#3 Greatest Defensive C of All-Time - Top 10 Defense at each position project

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Re: #3 Greatest Defensive C of All-Time - Top 10 Defense at each position project 

Post#21 » by trex_8063 » Wed Jan 2, 2019 2:32 am

cecilthesheep wrote:
90sAllDecade wrote:Happy New Year guys! I might throw in a rare post in this thread. I just have a question before I vote,

What is the argument that David Robinson is a better defensive C than Ben Wallace?

I'm reviewing the numbers and checking film, is it because he's regarded as a better overall player? I get that, and agree, but defensively I think Ben is better right now.

I can be convinced and my mind can be changed, I might post arguments myself when I have time later.

Longevity and physical tools. Mostly longevity. Ben had the shortest prime of any of these top-tier candidates, and was relatively unremarkable during his non-prime years (compared to Robinson's post-injury career when he was still a top level defender, for instance). I don't even prioritize longevity that highly, but with Ben it's just such a big gap that it's the deciding factor for me.


It's also a touch concerning to me that when a prime Ben Wallace leaves the Pistons, the Piston's defense worsens barely at all (by +0.8 rDRTG) in '07, and then in '08 actually rebounds to BETTER than they'd been in '06 (with Ben); aside from his leaving the roster was much the same as in '06, fwiw.

The Bulls defense does get a lot better the year Ben arrives. However, they also obtained rookies Thabo Sefolosha and Tyrus Thomas, as well as aging PJ Brown as role players---->good defensive players all.
Luol Deng was also a season more mature and playing 467 minutes more in '07 than he had in '06.
So the addition of Ben is far from the only factor in that improvement.
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Re: #3 Greatest Defensive C of All-Time - Top 10 Defense at each position project 

Post#22 » by cecilthesheep » Wed Jan 2, 2019 8:31 am

Dr Positivity wrote:Being consistent with the criteria at other positions, I think Big Ben shouldn't go here based on longevity. He really has a 6 year or so run (01-06), had solid boxscore but underwhelming +/- data his first Bulls year, but it goes downhill quickly after that. Compared to Mutombo's longevity for example it's not even close. Robinson longevity is also strong considering in addition to 7 pre injury years, he still provides a lot of value in the 6 years with Duncan, DPOY level in the early ones, then very good even until he retired. Wilt, Thurmond, etc. have over a decade of strong play. I think these candidates are so strong that Wallace should arguably be out of the top 5 based on longevity, even though I rate his peak top 3.

Mutombo has the best DRAPM support, but Robinson's in the years we have are superb as well. Robinson is most athletic guarding the perimeter. Thurmond is known as the strongest post defender. I don't like Wilt getting in before Thurmond who was more of a defensive specialist than him energy wise. It's not confirmed that Wilt is the better shotblocker. Thurmond claims he blocked the second most shots in history after Russell and has a handful of 10 block games recorded by newspapers.

Vote Nate Thurmond based on having the X factor of GOAT level post defense, in addition to having an argument against these other players as a shotblocker/team defender as well. But I don't feel good about it

You know, I took a harder look at Nate Thurmond after reading this comment, and after some of the stuff I've found, I'm torn and strongly considering changing my vote. I knew Thurmond was great, but I didn't realize that his defensive reputation among his contemporaries outpaced Wilt so far as to actually rival Russell. Even Wilt said Thurmond had a longer reach than he did.

What I'm struggling with is, how much of that can be attributed to Wilt's scoring overshadowing his defense? Because Wilt was an undeniably great defender too. His concentration issues appear to have been real, given his clashes with coaches during the first half of his career, especially Alex Hannum's emphasis on getting him to pay more attention to defense. But even during the time period when he was supposedly not giving maximum effort, his impact appears to have been pretty significant if you just go by team defense before/after he got there. Maybe his athleticism was making up for it, or maybe that's just a super rough, noisy stat. Overall, Wilt has a consistent track record of elevating defenses with his arrival, but using that as a tiebreaker is hardly fair to Thurmond, who switched teams only once at the end of his career when traded to a Bulls team that already had an elite defense. Wilt's WOWYR score beats Thurmond's but only by about one, which I think is probably roughly what his extra offense was worth. We don't have PIPM for Wilt's career or most of Thurmond's.

On film, Wilt is certainly the more explosive athlete and shot-blocker, but he also appears to have less consistent timing and positioning than Thurmond, which makes me lean towards Thurmond. This post, mostly the quotes, and other parts of that thread, seem to confirm my perception from film-watching that Wilt's timing wasn't always the best. Blocks do tend to look more impressive when you have to come from farther away to make them.

Wilt does have one clear advantage over Thurmond and that's durability. Wilt didn't miss any significant time due to injuries except for one year in LA. Thurmond never missed as many games in one season as Wilt did that year, but he was more consistently hurt, and most of the time he missed came from ages 25 to 28, what should have been his prime.

This is absolutely agonizing. I don't know what I'm going to do. I'm exactly split between Wilt and Thurmond right now.
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Re: #3 Greatest Defensive C of All-Time - Top 10 Defense at each position project 

Post#23 » by Owly » Wed Jan 2, 2019 9:05 am

trex_8063 wrote:
cecilthesheep wrote:
90sAllDecade wrote:Happy New Year guys! I might throw in a rare post in this thread. I just have a question before I vote,

What is the argument that David Robinson is a better defensive C than Ben Wallace?

I'm reviewing the numbers and checking film, is it because he's regarded as a better overall player? I get that, and agree, but defensively I think Ben is better right now.

I can be convinced and my mind can be changed, I might post arguments myself when I have time later.

Longevity and physical tools. Mostly longevity. Ben had the shortest prime of any of these top-tier candidates, and was relatively unremarkable during his non-prime years (compared to Robinson's post-injury career when he was still a top level defender, for instance). I don't even prioritize longevity that highly, but with Ben it's just such a big gap that it's the deciding factor for me.


It's also a touch concerning to me that when a prime Ben Wallace leaves the Pistons, the Piston's defense worsens barely at all (by +0.8 rDRTG) in '07, and then in '08 actually rebounds to BETTER than they'd been in '06 (with Ben); aside from his leaving the roster was much the same as in '06, fwiw.

The Bulls defense does get a lot better the year Ben arrives. However, they also obtained rookies Thabo Sefolosha and Tyrus Thomas, as well as aging PJ Brown as role players [and lost Tyson Chandler] ---->good defensive players all.
Luol Deng was also a season more mature and playing 467 minutes more in '07 than he had in '06.
So the addition of Ben is far from the only factor in that improvement.

Hmm. One year probably doesn't tell all that much and these team level movements, whilst somewhat viable if the least worst option, are going to be a bit noisy.

In terms of raw on-off, his first year with the Bulls was a bad year. Whilst when he was on the team was still pretty good (+3.1), his on off (-5.1) is a big outlier (caveats: basketball reference [only] goes back to the 2001 season and I'm not counting 2011 which is almost as bad, but he was a role player and thought of as finished by then]. This year, whilst taken into account, would give a poor [as in not accurate] indication of his general value.

Overall though teams were +4.6 points per 100 possessions better with him on and of course this includes his offensive impact, which probably isn't a positive. :wink:
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Re: #3 Greatest Defensive C of All-Time - Top 10 Defense at each position project 

Post#24 » by cecilthesheep » Wed Jan 2, 2019 9:54 am

Compiled some head-to-head stats for Wilt and Thurmond vs some HOF centers they played against. These aren't quite as meaningful as they were for perimeter guys, given that centers are more responsible for playing team defense, but for whatever it's worth:

Bill Russell vs Chamberlain (94 games): 14.2p / 22.9r / 4.4a / .370 FG% (using this instead of TS% because I'm already having to do some of my own calculations as a result of often-incomplete box scores and TS% would be a huge pain on top of that)
Russell overall during same time period as Chamberlain matchups: 14.8p / 22.6r / 4.6a / .439 FG%
Russell vs Thurmond (42 games): 12.2p / 22.5r / 5.3a / .396 FG%
Overall during same time period as Thurmond matchups: 13.0p / 21.7r / 5.0a / .433 FG%

Willis Reed vs Chamberlain (55 games): 17.7p / 12.5r / 2.0a / .434 FG%
Overall during same time period as Chamberlain matchups: 19.2p / 12.8r / 2.0a / .491 FG%
Reed vs Thurmond (46 games): 14.9p / 12.2r / 2.0a / .398 FG%
Overall during same time period as Thurmond matchups: 18.7p / 12.9r / 1.8a / .476 FG%

Walt Bellamy vs Chamberlain (90 games): 24.2p / 16.1r / 3.1a / .452 FG%
Overall during same time period as Chamberlain matchups: 20.6p / 14.0r / 2.4a / .518 FG%
Bellamy vs Thurmond (62 games): 15.6p / 12.4r / 2.1a / .419 FG%
Overall during same time period as Thurmond matchups: 18.4p / 12.9r / 2.4a / .514 FG%

Kareem Abdul-Jabbar vs Chamberlain (17 games): 31.8p / 15.8r / 3.8a / .463 FG%
Overall during same time period as Chamberlain matchups: 31.4p / 15.8r / 4.2a / .556 FG%
Kareem vs Thurmond (37 games): 26.3p / 14.1r / assists unsure, not importing a whole CSV just for this / .473 FG%
Overall during same time period as Thurmond matchups: 29.5p / 15.3r / 4.3a / .548 FG%

Jerry Lucas vs Chamberlain (64 games): 18.0p / 17.4r / 3.7a / .490 FG% (Edit: Lucas played PF according to basketball reference; I don't know why I thought of him as a center)
Overall during same time period as Chamberlain matchups: 18.0p / 16.6r / 3.3a / .500 FG%
Lucas vs Thurmond (55 games): 14.9p / 18.8r / 3.4a / .445 FG%
Overall during same time period as Thurmond matchups: 17.0p / 15.6r / 3.3a / .499 FG%

On the whole, this area looks to me like a clear edge for Thurmond, not an overpowering edge but still a pretty significant one. Unsurprising, since Thurmond's greatest strength was reputed to be one-on-one post defense. One more factor to consider.
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Re: #3 Greatest Defensive C of All-Time - Top 10 Defense at each position project 

Post#25 » by HeartBreakKid » Wed Jan 2, 2019 10:36 am

Interesting post, and it has reminded me to push Thurmond up higher on my rankings.

I'm going to give my vote to David Robinson still.

He has the best combination of athleticism among the rest here, and he probably would have destroyed the more pick and roll heavy offensive eras that came later after him.

We also have some good data of him when he was past his prime and it showed that he was an elite defender - many of the other candidates do not have such data to help those claims.
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Re: #3 Greatest Defensive C of All-Time - Top 10 Defense at each position project 

Post#26 » by 70sFan » Wed Jan 2, 2019 10:36 am

cecilthesheep wrote:Compiled some head-to-head stats for Wilt and Thurmond vs some HOF centers they played against. These aren't quite as meaningful as they were for perimeter guys, given that centers are more responsible for playing team defense, but for whatever it's worth:

Bill Russell vs Chamberlain (94 games): 14.2p / 22.9r / 4.4a / .370 FG% (using this instead of TS% because I'm already having to do some of my own calculations as a result of often-incomplete box scores and TS% would be a huge pain on top of that)
Russell overall during same time period as Chamberlain matchups: 14.8p / 22.6r / 4.6a / .439 FG%
Russell vs Thurmond (42 games): 12.2p / 22.5r / 5.3a / .396 FG%
Overall during same time period as Thurmond matchups: 13.0p / 21.7r / 5.0a / .433 FG%

Willis Reed vs Chamberlain (55 games): 17.7p / 12.5r / 2.0a / .434 FG%
Overall during same time period as Chamberlain matchups: 19.2p / 12.8r / 2.0a / .491 FG%
Reed vs Thurmond (46 games): 14.9p / 12.2r / 2.0a / .398 FG%
Overall during same time period as Thurmond matchups: 18.7p / 12.9r / 1.8a / .476 FG%

Walt Bellamy vs Chamberlain (90 games): 24.2p / 16.1r / 3.1a / .452 FG%
Overall during same time period as Chamberlain matchups: 20.6p / 14.0r / 2.4a / .518 FG%
Bellamy vs Thurmond (62 games): 15.6p / 12.4r / 2.1a / .419 FG%
Overall during same time period as Thurmond matchups: 18.4p / 12.9r / 2.4a / .514 FG%

Kareem Abdul-Jabbar vs Chamberlain (17 games): 31.8p / 15.8r / 3.8a / .463 FG%
Overall during same time period as Chamberlain matchups: 31.4p / 15.8r / 4.2a / .556 FG%
Kareem vs Thurmond (37 games): 26.3p / 14.1r / assists unsure, not importing a whole CSV just for this / .473 FG%
Overall during same time period as Thurmond matchups: 29.5p / 15.3r / 4.3a / .548 FG%

Jerry Lucas vs Chamberlain (64 games): 18.0p / 17.4r / 3.7a / .490 FG%
Overall during same time period as Chamberlain matchups: 18.0p / 16.6r / 3.3a / .500 FG%
Lucas vs Thurmond (55 games): 14.9p / 18.8r / 3.4a / .445 FG%
Overall during same time period as Thurmond matchups: 17.0p / 15.6r / 3.3a / .499 FG%

On the whole, this area looks to me like a clear edge for Thurmond, not an overpowering edge but still a pretty significant one. Unsurprising, since Thurmond's greatest strength was reputed to be one-on-one post defense. One more factor to consider.


https://forums.realgm.com/boards/viewtopic.php?t=1464836

Here you have more Thurmond stats against the best bigs in the world. It's unbelievable to be honest.
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Re: #3 Greatest Defensive C of All-Time - Top 10 Defense at each position project 

Post#27 » by 70sFan » Wed Jan 2, 2019 10:48 am

My vote goes for Admiral. Too good in his prime, too consistent post his prime. The good thing is that all available stats back up my eye test, which is not always the thing.

Admiral was extremely athletic, he was not only great rim protector but also P&R defender as he was very quick and mobile. Good man defender but overreacted to fakes (not only the case against Hakeem, but also in games I've seen against other post players). Still, he was active down low and he liked fronting against stronger players which is good thing with his length and vertical. Gave Shaq some troubles even though he wasn't strong enough to fight down low.

My next pick would probably be Mutombo, then one of Wilt/Nate/Wallace.
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Re: #3 Greatest Defensive C of All-Time - Top 10 Defense at each position project 

Post#28 » by trex_8063 » Wed Jan 2, 2019 7:36 pm

I’m going to again post a limited number of comparisons by several aggregates, including various DVOR (defensive value over replacement) splits, as I had in prior threads.

NOTES (read please):
*For anyone new to this, DVOR is NOT to be confused with DVORP (derived from bbref’s VORP figures). DVOR utilizes (where ever possible) DRAPM [available for ‘97 and after] and minutes played, with “replacement level” being defined as -0.75.
**For ‘94-’96, we have another plus/minus metric available in the form of rs-only APM. This figure is used for those seasons, along with guidance by BPM to estimate the offense:defense splits on the APM number.
***For seasons prior to ‘94, in previous threads I’d been using shutupandjam’s Estimated Impact (EI) defensive splits. However, anyone following this close will know by now that the domain on that site expired, so it is no longer available. I had recorded the numbers for Bill Russell and Hakeem’s pre-’94 seasons before the site went down, so I have them.

But this will prevent me from including other “old-timers” such as Wilt or Thurmond in these comparisons.

****For the pre-’94 seasons of David Robinson and Dikembe Mutombo, I simply used (0.75 * DBPM) as an estimate. I didn’t use the full DBPM value, as I feel that can sometimes overstate things (relative to a typical DRAPM). That might be marginally short-changing them for those years, so bear that in mind.

*****In DVOR per game in best 5 years, it might not be the same five years as in the cumulative avg.

******Where DPOY shares [and All-D pts, for that matter] are concerned, also bear in mind that Robinson, Mutombo, and Hakeem were often in direct competition with each other, probably dragging ALL of their figures down in those categories compared to Ben Wallace (we really didn’t have another great defensive C whose prime overlapped with Ben’s).

*******All shorter seasons (and associated metrics) have been pro-rated to 82-game schedule.


All-Defensive Honors “Points” (awarded 1.5 pts for each 1st team, 1.0 pts for each 2nd)
Hakeem Olajuwon - 11.5
David Robinson - 10.0
Ben Wallace - 8.5
Dikembe Mutombo - 7.5
Bill Russell - 1.5 (*only awarded his final season)
Shawn Bradley - 0


DPOY Shares
Ben Wallace - 3.747
Dikembe Mutombo - 2.146
Hakeem Olajuwon - 1.969
David Robinson - 1.331
Shawn Bradley - 0
**not awarded during Russell’s career

DWS
Bill Russell - 143.9
Hakeem Olajuwon - 94.5
David Robinson - 80.1
Ben Wallace - 70.6
Dikembe Mutombo - 68.5
Shawn Bradley - 30.8

DBPM
Ben Wallace: +5.5
David Robinson: +4.3
Hakeem Olajuwon: +3.8
Dikembe Mutombo: +3.6
Shawn Bradley: +3.4
**not available for Russell’s career

Individual rDRTG
David Robinson: -10.0
Ben Wallace: -9.4
Hakeem Olajuwon: -8.6
Dikembe Mutombo: -6.8
Shawn Bradley: -4.0
**not available for Russell’s career

Cumulative Career DVOR
Bill Russell - 181,196.05
Hakeem Olajuwon - 171,267.8
Dikembe Mutombo - 154.734.3
David Robinson - 151,777.8
Ben Wallace - 108,273.3
Shawn Bradley - 70,643.0

Avg DVOR per Season (full career)
Bill Russell - 13,938.2
David Robinson - 10,841.2
Hakeem Olajuwon - 9,514.9
Dikembe Mutombo - 8,596.4
Ben Wallace - 6,767.1
Shawn Bradley - 5,886.9

Avg DVOR per Season (Best 5 years)
Dikembe Mutombo - 18,417.6
Bill Russell - 16,994.7
Hakeem Olajuwon - 14,663.1
David Robinson - 13,808.6
Ben Wallace - 11,727.7
Shawn Bradley - 9,933.7

Avg DVOR Per Game (Best 5 years)
Dikembe Mutombo - 229.6
Bill Russell - 219.6
Hakeem Olajuwon - 184.2
David Robinson - 176.4
Ben Wallace - 150.4
Shawn Bradley - 141.5
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Re: #3 Greatest Defensive C of All-Time - Top 10 Defense at each position project 

Post#29 » by trex_8063 » Wed Jan 2, 2019 7:47 pm

Based on the data presented in my last post, plus comments I'd made in the last thread (copied into spoiler below), I am voting David Robinson here. Dikembe is the other really legitimate candidate for me. It's only after those two that I can feel right about voting for guys like Ben Wallace and Wilt Chamberlain (and Patrick Ewing, who I think has generally gone underrated).

Spoiler:
OK, I'll try to make the statistical case that penbeast0 is looking for.
And I'm with Dr Positivity: I can understand casting a vote for Hakeem here; I cannot understand calling it "easy". To say as much makes me think certain players are being brushed aside without a thorough look, or evidence is being willfully ignored (because a thorough look at [and even token acceptance of] said evidence would certainly illustrate why it's anything but "easy"), and/or Hakeem is being mythologized based on some small-game samples.

Speaking for myself, I don't know that there's any player who gets more mileage out of a single series or single playoff run than Hakeem. For instance, let's look at the common perception of Hakeem v DRob.....

The common perception was stated above in one of the quoted passages: that Hakeem "shut down Robinson". My first thought was, well.....Hakeem and one or two friends. I wish the search function worked [or that I'd saved copies in Google Docs] of the scouting reports [play-by-play] I'd made a couple years ago of the '95 WCF to share the specifics. But roughly speaking David Robinson, whenever receiving the ball in isolation, was facing a double-team (or occasional flashes of triple-team) approximately TWICE as often as Hakeem (maybe even marginally more). Hakeem was frequently enjoying single-coverage, also finding some easier assists particularly to Robert Horry [who had a fantastic series as Dennis Rodman was frequently ignoring him on the perimeter to wander toward the rim to be in better rebounding position].

From that standpoint, it's not exactly apples-to-apples to just look at their respective boxes. Don't know exactly how much of a distraction Dennis Rodman's very very public meltdown during a winnable series was for Robinson and the Spurs, too (but I can't imagine it helped). And Rodman's complete defensive collapse (one of many) on the final Rocket possession in G1 allowed Horry an utterly (utterly) uncontested 18-footer for the go-ahead bucket. Maybe he makes that shot anyway; but then again maybe not. And I can't help speculating how the complexion of the series may have been different if not for that play, and how differently the Hakeem/David relationship would be viewed if the Spurs had won the series.

But anyway, that was six games played H2H between Hakeem and Robinson.......they had 42 other meetings in their careers. It might be worthwhile to recognize that they basically played each other to a standstill (as far as comparing individual numbers) in those 42 other meetings, but that the Spurs won 30 of the 42. Robinson's numbers are down in that sample, relative to what he averaged against the league at large......but so are Hakeem's (his volume numbers stay stable v DRob, a few even up by near-negligible amounts; but his shooting efficiency tanked by 7% when facing DRob).

So this common perception of how Hakeem did vs Robinson (almost entirely based on that '95 series) is actually not very representative AT ALL of how things went over the broader sample of their respective careers.


I'd also like to speak to the comment that Hakeem "made elite defenses basically by himself".....
idk, perhaps I'm just semantically disagreeing with what exactly is meant by "elite" [and perhaps also by "by himself"]. If I were to define an "elite defense", I might suggest something like a -3.0 rDRTG or better??? Even that is perhaps being a bit liberal with the definition of "elite", but let's go with it.
Hakeem was a part of just FOUR "elite" defenses (in 18 seasons) by that definition. And with the exception of '89, they all occurred with at least a little help from Vernon Maxwell (a very good perimeter defender) and/or Robert Horry (another good [and versatile] defender). He'd had a decent defender in Rodney McCray prior to '89, but didn't quite manage an "elite" one in those years.

Robinson anchored four "elite" defenses in his first seven seasons before the injury (none of them with Dennis Rodman, btw, whose defense by that point in his career was overrated), certainly not with superior help, imo. Then another SIX straight elite ones after the arrival of Tim Duncan.

The average of the four best defenses Hakeem anchored is -4.15 rDRTG. The avg of the four best Robinson anchored BEFORE Duncan’s arrival is -4.18.

The Rocket defense improved by -2.2 with Hakeem's arrival in '85. The Spurs defense improved by -4.0 with Robinson's arrival in '90 (and then fell of by a staggering +9.7 in '97 when Robinson was out with injury, and improved by an even more shocking -11.2 the following year with Robinson's return + the addition of rookie Duncan).


So how could Robinson inflict so much defensive impact (which seems easily equal with [if not marginally superior to] Hakeem's based on team result)? Well, let's start by circling back to H2H's, in broad strokes (allowing for the usual caveats relating to uncertainty as to how often Hakeem/Robinson is a guarding the person in question, etc). Went with rs samples (because they're bigger).....

Vs Hakeem.....
Shaquille O'Neal, David Robinson, Patrick Ewing, Dikembe Mutombo, and Brad Daugherty all saw significant dips in their production and/or efficiency when facing Olajuwon.
Shawn Kemp only saw a marginally reduction in his performance against Hakeem.
Tim Duncan and Kevin Garnett held steady (that is: their production/efficiency remained stable) when facing an OLDER Hakeem Olajuwon.
Jermaine O'Neal and Kareem Abdul-Jabbar actually appear to perform BETTER against Hakeem than they did against the field in the same years.

Vs Robinson.....
Shaquille O'Neal, Patrick Ewing, Shawn Kemp, and Jermaine O'Neal all were significantly worse when facing Robinson.
Hakeem Olajuwon was a little worse (as mentioned above: volume stats hold steady [or even negligibly higher], but shooting efficiency falls by 7%).
Brad Daugherty and Dikembe Mutombo both more or less hold stable against Robinson (or a marginal decline, at worst).

In broad strokes [based on the players looked at], it doesn't look like Hakeem has any advantage in terms of H2H's; if anything, likely a tiny edge to Robinson.


To my eye, Robinson appears the slightly superior pnr defender. I also disagree that Olajuwon is any more "switchable" than Robinson is.


And then we can look at just the volume defensive numbers:
Hakeem ('86-'96) per 100 possessions: 11.3 DRebs, 2.5 stl, 4.7 blk, 4.9 PF.
Robinson ('90-'97) per 100 possessions: 11.0 DRebs, 2.2 stl, 4.8 blk, 4.0 PF.
That too sure looks like he's holding his own with Olajuwon in their respective primes.


And I certainly feel Robinson maintained his defensive impact into their respective post-primes to a higher degree than Hakeem did. Noting the below is basically all post-prime for both of them; and will add it Mutombo too (most of this IS prime for him, fwiw, up thru probably ‘01; but just by way of starting a statistical case for Deke).......

DRAPM
'97
Mutombo: +4.37
Olajuwon: +1.93
Robinson (6 games): +1.11

'98
Mutombo: +5.74
Robinson: +3.64
Olajuwon: +3.32

'99
Mutombo: +6.45
Robinson: +5.18
Olajuwon: +3.86

’00
Mutombo: +6.61
Robinson: +4.53
Olajuwon: +3.80

’01
Mutombo: +4.8
Robinson: +4.1
Olajuwon: +1.2

’02
Robinson: +2.1
Mutombo: +1.3
Olajuwon: +1.2

’03
Robinson: +3.4
Mutombo: +1.3


Speaking for myself, I certainly feel Robinson is in the conversation, even with the lesser longevity. And Mutombo is definitely in consideration for me, especially given his longevity is very strong, too.
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Re: #3 Greatest Defensive C of All-Time - Top 10 Defense at each position project 

Post#30 » by trex_8063 » Wed Jan 2, 2019 8:04 pm

Thru post #29:

David Robinson - 6 (bledredwine, penbeast0, iggymcfrack, HeartBreakKid, 70sFan, trex_8063)
Wilt Chamberlain - 3 (cecilthesheep, Jaivl, SkyHookFTW)
Ben Wallace - 1 (pandrade83)
Nate Thurmond - 1 (Dr Positivity)


....with one poster saying he's leaning toward Deke, but hasn't voted yet (can't believe Dikembe doesn't have more support here); cecil possibly hedging on his pick, too.
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Re: #3 Greatest Defensive C of All-Time - Top 10 Defense at each position project 

Post#31 » by SinceGatlingWasARookie » Wed Jan 2, 2019 8:47 pm

Vote Dikembe Mutombo
I don't have a strong Objection to Robinson and It looks like Robinson gets in here.
I have seen games where it looked like pre injury Robinson was not reacting well defensively.
On the other hand pre injury Robinson's Spurs did hold other teams' regular season Fg percentage down even in years when to me Robinson did not look fully engaged defensively in the playoffs. Early Robinson might have been more defensively active than peak scoring Robinson was.

I liked Kareem's defense but not his rebounding and I don't know what mid 1970s Kareem's defense was like. 1980s Kareem seemed to dislike physicality but his man to man and help defense seemed fine. I think Robinson also would have preferred less physicality.

Many year's Dikembe's teams were not good enough for me to see much of Dikembe.
Just going with my gut and Voting Dikembe, but some of his teams were not all that great defensively.
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Re: #3 Greatest Defensive C of All-Time - Top 10 Defense at each position project 

Post#32 » by cecilthesheep » Wed Jan 2, 2019 10:23 pm

I'm changing my vote to Thurmond for good. As far as why I'm not voting Robinson or Mutombo first, I guess I just think Thurmond and Wilt were that much further out in front of their era.
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Re: #3 Greatest Defensive C of All-Time - Top 10 Defense at each position project 

Post#33 » by FrogBros4Life » Wed Jan 2, 2019 10:55 pm

As someone who watched the entirety of David Robinson's career, I'm surprised so many people are ranking him this highly. I'm curious as to whether most of you actually watched him play or if you are only going off of his stats. He only anchored one "elite" defense before the Spurs got Duncan. Not sure how you can vote anyone other than Wilt or Thurmond here. I'm not sure Olajuwon should have gone before those two either, but Hakeem at #2 is much easier to argue than Robinson at #3. After Olajuwon/Wilt/Thurmond, I think the next 3 are probably Mutombo/Ewing/Wallace (in some order). Robinson would be in the next tier with Howard/Mourning and Wes Unseld. Then you also have guys like KAJ and Shaq, both of whom impacted defenses with their sheer presence in ways that stats and boxscores can't properly capture (though I'd put Robinson above them both defensively).

Robinson was a very good defender overall, and an elite shot blocker/rim protector, but there's more to defense than blocking shots. I'll again point to the fact that the Spurs didn't really turn into a truly great defensive team until Duncan's arrival. Robinson wasn't as good of a man to man defender as Mutombo/Ewing/Wallace, though he was the best at jumping the passing lanes. He wasn't as good at switching on pick and rolls as he's getting credit for either. And in crunch time during the post season, he was actually targeted more than he was feared.

This isn't just about the one series vs. Hakeem either. Shaq and Karl Malone both ate his lunch repeatedly, and who can forget Charles Barkely with Robinson on an island...sizing him up at the end of game 6 in the 93 playoffs before sending the Spurs home. That's the matchup Charles and the Suns wanted on that possession. Chuck had been lighting up Robinson all game. I'm not sure you can take any of the other guys mentioned and think of a time where another superstar player deliberately wanted them to guard them. But with Robinson in the playoffs that was often the case.
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Re: #3 Greatest Defensive C of All-Time - Top 10 Defense at each position project 

Post#34 » by cecilthesheep » Wed Jan 2, 2019 11:01 pm

FrogBros4Life wrote:As someone who watched the entirety of David Robinson's career, I'm surprised so many people are ranking him this highly. I'm curious as to whether most of you actually watched him play or if you are only going off of his stats. He only anchored one "elite" defense before the Spurs got Duncan. Not sure how you can vote anyone other than Wilt or Thurmond here. I'm not sure Olajuwon should have gone before those two either, but Hakeem at #2 is much easier to argue than Robinson at #3. After Olajuwon/Wilt/Thurman, I think the next 3 are probably Mutombo/Ewing/Wallace (in some order). Robinson would be in the next tier with Howard/Mourning and Wes Unseld. Then you also have guys like KAJ and Shaq, both of whom impacted defenses with their sheer presence in ways that stats and boxscores can't properly capture (though I'd put Robinson above them both defensively).

Robinson was a very good defender overall, and an elite shot blocker/rim protector, but there's more to defense than blocking shots. I'll again point to the fact that the Spurs didn't really turn into a truly great defensive team until Duncan's arrival. Robinson wasn't as good of a man to man defender as Mutombo/Ewing/Wallace, though he was the best at jumping the passing lanes. He wasn't as good at switching on pick and rolls as he's getting credit for either. And in crunch time during the post season, he was actually targeted more than he was feared.

This isn't just about the one series vs. Hakeem either. Shaq and Karl Malone both ate his lunch repeatedly, and who can forget Charles Barkely with Robinson on an island...sizing him up at the end of game 6 in the 93 playoffs before sending the Spurs home. That's the matchup Charles and the Suns wanted on that possession. Chuck had been lighting up Robinson all game. I'm not sure you can take any of the other guys mentioned and think of a time where another superstar player deliberately wanted them to guard them. But with Robinson in the playoffs that was often the case.

As a Spurs fan, this is definitely a big part of why I'm staying away from the Admiral for now. I think he was an underrated team defender and the matchup exploitation makes him look worse than he really was, but it still happened. One-on-one defense is an important part of defense too. David's defensive reputation didn't really solidify as positive, let alone great, until Duncan arrived to complete the back line and help out with some of the tougher matchups.
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T. Duncan '03 | L. Aldridge '18 | T. Cummings '90
D. Robinson '95 | A. Gilmore '83 | S. Nater '75
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Re: #3 Greatest Defensive C of All-Time - Top 10 Defense at each position project 

Post#35 » by trex_8063 » Wed Jan 2, 2019 11:28 pm

cecilthesheep wrote:I'm changing my vote to Thurmond for good. As far as why I'm not voting Robinson or Mutombo first, I guess I just think Thurmond and Wilt were that much further out in front of their era.


Change it in your original vote post, too, just so there isn't a miscount if lebron3-14-3 does the count.
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Re: #3 Greatest Defensive C of All-Time - Top 10 Defense at each position project 

Post#36 » by Owly » Wed Jan 2, 2019 11:39 pm

cecilthesheep wrote:
FrogBros4Life wrote:As someone who watched the entirety of David Robinson's career, I'm surprised so many people are ranking him this highly. I'm curious as to whether most of you actually watched him play or if you are only going off of his stats. He only anchored one "elite" defense before the Spurs got Duncan. Not sure how you can vote anyone other than Wilt or Thurmond here. I'm not sure Olajuwon should have gone before those two either, but Hakeem at #2 is much easier to argue than Robinson at #3. After Olajuwon/Wilt/Thurman, I think the next 3 are probably Mutombo/Ewing/Wallace (in some order). Robinson would be in the next tier with Howard/Mourning and Wes Unseld. Then you also have guys like KAJ and Shaq, both of whom impacted defenses with their sheer presence in ways that stats and boxscores can't properly capture (though I'd put Robinson above them both defensively).

Robinson was a very good defender overall, and an elite shot blocker/rim protector, but there's more to defense than blocking shots. I'll again point to the fact that the Spurs didn't really turn into a truly great defensive team until Duncan's arrival. Robinson wasn't as good of a man to man defender as Mutombo/Ewing/Wallace, though he was the best at jumping the passing lanes. He wasn't as good at switching on pick and rolls as he's getting credit for either. And in crunch time during the post season, he was actually targeted more than he was feared.

This isn't just about the one series vs. Hakeem either. Shaq and Karl Malone both ate his lunch repeatedly, and who can forget Charles Barkely with Robinson on an island...sizing him up at the end of game 6 in the 93 playoffs before sending the Spurs home. That's the matchup Charles and the Suns wanted on that possession. Chuck had been lighting up Robinson all game. I'm not sure you can take any of the other guys mentioned and think of a time where another superstar player deliberately wanted them to guard them. But with Robinson in the playoffs that was often the case.

As a Spurs fan, this is definitely a big part of why I'm staying away from the Admiral for now. I think he was an underrated team defender and the matchup exploitation makes him look worse than he really was, but it still happened. One-on-one defense is an important part of defense too. David's defensive reputation didn't really solidify as positive, let alone great, until Duncan arrived to complete the back line and help out with some of the tougher matchups.

Sorry but I have to call this out. I don't have access to them right now, but when possible if you want I'll type up the defensive scouting reports on Robinson from after his first two years from the Rick Barry Handbooks, maybe the general write up from the Hollander ones too (I could dig out an article asking whether he was better than MJ from maybe circa 1992, which is a bit more general, and I think maybe stats based, if anyone cares).

It just isn't true that his defensive rep wasn't solidly positive he was clearly an elite defender and was known as such.


Then too, to the prior poster saying implying that those backing Robinson haven't watched the games but calling him in the same tier as Unseld. :o :o

Unseld was an elite rebounder, a superlative outlet passer and bone-crunching pick-setter. Neither in his physical profile nor his statistical profile nor his reputation nor his team's statistical record nor his longevity (especially with regard to any evidence of defensive impact) suggest he belongs in the conversation with the likes of the players mentioned.
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Re: #3 Greatest Defensive C of All-Time - Top 10 Defense at each position project 

Post#37 » by SinceGatlingWasARookie » Thu Jan 3, 2019 12:07 am

cecilthesheep wrote:Compiled some head-to-head stats for Wilt and Thurmond vs some HOF centers they played against. These aren't quite as meaningful as they were for perimeter guys, given that centers are more responsible for playing team defense, but for whatever it's worth:

.


Good stat work.
Based on what you did I think I will be voting for Thurmand over Chamberlain. Defense against your own man is perhaps half of defense with the rest being team defense and defensive rebounding.

Team defense mattered more in later eras and defending your own man mattered more in Wilts era because defenses were more man to man focoussed back then. Still the quality of the help mattered. Who had better defensive teammates, Wilt or Thurmand?


I don't think Jerry Lucas was the center in Cincinnati but I don't remember whether the centers guarded him.
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Re: #3 Greatest Defensive C of All-Time - Top 10 Defense at each position project 

Post#38 » by trex_8063 » Thu Jan 3, 2019 12:12 am

cecilthesheep wrote:
FrogBros4Life wrote:As someone who watched the entirety of David Robinson's career, I'm surprised so many people are ranking him this highly. I'm curious as to whether most of you actually watched him play or if you are only going off of his stats. He only anchored one "elite" defense before the Spurs got Duncan. Not sure how you can vote anyone other than Wilt or Thurmond here. I'm not sure Olajuwon should have gone before those two either, but Hakeem at #2 is much easier to argue than Robinson at #3. After Olajuwon/Wilt/Thurman, I think the next 3 are probably Mutombo/Ewing/Wallace (in some order). Robinson would be in the next tier with Howard/Mourning and Wes Unseld. Then you also have guys like KAJ and Shaq, both of whom impacted defenses with their sheer presence in ways that stats and boxscores can't properly capture (though I'd put Robinson above them both defensively).

Robinson was a very good defender overall, and an elite shot blocker/rim protector, but there's more to defense than blocking shots. I'll again point to the fact that the Spurs didn't really turn into a truly great defensive team until Duncan's arrival. Robinson wasn't as good of a man to man defender as Mutombo/Ewing/Wallace, though he was the best at jumping the passing lanes. He wasn't as good at switching on pick and rolls as he's getting credit for either. And in crunch time during the post season, he was actually targeted more than he was feared.

This isn't just about the one series vs. Hakeem either. Shaq and Karl Malone both ate his lunch repeatedly, and who can forget Charles Barkely with Robinson on an island...sizing him up at the end of game 6 in the 93 playoffs before sending the Spurs home. That's the matchup Charles and the Suns wanted on that possession. Chuck had been lighting up Robinson all game. I'm not sure you can take any of the other guys mentioned and think of a time where another superstar player deliberately wanted them to guard them. But with Robinson in the playoffs that was often the case.

As a Spurs fan, this is definitely a big part of why I'm staying away from the Admiral for now. I think he was an underrated team defender and the matchup exploitation makes him look worse than he really was, but it still happened. One-on-one defense is an important part of defense too. David's defensive reputation didn't really solidify as positive, let alone great, until Duncan arrived to complete the back line and help out with some of the tougher matchups.


I don't know what to say (but I'm going to try to find the words). I watched most of his career unfold in realtime, too (for whatever that's worth, given most of us were kids/teenagers for his pre-injury career--->don't know that age 16 me had more valid opinions than old me watching the same player on YouTube; EDIT: in fact, I almost guarantee the opposite is true), and I got a different opinion regarding his team defense and pnr defense and switchability.
These kinds of exchanges illustrate the problem with the "eye-test" as the sole component (or perhaps even a majority component) of any basketball opinion. Don't get me wrong: it's needed, definitely a necessary component of any criteria.
But here we are, both watching the same player(s) [probably in many of the same games], and arriving at different conclusions.

Either one of us is wrong, or both of us are wrong......otherwise we'd arrive at the same conclusions. And that (50+% of participants being "wrong") is true of any major disagreement on this forum. This is where some objective indicators are handy, especially if you can correlate them to what you see. Not every bit of evidence needs to agree with a person to "validate" his opinion; but if nearly every bit of evidence contradicts what he thinks......idk, that probably should give one pause.


I'm next going to address a few specific statements made.....

Re: Robinson "only anchored one "elite" defense before the Spurs got Duncan"
Semantics are important. In the previous thread we had a poster declare Hakeem could "make defenses elite basically by himself". FrogBros is saying Robinson only anchored ONE "elite" defense prior to Duncan.
Well, Hakeem only anchored THREE defenses (in 18 seasons) that were better than what the Spurs AVERAGED in Robinson's SEVEN full seasons before Duncan arrived. To say the least, there must be a significant semantic disagreement on the meaning of "elite" between these two posters.

Or maybe the problem/discrepancy lies elsewhere; in a misconception, perhaps. FrogBros also goes on to say Robinson has no place being ahead of Nate Thurmond. Well, if Robinson only anchored one "elite" defense prior to Duncan, then technically, Thurmond anchored precisely ZERO elite defenses in his career. He appears to have only been a part of ONE "elite" defense in his career (playing alongside Wilt in his rookie season; probably can't be called the "anchor" with Wilt being there, and with Thurmond playing just 25.9 mpg that season).
Hakeem anchored only two "elite" defenses, too, I guess. For one of them he had solid defensive teammates in Vernon Maxwell and Robert Horry at least. For Robinson's one elite defense (I assume it's got to be the best one of his pre-Duncan years, '91), his only really notable defensive teammate was 32-yr-old Paul Pressey (who played 24 mpg).


Re: "Chuck had been lighting him up all game."
Hmm.....in that game Barkley had 28 pts on just 50.1% TS (45.8% eFG%), 4 ORebs, 4 ast, 4 tov; and that was in 42 minutes playing time; his individual ORtg was 100 in that game (poor, and below even the team average). Prior to that shot he had 26 pts on 48.2% TS (43.5% eFG%). Wouldn't exactly call that "lighting him up". And looking at the play again [I did so just now], I can't see that as any kind of poor defense or misplay on Robinson's part. It's a lightly contested pull-up jumper from 20 ft......that's pretty much the shot you want Barkley taking, no?. Should Robinson have played him tighter? Risk allowing him to get into the painted area [where he's most dangerous, and not remotely close], or put greater risk of fouling him in a tie game?
So the shot went in......that doesn't equal poor defense (thinking so is result-oriented thinking). And the above stat-line indicates Barkley wasn't exactly "lighting up" anyone.
The Suns as a team had a 103.8 ORtg that game (they were 113.3 ORtg in the rs). The Suns had a 102.8 ORtg for the series (-10.5 from rs standard).
Can't remember if Barkley was being primarily guarded by Robinson much of the series, tbh, but Barkley for the series avg 26.2 ppg @ 53.8% TS (46.7% eFG%), 2.8 oreb, 3.3 apg, 2.8 topg in 40.2 mpg. In the rs he'd averaged 25.6 ppg (in just 37.6 mpg) @ 59.6% TS, 3.1 oreb, 5.1 apg, 3.1 topg.
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Re: #3 Greatest Defensive C of All-Time - Top 10 Defense at each position project 

Post#39 » by trex_8063 » Thu Jan 3, 2019 12:24 am

Owly wrote:
cecilthesheep wrote:
FrogBros4Life wrote:As someone who watched the entirety of David Robinson's career, I'm surprised so many people are ranking him this highly. I'm curious as to whether most of you actually watched him play or if you are only going off of his stats. He only anchored one "elite" defense before the Spurs got Duncan. Not sure how you can vote anyone other than Wilt or Thurmond here. I'm not sure Olajuwon should have gone before those two either, but Hakeem at #2 is much easier to argue than Robinson at #3. After Olajuwon/Wilt/Thurman, I think the next 3 are probably Mutombo/Ewing/Wallace (in some order). Robinson would be in the next tier with Howard/Mourning and Wes Unseld. Then you also have guys like KAJ and Shaq, both of whom impacted defenses with their sheer presence in ways that stats and boxscores can't properly capture (though I'd put Robinson above them both defensively).

Robinson was a very good defender overall, and an elite shot blocker/rim protector, but there's more to defense than blocking shots. I'll again point to the fact that the Spurs didn't really turn into a truly great defensive team until Duncan's arrival. Robinson wasn't as good of a man to man defender as Mutombo/Ewing/Wallace, though he was the best at jumping the passing lanes. He wasn't as good at switching on pick and rolls as he's getting credit for either. And in crunch time during the post season, he was actually targeted more than he was feared.

This isn't just about the one series vs. Hakeem either. Shaq and Karl Malone both ate his lunch repeatedly, and who can forget Charles Barkely with Robinson on an island...sizing him up at the end of game 6 in the 93 playoffs before sending the Spurs home. That's the matchup Charles and the Suns wanted on that possession. Chuck had been lighting up Robinson all game. I'm not sure you can take any of the other guys mentioned and think of a time where another superstar player deliberately wanted them to guard them. But with Robinson in the playoffs that was often the case.

As a Spurs fan, this is definitely a big part of why I'm staying away from the Admiral for now. I think he was an underrated team defender and the matchup exploitation makes him look worse than he really was, but it still happened. One-on-one defense is an important part of defense too. David's defensive reputation didn't really solidify as positive, let alone great, until Duncan arrived to complete the back line and help out with some of the tougher matchups.

Sorry but I have to call this out. I don't have access to them right now, but when possible if you want I'll type up the defensive scouting reports on Robinson from after his first two years from the Rick Barry Handbooks, maybe the general write up from the Hollander ones too (I could dig out an article asking whether he was better than MJ from maybe circa 1992, which is a bit more general, and I think maybe stats based, if anyone cares).

It just isn't true that his defensive rep wasn't solidly positive he was clearly an elite defender and was known as such.

.


I'd add that his DPOY came in '92, and he finished just 0.010 DPOY shares behind Hakeem for DPOY in '94 (Duncan was still in highschool for both).
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Re: #3 Greatest Defensive C of All-Time - Top 10 Defense at each position project 

Post#40 » by SkyHookFTW » Thu Jan 3, 2019 12:24 am

SinceGatlingWasARookie wrote:
cecilthesheep wrote:Compiled some head-to-head stats for Wilt and Thurmond vs some HOF centers they played against. These aren't quite as meaningful as they were for perimeter guys, given that centers are more responsible for playing team defense, but for whatever it's worth:

.


Good stat work.
Based on what you did I think I will be voting for Thurmand over Chaberlain. Defense against your own man is perhaps half of defense with the rest being team defense and defensive rebounding.

Team defense mattered more in later eras and defending your own man mattered more in Wilts era because defenses were more man to man focoussed back then. Still the quality of the help mattered. Who had better defensive teammates, Wilt or Thurmand?

For studying help defense I might take somebody like Satch Sanders and see whether Sanders scored better vs Wilt or Thurmand. I will look that up and add it to this post.


I don't think Jerry Lucas was the center in Cincinnati but I don't remember whether the centers guarded him.


I can tell you that when Wilt was on the Sixers and Lakers the only team mate who made an all-NBA defensive team was Jerry West. Johnson was the only one who made an all-NBA defensive team with Thurmond. Neither player played with anyone who was noteworthy on defense besides the aforementioned players.
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