GC Pantalones wrote:Ok. Didn't see that post. Personally I don't think they're over 11 SRS max and they're probably somewhere between 2-4 without him.
No problem. I suppose we could debate the potential quality of Miami's ceiling, but if you think they're around 11, then there isn't really much disagreement. I think they're around 3-4 without him, so that would put him at +10, because remember, the impact a player has on a 4 SRS team is not the same as the impact he can have on a 0 SRS team. If Lebron lifts a +2-4.0 Miami team to +11.0, that's +7-9, however, scaled down to a 0 SRS team that comes out to +9-9.9 average portability player and an 8-9.6 high portability player.
This is described in detail
hereIt's possible that I do. Maybe I don't respect how steep the impact climb is but adjusting for the top teams slacking without adjusting for tanking and bad teams slacking off is wrong. For all we know the combined laziness of the league creates an equilibrium aside from the most rare cases (like the 01 Lakers).
That might be something to look into.
I think it is but that's a different argument for another day. I do have to ask why this year over 09?
Why not? He's a far more skilled player (and to a
lesser extent, its the same reason I'd take 2010 over 2009 as well). His jumpshooting has made a major jump from last year to the point where he's one of the best spot up shooters in the league; for the first time in his career he's actually able to provide a true spacing effect when the ball's not in his hands. His off-ball game in general has also been in development since late 2009, he's got a much better sense of where and where not to move while playing off the attention that the rest of the team gets, and taking it further, he's also able to use this ability to create for others. His back-to-basket game has developed and been well incorporated into his overall floor game. He's much more comfortable in using that to not only create for himself, but for others as well (to a much greater degree than prior seasons, largely due to comfort in playing down low). Coupling that with his off ball ability (particularly, but not limited to his ability to space the floor) creates a dynamic on offense that completely opens up the flow of the offense for the rest of the team, and we're seeing the results in Miami's overall team offensive performance, particularly in the second half of the season.
Now couple that with a marginal improvement on defense (it's slight, he was very good in 2009 defensively to begin with) and it doesn't seem that unreasonable to put his current season over 09.
