#24 Highest Peak of All Time (Moses '83 wins)

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Re: #24 Highest Peak of All Time (ends Mon 9:00 PM Pacific) 

Post#21 » by therealbig3 » Sat Sep 29, 2012 11:56 pm

An Unbiased Fan wrote:Durant is a fantastic scorer, but isn't much of a playmaker(has a negative ast/to ratio), and his defense isn't anything special either.

I think 03' Tmac is overrated quite a bit, but he still has a case over 2012 Durant. 1996 Penny is above both, IMO. Guys like Gervin & Dantley need mention too, as does pre-injury Grant Hill, the severely underrated Elgin Baylor, Isiah, Stock, GP, and a host of other guys.

Frankly, other than recency, I'm not sure why Tmac or Durant is getting mentioned yet. Tmac was a zero on the mental side of the game, and was playing no defense by 2003. What was so special about him?


T-Mac's production was amazing, for starter's.

Just as a quick ballpark, he's the only wing ever to post a 30+ PER in a season other than LeBron (3x), Jordan (4x), and Wade (1x).

His defense was actually quite good when he had the energy for it, similar to Kobe. He didn't play good defense in 03, because of how much of the offense he had to carry. With a strong supporting cast that could provide decent support offensively, he'd have played strong defense, as he showed that he was capable of in certain situations.

And when we're looking at a player's impact on a game, that INCLUDES intangibles and their impact, so I'm not sure why we have to separate them like that. To be honest, the ONLY impact study that I've seen that says T-Mac wasn't impressive is his prior-informed RAPM...his non-prior informed (which has value, since he took a leap between 02 and 03) is much more impressive. His on/off is also very impressive.
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Re: #24 Highest Peak of All Time (ends Mon 9:00 PM Pacific) 

Post#22 » by Dr Positivity » Sun Sep 30, 2012 12:01 am

If I asked myself whether I'd build a team with Moses or Dwight, I think I'd lean Dwight. It's the same reason Ewing and Robinson got in over flashy offensive players... It's extremely valuable to have that defense/rebounding rock on the back end at C who also produces offensively. Moses is rich man's Dwight offensively... He's a way better ballhandler, has some range and is just a craftier player around the basket (I wonder, is Blake Griffin a good comparison for Moses as a scorer?) and of course he goes nuts on the offensive glass. But Dwight's biggest problems (Passing + Is a more polished go to game needed in the postseason and matchup based series, when power doesn't get it done?) apply somewhat to Moses as well. The question is, does that gap between Moses and Dwight offensively make up for the defensive one?

Dwight should probably get in soon. I'm not a fan of his but there haven't been many players with his combination of league best defense (even if he's slightly overrated on that end) and rebounding and still valuable offense, he scores at a decently high volume and efficiency and is a great pick and roll option who opens up shots for teammates in that fashion. I also think his regular season impact in 2009 and 2010 is top 20 of all time material, turning that cast of 3pt shooters into double 59 W seasons is not that far off from 09/10 Lebron in the RS. The difference is IMO Dwight is a less valuable playoff piece than a regular season one by a decent amount once smashing bad teams who can't guard his physical talent doesn't work as well against great teams, and because he can be exposed in matchups (such as Perkins guarding him 1 on 1 in 2010 and Boston shutting down those 3pt shooters as a result), but the Magic in 2009 and 2010 didn't underperform, the Lakers and Celtics in those years were flat out better, and if anything the 2009 Magic may have overperformed by taking out Cleveland

Right now I'm thinking Tmac, Karl Malone, Dwight, Moses as my next 4
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Re: #24 Highest Peak of All Time (ends Mon 9:00 PM Pacific) 

Post#23 » by Lightning25 » Sun Sep 30, 2012 12:09 am

Doctor MJ wrote:I feel like it's a bit early for Durant as well...although that might be me being a bit irrational. I tend to think he's not quite up there with more all around players, but I can't really claim that I think McGrady & King are so easily ahead of him that there shouldn't be debate.

The only reason why I'm mentioning Durant is because Tmac and King's names are being mentioned. If their names weren't being mentioned then I would probably skip him too.

I personally do think 2012 Durant was better than McGrady ever was. Tmac's all-around game and just in general was overrated. He put up better numbers than he actually impacted/contributed to. People always ignore his negative intangibles too but I suppose it's because he's a very liked player because of his flash.

Dr Positivity wrote:Right now I'm thinking Tmac, Karl Malone, Dwight, Moses as my next 4

Do you have Yao Ming coming in any time soon? I think he should definitely be in the top 50 at least, maybe not as high as top 30 though but he should be in this list at some point.
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Re: #24 Highest Peak of All Time (ends Mon 9:00 PM Pacific) 

Post#24 » by Dr Positivity » Sun Sep 30, 2012 12:18 am

The Yao year I'm voting for is 07 where he plays 48 Gs, so while I'm at a certain point willing to vote a player for a shortened season as long as he's ready to go in the playoffs, I think that takes him out of top 30 contention for me. Top 50 maybe he has a shot
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Re: #24 Highest Peak of All Time (ends Mon 9:00 PM Pacific) 

Post#25 » by An Unbiased Fan » Sun Sep 30, 2012 12:25 am

therealbig3 wrote:
An Unbiased Fan wrote:Durant is a fantastic scorer, but isn't much of a playmaker(has a negative ast/to ratio), and his defense isn't anything special either.

I think 03' Tmac is overrated quite a bit, but he still has a case over 2012 Durant. 1996 Penny is above both, IMO. Guys like Gervin & Dantley need mention too, as does pre-injury Grant Hill, the severely underrated Elgin Baylor, Isiah, Stock, GP, and a host of other guys.

Frankly, other than recency, I'm not sure why Tmac or Durant is getting mentioned yet. Tmac was a zero on the mental side of the game, and was playing no defense by 2003. What was so special about him?


T-Mac's production was amazing, for starter's.

Just as a quick ballpark, he's the only wing ever to post a 30+ PER in a season other than LeBron (3x), Jordan (4x), and Wade (1x).

His defense was actually quite good when he had the energy for it, similar to Kobe. He didn't play good defense in 03, because of how much of the offense he had to carry. With a strong supporting cast that could provide decent support offensively, he'd have played strong defense, as he showed that he was capable of in certain situations.

And when we're looking at a player's impact on a game, that INCLUDES intangibles and their impact, so I'm not sure why we have to separate them like that. To be honest, the ONLY impact study that I've seen that says T-Mac wasn't impressive is his prior-informed RAPM...his non-prior informed (which has value, since he took a leap between 02 and 03) is much more impressive. His on/off is also very impressive.

Tmac in 2003, was the very definition of stat-padder. Everything he did was for the purpose of ego, not for the team. His PER numbers never yield team results, only individual accolades.

I also remind people that Orlando was a 41-41 team before Tmac went there in 2000. In the following years they didn't really improve much at all, and by 2004, Tmac's sitting out at the end of the season to preserve his scoring title was the final straw. Now was the 2001-2003 Magic exactly the same as 2000, of course not, but one would think adding a 30 PER player to a 40 win caliber team would yield some kind of impact. Especially when he's putting a USG% in the mid 30%.

Honestly, anyone who remembers how Tmac played next to Yao, can see that he's not a guy who thrives in a real team system.
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Re: #24 Highest Peak of All Time (ends Mon 9:00 PM Pacific) 

Post#26 » by An Unbiased Fan » Sun Sep 30, 2012 12:40 am

I have to ask, where does 1996 Penny fall?

21.7 PPG on 61% TS, 7.1 apg, 4.3 rpg,

This is 1996 Penny against Prime Pippen in the playoffs

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Re: #24 Highest Peak of All Time (ends Mon 9:00 PM Pacific) 

Post#27 » by Lightning25 » Sun Sep 30, 2012 12:40 am

An Unbiased Fan wrote:Honestly, anyone who remembers how Tmac played next to Yao, can see that he's not a guy who thrives in a real team system.

Thank you. I guess people completely forgot how much Tmac made the Rockets worse in 2009. People always ignore the fact that Tmac didn't box-out for rebounds, didn't play any defense what so ever, and was a ball-dominant player. I really don't know why people don't talk about how empty Tmac's stats are more often.

Tmac didn't really improve the Magic either when he got there. They were pretty much the same type of team before Tmac even got there. They were a 41 win team and a playoff team in 2000 before McGrady's arrival. Tmacc improved that team win by 2 extra games. I don't see much of an impact in 2 wins.

Dr Positivity wrote:The Yao year I'm voting for is 07 where he plays 48 Gs, so while I'm at a certain point willing to vote a player for a shortened season as long as he's ready to go in the playoffs, I think that takes him out of top 30 contention for me. Top 50 maybe he has a shot

It should definitely be 07 although 09 does have a small case. I don't think he's top 30 either but I do think he should come along soon in the 35-40 range. His peak was better than Zo's IMO.
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Re: #24 Highest Peak of All Time (ends Mon 9:00 PM Pacific) 

Post#28 » by C-izMe » Sun Sep 30, 2012 12:42 am

I'm voting 03 TMac. He got together well with Yao. His scoring fell off with the injuries but he showed off his amazing passing skills (peaking with 6.5 assists a game with his usual low turnovers). He also turned it on defensively and I agree with therealbig3 and his reasons for ignoring prior informed RAPM (when it's the only number saying your not at the pinnacle of the league that says a lot about you).


And again with the Durant? If I'm really being honest looking back he was worse than both Lebron and Paul last year. His scoring ability is amazing (but not best in the league), his passing is meh (too many jump passes for my style but he can limit passing turnovers), he has some of the shakiest handles in the league (I'm pretty sure he led the league in handling turnovers), and he isn't great at anything else (good rebounder, decent defender).

I would rate him under some of the ABA guys (Hawk, maybe Haywood, Barry, Gilmore), 70s guys (Walt, Moncrief, McAdoo), 80s guys (maybe King, McHale, and the Malones), and some recent guys (Dwight, Penny, Zo, maybe Payton, Kidd, maybe Baron) and that's off the top of my head. He's great but let's not get overboard. He still has areas to improve (I believe he might end up top 30 at his best but that's still coming up).
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Re: #24 Highest Peak of All Time (ends Mon 9:00 PM Pacific) 

Post#29 » by C-izMe » Sun Sep 30, 2012 12:44 am

An Unbiased Fan wrote:I have to ask, where does 1996 Penny fall?

21.7 PPG on 61% TS, 7.1 apg, 4.3 rpg,

This is 1996 Penny against Prime Pippen in the playoffs

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gsEwfI2-QlM[/youtube]

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Re: #24 Highest Peak of All Time (ends Mon 9:00 PM Pacific) 

Post#30 » by C-izMe » Sun Sep 30, 2012 1:07 am

I would think the loss of Mags, Ben Wallace, and Gatling/Monty falling off a cliff could have to do with the minimal improvement. TMac was also 2 years off his peak and still improving. In 00 they had the 9th defense/22nd offense. In 01 they had the 14th offense and 10th defense. That's a 8 place jump offensively with 2 years pre peak TMac.
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Re: #24 Highest Peak of All Time (ends Mon 9:00 PM Pacific) 

Post#31 » by fatal9 » Sun Sep 30, 2012 1:31 am

Don't have time to post tonight but I'll just say the hate of T-Mac is pretty over the top in the last few posts.

We even have a guy saying he shouldn't be getting mentioned because of his defense and lack of intangibles, and then listing guys like Gervin (barely belongs in top 50, if at all) and Dantley (shouldn't even sniff top 50) as players who should start being discussed. Gervin and Dantley are two of the most one dimensional players ever, and didn't play a lick of defense. Then another poster being critical of his 2009 season when he wasn't even close to being the same player as 2003. Also there is no analysis of roster changes that happened when he joined a team. These arguments are so lazy and inconsistent. Clearly there are posters who have an agenda against him for one reason or another. He's a guy who it's easy to create all these narratives for because of how his career turned out after '03.

There are definitely unanswered questions and issues with him (which is why there is separation between him and Kobe/Wade) but it's hard to take some of these posts seriously.
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Re: #24 Highest Peak of All Time (ends Mon 9:00 PM Pacific) 

Post#32 » by therealbig3 » Sun Sep 30, 2012 3:49 am

Here's a previous post I've made of T-Mac regarding his offensive impact that year:

FWIW, in the 7 games T-Mac missed in 03 (so small sample size), Orlando had a 97.7 ORating against an average 104.5 DRating (-6.8). Considering they were +1.6 on the season, using some rough math, they were about a +2.4 offense in the 75 games T-Mac played.

Consider that their (most common) starting lineup that year was (I'm assuming this is it from looking at the team page on BR):

PG - Jacque Vaughn
SG - Tracy McGrady
SF - Mike Miller
PF - Pat Garrity
C - Shawn Kemp

Also, Grant Hill got injured and his season ended after January 16. After his 2nd option once again goes down with an injury, T-Mac in his 39 games following January 16 averages, per 36:

31.1 ppg, 6.3 rpg, 5.7 apg, 2.5 TOpg, 57.0% TS (+5.1%), 118 ORating

Mike Miller gets traded 13 games after Hill goes down with an injury, and these are T-Mac's numbers if we include that:

13 games post-Hill injury, pre-Miller trade, per 36: 28.0 ppg, 7.4 rpg, 5.4 apg, 1.8 TOpg, 53.2% TS (+1.3%), 115 ORating

26 games post-Miller trade, per 36: 32.6 ppg, 5.6 rpg, 5.8 apg, 2.8 TOpg, 59.0% TS (+7.1%), 120 ORating

After the Grant Hill injury, Orlando in the 39 games T-Mac plays has a 107.4 ORating vs an average DRating of 103.6 (+3.8). So T-Mac steps his game up, and the offense gets better as well and plays at a level that would have been 4th in the league offensively over a whole season.

You can see how much better T-Mac plays after Miller's trade, and he himself commented on it, regarding his close friendship with Miller and how he would be tough on his new teammates. It seemed that T-Mac really zoned in, and made sure his teammates did as well, and Orlando entered the playoffs playing really well offensively.
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Re: #24 Highest Peak of All Time (ends Mon 9:00 PM Pacific) 

Post#33 » by ElGee » Sun Sep 30, 2012 4:20 am

@UBF -- Your point about Shaq is interesting because Moses shows similar disinterest at other points in his career. A clear difference to me though is that Shaq was in great shape in 2000 both from motivation and health (not the case in prior years) whereas Moses arguably was in better shape in 82...and clearly motivated. I simply think his role there and Harris' coaching style demanded more attention and effort on offense. Obviously, Moses obliged because he loved being close to the other team's hoop.

Clearly though it's not worth having the 82 vs 83 debate as fatal mentioned. I'm simply saying people who see this clear divide between the two years should either re-examine Moses or ask themselves if they are falling prey to a huge Winning Bias. (83 Moses was a deified season when I was growing up. It's lost a lot of luster to me after looking into his career, and that season specifically.)

As for 83, the 76ers PS defense was -4.8, not "-7 or -8". The team's DRB% was below average in the PS. You have a RS DRTG of -3.8, coming from -3.0 the previous year, on a pretty stacked defensive team with a gritty coach. Julius Erving wasn't exactly a slouch in 1983 (1st team all-nba). They were a +9.6 SRS team before J's injury, which is closer to the "real" strength of the team IMO (10.2 PS SRS).

how good offensive anchor Karl really was? Big man who on offense relied mainly on jump shot and he wasn't good shooter. That might works during regular season (and in fact worked during 1998) but not during playoffs (and that's the reason why Karl so many times shot so poorly in post season and is career 52.5 TS% in the playoffs. Always criticized for his playoffs performance David Robinson have 54.7 TS%).


He obviously was a fantastic jump-shooting big. And I've already demonstrated how we'd expect those averages to drop just on the basis of the increased defensive competition. Then you consider the specific teams/PF's he was going against (Houston stuck Olajuwon, more a natural 4, on him during one series), how the rest of the Jazz shouldered less offensive load, and it makes sense Malone dropped to 27/53%. And if you want to be hyper-critical of shooting averages without considering any of these factors, or turnovers, or the overall production of the team, that's your choice. I'll repeat this again:

From 92-98, the Jazz PS ORtg was:
92 +7.9
93 -2.6
94 +4.5
95 +8.5
96 +6.7
97 +6.5
98 +0.1 (+4.5 before FInals)

And here are the corresponding TS% numbers and Malone's teammates decline TOV%:
92 KM 61.8% , others 54.0%, -16.3% TOV%
93 KM 52.8% , others 48.6% -25.4% TOV%
94 KM 53.1%, others 49.9% -24.1% TOV%
95 KM 55.0%, others 58.9% -23.4% TOV%
96 KM 49.8%, others 56.6%, -13.7% TOV%
97 KM 50.1%, others 56.6% -16.7% TOV%
98 KM 53.4%, others 52.3%, +0.8% TOV%

I've posted the Jazz PS SRS in that period (~7). In 93 the Jazz team just shoots terribly in 5 games against Seattle, a -3.1 defense, a team Malone did relatively poorly against in those years. In 98, the team around Malone didn't drop their roles, they just turned it over a good amount...not to mention the offense was working fine in the first 3 rounds before the wheels fell off against Chicago, a series in which his teammates shot 48% TS for the series (55.3% for Malone, dragging them within an inch of a 7th game in which Chicago wouldn't have had Pippen probably). And again, I've already listed the roles of the second/third best offensive players (Stockton and Horny) in this time period.

All that is to say that Malone was a VERY GOOD offensive anchor. Pass. Shoot for spacing. Shoot in isolation. Bull his way to the rim. Run the court like a horse. He's not flawless...which is why he isn't a scared peak player. But I consider him a +4.5 guy at his best on offense, which is a strong anchor. I think a good question to ask is the difference between Dr. J and Karl on offense.

In 98, that jumper that he likes a lot is better than ever. He has a little hook/scoop shot. He still runs the court. He still bulls around the paint. (Note his FTA/pos is the highest rate of his career in 98.) He's at his best PASSING IMO at that point too. And I think his mental application of the skill is at its strongest, as demonstrated by a number of bounce-back games and the performance in the Finals against Chicago. He starts the Finals struggling to find his jumper, plays OK on offense to start, and then totally locks in in the second half of the series. It's reasonable to even say that a minor upgrade in shooting from a single teammate could have won Utah the series. And defensively, due to his value coming from intelligence and size/strength, he was still about as useful as ever in that period. (34 for Malone was like 28 for most players physically.)
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Re: #24 Highest Peak of All Time (ends Mon 9:00 PM Pacific) 

Post#34 » by therealbig3 » Sun Sep 30, 2012 5:33 am

FWIW, T-Mac's non-prior informed offensive RAPM in 03 was 2nd in the league that year, behind Shaq:

T-Mac: +3.9

Shaq: +4.5
Duncan: +2.7
Garnett: +3.0
Dirk: +3.3
Kobe: +2.9
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Re: #24 Highest Peak of All Time (ends Mon 9:00 PM Pacific) 

Post#35 » by TMACFORMVP » Sun Sep 30, 2012 5:47 am

I've tried to stay away from TMAC comparisons, because frankly; looking at my username, any argument is pretty much taken with a grain of salt, and automatically labeled as a "homer," post. While, it's true to some extent (I am a homer from TMac), I try to be objective as I can, and clearly see an argument for a batch of players over TMac's '03 peak

But I don't get the arguments that are being made here, especially by Lightning25.

Bringing up '09 clearly screams agenda to me. Anybody with eyes could clearly see McGrady wasn't the same that season, and he would have made any team worse, because he could barely get up the court offensively, or defensively. The fact we're using that year to somehow insinuate McGrady didn't have impact is one of the most absurd things I've read on this site; especially when we see the apparent impact he had on the Rockets (and Magic) in the prior seasons.

05: 2-2 without McGrady; 49-29 with him. (48-28 with TMac and Yao)
06: 7-28 without McGrady; 27-20 with him. (21-10 with TMac and Yao)
07: 2-9 without McGrady; 50-21 with him. (30-11 with TMac and Yao)
08: 9-7 without McGrady; 46-20 with him. (24-13 with TMac and Yao)

TOTAL w/out McGrady: 20-46 (.303 winning %)
TOTAL w/ McGrady: 172-90 (.656 winning %)
TOTAL w/ McGrady and Yao: 123-62 (.664 winning %)
(*TMac's days as an All-NBA guy ended in '07 IMO, he was too inconsistent in '08, so if we just factor in those three seasons, we're looking at a 100-49 record, which is just over a 67% win percentage, with a decent at best supporting cast around those two -- it didn't improve until '08 where unfortunately McGrady declined a bit, and Yao missed the post season due to injury).

I mean, if that's not enough, in '07, the Rockets with TMac in the lineup (and WITHOUT Yao) were 20-10. In '08, with TMac in the lineup (and WITHOUT Yao), the Rockets were 19-8. They barely missed a beat in the regular season without Yao...granted Dikembe was a very good backup, McGrady was the catalyst for that much winning without our supposed best player.

I even saw Lightning25 post in another thread that McGrady got his all-star berth in 2007 only because he was Yao's teammate. I mean, everyone has an agenda, that's obvious; because we're all trying to pimp someone to get our point across. But when claiming a guy that does 25/5/6 leading his team to a 20-10 record without Yao, and having a month like January where he was doing 30/7/6 doesn't have much an argument to be an all-star, then I seriously don't know how we can consider that opinion anything but well mis-informed.

EDIT - Just saw fatal9's post, pretty much said the same thing. :)

Anyways, it's not truly relevant to the conversation at hand, since the discussion is about '03 TMac, but I saw '09 TMac being discussed as a potential reason a peak McGrady might have minimal impact, and had to comment about the ridiculousness of that statement. I think therealbig3, and C-izMe (Community avatar!!) have pretty much covered everything there is involved with his '03 season.

RE: I think the debate of the Malone's is interesting. I tend to side with the majority that Moses' flaws are apparent. When you're a center - being average at best defensively is a huge flaw. Then considering offensively, he's not truly an anchor because of his porous passing/play-making, then I'm not sure if his more isolation sort scoring and rebounding prowess is that much superior to Karl, who is far more well rounded. I actually think the Mailman was really underrated as a passer, and defender. He wasn't an anchor, but a terrific team and man defender. And, IMO, due to their position, Karl was a much bigger plus defensively than Moses, simply because Malone was an above average defender at his position compared to Moses (in an all time perspective), an average defender at best.

If that Harper shot gets wiped out, AND that Eisley shot counts, then we're potentially looking at a G7 for the Jazz with them being the favorites. And, I'd almost have no doubts he goes before this, even though it wouldn't have made him any better a player...

And, I still can't believe there are still the Stockton arguments for Karl. The Jazz became the #1 offensive team when Stockton actually showed signs of declining. I don't know how many people also realize that Stockton missed the first 18 games of the season in '98. They only went 11-7, but it's worth mentioning they started 2-4, and went 9-3 after that. In those 18 games, Karl went:

25.1 PPG, 10.9 RPG, 3.5 APG on .522% (.589 TS%)

I'm sure SOS will come up, but Karl performed well against everyone, and they even had wins against the Sonics (won 61 games), and Spurs as well; including two other wins against playoff teams.
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Re: #24 Highest Peak of All Time (ends Mon 9:00 PM Pacific) 

Post#36 » by Lightning25 » Sun Sep 30, 2012 6:03 am

TMACFORMVP wrote:I mean, if that's not enough, in '07, the Rockets with TMac in the lineup (and WITHOUT Yao) were 20-10. In '08, with TMac in the lineup (and WITHOUT Yao), the Rockets were 19-8. They barely missed a beat in the regular season without Yao...granted Dikembe was a very good backup, McGrady was the catalyst for that much winning without our supposed best player.

Yes, you already pointed it out. Yao's backup was Deke, probably the best backup Center in the league at the time. McGrady's backup was Luther Head, a giant scrub who couldn't impact the game outside of his shooting, which he was inconsistent in.

Anyways, it's not truly relevant to the conversation at hand, since the discussion is about '03 TMac, but I saw '09 TMac being discussed as a potential reason a peak McGrady might have minimal impact, and had to comment about the ridiculousness of that statement. I think therealbig3, and C-izMe (Community avatar!!) have pretty much covered everything there is involved with his '03 season.

My point was that Tmac is not as portable as many claim because he wasn't He was a ball-dominant player, he was never really that good of a defender, worst hustle ever among stars, and he would never box-out or go after the rebounds.

I still haven't even brought up the intangible factor either which hurts Tmac even more. He was a bad teammate and quite possibly the worst leader I have ever witnessed. He always threw his teammates under the bus, he would quit on the team, and had pathetic work-ethic.

Nobody took advantage of their star power more than McGrady did, nobody. It is too bad that he had JVG as his coach in Houston because he pretty much reinforced McGrady's lazy work-ethic/hustle and he admits it himself. He's just lucky that Yao was naturally a hard worker otherwise JVG would have lost his job even earlier.

As soon as Adelman came, McGrady was getting closer to the exit and eventually he left and he left for good because Adelman didn't bend over for stars like Van Gundy did.

By the way, are you a Rockets fan or a Tmac fan? If you are a Rockets fan, feel free to drop your 2 cents on Yao and his peak and whether or not you feel he should be in the top 50 peaks list.
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Re: #24 Highest Peak of All Time (ends Mon 9:00 PM Pacific) 

Post#37 » by TMACFORMVP » Sun Sep 30, 2012 7:08 am

I tend to think I also like Barry more than most. He wasn't particularly efficient (around league average at his peak), but he was a remarkable passer, and IMO not ball dominant to the extent that he's portrayed. He's shot dominant if that's a thing(?), but I never saw him kill the shot clock, and waste possessions. He did a lot of work coming off screens, moving off the ball, and quick hitting pull ups with range. I actually remember counting the # of times Barry touched the ball in G3 of the 75 Finals. Unfortunately, I lost that information, but through 72 possessions (end of the 3rd), Barry TOUCHED the ball 36 times (not held, just rather had a hand on the ball). And only 2-5 of those possessions were him holding the ball longer than 3-5 seconds, with a few of them being simply end of the quarter isolation plays. And, I'm not going to say he was very good defensively, but he was active, got his hands on the ball a lot, and was pulling nearly 3 steals for a team that was top 5 in DRTG.

He was also very good in the playoffs against very good defensive teams; a Sonics team (7th in DRTG), Bulls team (2nd in DRTG), and Bullets team that was #1 in DRTG. Overall 28/5/6 on .505 TS% in the post season (in the playoffs that year, the average TS% was .501).

I can definitely see where those very light Bird comparisons come from.

Gilmore was also a monster in '75. They won predominately because of their defense, and that was spearheaded by Gilmore (they also did have Wil Jones [the "Erving" stopper, I read somewhere] and Ted McClain a good defender as well). He was also ridiculously efficient, and absolutely dominated the Pacers in the ABA Finals, especially on the boards (where the Colonels killed him - and Gilmore pulling down 21 boards per game). It might be worth mentioning; however, that the teams Gilmore faced in that post-season were not too impressive (didn't face the Nets or Nuggets). It's no fault of his, and they were dominant in the regular season, but something to entertain. In general, I'm not a huge Gilmore fan, because I feel his NBA play was very overrated, but at his peak, an argument for him coming up rather soon should be building. I think a comparison between him and Dwight would be very interesting.

Count me in as a huge Penny fan as well. But we also have to start considering guys like Frazier or the Glove, I'd think.

RE: McGrady and Yao

I'm definitely a Rockets fan, that had the misfortune of signing up with a TMac moniker back in 06 :D
Now it's time for Linsanity/Asik/rookies show! :-?

My point was that McGrady had impact, and when the Rockets had him in the lineup, they were very good, and when he wasn't, they were absolute garbage. The Rockets couldn't do anything offensively, because there were no creators, nor any perimeter scoring. Honestly, there are very few guys during those seasons that could have replicated the same sort of role McGrady had on that team. I don't deny an intangibles aspect lacking (especially in an all time sense; though I'm not sure how much I buy it affecting his teams to an extent where they truly under-performed). I just thought bringing up '09 is completely irrelevant, and in '08, the Rockets with Adelman and McGrady went on a 22 game win streak, including 12 of those games without Yao. McGrady's exit had more to do with injuries, and rubbing the fans the wrong way than his "not buying" into Adelman's system, IMO. In fact, I don't know how many people remember it, but McGrady was the only player that was truly excelling in Adelman's system to start the season, he was playing less off the ball, and started the season on fire - then he got injured against the Lakers, and after he returned, his efficiency went completely down the drain (especially after the win streak).

Anyways, from what I understood about your previous post, you were insinuating that McGrady had "empty stats." And when those records w/ and w/out TMac are so staggering, I don't see how anyone could make that argument, especially considering how TMac stepped up his game when Yao went out annually with his injury (Deke was very good, but he wasn't Yao for the Rockets to have a .600+% without him). I also don't get the JVG was lucky to have Yao having a remarkable work ethic saving him from getting fired comment..what does that mean (not disagreeing, just don't understand)?

As for Yao, I do think he should be in the Top 50 peaks, definitely. I just struggle to think of which year. I'd agree with '07 as the season which he was the most dominant, but there's the whole missed game factor, and the overlooked fact that Yao under-performed in that post-season. He couldn't take advantage of Okur guarding him, and many of those times were in single coverage (though there was a fair share of double teams as well). And defensively, Utah was just a bad matchup, he couldn't cover Okur defensively because of the range, and was forced to guard Boozer, who just murdered the Rockets on the pick and roll. I think that's the main season where you could point at the Rockets underperforming, where both McGrady/Yao had less than stellar series and lost G7 at home ('05, Yao wasn't as good, '06 everyone was injured, '08 Yao was injured in the post-season, and '09 McGrady declined completely). I think that definitely has to be a factor when we're considering the top 50 peaks of ALL-TIME.

I actually like '09 alot, he was more the clear star of that team, was ridiculously efficient, and has always been very underrated as an anchor on defense. He got injured in the second round (:( ), and while I've been a huge "Yao gets beat by the front FAR too much" guy, he still drew ALOT of attention which freed up a lot of jumpshots for guys like Scola in that Blazers series. It's worth mentioning he set the tone for that series too, when the Blazers came out saying they'd single cover Yao with Pryz, and Yao torched the Blazers so bad in that first half, that strategy was literally killed after only two quarters.

I'm not sure where I'd have him as I haven't really looked at my list in depth, but somewhere around 35-40 on an initial look basis could seem like a good spot.
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Re: #24 Highest Peak of All Time (ends Mon 9:00 PM Pacific) 

Post#38 » by ardee » Sun Sep 30, 2012 11:01 am

fatal9 wrote:I'm thinking T-Mac here, with K. Malone right there as well. I have questions about his shot selection (which would have to improve if he were to play in deeper playoff rounds), his experience and his defense. He actually used to be a good defender at the end of his Toronto days and first year with the Magic so the ability is there, but he just had to carry so much of the load on offense. His portability and talent are tough for me to pass on. I don't think we give him enough credit for his natural feel for the game which I felt was better than Kobe's for example (who kind of needs Phil Jackson and triangle to control him), and that's why I don't think T-Mac would really have a problem "fitting in" his game while playing with more talented players. He's a natural.


Moses' peak being 1982 is actually a pretty reasonable statement. That was the year Moses felt he was at his best and he was drawing a lot of praise around the league. I always see players put up insane stretches of play in the regular season during their peak years that go beyond the level they've played at before, and Moses had those amazing stretches in the '82 season. His defense is better in '83, role is different, he's on a championship team instead of a negative SRS team so numbers are down. I don't think at this stage there's a point in having an argument over which was the better year. Different situations so it's hard to gauge. He did enough in '83 for that year to deserve the benefit of doubt.


I'll quote a post made by ShaqAttack3234 about his '82 season:

ShaqAttack3234 wrote:I looked into this season a while ago, and have been meaning to make a thread about it, but forgot until the last few days, so now is as good of a time as any.

He didn't win the title this year like he did in '83, but this has a strong case for being his best season. The individual feats are just astonishing.

I'll start with the final 2 games in January. Entering these games, the Rockets were a mediocre 19-22, but they won both games with Moses scoring 33 in the first game and in the second game, he had 32 points, 20 rebounds, 2 assists and 4 blocks on 12/18 from the floor and 7/10 from the line in 41 minutes. This would start an 8 game winning streak, a stretch where Houston went 13-2, a streak of 13 consecutive 30+ point games, a stretch of 30+ in 19 out of 20 games, and lead into a month of February which would make these 2 late January wins look quiet.

Moses opened up the month of February with 53 points(19 in the 4th quarter), 23 rebounds(11 of them were offensive boards), 4 assists and 1 block on 19/30 from the floor and 15/18 from the line.

That was just the first of 3 consecutive 40 point games. He followed it up with 45 points and 20 rebounds and then had 47 points, 14 rebounds, 3 assists and 2 blocks on 18/28 from the floor and 11/15 from the line.

Here's what Del Harris had to say following these 3 games.

Del Harris
"If there's anybody playing any better in the NBA right now ... well, there just isn't," said Houston Coach Del Harris. "And the thing of it is, he's getting his points off the flow. He's getting them within the framework of our offense, plus the fact he's averaging about 10 points a game off his own hard work on the offensive boards."

Then Moses had a nice 33 point game before he continued with the legendary performances. His next game was a 38 point, 32 rebound game vs the Sonics, he broke his own record with 21 offensive rebounds, a record that still stands 30 years later, and this was the last 30/30 game until Kevin Love did it in the 2010-2011 season.

Moses outrebounded the entire Sonics team by himself, and Lenny Wilkens had this to say.

Lenny Wilkens
"Moses was really controlling the boards," said Seattle Coach Lenny Wilkens. "Bob Pettit and Bill Russell were two of the best (rebounders) that I ever saw. Moses compares very favorably."

Moses finally offered his 2 cents as well.

Moses Malone
"I had stretches like this in high school, but never in pro ball," Malone said, "My body feels so good right now. I stay in shape. I'm losing pounds. The main thing is I'm getting rest."

After a few more 30+ games, one of them in Houston's first loss in more than 3 weeks, Moses had 44 points and 16 rebounds vs the Cavs. Followed by a few more "ordinary" 30+ games, Moses had 34/21 vs Dallas, then he was finally held under 30 with 23 points and 9 rebounds on 8/17 shooting show that he was normal, but the Rockets still beat Denver ever.

However, he'd end February with 43 points and 23 rebounds, and 44 points. Unfortunately, this game didn't end so well as Moses was held to just 2 points in the 4th, missed the potential game-winner in regulation and was held to just 2 points in overtime.

He'd add another 40+ game with 43 points on his first game in March, 14 of his points in the 4th quarter, although Houston would lose this game too.

Overall, Moses averaged 38.1 ppg and 17.3 rpg in the month of February. he had at least 30 points in 13 of the 14 games, scored 40+ 6 times that month and had at least 20 rebounds 6 times that month. He led Houston to an 11-3 record and to nobody's surprise was voted player of the month for February.

But this was not the end of Malone's dominance. After starting off March with the aforementioned 43 point game for a second streak of 3 40+ games in a row in about a month, he continued dropping 30+ including 38/12 with 3 blocks on 16/26 from the floor and 6/6 from the line while playing all 48 minutes, he then came through in the clutch the next game. He had 39 points and 18 rebounds including the offensive rebound and game-winner with 4 seconds remaining to beat the Suns by 2.

He was then held under 30 for just the second time in 21 games with 28 and he shot just 10/28, and followed it up with a 26 point game, which may have made people think he was cooling off. Not the case. He responded with 49 points and 12 rebounds while scoring 22 in the 4th quarter to beat the Blazers, then he was relatively quiet with games of 24 and 19 points, respectively, but responded with 39 points and 17 rebounds vs Kareem's Lakers, though Kareem sat out the second half with a sprained ankle.

Del Harris
"People have always said 'As Moses Malone goes, so go the Rockets.' Well, I wish that were true because if that were the case we would have finished 75-7 last season. He plays that well every night."

Moses transitioned into his next outstanding performance with 31 points in between. He duplicated his outstanding performance from about a week and a half earlier vs Portland when he had 41 points and 18 rebounds as well as a 12 point 4th quarter to beat Portland again. He followed this up with 46 points vs the Sonics to continue his dominance of both these Northwest teams. he had a 38/20 game vs the Mavs sandwiched between 29/17 and 35/15 games vs the Warriors, the latter being on April 1st. He had a relatively quiet 21/15 game in a win vs the Spurs to lead into another monster game vs Kareem and the Lakers. Moses had 37 points and 21 rebounds, although Kareem did get the last laugh with 12 of his 20 points in the 4th quarter to pull out the win.

This was really when Malone's historical dominance, which last over 2 months, finally came to an end, as he scored 30+ in just 1 of his last 6 games to end the regular season.


Christ those are some unbelievable numbers. Doubly so if you consider the Rockets were the 2nd slowest team in the league in terms of pace, slower in fact than the Bulls in Jordan's best statistical season in 1988. Plus, the Rockets were the 8th best offensive team in the league with no other notable players.

I feel like Moses has been underestimated here, I wish I had started voting for him earlier, like maybe in the Wade-West tier. Only reason I wouldn't vote for '82 over '83 was the Playoffs, his scoring dropped by 7 ppg and he shot just 43%. But based on ShaqAttack's great post, '82 was definitely his best regular season.
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Re: #24 Highest Peak of All Time (ends Mon 9:00 PM Pacific) 

Post#39 » by fatal9 » Sun Sep 30, 2012 12:51 pm

vote: 2003 Tracy McGrady

He’s the best combination of scoring and facilitating that’s on the board. That combined with his ability to explode for big scoring games on any given opponent makes him the best offensive player out of the guys being discussed. He has great natural balance in his offensive game (better than Kobe and Wade actually), particularly in 2003, when he mixed up his line of attack more than he ever had before or after. I find it crazy that someone here insinuated that T-Mac was having problems fitting his game with the Rockets, I think tmacformvp's post pretty much stomps on that point. He has great portability based on his skill-set. He’s been called ball dominant but that’s the role he had to play in Orlando because of how offensively challenged that team was. In Houston he was under a pretty mediocre offensive coach in JVG and again is in a situation where he HAS to be the creator (he was even bringing up the ball most of the time on some of those teams). I actually think he is more portable than Kobe who was under the perfect coach/system to control his tendency to break the offense. T-Mac has off-ball ability with his range/great 3PT shooting for spacing and also elite catch/shoot ability combined with his great use of screens to get quick looks. He doesn’t mind deferring, knows when to shoot (though not always the smartest shot) and when to pass (this is what I mean when I say he has better natural balance). Has ability to create a good shot in any situation from anywhere on the floor because of his length. Can give you "best scorer in the league" level scoring when needed and can also get everyone from big men to shooters involved in the offense as well. His interior passing and ability to feed big men is the best thing about his passing. He has the breakdown ability to give you a drive and kick game to feed shooters (problem is Magic had none in the playoffs..they had a stretch 4 in Garrity who couldn’t make anything in the playoffs, but no consistent shooting from the guard position or bench).

Offensively, I see T-Mac clearly a level above both Karl and Moses. Defensively, I think he can be above average at his position if it's asked of him (in situations where he doesn’t have to be as ball dominant in the offense) based on what I’ve seen out him in his previous years and also how he played D when he put his mind to it. It’s easier for me to vote for him over Moses because peak Moses wasn’t exactly overachieving with his Rocket teams (in before someone mentions the ’81 finals run). His career was playing out on similar middling teams (his Rocket teams didn't even reach 1 SRS), except he was playing with more talent. Moses was fortunate that he got traded right to a team that made the finals before him as a +5-6 SRS team, where his skill-set was a perfect fit, a great defensive team without him, didn't need to take a leadership role because the players around him were so talented and experienced. What if ’03 T-Mac were to join an elite defensive team full of veterans, that has been close to winning championships but is starving for a wing scorer? If you compare '82 Moses (same player as '83 if not better) with '03 T-Mac and take out the winning bias from '83, would you still vote for him over T-Mac? Would you rather have a player who is amazing at offensive rebounding or one that can score in all sorts of ways but also does a great job of creating offense for others like T-Mac? Whose offensive impact is more portable and has a higher impact on winning? imo it's T-Mac.

There are questions about him. His shot selection for one. On contending type teams, it would need to tighten up. It should be noted however that T-Mac in ’03 had less of a tendency to settle for jumpers than the years that followed it. His defense is another, but I think this is an effort/right type of team thing. His experience is also a concern (great reason to pick Malone). I value experience because it builds the mental fortitude (a possible weakness with T-Mac) you need to win in the playoffs. It also provides lessons for what to do differently next time. But like I said, I think T-Mac as an offensive talent is on another level from these guys. This is more of a thing I use as a separation between him and Kobe/Wade/West who offer similar things offensively, than the guys we are discussing right now.

The team he had to play with against Detroit was one of the most awful offensive supporting casts I’ve seen around a superstar in the playoffs. In game two for example, T-Mac scored 46 of the teams 77 points (not because he wasn’t passing/deferring either), made 16 of the team’s total 27 made shots (is this the highest % of a teams total points from a player in the playoffs?). He tried to play in all sorts of ways, he tried to score and look for his shot more often, he tried to defer/create more often, he did both, but the offensive talent around him was just putrid. Detroit also started clicking offensively, Billups went for 77 points in the last two games on super high efficiency, even Ben Wallace had a 20 point game, it's hard to overcome that sort of momentum with the type of offensive cast he had around him (Pistons also realized they had a guy in Prince who had a unique lanky frame that could affect T-Mac's ability to make shots from the outside). Detroit controlled those games from start to finish. Overall this was a good playoff performance for him against a really good defensive team.
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Re: #24 Highest Peak of All Time (ends Mon 9:00 PM Pacific) 

Post#40 » by Doctor MJ » Sun Sep 30, 2012 5:39 pm

therealbig3 wrote:FWIW, T-Mac's non-prior informed offensive RAPM in 03 was 2nd in the league that year, behind Shaq:

T-Mac: +3.9

Shaq: +4.5
Duncan: +2.7
Garnett: +3.0
Dirk: +3.3
Kobe: +2.9


This is good to point out, but let me point out three other things:

1) On the "even more impressive" side of things, I would expect that RAPM would underrate guys with terrible supporting casts to some degree. The whole system works by force feeding some mediocrity into the data with the justification that anything too extreme is probably fluky, and on the whole it works, but if you truly have to play with incredibly bad talent around you, then it's going to cut against that.

So McGrady could look even better on this front with the "God only knows" true values.

2) Of course on the other hand, impact with bad talent is not the same as impact with an actual viable team set up.

and

3) Of course you're mentioning his offensive numbers here for a reason. The same study lists his defense as being so bad that he's not in the Top 20. Overall numbers compared to the other guys you mention:

Duncan +6.1
Garnett +6.0
Shaq +5.1
Dirk +5.1
Kobe +2.8
McGrady +2.7
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