbar did all he could individually. His team just lost to a superior team.
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Re: RGM Top 100 Vote Thread - #2 

Post#142 » by ThaRegul8r » Sat Jul 2, 2011 9:25 am

The Bucks lost to the one of the greatest teams of all time while Robertson was injured, so it isn't something to be ashamed of.
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Re: RGM Top 100 Vote Thread - #2 

Post#143 » by lorak » Sat Jul 2, 2011 9:36 am

ronnymac2 wrote:
DavidStern wrote:My vote: Russell
KAJ is overrated defensively, he missed playoffs two times during his prime (!), was destroyed by Nate Thurmond (few series with FG% around 43 in his PRIME! That's awful for a player who is supposed to be unstoppable offensive weapon) have some disappointing losses in playoffs, while Russell lost only two times when in both cases he was injured. I think that KAJ wasn't as good as his box score stats indicate, while Russell is the opposite - his team results, defense wise and overall, confirms that.


In 1973, Jabbar had an elbow injury during those playoffs. Thurmond was a great defender, but KAJ was hurt.


Didn't know about that and it changes things a little. Could you say more about this injury (when it happened? which elbow? precisely what kind of elbow injury it was?) and provide some links?

I guess Pettit destroyed Russell in '58 with those 50 points... :wink:


There's difference between one game and whole series.
Besides, and what's more important, Russell in that game played only 20 minutes because of injured ankle... In first 5 games of these finals Pettit shot 38%...
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Re: RGM Top 100 Vote Thread - #2 

Post#144 » by lorak » Sat Jul 2, 2011 9:51 am

ThaRegul8r wrote:
Russell won when he was supposed to, and won when he shouldn’t have.


That's the best quote of this project so far. Perfectly summarize Russell's greatness.
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Re: RGM Top 100 Vote Thread - #2 

Post#145 » by ThaRegul8r » Sat Jul 2, 2011 9:56 am

ronnymac2 wrote:In 1973, Jabbar had an elbow injury during those playoffs. Thurmond was a great defender, but KAJ was hurt.


What is this elbow injury business? TrueLAfan suggested in the ’72-73 RPOY thread that Kareem was injured, yet failed to produce any evidence of this. In fact, not a single person was able to provide a shred of evidence to support this assertion. Yet everyone was just willing to accept it without requiring any proof shown. Now it's still being repeated despite never having been proved it the first place. This irks me. As I said in the RPOY thread, it was the SECOND consecutive postseason Kareem was contained by Thurmond. Unless Kareem also had an elbow injury the first time, too?

:roll:

Thurmond held Kareem to 16 points in their very first head-to-head meeting, and scored 26 points on 10-for-17 shooting while holding Kareem to 21 on 7-for-24 shooting. The ’73 playoffs was not some isolated incident. I thought I’d shown that already. :banghead:

Thurmond’s already underrated as it is. I hate to see people trying to take away from what he accomplished.
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Re: RGM Top 100 Vote Thread - #2 

Post#146 » by GilmoreFan » Sat Jul 2, 2011 9:58 am

I guess that's why you're so down on Karl Malone... for losing when he was supposed to, and losing when he shouldn't have.
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Re: RGM Top 100 Vote Thread - #2 

Post#147 » by ThaRegul8r » Sat Jul 2, 2011 10:00 am

GilmoreFan wrote:I guess that's why you're so down on Karl Malone... for losing when he was supposed to, and losing when he shouldn't have.


:lol:
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Re: RGM Top 100 Vote Thread - #2 

Post#148 » by GilmoreFan » Sat Jul 2, 2011 10:03 am

In other news, I think we need a re-vote for all the non Moses/Karl voters if things keep up like this. I don't think it'll be representative of the consensus if one of them gets up with like 5 or 6 votes out of 30, and the current vote is Karl Malone on 6, Moses on 5, J.West on 4, KG on 2, Oscar on 2 and Lebron on 1.
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Re: RGM Top 100 Vote Thread - #2 

Post#149 » by lorak » Sat Jul 2, 2011 10:26 am

GilmoreFan wrote:In other news, I think we need a re-vote for all the non Moses/Karl voters if things keep up like this. I don't think it'll be representative of the consensus if one of them gets up with like 5 or 6 votes out of 30, and the current vote is Karl Malone on 6, Moses on 5, J.West on 4, KG on 2, Oscar on 2 and Lebron on 1.


Shouldn't Moses have 6 votes?
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They all nominated Moses.

And you can't change rules during the game.
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Re: RGM Top 100 Vote Thread - #2 

Post#150 » by SDChargers#1 » Sat Jul 2, 2011 10:30 am

GilmoreFan wrote:In other news, I think we need a re-vote for all the non Moses/Karl voters if things keep up like this. I don't think it'll be representative of the consensus if one of them gets up with like 5 or 6 votes out of 30, and the current vote is Karl Malone on 6, Moses on 5, J.West on 4, KG on 2, Oscar on 2 and Lebron on 1.


Remember this is just a nomination. It is entirely possible for Karl to be nominated over Moses, but for Moses to get voted to a higher spot on the list.
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Re: RGM Top 100 Vote Thread - #2 

Post#151 » by GilmoreFan » Sat Jul 2, 2011 10:33 am

Nobody is changing the rules mid-game, this was suggested earlier. And no set rules were put in place either, I also believe I saw it commented favourably upon by others. It's still a vote, it just means people vote preferentially, so we don't get absurd outcomes like someone with 7 votes out of 36 edging out someone else with 6 votes out of 36, because everyone else voted for minority candidates. The idea is for the vote to reflect the majority of people here, at present this wouldn't do that.

I might have noted one of those votes as being conditional, though I'd have to go and check which one (someone saying something like "I'll probably vote Moses"?)
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Re: RGM Top 100 Vote Thread - #2 

Post#152 » by Jimmy76 » Sat Jul 2, 2011 12:12 pm

A lot of quality posts, any points I would make have been spelled out better than I would be able to do.

I'm a little reluctant at times with Russel since
1. How often does a star have as little offensive impact as Russel did. The passing is nice but that makes me think Vlade more than offensive force.
2. Questions around how much of his impact would translate today.
3. Because of 1 and the Wallace comparisons when 2 gets discussed Russel almost feels like a role player more than a star at times. The 5 MVP's and 12 all star selections make it pretty damn clear his contemporaries thought he was anything but a role player.

In the end between the accolades, rings, and stats there's a lot of strong indication Russel was as good as his supporters think and the argument against is a general reluctance to promote an offensive non-star and 60's player.

Vote: Russel
Nominate: Garnett
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Re: RGM Top 100 Vote Thread - #2 

Post#153 » by JordansBulls » Sat Jul 2, 2011 12:24 pm

SDChargers#1 wrote:
GilmoreFan wrote:In other news, I think we need a re-vote for all the non Moses/Karl voters if things keep up like this. I don't think it'll be representative of the consensus if one of them gets up with like 5 or 6 votes out of 30, and the current vote is Karl Malone on 6, Moses on 5, J.West on 4, KG on 2, Oscar on 2 and Lebron on 1.


Remember this is just a nomination. It is entirely possible for Karl to be nominated over Moses, but for Moses to get voted to a higher spot on the list.


I agree with this. Debates are going to be close no matter what, so having a consensus doesn't really matter.
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Re: RGM Top 100 Vote Thread - #2 

Post#154 » by Gongxi » Sat Jul 2, 2011 1:46 pm

drza wrote:
ElGee wrote:Actually, the crux of my point is that "longevity" isn't just a span of goodness. (eg Jack Nicklaus winning majors 24 years apart.) What actually happens IN that span is the essence of it, if one cares about how much a player gives you over his career. (That's the focus of my criteria, is it not yours or everyone else's?)

All MVP's aren't the same. Nor are all-nba teams. Therefore, KG giving me 2, 3, 4, 6 extra years as an all-star piece is BARELY shrinking the longevity gap between him and Malone, because Malone's extra seasons were so close to his best seasons...over and over...

I've already outlined comparative players, and have yet to hear it refuted. I really don't understand what's happening here; maybe people just think Malone wasn't top-5 in each of these individual seasons. That's cool. But I'm guessing there's a disconnect between how people value him and what he provided over his career. He's actually very similar to KAJ in many ways ITO of evaluating career impact.


I understood your point before, but I'm not sure that you're quite getting what I was saying. Or maybe you do, but just don't agree. Either way, especially while I'm already on my defensive soap box, let me try again to clarify.

My point w.r.t. Malone and KG is that you're no longer talking about longevity alone, you're having to make a value judgment as well. To my way of thinking, KG's 13 years from 1999 - 2011 match up well, longevity-wise, with Malone's 14 years from 1988 - 2001. Where you are rebutting me is on the question of VALUE (or QUALITY, as it were). Your stance seems to be, and correct me if I'm wrong, that Malone in his 14 years was better than the 2000 KG that went 2nd in the MVP vote or the Celtics version of KG that still measures out at the very top of the league in the APM measures. That there was a period in that 13 years where KG was comparable to Malone, but that at the edges of the period Kg has been "just" an All Star piece and not as good as Malone.

But if I'm correct in your stance, in order for me to rebut it I have to frame an argument about how good KG is vs how good Malone is in a given year, NOT an argument about how long they did it. You feel where I'm coming from? It's a different type of discussion. In fact, let's get into it a bit. And let's start at the end.

Garnett, for the last three years, has been a 15 and 8 player. Meanwhile, in Malone's years 11 - 13 of that stretch, he was closer to 25 and 10. I absolutely get that, and for many the comp ends there. But to me, along the same lines as what we've been talking about with Russell, you shouldn't even start with offense when describing Celtic KG. Instead, for Celtics KG, defense is exactly where it begins. What made late-Malone great is that he was still one of the best offensive players in the league, capable of anchoring and leading his team on that front. But what makes late-KG great is that he is still one of the best defensive players in the league, capable of anchoring and leading his team on that front. In his time in Boston KG has been the best defensive player in the league, even factoring in for his post-injury difficulties in 2010.

Here's a blog post written in May of 2010, comparing the 2010 Celtics through 14 postseason games with the 2009 Celtics (who played a total of 14 games before elimination). http://rotosynthesis.rotowire.com/Diffe ... BD2074.htm . The post points out that, individually, in 2010 the 4-some of Rondo, Pierce, Allen and KG had almost the exact same box-score numbers of the 2009 Rondo/Pierce/Allen/Baby Davis combo. But that the biggest difference between why the '09 Celtics were out after 14 games while the '10 Celtics were then 11 - 3 in the postseason, was the defense, which looked like this:

'08 Celtics Defense: 89 ppg allowed, 43% FG, 19 apg, 14 TOs

'09 Celtics Defense: 102 ppg allowed, 45% FG, 20 apg, 14 TOs

'10 Celtics Defense: 90 ppg allowed, 43% FG, 17 apg, 17 TOs

I would argue that in his time in Boston, KG's defensive impact has been as impressive as Malone's offensive impact over the last 4 years of his "All NBA" stretch. And I wouldn't just argue it anecdotally, I would say that this is the biggest reason that KG DOES measure out in a tie for 2nd most impactful NBA player of the last 4 years according to APM along with several other names (Nash, Dirk, Howard, Paul and Wade) that by accolade and acclaim have been considered among the very best in the game. Thus, I don't see these last few years as "just All Star" years for KG. No, he's still right there at the top of the league in impact, just doing it in a way that doesn't capture the eye. Again, I grant you that his minutes are down and that he missed the end of 2009 injured, which counts against a machine like Malone. So, say, give KG credit for 12 stud years to Malone's 14. Still a slight longevity advantage for Malone. But again, the advantage is getting slight. In my view, longevity-wise, if there's no lockout and KG does play a couple more years at the level of last year the Malone longevity argument won't really hold much weight for me anymore.


This is an excellent post, and has really given me pause re: nominating Karl. That said, you mentioned that 'the advantage is getting slight', and I know you're saying for the sake of argument, but I do believe that advantage still exists. If KG does play a couple more years at the level of last year, you're right in that the Malone longevity argument will get even more slight (obviously, I guess), or totally nonexistent. But those years haven't occurred yet, and as such that advantage, in my mind, still exists.

Again, these differences are so slight and so "within the margin of error", that while I have my nomination, I can't get very upset with KG or Moses getting the nod instead. I'd be more upset with Russell getting the nod over Cap, to be honest, but I guess that's to be expected when your #1 could end up at #3 or lower.
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Re: RGM Top 100 Vote Thread - #2 

Post#155 » by penbeast0 » Sat Jul 2, 2011 2:03 pm

Yes, I'm not worried about Moses or Karl or Jerry or Oscar; by the time any reach serious consideration for the list, all 4 will be nominated. Then the bloodletting can start again.
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Re: RGM Top 100 Vote Thread - #2 

Post#156 » by ElGee » Sat Jul 2, 2011 4:23 pm

GilmoreFan wrote:I have no way of knowing if he's seen it the (two or three) times I've asked. That's why I'm asking (politely I might add).


I didn't see it. I'll say Dinamo Sassari.

drza wrote:http://forums.realgm.com/boards/viewtopic.php?f=64&t=1123823&start=135#p28526216


This is a great post, and your assumptions are correct. We simply have a difference in how we are viewing current KG, which is weird to me because I feel like I view him really highly. And FTR, I have KG's peak clearly above Malone's. The discussion of KG's peak in some of these pages has been pretty off to me.

In general, I think MORE discussions should be focused on single seasons. But APM isn't a be-all-end-all to me. I'm aware of KG's value to Boston's defense, and I don't understand, as a GM, how you'd want him over some of those Karl Malone peripheral years when in 09 he couldn't play, in 10 he was recovering from the injury and in 11, his best ball since 2008, he totally wore down. Guy just didn't have what it took for high-level sustained games, and after his big throwback game he looked utterly tanked.

So, by citing a 4-year APM example you're seeing KG as having 4 years comparable to a top-5 guy. We've got tons of information now to measure guys, and there's no way I see Kevin Garnett as a top-10 in 2011, yet alone competing with prime Karl Malone.

And that difference is monumentally important to me. It's my whole confusion surrounding Moses Malone. Using a somewhat crude delineation:

(1) Adding an average all-star to an average team doesn't boost their title chances that much.
(2) Adding superstars shifts that probability in a relevant way.
(3) Adding elite superstars -- the guys who are producing seasons matched by 5, 10, 20 other guys ever -- significantly shifts that probability.

I view every player's contribution over their career this way. And if I had to put KG's seasons in those categories, it looks like this:

97-99 (1)
00-02 (2)
03-05 (3)
06-08 (2) * 08 can go either way
11 (1)

Moses Malone, OTOH, looks like this to me, which is why I say he has serious "longevity" issues (sustained high-quality play):

77 (1)
79-81 (2) *81 can go either way
82-83 (3)
84 (1)
85 (2)
86-89 (1)
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Re: RGM Top 100 Vote Thread - #2 

Post#157 » by Silver Bullet » Sat Jul 2, 2011 4:30 pm

I don't get the Russell love.

The Boston Celtics were already a championship contender when Russell came into the league and already had the league MVP on their roster as well as a top MVP contender on their roster.

If the Miami Heat go on to win the next 11 titles after say, they sign Greg Oden in free agency, should Oden now be considered the greatest player in history ? Ofcourse not -

Russell got dominated by Wilt nearly every time they met. Wilt just had nothing compared to Russell's stacked teams where even a bench player like Heishohn finished in the top 10 in MVP voting multiple times.

If Russell really was better than Wilt - the All-NBA Teams would reflect it. They don't.

The Celtics won 46 games in 52-53, they won 44 in 56-57, Russell's rookie year. In fact, from 1951 to 1993 Boston only had two sub-500 seasons, and one of them was a 39 win season. The Celtics teams were just great teams period, and the fact that Wilt was able to defeat them at all is an amazing accomplishment.
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Re: RGM Top 100 Vote Thread - #2 

Post#158 » by ElGee » Sat Jul 2, 2011 5:19 pm

SDChargers#1 wrote:So I was doing a little research and found some numbers that I found interesting.

Russell faced Wilt 142 times in his career. In those games Wilt averaged 28.7 ppg / 28.7 rpg while Russell averaged 14.5 ppg / 23.7 rpg.

If these numbers are true (the site I got it from didn't have any sources, but I saw a couple other sites that backed it up as well), then how can people possibly say that Russell didn't have better teammates than Wilt?

Sure Russell slowed Wilt down and that is very impressive, but Wilt clearly outplayed him, but Russell's teams would outplay Wilt's.


There's WAY more to the game than raw ppg/rpg. If you're going to make a dogmatic conclusion using raw statistics, you need to remember

(1) Statistics in the context of the team
(2) Statistics (classic box) are mostly concerned with offense
(more here: http://www.backpicks.com/2010/12/23/int ... asketball/)

In the case of Wilt vs. Russell, I actually think Russ outplayed Wilt constantly. For eg, in 1962, Wilt averaged ~51 ppg against the rest of the league, and 39 against Russell. What do you think happened to his team's offense in those games?

You have to remember these two weren't playing the same role on their teams. Using the same stats here is therefore misleading. Furthermore, read this about Wilt http://www.backpicks.com/2011/01/14/can ... -too-much/
http://asubstituteforwar.com/2011/01/20 ... asketball/

It's quite possible that those numbers hold entirely constant for every game they played each other, and that Chamberlain's efficiency dropped, turnovers increased, he set up teammates less (not that that was his strength) and his defense waned because he was so obsessed with outscoring Russell. Meanwhile, Russell's efficiency, rebounding, passing and defensive impact all increased.
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Re: RGM Top 100 Vote Thread - #2 

Post#159 » by Doctor MJ » Sat Jul 2, 2011 6:27 pm

ElGee wrote:In the case of Wilt vs. Russell, I actually think Russ outplayed Wilt constantly. For eg, in 1962, Wilt averaged ~51 ppg against the rest of the league, and 39 against Russell. What do you think happened to his team's offense in those games?


This goes toward my inclination on how to respond.

It's crucial to understand that when guys score 30 points in a game, their actual lift of their team is only a fraction of that. Someone who lifts their team by around 7 points on offense is truly a top tier offensive superstar.

If that were Wilt Chamberlain, and when he went up against Russell he shot the same but scored 5 points less per game, his offensive impact is now at around 2 points which isn't even all-star worthy.

Now, realistically, Wilt also shot a bit less when he played Russell and other good defenses. However, it's crucial to understand how inept his teams offenses were at making use of his teammates even when he passed the ball until '67 when he took on an entirely different role. You can see data on this in the article of mine ElGee posted. Wilt basically only made his team's offense take a huge step forward in '67.

Re: "What about Russell only scoring 13". Not really relevant. Russell's huge impact was on defense. And of course, if he's knocking Wilt's impact back 5 points per game, that 5 points of impact that Russell is having just on Wilt. Not hard to see his total impact surpassing Wilt's once you consider this.
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Re: RGM Top 100 Vote Thread - #2 

Post#160 » by Doctor MJ » Sat Jul 2, 2011 6:32 pm

Jimmy76 wrote:3. Because of 1 and the Wallace comparisons when 2 gets discussed Russel almost feels like a role player more than a star at times. The 5 MVP's and 12 all star selections make it pretty damn clear his contemporaries thought he was anything but a role player.


Something I think provides perspective:

In '63-64, Bill Russell played 44.6 minutes per game. The guy playing the 2nd most minutes was Havlicek at 32.3 minutes per game.

Boston was essentially platooning the rest of the team, while keeping Russell in at almost all times, and the result was a defensive team FAR more effective than any other team in history (that didn't have Russell).

Blows my mind.
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