Who Are Your Current Top 10 Players Ever?

Moderators: Clyde Frazier, Doctor MJ, trex_8063, penbeast0, PaulieWal

70sFan
RealGM
Posts: 30,220
And1: 25,489
Joined: Aug 11, 2015
 

Re: Who Are Your Current Top 10 Players Ever? 

Post#21 » by 70sFan » Sat Oct 6, 2018 11:07 pm

Colbinii wrote:
70sFan wrote:1. Kareem Abdul-Jabbar
2. Bill Russell
3. LeBron James
4. Michael Jordan
5. Tim Duncan
6. Wilt Chamberlain
7. Hakeem Olajuwon
8. Shaquille O'Neal
9. Kevin Garnett
10. Magic Johnson


Something like that, I'm high on longevity and defense.


What is your justification for Garnet behind O'Neal if you are higher on Longevity and defense?


It's tough, I have them very close to each other. To be honest, it's mostly because of Shaq elite playoffs performances throughout his career. Maybe it's unfair for KG who didn't have good teams to compete at the highest level for most of his prime, I can't just assume he would be as good as Shaq though. All players I have over Shaq are more proven than Garnett. Shaq is also clearly better offensively than KG, though this one isn't nearly as important in this comparison for me.

I still can see KG over Shaq and it wouldn't be strange for me at all. After all, differences between top 10 players are very slim.
HBK_Kliq_33
Lead Assistant
Posts: 4,562
And1: 1,845
Joined: Jul 05, 2018

Re: Who Are Your Current Top 10 Players Ever? 

Post#22 » by HBK_Kliq_33 » Sat Oct 6, 2018 11:15 pm

1) Michael Jordan
2) Tim Duncan
3) Magic Johnson
4) Lebron James
5) Kobe Bryant
6) Shaquille O'neal
7) Larry Bird
8) Hakeem Olajuwon
9) Kareem Abdul-Jabbar
10) Scottie Pippen
No-more-rings
Head Coach
Posts: 7,104
And1: 3,913
Joined: Oct 04, 2018

Re: Who Are Your Current Top 10 Players Ever? 

Post#23 » by No-more-rings » Sun Oct 7, 2018 1:03 am

Narigo wrote:1. Michael Jordan
2. LeBron James
3. Kareem Abdul Jabbar
4. Wilt Chamberlain
5. Tim Duncan
6. Shaquille O'Neal
7. Hakeem Olajuwon
8. Magic Johnson
9. Bill Russell
10. Larry Bird

This is basically my list as well though i’d probably switch Magic and Russell.
uberhikari
Lead Assistant
Posts: 5,483
And1: 2,941
Joined: May 11, 2014
   

Re: Who Are Your Current Top 10 Players Ever? 

Post#24 » by uberhikari » Sun Oct 7, 2018 1:02 pm

70sFan wrote:
uberhikari wrote:My top 10:

1. Michael Jordan
2. Kareem Abdul-Jabbar
3. LeBron James
4. Tim Duncan
5. Magic Johnson
6. Larry Bird
7. Wilt Chamberlain
8. Jerry West
9. Shaquille O'Neal
10. Hakeem Olajuwon

No, Bill Russell is not in my top 10. He's a one-dimensional player; and I have seen no empirical evidence to support his defense being as good as people claim. If Russell played in today's league, even if I conceded that his defense was as good as people claimed, he'd be a rim running big. That's not a top 10 all-time player to me.


You have 2 (or 3 depends on how yoy value Shaq defense) one dimensional players in your top 10, both close to top 5. What empirical evidence supports their impacts over Bill Russell?


Presumably, you're talking about Magic and Bird?

1. We have almost no empirical evidence for Russell being as good as some people claim he was on defense. We have actual footage of Magic and Bird.

2. Magic and Bird were not poor defenders. They weren't elite, but they weren't liabilities either. Being average or slightly below average on either offense or defense doesn't make you one-dimensional.

3. Half the time, Shaq was fat, lazy and unmotivated. Then seasons like 2001 would happen, where the Lakers went from being the 21st ranked defense in the RS to the 1st ranked defense in the PS. Given his athletic gifts, Shaq massively underachieved on the defensive end, but when push came to shove he turned it way up.
uberhikari
Lead Assistant
Posts: 5,483
And1: 2,941
Joined: May 11, 2014
   

Re: Who Are Your Current Top 10 Players Ever? 

Post#25 » by uberhikari » Sun Oct 7, 2018 1:09 pm

ThaRegul8r wrote:
70sFan wrote:
uberhikari wrote:My top 10:

1. Michael Jordan
2. Kareem Abdul-Jabbar
3. LeBron James
4. Tim Duncan
5. Magic Johnson
6. Larry Bird
7. Wilt Chamberlain
8. Jerry West
9. Shaquille O'Neal
10. Hakeem Olajuwon

No, Bill Russell is not in my top 10. He's a one-dimensional player; and I have seen no empirical evidence to support his defense being as good as people claim. If Russell played in today's league, even if I conceded that his defense was as good as people claimed, he'd be a rim running big. That's not a top 10 all-time player to me.


You have 2 (or 3 depends on how yoy value Shaq defense) one dimensional players in your top 10, both close to top 5. What empirical evidence supports their impacts over Bill Russell?


To each his own, but most people who talk about "one-dimensionality" don't have a problem with players whose one dimension is offense, so long as they score enough points (whatever the acceptable threshold is). I recall an author in the early 2000s pointed out to a sportswriter who talked about a defensive player being one-dimensional a couple of great offensive players who were one-dimensional, and the sportswriter was forced to concede that the offensive players were just as one-dimensional as the defensive player he was talking about, but then said offense was more important than defense.

Most people who watch basketball don't actually care about defense unless it's ammunition they can use to put their favorite player over someone else. Most people don't watch the game to see players play defense, most people don't go to the playground and pretend to be a defensive player, nor do they buy jerseys of defensive players. Many couldn't even tell you when good defense is being played. Offense sells tickets. During the whole "Be Like Mike" campaign back in the day, it wasn't talking about defense.


If someone could show me evidence that Russell's defense warped games the way Jordan's offense did, I'd have no choice but to concede. As far as I can tell, such evidence doesn't exist. For whatever it's worth, Russell isn't in my top 10 or top 20 or anywhere, because I honestly don't know how to rate the man. It's 2018 and we literally just got semi-reliable defensive metrics within the last 10 years. Russell played 50 years ago in an era that has almost no game footage and where people didn't even record things like blocks and steals. What, exactly, am I supposed to do with this?

If Russell was as good as people claimed, then my top 10 would look like this:

1. Michael Jordan
2. Kareem Abdul-Jabbar
3. LeBron James
4. Tim Duncan
5. Bill Russell
6. Magic Johnson
7. Larry Bird
8. Wilt Chamberlain
9. Jerry West
10. Shaquille O'Neal
User avatar
henshao
Pro Prospect
Posts: 942
And1: 448
Joined: Jul 29, 2018

Re: Who Are Your Current Top 10 Players Ever? 

Post#26 » by henshao » Sun Oct 7, 2018 1:15 pm

uberhikari wrote:
ThaRegul8r wrote:
70sFan wrote:
You have 2 (or 3 depends on how yoy value Shaq defense) one dimensional players in your top 10, both close to top 5. What empirical evidence supports their impacts over Bill Russell?


To each his own, but most people who talk about "one-dimensionality" don't have a problem with players whose one dimension is offense, so long as they score enough points (whatever the acceptable threshold is). I recall an author in the early 2000s pointed out to a sportswriter who talked about a defensive player being one-dimensional a couple of great offensive players who were one-dimensional, and the sportswriter was forced to concede that the offensive players were just as one-dimensional as the defensive player he was talking about, but then said offense was more important than defense.

Most people who watch basketball don't actually care about defense unless it's ammunition they can use to put their favorite player over someone else. Most people don't watch the game to see players play defense, most people don't go to the playground and pretend to be a defensive player, nor do they buy jerseys of defensive players. Many couldn't even tell you when good defense is being played. Offense sells tickets. During the whole "Be Like Mike" campaign back in the day, it wasn't talking about defense.


If someone could show me evidence that Russell's defense warped games the way Jordan's offense did, I'd have no choice but to concede. As far as I can tell, such evidence doesn't exist. For whatever it's worth, Russell isn't in my top 10 or top 20 or anywhere, because I honestly don't know how to rate the man. It's 2018 and we literally just got semi-reliable defensive metrics within the last 10 years. Russell played 50 years ago in an era that has almost no game footage and where people didn't even record things like blocks and steals. What, exactly, am I supposed to do with this?

If Russell was as good as people claimed, then my top 10 would look like this:

1. Michael Jordan
2. Kareem Abdul-Jabbar
3. LeBron James
4. Tim Duncan
5. Bill Russell
6. Magic Johnson
7. Larry Bird
8. Wilt Chamberlain
9. Jerry West
10. Shaquille O'Neal


In a circumstance where you can't be sure how good someone was, defensively, take a chronologically wide sample of good offenses he played against and see how far down he dragged them.
70sFan
RealGM
Posts: 30,220
And1: 25,489
Joined: Aug 11, 2015
 

Re: Who Are Your Current Top 10 Players Ever? 

Post#27 » by 70sFan » Sun Oct 7, 2018 4:01 pm

uberhikari wrote:
70sFan wrote:
uberhikari wrote:My top 10:

1. Michael Jordan
2. Kareem Abdul-Jabbar
3. LeBron James
4. Tim Duncan
5. Magic Johnson
6. Larry Bird
7. Wilt Chamberlain
8. Jerry West
9. Shaquille O'Neal
10. Hakeem Olajuwon

No, Bill Russell is not in my top 10. He's a one-dimensional player; and I have seen no empirical evidence to support his defense being as good as people claim. If Russell played in today's league, even if I conceded that his defense was as good as people claimed, he'd be a rim running big. That's not a top 10 all-time player to me.


You have 2 (or 3 depends on how yoy value Shaq defense) one dimensional players in your top 10, both close to top 5. What empirical evidence supports their impacts over Bill Russell?


Presumably, you're talking about Magic and Bird?

1. We have almost no empirical evidence for Russell being as good as some people claim he was on defense. We have actual footage of Magic and Bird.

2. Magic and Bird were not poor defenders. They weren't elite, but they weren't liabilities either. Being average or slightly below average on either offense or defense doesn't make you one-dimensional.

3. Half the time, Shaq was fat, lazy and unmotivated. Then seasons like 2001 would happen, where the Lakers went from being the 21st ranked defense in the RS to the 1st ranked defense in the PS. Given his athletic gifts, Shaq massively underachieved on the defensive end, but when push came to shove he turned it way up.


1. There are some games from Russell's prime available, some people collected defensive data from that footage and it's GOAT-worthy data. Besides, Celtics were by far the best defensive team in NBA history by any statistical measure.

2. Russell wasn't poor offensive player. He wasn't elite, but he wasn't liability either.
User avatar
eminence
RealGM
Posts: 17,167
And1: 11,968
Joined: Mar 07, 2015

Re: Who Are Your Current Top 10 Players Ever? 

Post#28 » by eminence » Sun Oct 7, 2018 4:05 pm

eminence wrote:Longevity guy myself. Actually just started going through and making a new All-Time list with some ElGee style CORP #'s. Here's the order on guys I've done so far, only 8 of them so far (started with perimeter guys).

1. LeBron James
2. Michael Jordan
3. Oscar Robertson
4. Magic Johnson
5. Kobe Bryant
6. Larry Bird
7. Jerry West
8. Julius Erving


Added in a couple other star perimeter guys.

1. LeBron
2. MJ
3. Oscar
4. Magic
5. Kobe
6. Bird
7. West
8. CP3
9. Nash
10. DrJ
11. Wade
I bought a boat.
uberhikari
Lead Assistant
Posts: 5,483
And1: 2,941
Joined: May 11, 2014
   

Re: Who Are Your Current Top 10 Players Ever? 

Post#29 » by uberhikari » Sun Oct 7, 2018 7:34 pm

70sFan wrote:
uberhikari wrote:
70sFan wrote:
You have 2 (or 3 depends on how yoy value Shaq defense) one dimensional players in your top 10, both close to top 5. What empirical evidence supports their impacts over Bill Russell?


Presumably, you're talking about Magic and Bird?

1. We have almost no empirical evidence for Russell being as good as some people claim he was on defense. We have actual footage of Magic and Bird.

2. Magic and Bird were not poor defenders. They weren't elite, but they weren't liabilities either. Being average or slightly below average on either offense or defense doesn't make you one-dimensional.

3. Half the time, Shaq was fat, lazy and unmotivated. Then seasons like 2001 would happen, where the Lakers went from being the 21st ranked defense in the RS to the 1st ranked defense in the PS. Given his athletic gifts, Shaq massively underachieved on the defensive end, but when push came to shove he turned it way up.


1. There are some games from Russell's prime available, some people collected defensive data from that footage and it's GOAT-worthy data. Besides, Celtics were by far the best defensive team in NBA history by any statistical measure.

2. Russell wasn't poor offensive player. He wasn't elite, but he wasn't liability either.



1. Calling counting stats from less than a season's worth of games "GOAT-worthy" is a monumental hyperbole.

2. Being the best defender in the era with the least amount offensive sophistication in the entire history of the NBA doesn't move the needle all that much for me.
70sFan
RealGM
Posts: 30,220
And1: 25,489
Joined: Aug 11, 2015
 

Re: Who Are Your Current Top 10 Players Ever? 

Post#30 » by 70sFan » Sun Oct 7, 2018 9:15 pm

uberhikari wrote:
70sFan wrote:
uberhikari wrote:
Presumably, you're talking about Magic and Bird?

1. We have almost no empirical evidence for Russell being as good as some people claim he was on defense. We have actual footage of Magic and Bird.

2. Magic and Bird were not poor defenders. They weren't elite, but they weren't liabilities either. Being average or slightly below average on either offense or defense doesn't make you one-dimensional.

3. Half the time, Shaq was fat, lazy and unmotivated. Then seasons like 2001 would happen, where the Lakers went from being the 21st ranked defense in the RS to the 1st ranked defense in the PS. Given his athletic gifts, Shaq massively underachieved on the defensive end, but when push came to shove he turned it way up.


1. There are some games from Russell's prime available, some people collected defensive data from that footage and it's GOAT-worthy data. Besides, Celtics were by far the best defensive team in NBA history by any statistical measure.

2. Russell wasn't poor offensive player. He wasn't elite, but he wasn't liability either.



1. Calling counting stats from less than a season's worth of games "GOAT-worthy" is a monumental hyperbole.

2. Being the best defender in the era with the least amount offensive sophistication in the entire history of the NBA doesn't move the needle all that much for me.


Well, that's more than nothing. I didn't say that I judge Russell on a few games available on YT, but footage helps to understand his body of work and he looks really impressive for any era.

If you have such a low opinion of 1960s, don't rate West or Wilt. They weren't really better in the same era than Russell, at least not clearly better. Besides, you vastly underrate late 1960s basketball.

In terms of offensive sophistication, NBA wasn't that much different in 1965 than in 1985. You can watch games from 1965 and besides higher pace, offenses are very similar. We had teams using triangle offense (1966-68 Sixers), using movement offense (1968 Lakers), P&R heavy offense (Royals), off-ball movement and spacing offense (1969 Knicks) and many, many other ways to run offense. I don’t want to say that basketball was as sophisticated as in 2000s, but some people vastly underestimate variety of ways basketball was played during Russell career.

Also, offensive gameplans weren't the same in 1959 and 1969. Russell dominated defensively for his whole career at unmatched level. Even players like Wilt, Thurmond or Hayes couldn't reach that, if that doesn't impress you then nothing would.
Cavsfansince84
RealGM
Posts: 15,259
And1: 11,641
Joined: Jun 13, 2017
   

Re: Who Are Your Current Top 10 Players Ever? 

Post#31 » by Cavsfansince84 » Sun Oct 7, 2018 9:25 pm

1. MJ
2. Russell/Kareem/LeBron
5. Duncan
6. Shaq
7. Bird/Magic
9. Hakeem
10. Wilt

Duncan and Shaq I put ahead of Magic and Bird mostly due to longevity.
uberhikari
Lead Assistant
Posts: 5,483
And1: 2,941
Joined: May 11, 2014
   

Re: Who Are Your Current Top 10 Players Ever? 

Post#32 » by uberhikari » Sun Oct 7, 2018 9:27 pm

70sFan wrote:
uberhikari wrote:
70sFan wrote:
1. There are some games from Russell's prime available, some people collected defensive data from that footage and it's GOAT-worthy data. Besides, Celtics were by far the best defensive team in NBA history by any statistical measure.

2. Russell wasn't poor offensive player. He wasn't elite, but he wasn't liability either.



1. Calling counting stats from less than a season's worth of games "GOAT-worthy" is a monumental hyperbole.

2. Being the best defender in the era with the least amount offensive sophistication in the entire history of the NBA doesn't move the needle all that much for me.


Well, that's more than nothing. I didn't say that I judge Russell on a few games available on YT, but footage helps to understand his body of work and he looks really impressive for any era.

If you have such a low opinion of 1960s, don't rate West or Wilt. They weren't really better in the same era than Russell, at least not clearly better. Besides, you vastly underrate late 1960s basketball.

In terms of offensive sophistication, NBA wasn't that much different in 1965 than in 1985. You can watch games from 1965 and besides higher pace, offenses are very similar. We had teams using triangle offense (1966-68 Sixers), using movement offense (1968 Lakers), P&R heavy offense (Royals), off-ball movement and spacing offense (1969 Knicks) and many, many other ways to run offense. I don’t want to say that basketball was as sophisticated as in 2000s, but some people vastly underestimate variety of ways basketball was played during Russell career.

Also, offensive gameplans weren't the same in 1959 and 1969. Russell dominated defensively for his whole career at unmatched level. Even players like Wilt, Thurmond or Hayes couldn't reach that, if that doesn't impress you then nobody would.


1. I can rate West and Wilt because our ability to gauge offensive impact is way better than our ability to gauge defensive impact. Russell was surrounded by an assortment of good/great defenders on the perimeter. How can I attritube all of Boston's defense to just Russell?

2. The difference in sophistication in NBA offense from 2005 to 2015 is larger than the difference in sophistication of NBA offense from 1946-2005. That might sound like hyperbole, but go and watch some playoff games from the mid-90s and compare it to now. It's almost like a different sport.

3. It's not that I'm not impressed by Russell. But as Carl Sagan used to say, "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence." If you want me to believe that Bill Russell's defensive impact was comparable to Michael Jordan's offensive impact, I'm going to need very good evidence in order to believe this. As far as I can tell, no such evidence exists.

I'm not a Bill Russell skeptic; I'm a Bill Russell agnostic. Claims about Russell may very well be true, we simply don't have the tools to evaluate their veracity.
70sFan
RealGM
Posts: 30,220
And1: 25,489
Joined: Aug 11, 2015
 

Re: Who Are Your Current Top 10 Players Ever? 

Post#33 » by 70sFan » Mon Oct 8, 2018 8:35 am

uberhikari wrote:
70sFan wrote:
uberhikari wrote:

1. Calling counting stats from less than a season's worth of games "GOAT-worthy" is a monumental hyperbole.

2. Being the best defender in the era with the least amount offensive sophistication in the entire history of the NBA doesn't move the needle all that much for me.


Well, that's more than nothing. I didn't say that I judge Russell on a few games available on YT, but footage helps to understand his body of work and he looks really impressive for any era.

If you have such a low opinion of 1960s, don't rate West or Wilt. They weren't really better in the same era than Russell, at least not clearly better. Besides, you vastly underrate late 1960s basketball.

In terms of offensive sophistication, NBA wasn't that much different in 1965 than in 1985. You can watch games from 1965 and besides higher pace, offenses are very similar. We had teams using triangle offense (1966-68 Sixers), using movement offense (1968 Lakers), P&R heavy offense (Royals), off-ball movement and spacing offense (1969 Knicks) and many, many other ways to run offense. I don’t want to say that basketball was as sophisticated as in 2000s, but some people vastly underestimate variety of ways basketball was played during Russell career.

Also, offensive gameplans weren't the same in 1959 and 1969. Russell dominated defensively for his whole career at unmatched level. Even players like Wilt, Thurmond or Hayes couldn't reach that, if that doesn't impress you then nobody would.


1. I can rate West and Wilt because our ability to gauge offensive impact is way better than our ability to gauge defensive impact. Russell was surrounded by an assortment of good/great defenders on the perimeter. How can I attritube all of Boston's defense to just Russell?

2. The difference in sophistication in NBA offense from 2005 to 2015 is larger than the difference in sophistication of NBA offense from 1946-2005. That might sound like hyperbole, but go and watch some playoff games from the mid-90s and compare it to now. It's almost like a different sport.

3. It's not that I'm not impressed by Russell. But as Carl Sagan used to say, "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence." If you want me to believe that Bill Russell's defensive impact was comparable to Michael Jordan's offensive impact, I'm going to need very good evidence in order to believe this. As far as I can tell, no such evidence exists.

I'm not a Bill Russell skeptic; I'm a Bill Russell agnostic. Claims about Russell may very well be true, we simply don't have the tools to evaluate their veracity.


You have some strong evidences in Russell's defensive impact though. In his last season, Celtics were by far the best defensive team in the league. The year after they lost 2 players - Bill Russell and washed up Sam Jones. They went from all-time great defensive team to below average one. Unless you think that Sam Jones in his last season had big defensive impact, it's clear that Russell defense was huge for Celtics.

The argument with perimeter defenders also doesn't look correct, because early in Russell career Celtics didn't really have great defenders. Boston was bad defensive team in 1956. They lost Ed (weak defender by most accounts) and added Russell and Heinsohn, Ramsey started to play. It's not as easy situation as in 1969, but Heinsohn wasn't good defender based on everything I've seen and read about him, actually the only good defensive teammates early in Russell career was Loscutoff in limited minutes.

Russell teams always dominated on defensive side on the court in unmatched manner and the only link between all these teams was Russell. Even after Red retired, they were dominant on defense. Celtics team from 1957 was nothing like Celtics team from 1967, only Russell is the link. You can argue that it's not because of Russell but more because of coaching, team culture and strong defensive pieces but Celtics never became the same after his retirement. Actually, no team ever came close to this level of dominance on one end of the floor. We had Duncan/Pop dynasty in San Antonio, Riley Knicks and 2000s Pistons but no team ever reached Russell's Celtics level. And this level dropped to below average after his retirement.

No player can make team GOAT-level alone on either end. Of course Russell had some great defenders around him. Sometimes he didn't though, results were always amazing. Magic is one of the best offensive players of all-time, but he didn't make the Lakers great alone. Curry wouldn't make Warriors great without Green, Klay and Iggy. I think that Russell proved his defensive impact more than Magic/Curry, because he always succeeded. We don't know how good would Curry make your team with completely different roster, we know that with Russell.
uberhikari
Lead Assistant
Posts: 5,483
And1: 2,941
Joined: May 11, 2014
   

Re: Who Are Your Current Top 10 Players Ever? 

Post#34 » by uberhikari » Mon Oct 8, 2018 9:06 am

70sFan wrote:
uberhikari wrote:
70sFan wrote:
Well, that's more than nothing. I didn't say that I judge Russell on a few games available on YT, but footage helps to understand his body of work and he looks really impressive for any era.

If you have such a low opinion of 1960s, don't rate West or Wilt. They weren't really better in the same era than Russell, at least not clearly better. Besides, you vastly underrate late 1960s basketball.

In terms of offensive sophistication, NBA wasn't that much different in 1965 than in 1985. You can watch games from 1965 and besides higher pace, offenses are very similar. We had teams using triangle offense (1966-68 Sixers), using movement offense (1968 Lakers), P&R heavy offense (Royals), off-ball movement and spacing offense (1969 Knicks) and many, many other ways to run offense. I don’t want to say that basketball was as sophisticated as in 2000s, but some people vastly underestimate variety of ways basketball was played during Russell career.

Also, offensive gameplans weren't the same in 1959 and 1969. Russell dominated defensively for his whole career at unmatched level. Even players like Wilt, Thurmond or Hayes couldn't reach that, if that doesn't impress you then nobody would.


1. I can rate West and Wilt because our ability to gauge offensive impact is way better than our ability to gauge defensive impact. Russell was surrounded by an assortment of good/great defenders on the perimeter. How can I attritube all of Boston's defense to just Russell?

2. The difference in sophistication in NBA offense from 2005 to 2015 is larger than the difference in sophistication of NBA offense from 1946-2005. That might sound like hyperbole, but go and watch some playoff games from the mid-90s and compare it to now. It's almost like a different sport.

3. It's not that I'm not impressed by Russell. But as Carl Sagan used to say, "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence." If you want me to believe that Bill Russell's defensive impact was comparable to Michael Jordan's offensive impact, I'm going to need very good evidence in order to believe this. As far as I can tell, no such evidence exists.

I'm not a Bill Russell skeptic; I'm a Bill Russell agnostic. Claims about Russell may very well be true, we simply don't have the tools to evaluate their veracity.


You have some strong evidences in Russell's defensive impact though. In his last season, Celtics were by far the best defensive team in the league. The year after they lost 2 players - Bill Russell and washed up Sam Jones. They went from all-time great defensive team to below average one. Unless you think that Sam Jones in his last season had big defensive impact, it's clear that Russell defense was huge for Celtics.

The argument with perimeter defenders also doesn't look correct, because early in Russell career Celtics didn't really have great defenders. Boston was bad defensive team in 1956. They lost Ed (weak defender by most accounts) and added Russell and Heinsohn, Ramsey started to play. It's not as easy situation as in 1969, but Heinsohn wasn't good defender based on everything I've seen and read about him, actually the only good defensive teammates early in Russell career was Loscutoff in limited minutes.

Russell teams always dominated on defensive side on the court in unmatched manner and the only link between all these teams was Russell. Even after Red retired, they were dominant on defense. Celtics team from 1957 was nothing like Celtics team from 1967, only Russell is the link. You can argue that it's not because of Russell but more because of coaching, team culture and strong defensive pieces but Celtics never became the same after his retirement. Actually, no team ever came close to this level of dominance on one end of the floor. We had Duncan/Pop dynasty in San Antonio, Riley Knicks and 2000s Pistons but no team ever reached Russell's Celtics level. And this level dropped to below average after his retirement.

No player can make team GOAT-level alone on either end. Of course Russell had some great defenders around him. Sometimes he didn't though, results were always amazing. Magic is one of the best offensive players of all-time, but he didn't make the Lakers great alone. Curry wouldn't make Warriors great without Green, Klay and Iggy. I think that Russell proved his defensive impact more than Magic/Curry, because he always succeeded. We don't know how good would Curry make your team with completely different roster, we know that with Russell.


You basically ignored what I wrote. So, I'll re-write it:

It's not that I'm not impressed by Russell. But as Carl Sagan used to say, "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence." If you want me to believe that Bill Russell's defensive impact was comparable to Michael Jordan's offensive impact, I'm going to need very good evidence in order to believe this. As far as I can tell, no such evidence exists.

I'm not a Bill Russell skeptic; I'm a Bill Russell agnostic. Claims about Russell may very well be true, we simply don't have the tools to evaluate their veracity.

Note: That Russell was the primary cause of the Celtics defense is not in dispute. What is in dispute is his impact in absolute terms. You can easily believe Russell caused the Celtics defense to be dominant without believing that he was any better on defense than KG or Hakeem or Robinson, etc.
70sFan
RealGM
Posts: 30,220
And1: 25,489
Joined: Aug 11, 2015
 

Re: Who Are Your Current Top 10 Players Ever? 

Post#35 » by 70sFan » Mon Oct 8, 2018 9:38 am

uberhikari wrote:
70sFan wrote:
uberhikari wrote:
1. I can rate West and Wilt because our ability to gauge offensive impact is way better than our ability to gauge defensive impact. Russell was surrounded by an assortment of good/great defenders on the perimeter. How can I attritube all of Boston's defense to just Russell?

2. The difference in sophistication in NBA offense from 2005 to 2015 is larger than the difference in sophistication of NBA offense from 1946-2005. That might sound like hyperbole, but go and watch some playoff games from the mid-90s and compare it to now. It's almost like a different sport.

3. It's not that I'm not impressed by Russell. But as Carl Sagan used to say, "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence." If you want me to believe that Bill Russell's defensive impact was comparable to Michael Jordan's offensive impact, I'm going to need very good evidence in order to believe this. As far as I can tell, no such evidence exists.

I'm not a Bill Russell skeptic; I'm a Bill Russell agnostic. Claims about Russell may very well be true, we simply don't have the tools to evaluate their veracity.


You have some strong evidences in Russell's defensive impact though. In his last season, Celtics were by far the best defensive team in the league. The year after they lost 2 players - Bill Russell and washed up Sam Jones. They went from all-time great defensive team to below average one. Unless you think that Sam Jones in his last season had big defensive impact, it's clear that Russell defense was huge for Celtics.

The argument with perimeter defenders also doesn't look correct, because early in Russell career Celtics didn't really have great defenders. Boston was bad defensive team in 1956. They lost Ed (weak defender by most accounts) and added Russell and Heinsohn, Ramsey started to play. It's not as easy situation as in 1969, but Heinsohn wasn't good defender based on everything I've seen and read about him, actually the only good defensive teammates early in Russell career was Loscutoff in limited minutes.

Russell teams always dominated on defensive side on the court in unmatched manner and the only link between all these teams was Russell. Even after Red retired, they were dominant on defense. Celtics team from 1957 was nothing like Celtics team from 1967, only Russell is the link. You can argue that it's not because of Russell but more because of coaching, team culture and strong defensive pieces but Celtics never became the same after his retirement. Actually, no team ever came close to this level of dominance on one end of the floor. We had Duncan/Pop dynasty in San Antonio, Riley Knicks and 2000s Pistons but no team ever reached Russell's Celtics level. And this level dropped to below average after his retirement.

No player can make team GOAT-level alone on either end. Of course Russell had some great defenders around him. Sometimes he didn't though, results were always amazing. Magic is one of the best offensive players of all-time, but he didn't make the Lakers great alone. Curry wouldn't make Warriors great without Green, Klay and Iggy. I think that Russell proved his defensive impact more than Magic/Curry, because he always succeeded. We don't know how good would Curry make your team with completely different roster, we know that with Russell.


You basically ignored what I wrote. So, I'll re-write it:

It's not that I'm not impressed by Russell. But as Carl Sagan used to say, "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence." If you want me to believe that Bill Russell's defensive impact was comparable to Michael Jordan's offensive impact, I'm going to need very good evidence in order to believe this. As far as I can tell, no such evidence exists.

I'm not a Bill Russell skeptic; I'm a Bill Russell agnostic. Claims about Russell may very well be true, we simply don't have the tools to evaluate their veracity.

Note: That Russell was the primary cause of the Celtics defense is not in dispute. What is in dispute is his impact in absolute terms. You can easily believe Russell caused the Celtics defense to be dominant without believing that he was any better on defense than KG or Hakeem or Robinson, etc.


Isn't Russell retirement a good evidence? I mean, Celtics went from all-time great defensive team to below average one. Roster didn't change at all, they just got replacement in his place and lost Sam Jones.

Can you say anything close to that about anyone you mentioned?
uberhikari
Lead Assistant
Posts: 5,483
And1: 2,941
Joined: May 11, 2014
   

Re: Who Are Your Current Top 10 Players Ever? 

Post#36 » by uberhikari » Mon Oct 8, 2018 11:21 am

70sFan wrote:Isn't Russell retirement a good evidence?


No. All that tells us is that Bill Russell was an all-time great defender.

However, people aren't just claiming that Russell was an all-time great defender. They're claiming quite a bit more, which is that he was not only the best defender of all-time but that he was significantly better than anybody else in history.

Circumstantial evidence such as what we have falls way short of the threshold of sufficiency you need to claim that Russell was a significantly better defender than anybody else in the entire history of the NBA.

Let me give you an example. If Andre Roberson had played in the 19070's, all we'd be able to say is that he was amongst the best wing/perimeter defenders in NBA history. And that's where the evidence would basically stop. We'd look at his steals/blocks/defensive rebounds and conclude that he wasn't all that great. But we'd infer from his impact and the testimony of contemporaries that he was probably an all-time great defender.

But now that we have DRPM and DRAPM would can look at his eye-popping DRPM + DRAPM (4.34 and 4), and realize that he's in a completely different defensive tier than other wing/perimeter defenders.

We have no such evidence for Bill Russell. And I don't doubt that if we had DRAPM + DRPM for Russell that he'd be amongst the highest in NBA history. But my beliefs are not evidence.
pandrade83
Starter
Posts: 2,040
And1: 604
Joined: Jun 07, 2017
     

Re: Who Are Your Current Top 10 Players Ever? 

Post#37 » by pandrade83 » Mon Oct 8, 2018 11:46 am

Boston Rel D Rating by Year:

'55 (pre-Russ): +3.2 (bad)
'56 (Pre-Russ): +1.4 (bad)
'57 (Russell plays 2/3 of games): -4.9
'58: -5.2
'59: -5.7
'60: -6.2
'61: -7.6
'62: -8.5
'63: -8.5
'64: -10.8
'65: -9.4
'66: -6.6
'67: -5.1
'68: -4.4
'69: -6.4
'70: Russell no longer there: -0.1

For historical context:

'04-'06 Spurs: -7.6 avg
'98-'00 Spurs: -6.1 avg
Bulls 1st 3-peat: -2.5 avg
Bulls 2nd 3-peat: -5.1 avg
KG era Boston: -6.1 avg ('08-'10)
Boston best Bird/McHale/Parish era: -4.6 ('86)
Bad Boy Pistons: -3.7 avg (88-90)
Ben Wallace/Sheed/Billups Pistons: -5.4 avg ('03-'05)
Ewing/Oak/Mason/Starks Knicks: -7.0 avg ('93-'95)
GSW 15-17: -3.9
Shaq/Kobe 3-peat: -2.3 avg ('00-'02)
Lakers 3 straight Finals with Kobe anchor: -3.2 avg ('08-'10)
Showtime Lakers best 3 year stretch: -1.5 avg ('80-'82)
Lakers w/ Wilt avg: -3.0 ('69-'73, exempting '70)
Sixers w/ Wilt full seasons: -3.8 ('66-'68)
Warriors w/ Wilt full seasons: -2.4
Bucks best 3 year era w/ KAJ: -5.0
Avg of Olajuwon 3 best (non-consec): -4.5

Peak Russell: -9.6 ('63-'65)

Russell's best squads were truly outlier level defenses - and even non-peak Russell is still delivering you value at or superior to other GOAT Level defenses with a constant rotating cast of characters that were poor-average defensively both before his arrival & after his departure.
migya
General Manager
Posts: 8,197
And1: 1,511
Joined: Aug 13, 2005

Re: Who Are Your Current Top 10 Players Ever? 

Post#38 » by migya » Mon Oct 8, 2018 3:08 pm

Jordan is #1 because no one player ever performed and won like him with as little to work. Can't see how Magic is higher than Bird because he had Kareem and yet his team didn't win that much more than Bird's. Think West might actually be ahead of Robertson. As much as I don't like the way he played, Kobe is top 10, he won too much and after Shaq left he did quite well with teams that were no more talented than Jordan's.
pandrade83
Starter
Posts: 2,040
And1: 604
Joined: Jun 07, 2017
     

Re: Who Are Your Current Top 10 Players Ever? 

Post#39 » by pandrade83 » Mon Oct 8, 2018 6:30 pm

migya wrote:Jordan is #1 because no one player ever performed and won like him with as little to work. Can't see how Magic is higher than Bird because he had Kareem and yet his team didn't win that much more than Bird's. Think West might actually be ahead of Robertson. As much as I don't like the way he played, Kobe is top 10, he won too much and after Shaq left he did quite well with teams that were no more talented than Jordan's.


Can't get behind this logic. Kareem exited his prime after the '81 season - he was still very good afterwards but he was more at a high end all-star level than GOAT caliber player.
Cavsfansince84
RealGM
Posts: 15,259
And1: 11,641
Joined: Jun 13, 2017
   

Re: Who Are Your Current Top 10 Players Ever? 

Post#40 » by Cavsfansince84 » Mon Oct 8, 2018 7:15 pm

pandrade83 wrote:
migya wrote:Jordan is #1 because no one player ever performed and won like him with as little to work. Can't see how Magic is higher than Bird because he had Kareem and yet his team didn't win that much more than Bird's. Think West might actually be ahead of Robertson. As much as I don't like the way he played, Kobe is top 10, he won too much and after Shaq left he did quite well with teams that were no more talented than Jordan's.


Can't get behind this logic. Kareem exited his prime after the '81 season - he was still very good afterwards but he was more at a high end all-star level than GOAT caliber player.


While I agree that Kareem's prime ended in 81 he was still better than high end all star after that until about 86. Top 5 mvp finishes in 84-86. More importantly though he could still come up very big in the playoffs during those years. Averaged 27ppg in the 83 playoffs and 26ppg in the 85 playoff/title run. Top 10 player in the league which is better than all star.

Return to Player Comparisons